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未知机构:建投食饮杨骥白酒春节总结分化加剧行业触底强推超预期的茅台五粮液2-20260224
未知机构· 2026-02-24 03:15
行业整体动销下滑约10%、符合预期,#其中茅台及五粮液表现超预期,此外古井、迎驾、汾酒、剑南春、今世缘 表现相对较优,其余酒企仍处调整期,行业触底特征明显,头部酒企批价下行&库存压力继续提升的风险较小。 【建投食饮|杨骥】白酒春节总结:分化加剧&行业触底,强推超预期的茅台&五粮液(20260223) 白酒春节总结:#核心关键词为"分化"&"触底"、行业周期大底复苏第一阶段。 行业整体动销下滑约10%、符合预期,#其中茅台及五粮液表现超预期,此外古井、迎驾、汾酒、剑南春、今世缘 表现相对较优,其余酒企仍处调整期,行业触底特征明显,头部酒企批价下行&库存压力继续提升的风险较小。 【建投食饮|杨骥】白酒春节总结:分化加剧&行业触底,强推超预期的茅台&五粮液(20260223) 白酒春节总结:#核心关键词为"分化"&"触底"、行业周期大底复苏第一阶段。 #差异化认知:我们认为当前为行业十年周期大底复苏第一阶段,特征为"分化&触底",具体看: ①品牌及价位分化加剧,茅台及五粮液春节超预期,其余多数酒企仍在调整:中高端大众价位较优、高端价位稳 健、次高端价位承压,其中茅台和五粮液表现超预期,#茅台在春节期间动销、出货、批 ...
白酒春节渠道跟踪报告:信心逐步企稳
CMS· 2026-02-24 03:06
证券研究报告 | 行业点评报告 2026 年 02 月 24 日 信心逐步企稳 白酒春节渠道跟踪报告 消费品/食品饮料 本篇报告重点反馈河南、江苏、四川、山东、安徽等地白酒渠道春节动销情况, 综合来看,26 年春节期间行业动销符合节前预期(双位数下滑),各价格带分 化延续,高端与大众价格带韧性较强、次高端有一定压力。政商务延续承压, 大众消费场景需求提振显著、占比持续提升。除茅台、五粮液等强势品牌外, 多数品牌不再要求开门红,节后库存低于去年同期,渠道压力继续释放,叠加 费用兑付周期加快,经销商与终端信心逐步企稳。价格侧考虑到茅台供需具备 支撑,其他多品牌价格调整接近触底、26 年不再强压任务,后续淡季下探空间 有限,春节后行业配置建议精选强势头部品牌与动销超预期品种。 ❑ 26 年春节动销符合预期、品牌分化延续、渠道信心逐步企稳。 1)行业整体动销方面:26 年春节期间行业动销符合节前预期(双位数下滑), 分价格带来看,高端与大众价格带韧性较强、次高端具有一定压力。分消费 场景来看,政商务需求仍然承压,家庭消费与个人聚饮等大众消费需求明显 提振,占比持续提升,悦己属性不断强化。 2)任务执行进度方面:当前除 ...
未知机构:白酒春节反馈总结关注高端及大众价位超预期表现总体情况量的层面-20260224
未知机构· 2026-02-24 03:05
白酒春节反馈总结:关注高端及大众价位超预期表现 大众价位带(今世缘等)则受益于#超长假期走亲访友及大众聚饮宴席需求的爆发。 茅台:#动销量超预期,春节飞天线下渠道动销增长20%,考虑i茅台投放增长超30%,主因春节期间#个人消费群 体对散茅的需求爆发(往年茅台备货节前大部分提前完成)。 预计1-2月茅台任务完成度将达45%(比往年快10个点),一季度达50%,将压力前置。 当前库存几乎为零,为后续批价坚挺提供基础,但由于非标系列缩量明显(同比下滑20-30%),需关注后续酒厂 供给端调整。 总体情况:量的层面预计动销整体下滑10%左右,考虑价格因素下滑15-20%,略好于预期,其中高端及大众价位 带表现较优。 具体来看,高端(茅、五)#降价后需求弹性凸显,激发了大众消费热度,相应弥补政商场景的缺失,此外#禁酒 令压制的礼赠需求也在春节有一定释放。 大众价位带(今世缘等)则受益于#超长假期走亲访友及大众聚饮宴席需求的爆发。 白酒春节反馈总结:关注高端及大众价位超预期表现 总体情况:量的层面预计动销整体下滑10%左右,考虑价格因素下滑15-20%,略好于预期,其中高端及大众价位 带表现较优。 具体来看,高端(茅、 ...
