Core Insights - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 30, 2026, showcasing significant price movements and dividend yields [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - China Gold (600916.SH) leads with a daily increase of 8.74% and a year-to-date increase of 80.12%, with a dividend yield of 2.59% [1][5]. - Jian Sheng Group (603558.SH) follows with a daily rise of 4.01% and a year-to-date increase of 6.23%, offering a dividend yield of 4.91% [1][5]. - China National Foreign Trade Transportation Group (601598.SH) shows a daily increase of 3.10% but a year-to-date decline of 1.32%, with a dividend yield of 5.00% [1][5]. Group 2: Dividend Yields - The average dividend yield for the index is reported at 4.76%, with an expected price-to-earnings ratio of 11.07 times [2]. - Notable dividend yields include Semir Apparel (002563.SZ) at 9.12% and China Shenhua Energy (601088.SH) at 7.83% [1][5]. Group 3: Market Signals - The article mentions the formation of a MACD golden cross signal, indicating positive momentum for the stocks listed [4][8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural chemical industry is entering a period of layout opportunities, driven by the increasing importance of food security amid geopolitical fluctuations. The focus is on enhancing planting efficiency through technological empowerment [8] - The report emphasizes the growth potential of leading companies in the agricultural chemical sector, particularly those focused on technology services, including plant growth regulators, compound fertilizers, and pesticide formulations [3][8] - The report highlights the recovery opportunities in various sub-sectors of the chemical industry, including MDI, PVC, and refining, with specific companies recommended for investment [3][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Agricultural Chemical Sector - The report identifies growth opportunities in the agricultural chemical sector, particularly for companies that provide technology-driven services. Key areas include: 1. Plant growth regulators, which are characterized by low usage, high effectiveness, and cost efficiency, are seen as essential for modern agriculture [8] 2. Compound fertilizers are crucial for providing precise nutrient ratios to crops, with room for growth in China's compound fertilizer application rates compared to developed countries [8] 3. The potential for Chinese pesticide formulation companies to expand internationally, breaking the monopoly of traditional multinational corporations [8] Chemical Industry Recovery - The report notes a positive outlook for the recovery of various chemical sub-sectors, including: - MDI leader Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy) [3] - PVC industry players such as Zhongtai Chemical (002092, Not Rated) and Xinjiang Tianye (600075, Not Rated) [3] - Refining sector leaders like Sinopec (600028, Buy) and Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493, Buy) [3] - The report anticipates continued price increases for high-energy products, particularly in the PVC sector, due to supply constraints and structural demand shifts [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the chemical industry, highlighting the potential benefits from the "dual carbon" policy implementation [5]. Core Insights - The "dual carbon" policy is expected to significantly impact the chemical industry, with a focus on carbon emissions control becoming a rigid constraint during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6][14]. - The report identifies that the attention towards "dual carbon" from provincial leaders has increased by 137% since September 2025, indicating a shift in focus towards carbon emissions as a critical performance metric [7][18]. - The chemical industry is anticipated to undergo structural changes, with high carbon intensity sectors facing supply constraints, while low-carbon leaders are expected to benefit from the transition [8][30]. Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan": Carbon Peak Closing Battle - Local carbon assessments may treat carbon emissions as an equally important rigid constraint [15]. - High carbon intensity sectors such as ammonia fertilizer, coal chemical, and chlorine-alkali are likely to face capacity constraints first [29][30]. 2. Petrochemical "Dual Carbon" Opportunities - The petrochemical sector is expected to undergo a transformation driven by the "dual carbon" goals, with a focus on optimizing supply and demand structures [38]. - Refining sector dynamics are shifting towards improved supply-demand balance due to stringent approval processes for new projects and the elimination of high-energy-consuming capacities [38]. 3. Basic Chemical "Dual Carbon" Opportunities - Coal chemical industry is projected to stabilize supply under carbon limits, driving quality improvements in the sector [3.1]. - Carbon fiber and fluorochemical sectors are expected to benefit from process optimization and green transitions [3.2][3.3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three categories of leading companies: 1. Integrated leaders in the oil chemical sector with scale and efficiency advantages [8]. 2. Coal chemical leaders with advanced processes and low emissions [8]. 