文/陈岩鹏 这个世界有时候就是这么巧。 2014年，农历甲午马年，微信红包横空出世。那一年，张小龙团队做的一个小功能，改写了中国移动支 付的格局。 2026年，农历丙午马年，AI红包全面爆发。这一年，字节、阿里、腾讯、百度砸下超过45亿元，争夺 下一代智能入口。 十二年一个轮回。 两匹"马"，恰好踩准了中国互联网两次最大的浪潮。 第一个马年：那匹"黑马"是怎么跑出来的？ 2014年春节，微信团队做了一个小功能——红包。 2015年春晚，微信乘胜追击，正式开启"春晚红包"时代。那一夜，"摇一摇"摇出了10亿次红包收发，摇 出了微信支付的逆袭，也摇出了此后十二年的互联网春晚大战。 十二年间：那些年我们追过的红包 从2014到2026，这十二年是怎样的十二年？ 是移动互联网从崛起到饱和的十二年。是BAT从鼎盛到分化，TMD从崛起到登台的十二年。是流量从 廉价到昂贵的十二年，是用户从新鲜到疲惫的十二年。 我们看着春晚红包从"摇一摇"变成"集五福"，从"拼手速"变成"拼社交"，从"抢几块钱"变成"抢几亿"。 我们看着互联网大厂轮番登场，微信、支付宝、淘宝、百度、快手、抖音、京东、拼多多——没有一个 缺席过春晚。 我们也 ...

从春节前开始，中国科技产业掀起了AI"百模大战"，国产AI模型密集发布、持续升级。美国分析师直 言，中国科技给世界带来的震撼才刚刚开始。 中国国产AI模型密集发布 从春节前开始，月之暗面、智谱和稀宇科技等中国多家科技企业密集发布新一代AI大模型。2月14日， 字节跳动推出豆包大模型2.0系列，提升了完成真实世界复杂任务的能力。 美国媒体主持人：中国科技巨头们在农历新年之际，掀起新一轮人工智能竞赛，阿里巴巴与字节跳动纷 纷发布重要大模型。 Seedance2.0 技术在春晚节目中展示 火山引擎总裁 谭待：Seedance2.0在训练阶段，就用了大量的东方美学素材，而且它在镜头语言的控 制、在复杂的交互呈现上也有非常强的能力，刚好能很好地满足导演组的视觉创意。 AI视频生成迎来"奇点"时刻 连日来，Seedance2.0在全球持续引发热议：业内人士指出，在以文本生成为核心的大语言模型得到广 泛应用后，专注于生成视频和图像的大模型被视为AI技术的下一阶段。此前，业界普遍认为该领域实 现突破还需要两三年，但Seedance2.0的发布意味着这一刻已提前来临。 国产AI模型升级 对标"AI智能体"时代 值得注意的是，智 ...

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) is one of the best emerging markets stocks to buy right now. On February 18, Erste Group downgraded Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) from Buy to Hold. Analyst Hans Engel said the company’s operating margins have dropped and long-term debt has increased, raising concerns about its financial health. Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Faces Analyst Downgrade, Counters with Queen3.5 AI Launch At the same time, Alibaba is focusing on AI monetization through ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.10% and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 2.91% [1] - AI applications, robotics, and oil stocks saw gains, while internet technology stocks generally fell, with Baidu down over 6% and Alibaba down nearly 5% [1] - Semiconductor stocks weakened, with Hua Hong Semiconductor down nearly 6% and SMIC down over 3% [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Legislative Council member Wu Jiezhuang announced that the first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses is expected to be issued in March, suggesting that eligible citizens could receive stablecoin airdrops or consumption vouchers to stimulate local consumption [1] - CITIC Securities believes that fiat-backed stablecoins may become the most accepted and secure mainstream stablecoin form, maintaining core functions of value measurement, transfer, storage, and inter-temporal value in the Web3 world [1] - Concerns about the impact of stablecoins on fiat currencies and their minting rights depend on their support for economic activities and the strength of the fiat they are pegged to [1] Group 3 - Analysts predict that Hong Kong tech stocks will remain weak in the near term due to intense competition in delivery and red envelope services around the Spring Festival, with expectations for stabilization only after Tencent and other companies report earnings in March [2] - Everbright Securities noted that tech stocks are currently not a major focus for investors, with concerns about the business development of companies like Alibaba and Baidu leading to significant declines in related stocks [2] - Recent reports from招商证券 indicate that the AI application sector is experiencing simultaneous technological breakthroughs and intensified commercialization competition, supported by national strategies for long-term development [2] Group 4 - China Galaxy Securities suggests focusing on sectors such as precious metals and energy, which may experience upward fluctuations due to uncertainties surrounding Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical tensions [3] - The technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with reduced valuation pressure following recent corrections, and potential rebounds expected in the context of accelerated AI model updates and applications [3]

