Core Viewpoints - The mechanical industry is expected to embrace "technology + going global" as its dual main lines in 2026, focusing on high elasticity growth opportunities and performance certainty from overseas expansion [13][9][7] 2025 Review Market Performance - In 2025, the mechanical sector achieved a 41% increase, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 18%, ranking fifth among A-share sub-industries [6][16] - The sub-sectors that performed well included PCB equipment (+252%), 3C equipment (+129%), controllable nuclear fusion (+119%), data centers (+112%), and humanoid robots (+85%) [20][6] Demand Side - Domestic demand showed signs of bottoming out, with a marginal improvement towards the end of 2025, while external demand began to recover positively [31][35] - The manufacturing PMI in December 2025 rebounded to 50.1, indicating a return to expansion territory, driven by large enterprises and high-tech manufacturing [32][35] Cost Side - The cost structure showed a continuous improvement trend, with PPI declining by 2.6% year-on-year in 2025, reflecting insufficient industrial demand [31][33] 2026 Outlook Macro Perspective - The macro narrative for the next five years is centered around "AI commercialization + global re-industrialization," with expectations of a cyclical recovery driven by proactive fiscal policies [6][7] Mid-level Perspective - Technology - The technology sector is expected to see explosive growth, with key areas including data centers, PCB equipment, semiconductor equipment, humanoid robots, and commercial aerospace [7][9] Mid-level Perspective - Going Global - The overseas production capacity is anticipated to enter a release phase in 2026, with significant revenue and profit growth expected for companies in the machinery and equipment sectors [7][8] Investment Recommendations - Investment strategies should focus on high-certainty directions with strong industry trends and competitive advantages, prioritizing stock selection based on industry trends, competitive positioning, and valuation [7][8] - Long-term investments should consider companies with platform capabilities that offer sustainable value [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [45]. Core Insights - The demand for humanoid robots is expected to accelerate in 2026 due to advancements in embodied intelligence, supported by policy backing and rapid technological iterations. The industry is transitioning from concept to mass production, presenting opportunities for investment in the robot sector [3][41]. - The engineering machinery sector shows signs of recovery, with significant growth in excavator sales in January 2026. Factors such as the accelerated issuance of special bonds and global interest rate cuts are expected to boost demand for engineering machinery [3][41]. - The mechanical equipment sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a bi-weekly increase of 4.29%, ranking 4th among 31 sectors [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of February 12, 2026, the mechanical equipment industry has seen a bi-weekly increase of 4.29%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.01 percentage points [12]. - The engineering machinery sector recorded the highest bi-weekly increase of 7.80% among the five sub-sectors [15][17]. Valuation Situation - The current PE ratio for the mechanical equipment sector is 36.68, with sub-sectors showing varying valuations: general equipment at 53.27, specialized equipment at 37.85, and engineering machinery at 25.73 [21]. Data Updates - The report highlights significant growth in excavator sales, with domestic sales showing a year-on-year increase of 23.90% in January 2026 [40]. Industry News - The report includes updates on various companies, such as OptoTech planning to raise funds for expanding its industrial automation capabilities [39]. Weekly Insights - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huichuan Technology and Greentec Harmonic for potential investment opportunities in the robot sector, and Sany Heavy Industry and Hengli Hydraulic in the engineering machinery sector [41][43].

