Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for banks experienced a collective decline, with several banks showing significant drops in their stock prices on February 12 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Chongqing Bank saw a decline of 2.27%, with a total market value of 36 billion [2] - Agricultural Bank dropped by 1.62%, with a market capitalization of 2,337.9 billion [2] - CITIC Bank decreased by 1.57%, with a market value of 417.9 billion [2] - Xiamen Bank fell by 1.57%, with a market capitalization of 19.9 billion [2] - Qingnong Commercial Bank declined by 1.55%, with a market value of 17.6 billion [2] - Qingdao Bank decreased by 1.41%, with a market capitalization of 32.6 billion [2] - Qilu Bank fell by 1.18%, with a market value of 36.2 billion [2] - Xi'an Bank dropped by 1.30%, with a market capitalization of 16.9 billion [2] - China Construction Bank decreased by 1.23%, with a market value of 23,152 billion [2] - Everbright Bank fell by 1.19%, with a market capitalization of 195.6 billion [2] - Pudong Development Bank decreased by 1.18%, with a market value of 334.7 billion [2] - Industrial and Commercial Bank dropped by 1.10%, with a market capitalization of 25,697 billion [2] - Jiangyin Bank fell by 1.06%, with a market value of 11.5 billion [2] - Zijin Bank decreased by 1.05%, with a market capitalization of 10.3 billion [2] - Zhangjiagang Bank fell by 1.05%, with a market value of 11.5 billion [2] - China Merchants Bank decreased by 1.04%, with a market capitalization of 983.3 billion [2] Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - Chongqing Bank has a year-to-date decline of 2.91% [2] - Agricultural Bank has seen a year-to-date drop of 13.02% [2] - CITIC Bank's year-to-date decline is 2.47% [2] - Xiamen Bank has a year-to-date increase of 2.59% [2] - Qingnong Commercial Bank's year-to-date increase is 2.26% [2] - Qingdao Bank has a significant year-to-date increase of 25.00% [2] - Qilu Bank has a year-to-date increase of 4.53% [2] - Xi'an Bank's year-to-date increase is 2.70% [2] - China Construction Bank has a year-to-date decline of 4.63% [2] - Everbright Bank's year-to-date decline is 2.26% [2] - Pudong Development Bank has a significant year-to-date decline of 19.21% [2] - Industrial and Commercial Bank has a year-to-date decline of 9.08% [2] - Jiangyin Bank has a year-to-date increase of 2.19% [2] - Zijin Bank's year-to-date increase is 4.03% [2] - Zhangjiagang Bank has a year-to-date increase of 3.06% [2] - China Merchants Bank has a year-to-date decline of 4.99% [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective decline in bank stocks, with Chongqing Bank dropping over 2% and several other banks, including Agricultural Bank, CITIC Bank, and Xiamen Bank, falling more than 1% [1] - Chongqing Bank's stock decreased by 2.27%, with a total market capitalization of 36 billion and a year-to-date decline of 2.91% [2] - Agricultural Bank's stock fell by 1.62%, with a market cap of 2,337.9 billion and a year-to-date decline of 13.02% [2] Group 2 - CITIC Bank's stock decreased by 1.57%, with a market capitalization of 417.9 billion and a year-to-date decline of 2.47% [2] - Xiamen Bank's stock also fell by 1.57%, with a market cap of 19.9 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.59% [2] - Qingnong Commercial Bank's stock dropped by 1.55%, with a market cap of 17.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.26% [2] Group 3 - Other banks such as Qilu Bank, Xi'an Bank, and China Construction Bank experienced declines of 1.18% to 1.30%, with respective market caps of 36.2 billion, 16.9 billion, and 23,152 billion [2] - The stock of Industrial and Commercial Bank fell by 1.10%, with a market cap of 25,697 billion and a year-to-date decline of 9.08% [2] - China Merchants Bank's stock decreased by 1.04%, with a market cap of 98.33 billion and a year-to-date decline of 4.99% [2]