Core Insights - The competition in the AI sector is intensifying, with major products like Qianwen, Yuanbao, and Doubao vying for user engagement through innovative marketing strategies [2] - Qianwen's "免单卡" (Free Order Card) initiative, backed by a 3 billion yuan subsidy, serves as a modern interpretation of the "草船借箭" (Borrowing Arrows with Straw Boats) strategy, effectively leveraging Alibaba's ecosystem for user acquisition and brand recognition [3][4] Group 1: Marketing Strategy and User Engagement - Qianwen's Free Order Card acts as a bait to attract users, resulting in over 10 million AI orders within 9 hours and 40 billion interactions in 6 days, showcasing the effectiveness of low-cost marketing [3][4] - The initiative successfully converted AI interaction into real consumer behavior by integrating with over 300,000 stores in Alibaba's ecosystem, thus enhancing user experience and engagement [4][6] - The campaign also capitalized on the festive season and social sharing, leading to over 51 million new users, with 60% coming from social media [4] Group 2: Value Creation and Ecosystem Impact - The Free Order Card not only benefits users with discounts but also democratizes access to AI technology, with significant engagement from rural areas and older demographics [5] - Local businesses experienced a surge in orders, with some stores reporting over 1,400 backlogged orders, highlighting the initiative's role in driving sales during peak seasons [5][6] - Qianwen's strategy serves as a catalyst for activating Alibaba's entire ecosystem, enhancing user activity across various business lines and validating the "AI + ecosystem" operational model [6] Group 3: Challenges and Future Considerations - Despite its success, Qianwen faced challenges related to system capacity and delivery logistics, with peak requests exceeding design limits, leading to user experience issues [7] - The initiative raises concerns about user retention, as many new users may be attracted solely by incentives, posing a challenge for long-term engagement [8] - The industry must focus on converting short-term user acquisition into lasting relationships by improving product experience and expanding AI application scenarios [8] Conclusion - Qianwen's Free Order Card exemplifies a modern marketing approach that disrupts traditional models, leveraging a 3 billion yuan subsidy to unlock significant market value and shift AI technology into everyday use [9] - The initiative has redefined competitive dynamics in the AI sector, moving the focus from technical specifications to user habit formation [9]

千亿巨头"调仓"曝光！ 从增持力度来看，中概电商双龙头成为本次调仓的核心，增持规模位居前列。 其中，拼多多(PDD)作为HHLR的第一大重仓股，本季度继续获得大幅增持，持股数量从859万股增至 1072.1万股，相较于去年三季度末增持212.9万股，持仓市值由11.36亿美元升至12.16亿美元，占投资组 合的比例由28%升至39%。 阿里巴巴(BABA)作为第二大重仓股，也获得显著加仓，持股数量由三季度末的328.9万股增至543万 股，持仓市值由5.88亿美元升至7.96亿美元，在投资组合中的占比从14.4%大幅提升至26%，巩固了核心 持仓地位。 近日，高瓴旗下专注二级市场投资的基金管理平台HHLR Advisors公布了截至2025年四季度末的美股持 仓报告。 数据显示，四季度末HHLR Advisors总共持有33只股票，持仓总市值达31.04亿美元，环比减少24%。 具体来看，四季度HHLR Advisors增持阿里巴巴、拼多多、台积电等；首次建仓iShares比特币ETF；减 持富途、Webull；清仓百度、网易等。 中概股仍为核心配置 增持阿里巴巴、拼多多等 根据13F文件，截至2025年末， ...