Core Viewpoint - The humanoid robot sector is expected to gradually converge by 2026, with Tesla's Optimus moving from the laboratory phase to mass production, highlighting the need to focus on mass production certainty and new technological directions for efficiency improvement or significant cost reduction [1][2]. Industry Core Changes - The humanoid robot industry in 2025 saw significant order placements, primarily from government, data collection, and life service scenarios, with companies like Yuzhu, Zhiyuan, and UBTECH leading in shipment volumes [2]. - The prices of core robot components have significantly decreased due to industrial capital support, although there is still room for improvement in precision and lifespan [2]. - The model end has confirmed the correct path for VLA, with some models beginning to show intelligence, but the lack of sufficient data has prevented the formation of a scaling law cycle in the short term [2]. 2026 Strategy Outlook - The successful iteration of Tesla's Optimus is expected to lead to a large-scale production year in 2026, with key focus areas including Tier 1 suppliers, lead screws, and harmonic reducers, as the supply chain enters a contraction phase [3]. - For flexible robot targets, attention should be paid to technological iterations and cost reduction, with key drivers including improvements in dexterous hands, motors, and lightweight materials [3]. Investment Recommendations - For certainty in direction, focus on Tier 1 suppliers such as Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group, lead screws from Hengli Hydraulic and Zhejiang Rongtai, and harmonic reducers from Lide Harmonic and Siling Intelligent Drive [4]. - For technological transformation and cost reduction, key companies to watch include Zhaowei Electromechanical and Hanwei Technology for dexterous hands and electronic skin, Hengshuai Co. and Buke Co. for motors, and Hengbo Co. and Xingyuan Zhuomei for lightweight materials [4].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing an upward trend, particularly in the technology sector, with a notable rise in the robotics sector, as evidenced by the performance of the Robotics ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159213) which increased by 1.25% [1] Group 1: Robotics ETF Performance - The Robotics ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159213) has shown a mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with major gains from companies like Dazhu Laser, which rose over 7%, and others like Greentech Harmony and iFlytek, which increased by over 2% [2][3] - The top ten constituent stocks of the Robotics ETF include iFlytek with a 2.21% increase and Dazhu Laser with a 7.33% increase, indicating strong performance in the sector [4] Group 2: Technological Developments - Xiaomi has officially launched and open-sourced its first-generation robotics VLA model, Xiaomi-Robotics-0, which features 4.7 billion parameters and excels in visual language understanding and real-time execution capabilities [5] - Alibaba's DAMO Academy has released the RynnBrain model, which significantly enhances robotic intelligence by introducing spatial reasoning and memory capabilities, outperforming leading models like Google's Gemini Robotics ER 1.5 [5] Group 3: Market Trends and IPO Activity - There is a surge in companies focused on embodied intelligence initiating IPO processes, with three companies already advancing their A-share listings as of February 10 [6] - The robotics industry is compared to the electric vehicle sector, with both undergoing a phase of technological validation and expected to benefit from policy support and market demand [7][8] Group 4: Investment Insights - The investment focus in the humanoid robotics sector is shifting from thematic investments to expectations of mass production, with key milestones anticipated from Tesla's developments in humanoid robots [8] - The industry is expected to see a reduction in the timeline from technology validation to commercial rollout compared to the electric vehicle sector, due to the accumulated resources and capital in the robotics field [8]

Core Viewpoint - Minth Group (00425) has seen a nearly 5% increase in stock price, currently trading at 42 HKD, with a transaction volume of 221 million HKD, following the announcement of a framework agreement with Green Harmonics to establish a joint venture in the U.S. for humanoid robot joint module business [1] Group 1: Business Developments - Minth Group has signed a framework agreement with Green Harmonics to establish a joint venture in the U.S. focused on humanoid robot joint modules, marking a significant step in the global expansion of its robotics business [1] - The company has previously signed a strategic cooperation agreement with a leading robotics company in Europe, aimed at whole machine OEM and component supply, scheduled for December 2025 [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Huatai Securities reports that Minth Group's traditional business is expected to maintain steady growth, with the battery box business accelerating globally [1] - The strategic new businesses in robotics, AI liquid cooling, and low-altitude economy are anticipated to flourish, potentially unlocking the company's long-term growth