Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise on February 3, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.29% to 4067.74 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.19% to 14127.1 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.86% to 3324.89 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.54 trillion yuan, a decrease of approximately 40.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - A total of 4583 stocks rose while 514 stocks fell, indicating a significant market profit effect [1] Hot Stocks - The top ten popular stocks included Aerospace Development, Jieli Sockets, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Silver (core stock) Nonferrous Metals, Lioh Co., Zhejiang Wenlian, Hunan Gold, Hongbaoli, Zhongchao Holdings, and Hunan Silver [1][2] Aerospace Development - Aerospace Development benefits from strong policy support in the commercial aerospace sector, having completed the development and launch of multiple commercial satellites and achieved constellation networking operations [3] Jieli Sockets - Jieli Sockets' stock performance is driven by its deep involvement in commercial aerospace and deep-sea mooring sectors, receiving official certification from the Aerospace Science and Technology Institute as the exclusive supplier of key components for the recovery capture system [3] Tongling Nonferrous Metals - Tongling Nonferrous Metals is positively impacted by rising copper prices and a tight supply-demand balance, with LME copper inventories at a low level. The company is one of the largest copper smelting enterprises in China, producing over 400,000 tons annually [3] Silver Nonferrous Metals - The performance of Silver Nonferrous Metals is influenced by international silver price trends, driven by explosive growth in industrial demand, particularly in the photovoltaic and electronics sectors. The company has established a 1.5 billion yuan gold subsidiary, aligning with market interest in precious metals [3] Lioh Co. - Lioh Co. has a solid foundation in its dual business layout of "smart pumps and systems" and "digital marketing," with forward-looking applications in AI marketing and related fields [4][5] Zhejiang Wenlian - Zhejiang Wenlian benefits from optimized governance structure and precise business positioning, having completed rectification of related issues and received legal confirmation of governance compliance [5] Hunan Gold - Hunan Gold's stock performance is supported by improvements in its fundamentals and industry conditions, with recent announcements of major asset restructuring and performance forecasts amid rising international gold prices [5] Hongbaoli - Hongbaoli's core drivers stem from substantial improvements in its main business, focusing on the research and production of epoxy propylene derivatives, with recent projects entering trial production [5]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The total margin trading balance in A-shares decreased to 27,065.64 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 25.24 billion yuan or 0.09% from the previous trading day, representing 2.64% of the A-share circulating market value [1]. Margin Trading Data - The margin trading turnover for the day was 2,453.77 billion yuan, which is an increase of 21.38 billion yuan or 0.88% from the previous trading day, accounting for 9.56% of the total A-share trading volume [1]. - The financing balance was reported at 26,898.40 billion yuan, with a decrease of 28.39 billion yuan or 0.11% [2]. Sector Performance - Among the 31 primary industries tracked by Shenwan, 12 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the telecommunications sector leading with a net inflow of 1.561 billion yuan. Other notable sectors included defense, media, home appliances, and non-ferrous metals [2]. Individual Stock Performance - A total of 39 stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Aerospace Development leading at 970 million yuan. Other significant stocks included Tianfu Communication, Xinwei Communication, and several others [3][4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - Copper concentrate is expected to be included in the strategic reserve scope, enhancing the status of key metals [8] - The global average copper ore grade is declining, leading to a sustained tight supply trend, which may further elevate copper's status as a critical metal [8] - The "anti-involution" policy in copper smelting remains unchanged, with expectations for copper prices and smelting fees to rise in the medium term [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The copper resource reserve system is being improved, with plans to expand the national copper strategic reserve and explore commercial reserve mechanisms. The import dependency of domestic copper concentrate has reached 75%, indicating a need for enhanced supply chain security [8] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Major copper mining companies have reported a decline in copper production due to falling ore grades. The insufficient capital expenditure by mining companies and the decreasing rate of significant copper resource discoveries suggest that supply will not increase significantly in the medium term. Meanwhile, demand from traditional sectors and emerging fields like renewable energy is expected