中概股依旧是HHLR Advisors的核心配置资产。截至2025年末，在前十大重仓股中，中概股占据七席，市值占比高达92%，持仓进一步聚焦于互联网电商 龙头、生物医药和金融科技领域。具体来看，前十大重仓股分别为拼多多、阿里巴巴等企业。 此次调仓，中概电商双龙头成为核心亮点。拼多多作为HHLR的第一大重仓股，本季度获得大幅增持，持股数量从859万股增至1072.1万股，持仓市值由 11.36亿美元升至12.16亿美元，占投资组合的比例从28%升至39%。阿里巴巴作为第二大重仓股，同样显著加仓，持股数量由三季度末的328.9万股增至543 万股，持仓市值由5.88亿美元升至7.96亿美元，在投资组合中的占比从14.4%大幅提升至26%，进一步巩固了核心持仓地位。值得注意的是，仅拼多多与阿 里巴巴两只标的，合计占比就达65%，成为HHLR投资组合名副其实的"双核心"。 此外，HHLR Advisors四季度还有其他动作，增持了台积电等，减持了富途、Webull；清仓了百度、网易等。此次调仓反映了HHLR Advisors对市场趋势 的判断和对投资组合的优化，其重仓中概电商双龙头的举动，也为市场投资者提供了重要的参 ...

港股马年首个交易日开盘，恒生指数低开0.18%，恒生科技指数跌0.69%。盘面上，油气板块强势，中 国海洋石油涨超2%；科网股集体走弱，阿里巴巴跌超3%。 关于港股后市 著名分析师张忆东在加盟国泰海通后，带领团队发布最新市场研判。首先，政策导向转为积极性和主动 性呵护中国股市。近期随着市场降温，上证4100点以下已经感受到托底的力量。其次，阶段性否极泰 来。港股整体卖空成交占比约19%，其中恒生科技指数卖空成交占比快速回升至21%。海外市场已出现 阶段性跌深反弹迹象，有利于港股短期反弹。 第三，保险为主的配置型战略投资者，开始趁市场调整而加大增持中国股市。第四，中国股市春季行情 的季节性规律，仍有望起作用。历史经验看，春节前市场若偏弱，节后随着资金回流与风险偏好修复， 市场往往更容易走强。中国基本面和资金面，才是决定中国股市行情的核心变量。后续各地两会、全国 两会、十五五规划实施、美国总统访华等一系列政治经济和产业层面的催化频出，内外资共振的增量资 金将推动今年春季行情。投资策略上可持股过节，享受春节红包，把握住近期市场调整倒车接客的时 机，布局2-3月的春季行情。 国联民生证券指出，港股科技前期表现显著滞涨 ...

阿里巴巴港股计开盘下跌3%。 来源：滚动播报 ...

客户端 美股周四表现向下，地缘政局局势升温，不利大市表现，三大指数均录得跌幅收市。美元走势向好，美 国十年期债息回升至4.07厘水平，金价反复靠稳，油价走势向上。 今日港股三大指数集体低开，恒指开盘跌0.18%，报26657.84点，恒科指跌0.69%，国企指数跌0.19%。 盘面上，科网股普跌，阿里巴巴、哔哩哔哩跌超3%，百度跌超2%；有色金属板块活跃，中国黄金国际 涨超2%；石油股普涨，中海油涨超2%；汽车股走弱，理想汽车跌超1%。 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 ^ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技指数 | 5330.61 | -36.91 | -0.69% | | 800700 | | | | | 国企指数 | 9052.67 | -17.65 | -0.19% | | 800100 | | | | | 恒生指数 | 26657.84 | -48.10 | -0.18% | | 800000 | | | | 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 如何抓住"黄金牛市"波段机会？升级投资账户，一键配置金+银>> 如何抓住"黄金牛市"波段 ...