"2025年度十大意见领袖"名单揭晓 2025年，中国经济在转型攻坚中稳步向好，新动能加快培育，政策协同发力支撑经济回升向好、行稳致 远。各界意见领袖以敏锐的时代洞察、理性的专业表达和广泛的社会影响力，聚焦民生关切、解读发展 逻辑、传递市场信心，在多元视角中凝聚共识，在时代浪潮中引领思考。 新浪财经携手首席经济学家论坛、新经济学家智库，评选出"2025年度十大意见领袖"。 本次评选由评委会综合"专业性、影响力、创新性、前瞻性、活跃度"五大维度，经评审团投票，并参考 作品出产率、互联网声量等数据，综合评选出最终获奖结果。 青岛银行首席经济学家刘晓曙荣膺"2025年度十大意见领袖"！ 精彩观点回顾： 刘晓曙：双周期共振看多中国资本市场 刘晓曙：短期的加总不等于长期，对经济刺激的冷思考 刘晓曙：资产配置——黄金？还是美股？ "2025年度十大意见领袖"名单揭晓 2025年，中国经济在转型攻坚中稳步向好，新动能加快培育，政策协同发力支撑经济回升向好、行稳致 远。各界意见领袖以敏锐的时代洞察、理性的专业表达和广泛的社会影响力，聚焦民生关切、解读发展 逻辑、传递市场信心，在多元视角中凝聚共识，在时代浪潮中引领思考。 新浪 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector experienced a volatile afternoon with notable gains, particularly for several banks including Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, Nanjing Bank, Zijin Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and Agricultural Bank, which all saw increases in their stock prices [1] Group 1 - Qingdao Bank rose nearly 2% [1] - Qilu Bank, Nanjing Bank, Zijin Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, and Agricultural Bank all increased by over 1% [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a general rise in bank stocks, with notable increases in Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, Nanjing Bank, Zijin Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, all rising over 1% [1]

记者丨叶麦穗 编辑丨曾芳 临近春节，A股上市银行2025年业绩快报陆续亮相。截至2月10日，共有11家A股上市银行披 露了2025年的成绩单， 涉及4家股份行、6家城商行、1家农商行，归母净利润增速全部实现 正增长，有四家银行甚至实现两位数的增长，其中青岛银行的增速最快，达到了21.66%。 | | | | | 归属母公司股东的净利润(万元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 代码 = 7 | 名称 、 ▽ | 本期 | 上年同期 - | 增长率(%) ▼ | | | 1 | 002948.SZ | 青岛银行 | 518.774.10 | 426,412.00 | | 21.66 | | 2 | 601665.SH | 齐鲁银行 | 571.349.10 | 498.628.90 | | 14.58 | | 3 | 600926.SH | 杭州银行 | 1,903,000.00 | 1.698,300.00 | | 12.05 | | 4 | 600000.SH | 浦发银行 | 5,001,700.00 | 4,525,700. ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a broad increase in bank stocks, with Shanghai Bank, Construction Bank, CITIC Bank, Minsheng Bank, Bank of Communications, and Zheshang Bank all rising over 1% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Shanghai Bank (601229) increased by 1.82%, with a total market capitalization of 142.8 billion and a year-to-date decline of 0.50% [2] - Construction Bank (601939) rose by 1.58%, holding a market cap of 2,354.4 billion, and has a year-to-date decline of 3.02% [2] - CITIC Bank (601998) saw a rise of 1.47%, with a market cap of 421.8 billion and a year-to-date decline of 1.56% [2] - Minsheng Bank (600016) increased by 1.27%, with a market cap of 174.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 3.92% [2] - Bank of Communications (601328) rose by 1.19%, with a market cap of 602.6 billion and a year-to-date decline of 5.93% [2] - Zheshang Bank (601916) increased by 1.01%, with a market cap of 82.4 billion and a year-to-date decline of 1.32% [2] Group 2: Additional Bank Performance - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077) rose by 0.91%, with a market cap of 75.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 6.49% [2] - Everbright Bank (601818) increased by 0.90%, with a market cap of 198.5 billion and a year-to-date decline of 0.78% [2] - Nanjing Bank (6000009) rose by 0.89%, with a market cap of 140.5 billion and a year-to-date decline of 0.61% [2] - Lanzhou Bank (001227) increased by 0.86%, with a market cap of 13.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 3.46% [2] - Postal Savings Bank (601658) rose by 0.77%, with a market cap of 626.9 billion and a year-to-date decline of 2.05% [2] - Agricultural Bank (601288) increased by 0.75%, with a market cap of 2,365.9 billion and a year-to-date decline of 11.98% [2] - Bank of China (601988) rose by 0.74%, with a market cap of 1,746.4 billion and a year-to-date decline of 5.41% [2] - Qingdao Bank (002948) increased by 0.72%, with a market cap of 32.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 24.78% [2]