3. High-quality firms in fluorochemical and carbon fiber sectors that align with "dual carbon" goals [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the phosphate chemical industry [1][4][5] Core Insights - The phosphate rock supply and demand are in a tight balance, with new energy contributing to incremental growth [1][2] - The wet-process phosphoric acid is the core preparation route in the phosphate chemical industry, gradually replacing the high-energy-consuming thermal process due to its lower energy consumption and simpler equipment [1][16] - Stricter safety and environmental policies are accelerating the exit of outdated production capacity, leading to a continuous optimization of the supply-demand structure in the industry [1][18] - The domestic supply of phosphate rock is tightening due to limited resources and strong environmental constraints, with the price expected to remain high in the long term [1][26][33] Summary by Sections Phosphate Chemical Industry Overview - The phosphate chemical industry includes both wet and thermal processes, with wet-process phosphoric acid being favored due to its lower energy consumption and cost advantages [1][13][16] - The industry is facing increasing pressure from environmental regulations, leading to the closure of many outdated production facilities [1][18] Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's phosphate rock resources are characterized by scarcity and low quality, with the country holding about 5% of global reserves while contributing nearly half of the world's production [1][26] - The demand for phosphate rock is expected to increase, particularly driven by the growth in new energy applications, which is projected to account for a significant portion of phosphate consumption by 2024 [2][31] Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Chuanheng Co., a leading integrated phosphate chemical company with high profit margins supported by self-sufficient high-grade phosphate rock [3][4] - Yuntianhua, a dual leader in phosphate rock and fertilizer with significant resource reserves and stable growth [3][4] - Xingfa Group, a leader in fine phosphate chemicals with a diversified business model [3][4] - Yuntu Holdings, a leader in the phosphate compound fertilizer industry benefiting from tight sulfur supply [3][4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report provides profit forecasts and investment ratings for key companies, indicating a favorable outlook for their earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][5]

证券代码：002895 证券简称：川恒股份 公告编号：2026-003 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 2026 年度为子公司提供担保的进展公告（一） 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、为子公司提供担保的情况概述 经贵州川恒化工股份有限公司（以下简称公司）第四届董事会第十四次会议、 2026 年第一次临时股东会审议通过，公司 2026 年度为合并报表范围内资产负债 率为 70%以下的子公司贵州福麟矿业有限公司、贵州川恒营销有限责任公司（以 下简称川恒营销）的融资提供合计不超过 8.00 亿元的担保额度，具体内容详见 本公司在信息披露媒体披露的相关公告(公告编号：2025-128、2025-129、 2026-002)。 川恒营销与中国银行股份有限公司都匀分行（以下简称中行都匀分行）于 2026 年 1 月 29 日签订《流动资金借款合同》，借款金额为人民币 15,000.00 万 元，借款期限 12 个月。就该笔借款，本公司于同日与债权人中行都匀分行签订 《保证合同》，约定由本公司为上述借款提供连带责任保证担保，保证期间为主 债权的清偿期届满之日起 ...

Group 1 - The article presents the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 28, 2026 [1][6] - China Gold (600916.SH) leads with a daily increase of 10.04% and a year-to-date increase of 50.55%, with a dividend yield of 3.14% [1][6] - Other notable performers include Cai Zi Co. (605599.SH) and Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ), both showing daily increases of 9.98% and year-to-date increases of 32.62% and 28.06%, respectively [1][6] Group 2 - The list includes various sectors, with significant representation from the aluminum industry, including Nanshan Aluminum (600219.SH) with a daily increase of 9.94% and a year-to-date increase of 45.91% [1][6] - The energy sector is also highlighted, with Yanzhou Coal (600188.SH) showing a daily increase of 3.81% and a year-to-date increase of 9.81% [1][6] - The data indicates a strong performance across multiple sectors, suggesting potential investment opportunities in these stocks [1][6]

Group 1 - The agricultural chemical sector increased by 0.77% on January 26, with Chengxing Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] - Notable gainers in the agricultural chemical sector included Chengxing Co., Ltd. and Zhongnong United, both rising by 10.01% [1] Group 2 - The agricultural chemical sector experienced a net outflow of 40.45 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 172 million yuan [2] - The top individual stock performers in terms of net inflow included Yuntianhua with a net inflow of 150 million yuan [3] - The overall trading volume and turnover for the agricultural chemical sector were significant, with Chengxing Co., Ltd. achieving a turnover of 7.53 billion yuan [1][2]

Group 1 - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunities Index (CSPSADRP) as of January 23, 2026, showcasing significant price increases and dividend yields [1][11]. - The stock with the highest daily increase is Aotaiwei (688516.CH) at 20.00%, with a year-to-date increase of 98.87% and a dividend yield of 2.80% [1][11]. - Other notable stocks include China Gold (600916.SH) with a daily increase of 10.02% and a year-to-date increase of 13.13%, and Weichai Power (000338.SZ) with a year-to-date increase of 36.63% [1][11]. Group 2 - The fundamental metrics of the index include a historical price-to-earnings ratio of 11.07 times, a price-to-book ratio of 1.34 times, and an expected dividend yield of 4.76% [3][12]. - The index consists of 1009 constituent stocks, with adjustments made biannually in January and July, ensuring no single stock exceeds 3% weight and no GICS sector exceeds 33% weight [4][13].