26年春节消费趋势解读专题:春节消费开门红:总量增长,结构分化
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The 2026 Spring Festival consumption exceeded expectations, with service consumption leading the growth, driven by a significant increase in dining and travel demand [2][7] - The report highlights a notable recovery in the travel sector, with an expected total of 9.5 billion people traveling during the Spring Festival, marking a historical high [10][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of quality and experience in consumer spending, with a shift towards premium products and services [7][19] Summary by Sections 1. Spring Festival Consumption Trends - The Spring Festival holiday from February 15 to 23, 2026, saw a "good start" in consumption, with key retail and dining enterprises reporting a 10.6% increase in average daily sales compared to the same period in 2025 [10][22] - The first four days of the holiday recorded an 8.6% increase in average daily sales for key retail and dining enterprises compared to the previous year [10][19] - Government initiatives, including a 20.5 billion yuan fund for consumer subsidies, significantly boosted consumer spending [11][10] 2. Baijiu (Chinese Liquor) Market - The Baijiu market showed signs of improvement, with a narrowing decline compared to previous major holidays, although brand differentiation became more pronounced [27][30] - High-end Baijiu brands like Moutai and Wuliangye continued to lead the market, with a focus on price elasticity and rational consumer behavior [27][30] - The report identifies three key changes in the Baijiu market: increased importance of personal consumption, a more relaxed approach from manufacturers regarding sales targets, and improved channel sentiment [30][31] 3. Snack and Food Market - The snack market is expected to benefit from an extended peak season, with a longer preparation and sales cycle compared to 2025 [33][34] - Offline channels, particularly membership-based supermarkets and discount stores, are performing better than online channels, with significant growth in sales during the holiday period [34][35] - The report notes a diversification in snack offerings, with strong performance in high-quality nut gift boxes and innovative packaging strategies enhancing brand visibility [35][36]
食品饮料行业周报-春节跟踪:茅五和部分中低端价格带超预期增长,汾酒整体表现平稳
China Post Securities· 2026-02-24 01:25
Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - During the Spring Festival, national catering and retail consumption showed steady growth, with holiday consumption potential continuing to be released. According to the Ministry of Commerce, the average daily sales of key retail and catering enterprises during the first four days of the Spring Festival in 2026 increased by 8.6% compared to the same period in 2025 [5][19] - The performance of Moutai and Wuliangye, as well as some mid-to-low-end price segments, exceeded expectations, while the overall performance of Fenjiu remained stable [15][19] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Weekly Viewpoints - Moutai and mid-to-low-end liquor sales during the Spring Festival showed growth, while sub-premium liquor continued to face pressure. Moutai's repayment progress slightly exceeded the same period last year, and Wuliangye's repayment progress remained stable [15][6] - The mid-to-low-end liquor segment is expected to achieve double-digit growth during the Spring Festival, while high-end liquor sales are under pressure [15][6] 2. Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline, with the Shenwan Food and Beverage Industry Index (801120.SL) dropping by 2.51% during the week of February 9 to February 14, ranking 29th among 30 Shenwan primary industries [20] - All sub-sectors within the food and beverage industry saw declines, with meat products, health products, and baked goods experiencing relatively smaller drops [20] 3. Key Company Announcements - Luzhou Laojiao announced that the number of restricted stock units eligible for release is 1,962,814 shares, accounting for 0.1333% of the company's total share capital [29] - Miaokelan Duo signed a memorandum with SADAFCO to explore the market for children's cheese snacks in Saudi Arabia [29] 4. Important Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce announced anti-subsidy measures for EU companies, with rates ranging from 7.4% to 11.7%, effective from February 13, 2026 [31] - Kangshifu launched a new product, Kangshifu Ice Red Tea Energy, entering the energy drink market [31] 5. Industry Chain Data Tracking - As of February 10, 2026, wheat prices were 2,510.8 RMB/ton, up 6.45% year-on-year, while pork prices were 18.08 RMB/kg, down 11.63% year-on-year [34][36]
酒价内参2月24日价格发布 总价小幅回落分化走势延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 01:17
新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示,中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在2月24日呈 分化调整态势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖,今日总售价为9258元,较昨日下降2元。整体价 格在多日高位运行后出现轻微调整,市场仍以单品间分化波动表现为主。 今日十大单品六涨四跌。上涨产品中,精品茅台涨幅居前,环比上涨8元/瓶,重上2400元关口,部分终 端补货需求回升,对价格形成支撑;习酒君品上涨4元/瓶;国窖1573上涨3元/瓶;五粮液普五八代、青 花汾20及水晶剑南春均小幅上涨1元/瓶。下跌产品中,洋河梦之蓝M6+回落10元/瓶,调整幅度靠前且 已四连阴;飞天茅台与古井贡古20均下调4元/瓶,渠道报价出现小幅松动;青花郎小幅回落2元/瓶。 "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有合理分布的约200个采集点,包括但不限于酒企的指定经销 商、社会经销商、电商平台和零售网点等,原始取样数据为过去24个小时中各点位经手的真实成交终端 零售价格,力求为社会各界提供一份关于知名白酒市场价格的客观、真实、科学、全程可追溯的数据。 随着元旦官方i茅台平台开始出售 ...
