2020-2025年中国精炼铜(电解铜)产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 上市企业：江西铜业（600362）,云南铜业（000878）,紫金矿业（601899）,铜陵有色（000630）,西部矿 业（601168）,白银有色（601212）,楚江新材（002171）,海亮股份（002203）,鑫科材料（600255）,锡 业股份（000960） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国电解铜箔行业市场现状分析及投资前景评估报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国精炼铜(电解铜)产量为133万吨，同比增长9.1%；2025年1- 12月中国精炼铜(电解铜)累计产量为1472万吨，累计增长10.4%。 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

Core Insights - The refined copper industry in China is experiencing steady development driven by policies promoting clean production, recycling, and industrial upgrades, transitioning towards safety, green practices, and high-end development [1][5][6] - The industry is characterized by a supply-demand gap, with production expected to reach 14.72 million tons and demand at 17.66 million tons by 2025, indicating a narrowing but still existing supply-demand imbalance [1][8][9] - Future trends in the industry will focus on raw material restructuring, technological upgrades, and optimization of the industrial landscape to achieve high-quality development [1][10][12] Industry Overview - Refined copper is a high-purity copper product obtained through various refining processes, essential for electrification and the new energy era [1][3] - The industry is segmented based on refining processes, product forms, and raw material sources, including primary and recycled copper [3][4] Policy Analysis - China's refined copper industry is heavily influenced by a comprehensive policy framework aimed at green transformation, recycling, and industrial upgrades, with multiple initiatives launched to support these goals [5][6] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream segment focuses on copper ore mining and scrap copper recycling, with a high dependency on foreign copper ore resources exceeding 78% [6][8] - The midstream sector, while globally leading in smelting capacity, faces profit pressures due to international processing fees and raw material costs [6][8] - The downstream demand is characterized by traditional sectors stabilizing and emerging sectors driving growth, with the power industry being the largest consumer [7][8] Current Development Status - China's refined copper production is projected to reach 14.72 million tons by 2025, marking a 10.4% increase, maintaining its position as the world's largest producer [8] - The demand for refined copper is expected to grow to approximately 17.66 million tons by 2025, with emerging sectors like new energy and AI data centers becoming key growth drivers [8][9] Price Trends - Global refined copper prices have remained high, with LME copper futures rising from $8,801 per ton at the beginning of 2025 to $12,496.5 per ton by year-end, reflecting a 41.99% annual increase [9] Future Development Trends - The industry will see a restructuring of raw material supply, with recycled copper becoming a core component, supported by policies promoting circular economy practices [10][11] - Technological innovation will drive the industry towards high-end transformation, focusing on low-energy smelting and high-performance copper materials [12] - The industry structure will continue to optimize, enhancing supply chain resilience and concentration, with a focus on integrating small and medium enterprises into specialized niches [13]

Group 1 - The China Minmetals Import and Export Chamber announced a conference on March 25, 2026, to discuss export policies and market conditions for rare earth and rare metals, in response to stricter export controls imposed on dual-use items for Japan and other rare metals [1] - The conference aims to help member companies understand the new policies and export considerations, with officials from the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs expected to provide insights [1] - The meeting will also facilitate communication between government departments and enterprises regarding export challenges [1] Group 2 - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) rose by 1.72%, with notable increases in stocks such as Shenghe Resources (up 7.33%) and Zhongtung High-tech (up 5.88%) [2] - The Penghua Industrial Nonferrous ETF (159162) also saw a rise of 1.93%, marking its fifth consecutive increase [2] - The CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index includes 30 large-cap companies involved in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 55.71% of the total index weight, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum [2]

Group 1 - LME metal futures closed higher, with LME copper rising by $58 to $13,166 per ton, LME aluminum up by $10 to $3,103 per ton, LME zinc increasing by $12 to $3,406 per ton, LME lead gaining $18 to $1,993 per ton, LME nickel up by $390 to $17,880 per ton, and LME tin rising by $352 to $49,635 per ton [1] - Ping An Securities analysis indicates that the domestic aluminum ingot long-term market in 2026 will exhibit characteristics of "stable prices with adjustments, declining signing willingness, and a tight supply-demand pattern," with a positive long-term outlook for aluminum prices supported by macro sentiment recovery and fundamental strengthening [1] - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) surged by 1.18%, with component stocks such as Tungsten High-tech up by 6.70%, Dongyangguang up by 3.97%, and Huayou Cobalt up by 3.75%, while other stocks like Western Mining and Tongling Nonferrous also saw gains [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Xinyi Silver Tin, Yun Aluminum, Tongling Nonferrous, Jiangxi Copper, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongjin Gold, and Western Mining, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 20.80%, despite a recent decline of 5.22% over the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of February 11, the stock price of Tongling Nonferrous reached 7.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 18.22 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.28%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 973.53 billion CNY [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" six times this year, with the most recent appearance on February 3, where it recorded a net buy of -13.23 million CNY [1] - The stock has experienced a 41.25% increase over the past 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Tongling Nonferrous reported a revenue of 121.89 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.66%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 35.14% to 1.77 billion CNY [2] - The company has distributed a total of 7.80 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.49 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased to 269,200, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 13.31% to 41,386 shares [2] - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 270 million shares, an increase of 45.03 million shares from the previous period [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the non-ferrous metals sector, with a current opening price of 0.948 yuan and a 0.00% change [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.91%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Shandong Gold, which also showed positive movements [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, and since its establishment on January 26, 2026, it has recorded a return of -5.23% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by Invesco Great Wall Fund Management Co., with the fund manager being Gong Lili [1] - The article provides a detailed list of the opening price changes for various stocks within the ETF, indicating a mixed performance among the holdings [1]