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Chuanheng Co., Ltd. with a "Buy" rating, assigning a target price of RMB 50.73 based on a 19x PE for 2026 [1][8][6]. Core Insights - Chuanheng Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the domestic phosphate chemical industry, possessing a nominal phosphate rock capacity of 3.3 million tons. The company's self-owned phosphate mines contribute to its high gross margin in the industry. The global phosphate supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight in the next 1-2 years, benefiting the company. Additionally, the anticipated growth in new energy demand is expected to enhance the company's business in iron phosphate, ammonium phosphate, and phosphoric acid [1][15][19]. - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of RMB 1.31 billion, RMB 1.62 billion, and RMB 1.8 billion for the years 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 37%, 24%, and 11%, respectively [6][12]. Summary by Sections Phosphate Supply and Demand - The global expansion of phosphate rock production is slow due to limited new supply overseas and regulatory constraints in China. The demand for phosphate fertilizers is expected to grow by 3% annually starting in 2024, driven by the expansion of arable land and increasing new energy needs. The projected global phosphate rock supply-demand gap is estimated to reach 178,000 tons, 95,000 tons, and 121,000 tons from 2025 to 2027 [2][14]. New Energy Demand - The demand for phosphate chemical products has significantly increased due to the rise in lithium battery materials. Although there was a notable price drop in 2023-2024 due to concentrated production, the demand for energy storage and power batteries is expected to improve, leading to a recovery in the industry. The company's iron phosphate and industrial-grade ammonium phosphate are anticipated to benefit from this trend [3][16]. Profitability and Dividend Policy - The company has entered a growth realization phase, with a significant reduction in its debt ratio and an attractive dividend yield. The dividend payout ratio has increased to around 70%, with expected dividend yields of 3.7%, 4.5%, and 5.0% for 2025-2027 [17][33]. The company’s net profit for 2024 is projected to be RMB 956.48 million, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 37% since 2021 [17][12]. Market Perspective - The report contrasts with market concerns regarding the sustainability of tight phosphate supply. It argues that the demand for phosphate fertilizers remains robust, and the growth in iron phosphate production capacity will support continued tightness in supply. The company is expected to benefit from high phosphate prices and a favorable cost structure due to its significant export share [5][18]. Company Overview - Chuanheng Co., Ltd. is recognized as a leading integrated phosphate chemical enterprise in China, with a comprehensive production base from phosphate mining to fine phosphate chemicals. The company has a total phosphate rock capacity of 3.3 million tons and has been expanding its production capabilities [19][24].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Chuanheng Co., Ltd. with a "Buy" rating, assigning a target price of RMB 50.73 based on a 19x PE for 2026 [1][8][6]. Core Insights - Chuanheng Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the domestic phosphate chemical industry, possessing a nominal phosphate rock capacity of 3.3 million tons. The company's self-owned phosphate mines contribute to its high gross margin in the industry. The global phosphate supply-demand balance is expected to remain tight in the next 1-2 years, benefiting the company. Additionally, the anticipated growth in demand for new energy is expected to enhance the company's revenues from products such as iron phosphate, ammonium phosphate, and phosphoric acid [1][15][19]. - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of RMB 1.31 billion, RMB 1.62 billion, and RMB 1.8 billion for the years 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 37%, 24%, and 11%, respectively [6][12]. Summary by Sections Phosphate Industry Outlook - The global expansion of phosphate rock production is slow due to limited new supply and stringent regulations in China. The demand for phosphate fertilizers is expected to grow by 3% annually starting in 2024, driven by the expansion of arable land and increasing demand for new energy [2][14]. - The report estimates a global phosphate supply-demand gap of approximately 1.78 million tons, 0.95 million tons, and 1.21 million tons for the years 2025-2027, indicating a continued tight supply situation [2][15]. New Energy Demand - The demand for phosphate chemical products related to new energy is anticipated to recover, particularly for iron phosphate and industrial-grade ammonium phosphate, as the industry shows signs of improvement due to rising storage and power battery demands [3][16]. Financial Performance and Valuation - The company has entered a growth phase, with a significant increase in net profit expected. The debt ratio has improved, and the dividend payout ratio has increased to around 70%, with projected dividend yields of 3.7%, 4.5%, and 5.0% for 2025-2027 [17][33]. - The report highlights that the company’s gross margin is among the highest in the industry, supported by its strong export capabilities and the non-fertilizer use of its phosphate products [4][28]. Market Perspective - The report contrasts its views with market concerns regarding the sustainability of tight phosphate supply. It argues that the demand for phosphate fertilizers remains robust, and the regulatory environment will continue to support high phosphate prices [5][18].