potential [1] - The firm maintains a "Buy" rating on Minth Group, indicating confidence in its future performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The partnership between Sensata Technologies and Lide Harmonic aims to establish a joint venture in the U.S. focused on humanoid robot joint module assembly, targeting the North American market to capitalize on the growing demand for core components in the humanoid robotics industry [1][6]. Company Overview - Sensata Technologies is a leading global automotive parts manufacturer with production bases in 14 countries, supplying major automakers like Tesla and BMW, and has extensive experience in large-scale manufacturing and global operations [2][7]. - Lide Harmonic is a leading domestic company in harmonic reducers, with its products already integrated into the supply chain of Tesla's Optimus robots, showcasing strong technical expertise in precision transmission [2][7]. Market Potential - The humanoid robot industry is projected to experience explosive growth, with global shipments expected to reach nearly 18,000 units by 2025, representing a 508% year-over-year increase, and order volumes exceeding 35,000 units [2][7]. - Joint modules, as core motion components of robots, integrate harmonic reducers, servo motors, and encoders, presenting high technical barriers and strong customization demands [2][7]. Strategic Goals - The joint venture aims to provide localized humanoid robot joint modules in North America, covering the entire service chain from R&D to production and maintenance, addressing the increasing demand from leading robot products like Tesla's Optimus [1][6]. Financial Market Response - The market reacted positively to the announcement, with Sensata's stock price rising over 9% on the day of the announcement, reaching a new high since January 2021, and a cumulative increase of 160% over the past year [3][8]. - Financial institutions like UBS and Citigroup have expressed optimism about the long-term value enhancement for Sensata, with UBS raising its target price to 45.5 HKD, highlighting the potential for new revenue sources from localized robot joint modules [3][8]. Challenges Ahead - The humanoid robot industry is still in its early commercialization phase, with Morgan Stanley noting that actual global shipments may fall short of 20,000 units by 2025, indicating a slower-than-expected scaling process [3][8]. - The complexity of joint modules and the dispersion of orders may hinder significant revenue contributions in the short term, alongside potential profit margin pressures from fluctuating aluminum prices and high costs of customized production [3][8]. Industry Trends - The collaboration reflects a broader trend of traditional manufacturing giants and niche technology experts working together to seize emerging market opportunities in humanoid robotics [4][9]. - The partnership signifies a shift in Chinese manufacturing from "globalized OEM" to "technology-driven ecosystems," providing a new growth narrative amid slowing electric vehicle growth [4][9].

Summary of the Conference Call for Green Harmonic Company Overview - **Company**: Green Harmonic - **Industry**: Harmonic Reducers Key Points Industry Position and Core Competitiveness - Green Harmonic holds a leading position in the harmonic reducer market, primarily due to its cost control and large-scale production capabilities, which are critical for maintaining a competitive edge [2][3] - The company continuously reduces production costs through ongoing R&D and technological innovation, creating a significant gap between itself and competitors [2][3] Production Capacity and Quality Control - The current monthly production capacity is approximately 50,000 harmonic reducers, with plans to double this to 100,000-150,000 by 2026, showcasing its global leadership in production capacity [2][5] - Strong quality control capabilities enable the company to meet the stringent supply and quality requirements of high-end clients like Tesla [2][3] R&D and Innovation - Green Harmonic has demonstrated exceptional performance in R&D, having supplied over 1,000 harmonic reducers for Tesla's third-generation robots by December 2025 and is currently developing products for the fourth generation [4] - The company has expanded its product range from a few sizes to over a dozen, refining it down to six specifications, indicating improved marginal R&D capabilities and market adaptability [4] Strategic Partnerships and Business Expansion - Collaborations with top-tier companies such as Sanhua Intelligent Control and Minth Group have been established to enhance market share and expand business scope [2][6] - A localized production layout in North America has been initiated in partnership with Minth Group to address supply chain localization issues and improve long-term supply capabilities [5][6] Market Perception and Future Outlook - The market may be underestimating Green Harmonic's advantages in R&D iteration, large-scale high-quality supply, and business expansion capabilities [7] - These unexpected performances are anticipated to lead to significant increases in market capitalization, with projections suggesting a potential market value of 80 billion RMB, indicating room for a doubling of current valuations [8]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Humanoid Robotics Key Companies and Developments - **Hengshuai Co., Ltd.