Summary of Conference Call on Banking Sector Outlook Industry Overview - The conference focused on the banking sector, specifically discussing the performance and outlook of 11 listed banks in China for the year 2025 and beyond [1][6]. Key Points and Arguments 1. Overall Performance of Banks - The performance of the 11 banks exceeded expectations, indicating a robust resilience in the banking sector [1][6]. - The net interest margin (NIM) showed signs of stabilization, with a narrowing year-on-year decline contributing significantly to interest income and revenue growth [1][2]. 2. Sensitivity of Interest Income - Interest income is highly sensitive to changes in NIM; a decrease of 10 basis points (BP) in NIM could reduce net interest income growth by 7 percentage points, while a 5 BP decrease would result in a 3.5 percentage point reduction [2]. 3. Fee Income Recovery - There has been a recovery in fee income due to improved capital market conditions and asset allocation by residents, leading to a continuous improvement in bank fees [2][4]. 4. Potential for Old Bond Gains - The banks hold significant unrealized gains on old bonds, which presents a substantial opportunity for realization [3]. 5. Positive Outlook for 2026 - The overall judgment is that the situation in 2026 will be better than in 2025, driven by stable basis points, improving fees, and gains from old bonds [3]. 6. Investment Perspective - The investment strategy focuses on absolute returns, targeting a return on equity (ROE) of around 13% and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.67 times, indicating a reasonable pricing range [3][4]. - The recommendation is to select stocks based on high growth and high dividend yield, particularly in regions like Jiangsu, Nanjing, and Qilu [4][5]. 7. Performance of Specific Banks - Notable banks such as China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank showed positive revenue growth, with some banks transitioning from negative to positive growth [6][7]. - City commercial banks like Nanjing Bank and Qingdao Bank reported double-digit revenue growth, indicating strong performance [7][10]. 8. Asset Quality and Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) - The asset quality remains stable, with many banks reporting a decrease in NPL ratios. For instance, Qingdao Bank's NPL ratio dropped significantly [10][11]. - The overall trend suggests a gradual improvement in asset quality, with expectations for continued stability in 2026 [11][12]. 9. Credit Growth and Demand - Credit growth is expected to remain strong, particularly in major provinces like Sichuan and Jiangsu, which reported credit growth rates above 8% [12][13]. - The demand for corporate loans remains robust, while retail loan demand is weaker [12]. 10. Future Risks and Projections - There are concerns regarding the potential exposure of retail loans, particularly in mortgage and consumer credit segments, but the overall increase in NPLs is expected to be limited [16][17]. - Projections for 2025 indicate a slight increase in NPL ratios for retail loans, but overall asset quality is expected to remain stable [17][18]. 11. Revenue Growth Expectations - The banking sector is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of approximately 1.2% year-on-year, with city commercial banks leading in net profit growth [19][20]. 12. Stock Selection Strategy - The stock selection strategy emphasizes high ROE and high dividend yield, with recommendations for both Hong Kong and A-share listed banks [20][21]. Additional Important Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of wealth management in driving fee income, with expectations for continued positive contributions to revenue [19]. - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the banking sector's ability to navigate challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities in the coming years [22].

近日，在中国人民银行山东省分行主办的"2025年山东省跨境人民币业务竞赛"中，青岛银行凭借过硬的 业务实力与优异的综合表现，从全省70余家参赛银行机构中脱颖而出，成功斩获"团体一等奖"，成为本 次竞赛中唯一获此殊荣的省内城市商业银行。 立足企业实际需求，青岛银行以CIPS系统为依托，持续创新跨境金融服务场景，为不同类型企业量身 定制智能化综合服务方案。针对集团企业多头开户、资金管理分散的痛点，该行创新推出"CIPS跨行账 户集中可视服务"，实现"一个平台、一套标准"的集团账户全景可视化管理，助力企业集中掌握跨银行 账户的基础信息、资金余额及交易明细，大幅提升集团资金管理效率与风险管控能力，为企业跨境资金 运营提供专业解决方案。 心系民生显担当 开通跨境捐款"绿色通道" 金融有温度，服务暖人心。2025年11月香港大埔火灾发生后，青岛银行第一时间开通跨境人民币捐 款"绿色通道"，全力支援香港大埔火灾的人员搜救、伤员救治及善后安抚工作。该通道实现爱心款项汇 付"免审核、秒到账，零费用、速支援"，为社会各界向香港灾区传递爱心搭建便捷高效的金融桥梁，以 实际行动践行地方法人银行的社会责任与使命担当。 此次获奖，是监管 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 跨境流动性跟踪 20260208 贸易回流比率再度回正，服务逆差大幅收窄 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 02/25 04/25 07/25 09/25 11/25 02/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | 021-38003643 | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | 跟踪分析|银行 重点公司估值和财务分析表 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- | --- | | 银行行业:春节临近大行收票 | 2026-0 ...