to grow [8] Policy and Market Trends - The domestic copper smelting capacity is being strictly controlled, with over 2 million tons of copper smelting projects halted. The "anti-involution" policy is expected to gradually show effects in the next two to three years, leading to a potential upward correction in smelting fees [8] Investment Recommendations - For copper mining, it is recommended to focus on Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) due to its large resource reserves and expected production increases. Other notable companies include Luoyang Molybdenum (603993, Not Rated) and Jincheng Mining (603979, Not Rated) [8] - For copper smelting, attention is drawn to Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630, Buy), which is expected to benefit from increased copper concentrate self-sufficiency and improved spot smelting fee expectations. Jiangxi Copper (600362, Not Rated) is also mentioned [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rebound in the prices of non-ferrous metals, particularly copper, driven by both domestic and international factors [2][3] - Spot gold has returned to $5000 per ounce, indicating a completed technical correction and reduced risks for further declines [1] - The domestic copper market is expected to shift from a tight balance to a shortage due to insufficient capital expenditure and frequent supply disruptions [2] Group 2 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association is considering including copper concentrate in its reserve system, which could lead to a substantial increase in copper stockpiling [2] - Trump's proposed mineral reserve plan, with an initial funding of $12 billion, aims to reduce U.S. manufacturers' reliance on foreign metals [2] - The market anticipates a copper stockpiling volume of 7-8 million tons, aligning with the safety stock levels for manufacturing countries amid de-globalization [2] Group 3 - The Huabao Nonferrous Metals ETF (159876) and its linked funds cover a wide range of metals, providing an efficient tool for investors to gain exposure to the non-ferrous metals sector [3] - The ETF is a financing and margin trading target, allowing for a comprehensive approach to capturing the sector's beta performance [3] - The combination of supply-demand mismatch, macroeconomic easing, and industrial upgrades is expected to sustain high profitability in the non-ferrous metals sector for 3-5 years [2]

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 风物长宜放眼量 ——有色钢铁行业周观点（2026 年第 5 周） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 宏观经济增速放缓；关税影响需求与产业链稳定性；原料价格波动；中美关系变化 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 04 日 看好（维持） | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 李一涛 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120001 | | liyitao@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 黄雨韵 | 执业证书编号：S0860125070019 | | --- | --- | | | huangyuyun@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | 金银比突破 50，贵金属有望带领工业金属 加 速 上 涨 ： — — 有 色 钢 铁 行 业 周 观 点 （2 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth and transformation of China's copper smelting industry, emphasizing the shift towards green and intelligent manufacturing in response to global trends and domestic demands [2][6]. - China's refined copper production is projected to reach 13.644 million tons in 2024, marking a 5.1% increase from 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 9.9% observed in the first seven months of 2025 [1][2]. - The copper smelting industry in China is experiencing a continuous trade deficit, with the total import and export value of related products reaching 811.856 billion yuan in 2024, and the trade deficit expanding by 114.513 billion yuan [6][7]. Group 2 - The average import price of copper smelting-related products has shown an upward trend from 2019 to July 2025, with significant increases during the 2020-2021 period due to supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic [8]. - China's position as a major consumer in the global refined copper market is expected to strengthen, with the country's share of global refined copper production and sales anticipated to increase further [2].

Gold Companies - Shandong Gold (600547) is a leading domestic gold mining company with strong state-owned background, focusing on the Jiaodong Peninsula and possessing several top-tier gold mines, ensuring a complete gold industry chain from exploration to processing [1][12] - Chifeng Gold (600988) is a pioneer in internationalization within the gold industry, with high-grade core mining resources and significant cost advantages, actively expanding overseas projects in countries like Laos and Ghana [1][12] - Zijin Mining (601899) is a global mining giant with gold and copper as its core businesses, boasting extensive mineral resource layouts and advanced mining management techniques, providing strong support during market fluctuations [1][12] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) is a state-owned enterprise with a comprehensive gold industry chain, strong resource acquisition capabilities, and significant market presence in gold processing and circulation [1][12] - Western Gold (601069) is a leading gold mining company in Xinjiang, leveraging regional resource advantages and optimizing mining processes to