从“历史经典产业”到“传统优势民生产业”,新五年酿酒产业提质发展
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-24 00:45
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·食品饮料 食品饮料行业跟踪周报 从"历史经典产业"到"传统优势民生产业" , 新五年酿酒产业提质发展 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2026 年 02 月 22 日 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书:S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 孙瑜 执业证书:S0600523120002 suny@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2025/2/24 2025/6/22 2025/10/18 2026/2/13 食品饮料 沪深300 2026-02-10 东吴证券研究所 1 / 9 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 从"历史经典"到"优势民生"产业,再度定调酿酒产业重要地位,鼓 励高质量发展。继 2025 年 10 月工信部发布《关于推动历史经典产业高 质量发展的指导意见(2026—2030 年)(征求意见稿)》,近期工信部、 人社部、市场监管总局再度印发《酿酒产业提质升级指导意见(2026— 2030 年)》,明确定调 ...
8点1氪丨三亚飞北上广深机票逼近万元;史上最贵iPhone要来了,苹果首发折叠屏定价或冲2万;2026中国电影票房暂列全球第一
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-24 00:08
今日热点导览 TOP 3 大新闻 三亚飞北上广深机票逼近万元,官方出手 2月23日,春节假期进入尾声。海南三大机场将迎来整个春运期间客流峰值日,预计运送旅客将突破 23.2万人次。记者查询 多家在线旅游平台发现,2月22日至23日期间,从三亚飞往北京、上海等核心城 市的直飞航班经济舱几乎全部售罄,仅剩的公务舱票价普遍逼近万元大关。 与此同时,三亚至广州的直飞航班在23日已显示"售罄";旅客只能选择耗时更久、价格仍高达近万元的 中转方案。深圳航线也不例外,2月22日、23日三亚飞往深圳的直飞机票全部售罄,一直到24号才有直 飞深圳的航班,售价仍超8000元。 面对"天价机票",航司方面也给出了回应。根据"海口发布"消息,海南航空工作人员表示,春运期间机 票价格受市场供需关系影响出现波动,属于正常现象。所有国内航班经济舱票价均严格按备案价格体系 执行。"我们通过内部系统实时监控票价波动,确保春运期间票价处于合理区间。"另据新华社消息,中 国民航局已批复多个批次航班增加计划,在海口增加超110架次航班,精准执飞上海、北京、成都等热 门目的地。(智通财经、新华社) 史上最贵iPhone要来了,苹果首发折叠屏定价或冲2 ...
294家A股公司发“春节红包”3898亿 五粮液分红额居前十近五年累派768亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2026-02-23 23:41
分析人士认为,加大现金分红是上市公司提升质量的重要体现,有利于增强投资者获得感,有利于构建长期稳定 的市场生态。 19家银行节前分红2627亿 分红,特别是现金分红,是投资者投资股票市场收益的重要来源。为强化投资者回报,越来越多的上市公司积极 响应监管号召,在春节前派发大"红包"。 2月12日,A股公司达仁堂发布了2025年季度权益分派实施公告,将每股派发现金红利2.45元,共计派发现金红利 18.87亿元。现金红利发放日即为2月12日。根据此前披露的分红预案,公司拟每10股派发红利24.5元(含税),合 计派发现金红利18.87亿元,占公司2025年前三季度归母净利润的87.67%。 水电巨头长江电力也在2月12日完成红利发放,每股派发现金红利0.21元(含税),共计派发现金红利51.38亿元。 一些公司赶在节前,完成红利发放。2月12日,长江电力(600900.SH)、达仁堂(600329.SH)分别派发红利 51.38亿元、18.87亿元。 还有一些公司在节前宣布分红预案。2月10日,陕国投A(000563.SZ)发布2025年度利润分配预案,预计全年将 合计分红4.6亿元。 长江商报消息 ●长江商报记 ...
五粮液:截至2月10日公司股东户数为60余万户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-23 15:47
证券日报网讯2月23日,五粮液(000858)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2月10日,公司股东 户数为60余万户。 ...