Core Insights - The inventory rate of China's rare earth separation plants reached 459.03% in December, an increase from 372.31% year-on-year and 418.58% month-on-month, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.29% and a month-on-month increase of 9.66% [6][7][11] Group 1: Inventory Rates - The average inventory rate for China's rare earth separation plants from January to December 2025 was 391.87%, down 6.00% from 417.48% in the same period last year [7] - The inventory rate for operational rare earth separation plants in December was 437.97%, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.24% and a month-on-month increase of 9.81% [7][11] Group 2: Provincial Inventory Rates - The provinces with the highest inventory rates in December were Jiangxi, Sichuan, and Jiangsu, with Jiangxi at 869.05%, Sichuan at 468.53%, and Jiangsu at 272.22% [5][11] - Jiangxi's inventory rate remained unchanged from the previous month but increased from 797.28% year-on-year, while Sichuan's inventory rate rose significantly from 173.81% year-on-year [5][11]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the FORGE alliance by the U.S. aims to coordinate critical mineral policies and establish pricing standards, particularly for rare earth elements, while intentionally excluding China from this initiative [3][5]. Group 1: U.S. Strategy and Alliance Formation - The U.S. is actively seeking to rally allies and accelerate the decoupling from China, as evidenced by the signing of bilateral critical mineral agreements with 11 countries and negotiations with 17 others [5][10]. - The FORGE alliance's goal is to gain control over international mineral pricing, including rare earth elements, thereby exerting pressure on China to relinquish its pricing power [5][7]. Group 2: Phased Analysis of the Alliance's Impact - **Short-term Phase (0-3 years)**: The alliance's effectiveness will be limited due to China's significant advantages in rare earth purification and technology, making it difficult for external entities to replace production capacity [9]. - **Medium-term Phase (3-10 years)**: If the alliance operates effectively, it could disrupt the market structure and reduce China's pricing influence through bilateral agreements and cooperation among resource and technology countries [10]. - **Long-term Phase (10+ years)**: The outcome remains uncertain; if the alliance achieves technological breakthroughs and capacity, it may create a competitive rare earth supply chain. However, if operational issues arise, China's potential for maintaining its bargaining power through technological upgrades and resource cooperation could hinder the alliance's objectives [11].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 创金合信中证500增强A（002311）基金经理为董梁、李添峰。 截至发稿，董梁累计任职时间12年140天，现任基金资产总规模73.48亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 135.9%， 任职期间最差基金回报-26.54%。 李添峰累计任职时间4年88天，现任基金资产总规模8.65亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报47.61%， 任职期 间最差基金回报-26.54%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月10日，中国稀土涨0.8%，截至发稿，报55.62元/股，成交21.04亿元，换手率3.58%，总市值590.25亿 元。中国稀土股价已经连续3天上涨，区间累计涨幅9.04%。 资料显示，中国稀土集团资源科技股份有限公司位于江西省赣州市章贡区章江南大道18号豪德银座A栋 14、15层，成立日期1998年6月17日，上市日期1998年9月11日，公司主营业务涉及稀土冶炼分离及稀土 技术研发及服务。主营业务收入构 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a rebound, with significant price increases in rare earth products, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxides, driven by tight supply and increased demand for inventory replenishment [1] Price Trends - Rare earth product prices are accelerating, with praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices rising by 7.59% and 6.27% respectively on February 9, 2023 [1] - Year-to-date, praseodymium and neodymium oxide has seen a cumulative increase of 34% [1] - In the past two weeks, praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices have increased by 12.64% to 757,500 CNY per ton [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is characterized by tight policies and supply constraints, leading to a continuous shortage of praseodymium and neodymium oxide in the spot market [1] - Upstream suppliers are reluctant to sell at low prices, indicating a strong hold on inventory [1] - On the demand side, downstream magnetic material companies have shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling [1] Company Insights - Baotou Steel Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth have reported a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4% in rare earth concentrate transaction prices, supporting the upward movement of rare earth prices [1] - Companies to watch include Guangxi Chuangxin, China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, Jinchuan Magnetics, Ningbo Yunsheng, and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a rebound, with significant price increases in rare earth products, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxides, driven by tight supply and increased demand for inventory replenishment [1] Price Trends - On February 9, praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices surged by 7.59% and 6.27% respectively, with a year-to-date increase of 34% for praseodymium and neodymium oxide [1] - Over the past two weeks, praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices rose by 12.64% to 757,500 yuan per ton, while dysprosium and terbium prices decreased by 1.41% to 1,400,000 yuan per ton and 2.37% to 6,175,000 yuan per ton respectively [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is characterized by tight policies and supply constraints, leading to a continuous shortage of praseodymium and neodymium oxide in the spot market, with upstream suppliers reluctant to sell at low prices [1] - On the demand side, downstream magnetic material companies have shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling, indicating a change in procurement strategy [1] Company Insights - Baotou Steel and Northern Rare Earth reported a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4% in rare earth concentrate transaction prices, supporting the upward movement of rare earth price levels [1] - Companies to watch include Guangxi Chicheng, China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, Jinli Permanent Magnet, Ningbo Yunsheng, and Zhenghai Magnetic Materials [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell received a criminal subpoena due to budget overruns on office renovations, indicating potential political tensions regarding his monetary policy [1] - Concurrently, China has reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to levels not seen in over a decade, suggesting a strategic shift in financial relations [3] - The dynamics of economic decision-making have shifted from traditional market forces to geopolitical influences, with military and diplomatic leaders now playing a significant role in determining prices and resource allocation [4] Group 2 - The U.S. is stockpiling "war metals" such as cobalt, antimony, tantalum, and scandium, which are critical for modern weaponry, due to domestic shortages and reliance on foreign imports [6][8] - The U.S. Department of Defense is attempting to establish a rare earth reserve to reduce dependence on China, but faces significant technological and cost challenges [11][12] - The market for rare earths is manipulated, with prices kept low to prevent new entrants, benefiting companies like MP Materials that have secured government contracts at favorable rates [16][19] Group 3 - The imposition of tariffs on Chinese permanent magnets is intended to protect U.S. manufacturing, but it creates a cost burden on American companies that cannot produce these components in the short term [20][21] - The current geopolitical climate resembles the Cold War era, where resource prices are driven by military competition rather than industrial demand [24][25] - The global supply chain is evolving into a strategic battleground, with countries leveraging their resources as hard currency and imposing export taxes [30] Group 4 - The overarching logic of great power competition has shifted from profitability and efficiency to control over resources and strategic assets [33] - The current environment emphasizes security and self-sufficiency over cooperation, marking the beginning of a new era in international relations [33]

第三，市场规律教做人。 鲁比奥喊着"设价格底线"，可2023年稀土价格暴跌40%，中国企业照样赚钱，为啥？因为成本压得低！中国稀土企业的加工成本 比美国低58%，真打价格战，盟友先得跪。 稀土这玩意儿，看着不起眼，实则是高科技的"命根子"。造芯片、搞新能源电池、做导弹雷达，缺了它全得趴窝。咱中国有多牛？据美国地质调查局2023年 数据，中国稀土储量占全球38%，但产量却占了70%！ 更绝的是提炼技术——中国掌握了全球90%的稀土分离提纯产能，就连美国最大的稀土矿芒廷帕 斯，挖出来的矿石还得运到中国加工。老外嘴上喊着"去风险"，身体倒挺诚实，2023年中国稀土出口量同比涨了12.3%，其中70%流向了美国盟友日韩和欧 洲。这就像开饭馆的厨师没上桌，客人还得偷摸去后厨求着炒菜，你说滑稽不？ 美国这回是真急眼了。会上抛出一堆"大招"：搞"关键矿产优惠贸易区"、定"参考价格线"、甚至要用关税当大棒。还许诺掏1000亿美元"金库计划"给盟友砸 钱。可细扒拉一下，这事儿漏洞比筛子还多！ 第一，盟友各怀鬼胎。 澳大利亚有矿，但2023年对华稀土出口占其总出口的82%，真跟中国翻脸，矿卖给谁？德国车企天天喊着要"摆脱中国依赖 ...

