Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal price trends [2] - The report highlights the need to focus on investment opportunities following stabilization in the market [8] Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 8.51% last week, underperforming major indices [14][16] 2. Metal Prices and Inventory - Copper prices decreased by 3.45% to 100,100 CNY/ton, while aluminum prices fell by 5.07% to 23,315 CNY/ton [24] - SHFE gold prices dropped by 8.92% to 1,090.12 CNY/gram, while COMEX gold rose by 5.13% to 4,988.60 USD/ounce [26] - SHFE silver prices decreased by 37.17% to 18,799 CNY/kg, with COMEX silver down by 1.28% to 77.53 USD/ounce [26] 3. Macro Data Tracking - The report tracks key macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. CPI and PCE, which show a year-on-year increase of 2.7% and 2.79%, respectively [29][30] - China's CPI and PPI for December were reported at 0.8% and -1.9%, respectively [30] 4. Precious Metals: Low Inventory Disturbances - The report notes that low inventory levels continue to disrupt precious metal prices, with significant fluctuations observed in both gold and silver markets [52][53] 5. Copper: Price Fluctuations - The report indicates that copper prices are expected to fluctuate, with supply-side adjustments and demand dynamics playing crucial roles [65][72] 6. Aluminum: Price Adjustments - Aluminum prices are under pressure due to macroeconomic sentiment and seasonal demand fluctuations, with a noted decrease in processing rates [10][80] 7. Energy Metals: Strong Demand - The report highlights robust demand for energy metals, particularly lithium, despite some price pressures due to macroeconomic factors [89][92] 8. Rare Earths: Price Trends - Prices for rare earth elements, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxides, continue to rise, supported by tight supply conditions [11]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for lithium carbonate is "Oscillating" [4] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The actual fundamentals of lithium carbonate are positive, but the futures market is significantly affected by macro - sentiment and capital flows. After the Spring Festival, the fundamentals are expected to show a simultaneous increase in supply and demand. From March to Q2, lithium carbonate is still expected to experience inventory reduction. After the supply increases in Q3, there may be inventory accumulation, but considering the demand growth, the inventory days are expected to decrease to less than one month. The price center of lithium carbonate may still be significantly higher than before. A bullish strategy is recommended, and investors should look for opportunities to go long at low prices after the trading volume and volatility stabilize [2][16] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 1 Month Chilean Shipment Exceeded Expectations, and the Futures Market Declined Significantly - **Price Changes**: This week (2/2 - 2/6), lithium salt prices dropped significantly. The closing price of LC2605 decreased by 10.3% week - on - week to 132,900 yuan/ton. The average spot prices of SMM battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 16.2% and 16.6% week - on - week to 134,500 and 131,000 yuan/ton respectively. The price of lithium hydroxide fluctuated accordingly [11] - **Chilean Exports**: In January 2026, Chile exported a total of 25,400 tons of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, a 26% increase month - on - month and an 8% decrease year - on - year. Exports to China were 17,000 tons, a 44.8% increase month - on - month and an 11% decrease year - on - year. In January 2026, Chile shipped 27,800 tons (13,900 tons LCE) of lithium sulfate to China, a 475% increase month - on - month and a 1222% increase year - on - year. This large shipment may be due to pulse shipments considering the Spring Festival [1][12] - **Supply and Demand and Inventory**: According to SMM forecasts, the lithium carbonate production in February is 81,930 tons, a 16% decrease month - on - month. In the demand side, the production schedules of cathodes and cells also decreased in February, but the decline was lower than that of lithium salts. It is expected that lithium carbonate will continue to reduce inventory in February. This week, the total inventory of the SMM lithium carbonate sample decreased by 2019 tons week - on - week [13] - **Terminal Market**: In the power battery sector, in January 2026, the estimated wholesale volume of new energy passenger vehicles by national manufacturers was 900,000 units, a 1% year - on - year increase. Considering the Spring Festival effect in the same period last year, this data is not optimistic. In the energy storage sector, in January 2026, there were 152 energy storage bidding and winning projects. On January 30, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism on the power generation side, which is beneficial to the energy storage yield [2][15] 3.2 Weekly Industry News Review - Sigma Lithium resumed the mining operation of the Grota do Cirilo lithium mine on February 3, 2026. This mine is Sigma's only operating asset and the largest lithium mine in Brazil, with an