enhance competitiveness [1][12] - Hunan Gold (002155) operates in both gold and antimony sectors, with a complete industry chain and strong market position in rare metals, effectively mitigating price volatility risks [1][12] - Yintai Gold (000975) focuses on gold and silver mining, with competitive mining costs and advanced recovery rates, continuously enhancing profitability through resource exploration [1][12] - Hengbang Shares (002237) is a leading gold smelting company with advanced technology and a complete industry chain, ensuring stable profitability and strong market presence [1][12] - Xiaocheng Technology (300139) combines gold mining with integrated circuits, benefiting from overseas gold assets and enhancing profitability through diversified operations [1][12] - Shengda Resources (000603) is a comprehensive precious metal resource developer with a stable production capacity and strong market presence in gold and silver [1][12] Silver Companies - Yuguang Gold and Lead (600531) is a leading silver smelting company with advanced technology and high recovery rates, focusing on high-value-added silver products [2][14] - Xingye Mining (000426) is a leading silver and multi-metal mining company with strong resource reserves and high recovery rates, effectively mitigating silver price volatility risks [2][14] - Chihong Zinc and Germanium (600497) focuses on silver and zinc-germanium, leveraging abundant resources and advanced mining techniques to maintain strong market competitiveness [2][14] - Zhongjin Lingnan (000060) is a large non-ferrous metal enterprise with a strong silver business, emphasizing technological innovation and resource utilization [2][14] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) integrates copper smelting with silver recovery, maintaining high recovery rates and product quality [2][14] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) is a comprehensive copper giant with a strong silver business, focusing on multi-metal development and technological innovation [2][14] - Western Mining (601168) is a multi-metal mining company with significant silver resources, emphasizing production capacity upgrades and cost control [2][14] - Yundeng Technology (000409) combines silver mining with smart mining technology, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs [2][14] - Guoyan Platinum (600459) is a leader in precious metal deep processing, focusing on high-end silver products and maintaining a strong market position [2][14] - Western Materials (002149) specializes in rare metal processing with a focus on high-end silver products, ensuring stable market demand and high added value [2][14]

Market Overview - After a significant drop yesterday, the A-share market rebounded today, influenced by a collective rebound in the external markets [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closed up by 1.29%, 2.19%, and 1.86% respectively, with a total market turnover exceeding 2.5 trillion [4] Aerospace Sector - The aerospace sector was the strongest performer in today's rebound, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Zhongchao Holdings, Taihao Technology, and others [5] - The SpaceX concept, solar power, and aerospace stocks surged by 9.4%, 5.23%, and 4.38% respectively [7] Film and Television Sector - The film and television sector showed a continuous slight increase, with a notable performance from Hengdian Film, which achieved a four-day consecutive rise [13] - The sector closed up by 2.23%, driven by pre-holiday speculation for the upcoming Spring Festival box office [15] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector experienced a significant drop, with Tencent Holdings and other companies seeing declines due to rumors regarding potential increases in value-added tax rates [19] - Following clarifications from industry experts, the gaming sector rebounded, closing up by 2.89% [23] Computing Power Chips - The chip sector faced a sharp decline, particularly with Cambrian Technology, which saw a drop of over 14% due to rumors about revenue guidance [26] - Despite a clarification from Cambrian Technology denying the rumors, the stock still ended down over 9% [26]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential catalysts for the non-ferrous metal industry, particularly focusing on copper resources and strategic reserves [1][5]. - The Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Association emphasizes the need to improve copper resource reserves and expand national strategic reserves, suggesting the inclusion of copper concentrate in reserve considerations [5]. - Key companies involved in copper mining and processing are listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Copper, Jiangxi Copper, and others, indicating a competitive landscape in the copper sector [6].

当天机构净买入前三的股票分别是恒邦股份、盛达资源、铜陵有色，净买入金额分别是9.43亿元、4.17 亿元、3.37亿元。 当天机构净卖出前三的股票分别是钧达股份、万丰股份、杰普特，净流出金额分别是2.09亿元、4174万 元、3505万元。 共47只个股出现了机构的身影。 盘后数据显示，2月3日龙虎榜中，共47只个股出现了机构的身影，有31只股票呈现机构净买入，16只股 票呈现机构净卖出。 | 倍加洁 | 4.91% | 5031.78 | | --- | --- | --- | | 红墙股份 | 7.37% | 5016.90 | | 世纪恒通 | -1.14% | 4797.03 | | 天龙集团 | 6.41% | 3586.04 | | 天地在线 | 5.23% | 2991.14 | | 海兰信 | 15.82% | 2220.82 | | ST京机 | 5.01% | 1502.00 | | 肯特催化 | 5.11% | 1402.32 | | 世盟股份 | 106.18% | 992.46 | | 燕麦科技 | 18.39% | 790.76 | | 亿能电力 | 1.51% | 775.18 ...