百川盈孚数据显示，稀土产品价格加速上涨。2月9日，氧化镨钕，金属镨钕分别大涨7.59%和6.27%。 氧化镨钕今年以来累计涨幅达34%。 研究机构认为，供应端方面，1月镨钕金属产量环比下降，原材料现货供应紧张导致部分区域减产，预 计2月份镨钕产量或进一步下降，稀土价格有望继续上涨。 全球稀土资源战略地位持续提升，稀土产业进入高质量发展阶段。供给层面，配额管制叠加管制政策， 刚性逻辑或持续加强；需求层面，新能源汽车，人形机器人和低空经济等新兴领域，有望成为需求长期 高速增长的核心驱动。 中国稀土:专注于稀土矿的开采加工和冶炼分离业务，正积极配合中国稀土集团开展解决同业竞争问题 的相关工作，择机开展并购重组。 中稀有色:拥有广东地区丰富的稀土资源，还布局钨，铜硫等多元产业。 *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 *风险提示：股市有风险，入市需谨慎 机构预计2026年起全球稀土供需缺口或持续扩大，产业链盈利能力或提升。 公司方面，据上证报表示， ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth industry is experiencing a significant price increase, with expectations for continued growth in 2026, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strategic value reassessment [1] Price Trends - As of February 6, the price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide reached 758,000 yuan/ton, a monthly increase of 24.9% and a year-on-year increase of 79.9% [1] - The price of heavy rare earth terbium oxide rose to 6,155 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 2.2% [1] Market Dynamics - There is a notable divergence between rare earth prices and stock prices, suggesting a potential return to fundamental pricing as market liquidity effects are digested [1] - Analysts predict that domestic rare earth prices will continue to rise, with the praseodymium-neodymium oxide price surpassing 700,000 yuan/ton [1] Supply and Demand Factors - The supply side is characterized by a separation of mining and smelting, with total quantity control and a slowdown in domestic production growth, lagging behind demand expansion [1] - Demand is being driven by rapid developments in industries such as robotics, low-altitude economy, and military applications [1] - High overseas smelting costs are also providing support for prices [1] Investment Perspective - The CSI Rare Earth Industry Index focuses on core segments of the rare earth industry chain, covering leading companies from mining and smelting to deep processing and downstream applications [1] - The E Fund Rare Earth ETF (159715) offers a low-cost investment tool with a management fee rate of only 0.15% per year for investors looking to enter the rare earth sector [1]

美国拉上54个国家，搞了个新联盟FORGE，目标对准的不是别的，是中国在稀土上的"地位牌"。现场 气氛相当火爆，场上55国部长级代表人手一支笔，一起签了名，同时美国还火速和11个盟友签下"双边 关键矿产"合同，枪口一致对着中国。 美国的国务卿鲁比奥亲自站出来，宣称这次要统一关键矿产政策，重建规则，最关键的是，对稀土这类 战略资源要"拿回定价权"。 韩国此时担纲主席国角色，不是偶然。在这个资源话事权的俱乐部里，它是唯一一个愿意主动走上前的 人。有数据就能说话，韩国对中国稀土的依赖程度高得惊人达到九成，也就是说，你连转个身都可能得 搭上从中国空运的原料。 一旦供应出点问题，不只是电动车没磁铁，它整个电池、芯片、军工体系都得哆嗦。韩国是被"卡脖子 割喉咙"的那一类，但现在却站到美国一边，是赌赢的机会多，还是被吃干抹净的风险大？ FORGE联手搞大事，美国打算怎么做？用一张看起来漂亮的制度地图说服全世界，大家统一价格、统 一标准，加点补贴，把中国踢出主场。表面上这叫"去风险"，实际就是"去中国化"。 美国这一招玩的是控制节奏，它用的法宝叫《通胀削减法案》衍生出的矿产补贴制度，各国只要愿意听 它指挥，补贴立刻到账，矿场 ...