annual production capacity of 270,000 tons of lithium concentrate [17] - Tianqi Lithium plans to dispose of no more than 3,565,970 Class A shares of SQM, accounting for no more than 1.25% of SQM's total shares [17] 3.3 Key High - Frequency Data Monitoring of the Industry Chain 3.3.1 Resource End: The Price Trends of Ore and Salt are Consistent - The report presents data on the average spot price of lithium concentrate and the monthly inventory of lithium ore samples [19][21] 3.3.2 Lithium Salts: The Futures Market Fell from High Levels, and the Basis Fluctuated Significantly - The report shows data on the closing price of the GFEX lithium carbonate main contract, the term structure of GFEX lithium carbonate, domestic weekly lithium carbonate production, SMM weekly lithium carbonate inventory, domestic average spot price of lithium carbonate and the electric - industrial price difference, lithium carbonate basis, domestic average spot price of lithium hydroxide, the price difference between domestic and overseas lithium hydroxide, the price difference between domestic battery - grade lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate, and the theoretical production profit of lithium salt plants [24][31][34] 3.3.3 Downstream Intermediates: The Production Schedules in February are Good - The report includes data on the monthly production of SMM ternary materials, SMM lithium iron phosphate, the price trend of lithium iron phosphate, the average price of lithium iron phosphate cells (power type), the price trend of ternary materials, the average price of 523 square ternary cells (power type), the price trend of lithium cobalt oxide, and the average price of lithium cobalt oxide cells (consumer type) [48][53][57] 3.3.4 Terminal: Pay Attention to the Negative Feedback in the Industry Chain - The report provides data on China's power battery installation volume and year - on - year growth rate, the monthly installation proportion of China's power batteries, China's new energy vehicle production and sales year - on - year growth rate, and China's new energy vehicle penetration rate [62][66][68]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing lithium resource battle at the beginning of 2026 will see winners not only among the largest players with the most mines but also among those who can transform resource endowments into sustainable competitive advantages through excellent operations, technological breakthroughs, and strategic collaboration [1] Group 1: Capital Operations and Mergers - In early 2026, major lithium companies initiated a series of capital operations focused on resource control, with Tianqi Lithium announcing a fundraising and asset disposal plan to raise approximately 71 billion yuan [2][6] - Morgan Stanley's report indicated that Tianqi Lithium's fundraising could significantly increase the likelihood of subsequent mergers and acquisitions, despite potential dilution risks exceeding 6% [2] - Shengxin Lithium completed the acquisition of the remaining equity in Huirong Mining for 1.26 billion yuan, fully integrating the Sichuan Muroong lithium mine into its portfolio [3][8] Group 2: Strategic Resource Acquisition - Salt Lake Co. announced the acquisition of a 51% stake in Wenkang Salt Lake for 4.605 billion yuan, enhancing its core resource layout in lithium extraction [3][9] - Shengxin Lithium and Zhongxin Innovation signed a framework agreement for deep cooperation, committing to purchase 200,000 tons of lithium salt products from Shengxin Lithium between 2026 and 2030 [9] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Strategic Logic - The series of financing and acquisition actions reflect a common logic: betting on the "certainty" of resource supply amid the uncertainties of fluctuating lithium prices and geopolitical risks [4] - Tianqi Lithium's strategy emphasizes securing resources to stabilize operations during price downturns and capitalize during peaks, moving away from reliance on price speculation [11][12] - The pursuit of low-cost, high-grade resources is seen as a stabilizing factor during market cycles, with Tianqi Lithium's operations achieving significantly lower cash costs compared to industry averages [12] Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Concerns regarding development costs and efficiency arise as mining depths increase, potentially affecting ore grades and recovery rates [17] - The pressure of rising costs due to stricter environmental regulations and labor costs poses significant challenges to resource development [17] - The complexity of overseas operations, including regulatory and community relationship risks, presents additional uncertainties for companies aiming for global expansion [19]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium industry is witnessing a series of strategic capital operations by major players to secure resource control amid fluctuating lithium prices and geopolitical risks, indicating a shift towards prioritizing resource certainty for future profitability [2][3][10]. Group 1: Capital Operations and Financing - Tianqi Lithium announced a fundraising and asset disposal plan on February 4, 2026, aiming to raise HKD 58.6 billion (approximately RMB 5.2 billion) through a combination of H-share placement and convertible bonds, alongside the potential disposal of shares in SQM and Zhongxin Innovation, which could yield around RMB 1.9 billion, totaling approximately RMB 7.1 billion [2][5]. - Morgan Stanley's report highlighted that after completing the fundraising, Tianqi Lithium's potential for subsequent mergers and acquisitions would significantly increase, although it also warned of a potential dilution risk exceeding 6% [2][3]. - The capital raised by Tianqi Lithium is intended for project development, optimizing capital expenditures, and acquiring quality lithium assets, particularly during a low point in the industry cycle [5][12]. Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - On February 4, 2026, Shengxin Lithium announced the completion of a RMB 1.26 billion acquisition of the remaining stake in Huirong Mining, fully integrating the Sichuan Muro Lithium Mine into its portfolio, which is recognized as one of Asia's largest hard rock lithium deposits [7][8]. - Salt Lake Co. announced on December 30, 2025, its acquisition of a 51% stake in Wenkou Salt Lake for RMB 4.605 billion, enhancing its control over lithium resources and positioning itself among the top domestic lithium salt producers [3][7]. - Shengxin Lithium and Zhongxin Innovation signed a framework agreement for deep cooperation, committing to the procurement of 200,000 tons of lithium salt products from Shengxin Lithium between 2026 and 2030, indicating a strategic alignment in the supply chain [3][8]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Strategic Logic - The current actions of lithium industry leaders reflect a proactive approach to securing resources, as they aim to mitigate uncertainties associated with price fluctuations and geopolitical risks by locking in resource supply [3][10][14]. - The pursuit of high-quality, low-cost lithium resources is seen as essential for maintaining stability during market downturns and capitalizing during peaks, as highlighted by Tianqi Lithium's operational strategies [11][12]. - The overarching strategy among these companies is to convert the uncertainties of resource acquisition into tangible, controllable assets through capital investments, thereby ensuring future profitability [10][14].

Core Viewpoint - The strategic partnership between JinJing New Energy Holdings and Tianqi Lithium's subsidiary focuses on the recycling and regeneration of retired lithium batteries in Hong Kong, aiming to establish a green circular industry chain from battery recycling to material regeneration [1] Group 1: Strategic Value of the Partnership - The collaboration aims to deepen the strategic bond through capital links, providing certainty and strong driving force for JinJing New Energy's long-term development [2] - The mutual equity investment signifies a shift from traditional supply-demand relationships to a shared interest community, enhancing trust and long-term collaboration [2] - This capital connection serves as a buffer against industry uncertainties, allowing both companies to align on long-term strategies rather than short-term price competition [2] Group 2: Industry Context and Trends - The capital intensity in the battery recycling sector is increasing, with significant investments being made, as evidenced by Redwood Materials' recent $425 million funding round [3] - The partnership with Tianqi Lithium, a leader in global lithium resources, positions JinJing New Energy to explore resource recycling in various global markets, creating a complementary resource-market-technology dynamic [3] Group 3: Global Network and Market Integration - JinJing New Energy has established over 70 service nodes in 28 countries, and the partnership with Tianqi Lithium enhances this network's quality and depth [4] - The collaboration allows JinJing New Energy to transition from providing single recycling services to offering comprehensive solutions that integrate recycling, resource recovery, and industry pathways [4] Group 4: Strengthening Resource Value Chain - Prior to this partnership, JinJing New Energy had already formed collaborations with companies like Huayou Cobalt and Bangpu Recycling, indicating a trend where battery recycling attracts attention from upstream resource giants [5] - The partnership with Tianqi Lithium opens a direct channel for high-value lithium resource recovery, enhancing JinJing New Energy's ability to meet the growing demand for recycled lithium materials [6] Group 5: Research and Development Collaboration - The companies plan to establish joint laboratories and collaborative R&D projects to enhance lithium battery recycling technology, ensuring that JinJing New Energy meets high-quality standards required by Tianqi Lithium [7] - This interaction between demand-driven R&D and supply assurance is expected to keep JinJing New Energy's technological advancements aligned with market needs [7] Group 6: Conclusion - The partnership represents a significant integration of industry and capital in response to the global energy transition and the emerging wave of retired batteries [8] - By establishing equity ties, the collaboration