** - The North American robotics team has completed factory audits, confirming that the hand motors are on the direct supply list, with body motors expected to follow, potentially becoming the only tier-one supplier in the motor segment [1] - Estimated value of body and hand motors per unit exceeds 10,000 yuan [1] - Set to become the fifth core supplier to sign a framework cooperation agreement with major North American clients, following companies like Sanhua, Topband, Rongtai, and Changying Precision [1] - **Minshi Group and Lide Harmony** - Minshi Group announced a joint venture with Lide Harmony to design, manufacture, and commercialize humanoid robot joint modules in the U.S., with Minshi holding a 60% stake and Lide Harmony 40% [1] - **Changyuan Donggu** - Core supplier for quadruped robots, capable of large-scale supply; the biped robot subsidiary is expected to launch prototypes in Q1, with leg joint testing ongoing [2] - **Kedali** - Secured North American clients for harmonic reducers, rotary modules, and customized screw drawings, with positive feedback on sample tests leading to potential bulk procurement agreements [2] - **Wankai New Materials** - Participated in a technology innovation showcase in Beijing, receiving significant attention for its dexterous hand product capable of complex tasks [2] - **Shuanghuan Transmission** - The cycloidal pinwheel reducer is confirmed for use in the V4 C-end robot at two hip positions [2] - **Fule New Materials** - Signed a comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement with Lingxin Qiaoshou for the procurement of 100,000 tactile sensors [2] - **Hua Yi Technology** - IMU has been sent for testing, with no domestic competitors and a high probability of passing tests; the value per humanoid unit is several thousand yuan, with usage ranging from 3 to 10 units [3] - **Anpeilong** - Achieved breakthrough progress with North American clients, with positive feedback on single-dimensional sensors valued at 10,000 yuan per unit; discussions on expanding production in Thailand are ongoing [4] - **Siling Zhichui** - Confirmed harmonic agreements with a production capacity of 1 million harmonic drives, with significant progress in bearing products and a 70%+ increase in average selling price (ASP) [4] Industry Insights - The conference highlighted the rapid advancements and collaborations within the humanoid robotics sector, indicating a strong market potential and increasing demand for components and systems [4] - The emphasis on joint ventures and strategic partnerships suggests a trend towards consolidation and resource sharing among key players in the industry [1][2][4] Additional Notes - All information presented is based on market rumors and should be considered with caution, as it does not represent personal opinions or investment advice [5]

Core Viewpoint - Citi has issued a report stating that Minth Group (00425) has reached a framework agreement with Greentec Harmony (688017.SH) to establish a joint venture in the United States for humanoid robot joint module assembly [1] Group 1: Joint Venture Details - The joint venture will be owned 60% by Minth's wholly-owned subsidiary, Min California Minth, and 40% by Greentec Harmony [1] - The collaboration aims to strategically combine Minth's advantages in local production and robot/parts manufacturing with Greentec Harmony's technological leadership in the reducer field [1] Group 2: Market Impact and Expectations - The partnership is expected to significantly increase order volumes from U.S. humanoid robot manufacturers [1] - The joint venture is anticipated to be officially established in the second half of this year, at which point the company will provide further details on revenue and production outlook [1] Group 3: Analyst Ratings - Citi has reiterated a "Buy" rating for Minth, setting a target price of HKD 46, and has included it in the 90-day potential upside catalyst watchlist [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citi has released a report stating that Minth Group (00425) has reached a framework agreement with Greentech Harmonics (688017.SH) to establish a joint venture in the United States focused on humanoid robot joint module assembly [1] Group 1: Joint Venture Details - Minth's wholly-owned subsidiary, Min California Minth, will hold a 60% stake in the joint venture, while Greentech Harmonics will retain a 40% stake [1] - The joint venture aims to strategically combine Minth's advantages in local production and robot/parts manufacturing with Greentech Harmonics' technological leadership in the reducer field [1] Group 2: Market Impact and Expectations - The collaboration is expected to significantly increase order volumes from U.S. humanoid robot manufacturers [1] - The joint venture is anticipated to be officially established in the second half of this year, at which point the company will provide further details on revenue and production outlook [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Citi has reiterated a "Buy" rating for Minth, setting a target price of HKD 46 [1] - Minth has been included in the 90-day potential catalyst watchlist [1]