Core Insights - The antimony industry is characterized by its high industrial value and strategic importance, with antimony being used as an additive in various industrial applications [1] - The antimony supply chain includes upstream mining and selection, midstream smelting and processing, and downstream applications such as flame retardants and batteries [1][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - Antimony is a scarce resource with significant industrial applications, classified as a strategic mineral resource by the government [1] - The antimony supply chain consists of three main segments: upstream (mining and selection), midstream (smelting and processing), and downstream (applications) [1][3] - Key applications of antimony include flame retardants, glass, electronic materials, bearings, gears, and batteries, with the latter allowing for the recycling of antimony [1] Group 2: Key Companies and Production Data - Major upstream companies in the antimony mining sector include Hunan Gold, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Huayu Mining [3] - In 2024, Hunan Gold is projected to produce 29,209 tons of antimony, a decrease of 6.15% year-on-year, while Huaxi Nonferrous expects a production increase of 9.17% to 15,417.7 tons [10] - Midstream companies such as Hengbang Co. and Zhuhai Group are involved in smelting and processing, with Hengbang Co. reporting revenue of 957 million yuan from related operations in 2024 [10] Group 3: Regional Distribution - The antimony industry is predominantly concentrated in Hunan province, followed by Guangxi, Guangdong, and Jiangxi, with a significant disparity in the number of companies compared to other regions [5][7] - The majority of upstream, midstream, and recycling companies are located in Hunan, with other provinces like Tibet and Guangxi having fewer enterprises [7] Group 4: Investment Trends - Investment activities in the antimony sector from 2022 to 2025 highlight ongoing developments and strategic initiatives by key players [11] - Companies are focusing on enhancing production capabilities and exploring new product developments, particularly in high-precision alloys and recycling processes [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the copper industry [6] Core Views - Short-term copper prices are expected to fluctuate, but there is optimism for an upward trend in copper prices in 2026 due to ongoing supply-demand tightness [1][4] - The TC spot price continues to hit historical lows, indicating tight procurement of copper concentrate [1][3] - The report recommends specific companies for investment: Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, and Western Mining, while also suggesting to pay attention to Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4] Supply and Demand Summary - **Supply**: - As of February 6, 2026, domestic copper concentrate inventory at major ports is 638,000 tons, down 5.2% from the previous week [2][46] - The TC spot price is at -51.23 USD/ton, a decrease of 0.9 USD/ton from January 30, 2026, marking a low since September 2007 [3][57] - **Demand**: - Cable manufacturing utilization rate increased by 0.7 percentage points to 60.15% as of February 5, 2026 [4][70] - Air conditioning production is projected to decline by 31.6% in February, 6.5% in March, and increase by 4.0% in April 2026 [4][87] Inventory Summary - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 4.0% week-on-week, while LME copper inventory rose by 4.9% [2][24] - Global inventory across major exchanges reached 1,021,000 tons, up 3.6% from January 30, 2026 [2][24] Price Trends - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper closed at 100,100 CNY/ton, down 3.45% from January 30, 2026, while LME copper closed at 13,060 USD/ton, down 0.08% [1][17]

主要指数月度走势 主要指数占对应市场市值比例 沪深300十大权重 中证分类债券指数月度走势 沪深300行业指数月度表现 上证综指行业月度表现 □ 中证指数有限公司、上海证券报联合推出 主要股票指数月度表现 交易日数：20 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 涨跌点数 涨跌幅 日均成交量 日均成交金额 (百万股) (亿元) 沪深300 4661.62 4836.95 4645.47 4706.34 76.40 1.65% 30059 7360 中证100 4526.86 4720.41 4526.86 4615.93 129.46 2.89% 14519 4136 中证800 5145.47 5427.40 5145.47 5338.51 229.33 4.49% 61134 13532 中证200 5682.69 6145.84 5682.69 6024.78 374.98 6.64% 17525 3873 中证500 7523.88 8671.35 7523.25 8370.52 904.95 12.12% 31075 6172 中证700 6517.40 7278.34 6517.40 7085.98 612.90 ...