elevates the strategic partnership to a new level of shared interests, providing a robust foundation for sustainable development [8] - This alliance positions JinJing New Energy to showcase a model of circular economy that combines stable capital relationships, environmental benefits, and sound business logic [8]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector shows positive momentum, with significant inflows into ETFs and optimistic forecasts for future demand driven by high-tech industries and geopolitical factors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) increased by 0.67%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry (+7.10%) and Northern Rare Earth (+4.07%) [1]. - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) also saw a rise of 0.56% [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.71% of the index, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Rare Earth leading the list [1]. Group 2: Fund Inflows - As of February 5, 2026, the Rare Metals ETF experienced a net inflow of 4.832 million yuan, with a total of 21.017 million yuan net inflow over the past ten trading days [1]. - Six out of the last ten trading days recorded net inflows, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The fund manager of the Huafu Rare Metals ETF remains optimistic about the sector, citing three main reasons: 1. Rare metals are crucial for high-tech industries and are increasingly controlled by nations amid rising geopolitical tensions [1]. 2. The downstream demand for rare metals remains robust, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and wind power [1]. 3. Recent price increases across various rare metal segments and positive earnings forecasts from key companies support a strong fundamental outlook [1]. Group 4: Investment Tool - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) tracks the CS Rare Metals Index, which has a high lithium content of 30%-40%, making it an excellent investment tool for market participants looking to gain exposure to the rare metals industry [2].

Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696.HK) has experienced a decline of over 4%, with a current drop of 3.08%, trading at HKD 41.58 [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 48.6016 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696) is experiencing a decline in stock price, currently down over 4%, with a trading price of HKD 41.58 and a transaction volume of HKD 48.6 million [1] Group 1: Fundraising and Strategic Development - The company plans to issue 65.05 million H-shares at a price of HKD 45.05 per share and issue convertible bonds totaling RMB 2.6 billion, expecting to raise a net amount of approximately HKD 58.29 billion [1] - The raised funds will support the company's strategic development in the lithium sector, including capital expenditures for project development and optimization, as well as acquisitions of quality lithium mining assets [1] Group 2: Asset Liquidity and Risks - Tianqi Lithium intends to opportunistically dispose of its stakes in affiliated companies, including Zhongchu Innovation and SQM, to enhance asset liquidity [1] - Following the resolution of the Chilean lithium salt lake dispute, the company faces the risk of losing control over its core lithium business due to the establishment of a public-private partnership with SQM, which could significantly impact investment returns and dividends [1] - The company's lithium resource rights and production capacity are expected to decline as a result of these developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466)(09696) has seen a decline of over 4%, currently trading at 41.58 HKD, with a transaction volume of 48.6 million HKD. The company announced plans to issue 65.05 million H-shares at a price of 45.05 HKD per share and issue convertible bonds totaling 2.6 billion RMB, aiming to raise approximately 5.829 billion HKD for strategic development in the lithium sector [1] Group 1 - The fundraising will support the company's strategic development in the lithium field, including capital expenditures for project development and optimization, as well as acquisitions of quality lithium mining assets [1] - Tianqi Lithium plans to dispose of part of its equity in joint ventures with Zhongjin Innovation and SQM to enhance asset liquidity [1] - Recent resolution of the Chilean lithium salt lake dispute poses a risk of Tianqi Lithium losing control over its core lithium business, which could significantly impact investment returns and dividends [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant decline in the performance of the Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880), which opened down by 5.31% at 2.070 yuan on February 6 [1] - Major holdings within the Penghua Nonferrous ETF experienced notable drops, including Zijin Mining down 5.07%, Luoyang Molybdenum down 5.28%, and Northern Rare Earth down 2.71% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Penghua Nonferrous ETF is the National Index of Nonferrous Metals Industry, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 118.31% since its inception on March 8, 2021, and a recent one-month return of 9.33% [1]