The Hecht Commodity Report is one of the most comprehensive commodity reports available today. My weekly report covers the market movements of over 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish, and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations; and actionable ideas for traders through a portfolio approach.On Friday, February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court handed down an opinion that struck down the Trump administration’s tariffs. President Trump called the decision a disaster and said that ...

数字时代，"交往在云端，传播在人间"已成为主流。"云"的存在，使我们的工作和生活更为便捷，而得益于"云"。 放眼全球，中国云计算如今的实力已不容小觑，就拿阿里云来说，排名仅次于AWS和微软，稳居第三，超越了谷歌、IBM等昔日的一众科技巨头，也难怪 外媒的报道中均一致表明阿里云将成为AWS、Azure的最强劲对手呢，从目前中国云计算的增速实力来看，确实有潜力，而且谷歌、IBM等老牌巨头被阿里 云甩在身后已经成为了事实。 在Gartner的全球云计算市场报告中，"阿里云的市场份额和能力，足以继续在中国和周边国家保持领先地位" 。事实上，除了在中国以及亚太地区外，阿里 云的出海版图已经在全球区域拓展，如今已经在全球24个地理区域运营着75个可用区，部署了上百个云数据中心。 前不久，沙特宣布预计投入12亿美金发展地区数字经济发展计划，亚马逊AWS、微软、谷歌、甲骨文、IBM等一众科技巨头都想分一杯羹。不过，阿里云 拿下的除了沙特软件层面服务，还将帮助沙特打造云业务，携手沙特旅游局，打造数字化旅游体验。 如今中国云技术的出海版图还在持续扩张，中国云技术的实力也在越来越多的国家获得认可与选择，在海外影响力也越来越高。 ...

本报记者 梁傲男 作为全年唯一的"国民级"流量窗口，AI厂商在马年春节掀起的未来流量入口卡位战愈发激烈。 字节跳动旗下AI助手豆包拿下央视春晚合作；腾讯让旗下AI助手元宝凭借简单的红包裂变，在微信群和朋友圈中传播，以 最低成本拉新获客；阿里另辟蹊径，让AI助手千问深度绑定其丰富的消费场景，用实实在在的"免单"福利，在买年货的过程中 培养用户的支付习惯。 人们在元宝里抢现金，在千问中点奶茶、囤年货，在豆包里玩抽奖……一轮轮升级的"红包大战"，也将各大AI应用轮番推 上应用商店下载榜首。 从除夕夜巅峰对决的"红包雨"，到霸榜应用商店的AI助手，这个春节，AI究竟如何走进千家万户？真金白银砸下去之后， 它们又能留住多少用户？《证券日报》记者在春节前后全程参与体验，并持续跟踪采访线下用户，旨在记录下这场名为"红 包"、实为"卡位"的流量暗战。 决战除夕： AI应用霸榜应用商店 记者根据各AI厂商公开数据统计，多家互联网巨头在2026年春节档合计投入或超过80亿元。这场春节攻势背后，是各家对 AI未来形态与入口地位的战略押注。 从预算分配来看，各家押注的决心清晰可见：千问App以30亿元刷新其春节活动投入纪录，并持续拓 ...

港股方面，截至2026年02月23日，阿里巴巴-W(09988)收盘价报152.20港元，当日上涨3.47%，但近一周 区间累计下跌2.06%；美股方面，截至2026年02月20日，阿里巴巴(BABA.N)收盘价报154.45美元，当日 微涨0.12%，近一周区间下跌0.82%。股价波动受市场情绪、行业竞争及宏观因素综合影响。 中信证券于2026年02月23日发布研报，维持阿里巴巴"买入"评级，目标价234港元。该行指出，公司 25Q4经营性业绩稳健，AI技术全场景深度赋能，游戏业务延续"经典IP长线运营+新游全球化突破"双轮 驱动，长期成长潜力凸显。 股票近期走势 经济观察网 财报季临近尾声，阿里巴巴的业绩将成为市场焦点之一。投资者正密切关注其2025年第四 季度财务表现，以评估AI技术赋能下的业务韧性。 机构观点 监管动态：2026年02月20日，市场监管总局约谈阿里巴巴等平台企业，要求规范促销行为，避免"内卷 式"竞争，以维护公平市场环境。 近期事件 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 AI技术进展：2026年02月期间，阿里巴巴开源千问Qwen3.5-Plus大模型，宣称性能媲美全球顶尖开源模 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,413, down 1.10% for the day but up 3.05% year-to-date [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.91% to 5,211, with a year-to-date decline of 5.52% [1] - The Dow Jones Index increased by 0.47% to 49,625, with a year-to-date gain of 3.25% [1] Currency Trends - The Renminbi Index stands at 98.340, showing a 1M increase of 0.36% and a 6M increase of 1.44% [2] - The USD/JPY exchange rate is at 155.570, with a 1M increase of 1.66% but a 6M decrease of 5.30% [2] Commodity Prices - Brent crude oil is priced at $71.460 per barrel, up 11.37% over the last month and 9.20% over the last six months [3] - Gold is trading at $5,038.03 per ounce, reflecting a significant increase of 50.48% over the last six months [3] Economic News - The U.S. GDP growth for Q4 last year was estimated at 1.4%, significantly below the expected 3% [5][14] - The unemployment rate in Hong Kong has risen to 3.9%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points [20] Company Updates - JD.com reported a 150% increase in robot order volume during the Spring Festival, driven by a significant rise in search and inquiry volumes [22][23] - Xuan Bamboo Biotechnology has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective March 9, 2026 [25] Sector Performance - The technology sector has shown a decline, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down nearly 3% [6] - The financial and real estate sectors remained stable, with notable increases in certain real estate stocks [6]

In Q4, revenue rose 5% year-over-year (YOY) to about $3 billion, even as comparable restaurant sales fell 2.5% and restaurant-level operating margin slipped to 23.4%. For full-year 2025, revenue increased 5.4% to $11.9 billion while adjusted EPS rose 4.5% to $1.17.Even after that pullback, Chipotle still trades at a premium, at roughly 33 times forward earnings versus a sector multiple near 17 times.Over the past 52 weeks, CMG stock is down 29%, but it has started to recover in 2026, up 1.5% year-to-date (Y ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，春节期间大模型迎来密集迭代，多智能体协同与原生多模态 驱动能力跨越式发展。 在过去的两周内，海内外头部 AI 厂商密集发布新一代基座模型。并行智能体架 构、复杂逻辑推理、超长上下文以及原生视音频模态成为本次技术周期的核心特征，产业趋势正快速从 对话式问答向复杂工程任务全自动托管演进。近期国内外云厂商涨价函频发，AI推理需求拉动行业进 入向上拐点，建议关注云涨价逻辑下的核心方向。Agent爆发+上游缺货带动CPU与存储量价齐升逻辑持 续演绎，底层硬件价值分布从重算力全面转向算存并重。 智谱：智谱 AI 推出 7440 亿参数的旗舰基座模型 GLM-5，核心能力由辅助编程向自动化智能体工程演 进。该模型引入稀疏注意力机制与全新异步强化学习基础设施，大幅降低计算与显存开销。在产业生态 方面，GLM-5 首次在华为昇腾算力集群上实现 W4A8 混合精度量化，实测开箱性能对标海外主流算力 平台，在长序列与低时延场景下的部署成本降低 50%。GLM-5 的商业化落地，标志着国产大模型在复 杂推理能力与底层算力生态适配上取得双重突破。 MiniMax：M2.5 在编程、工具调用等生产 ...

Group 1: Stock Recommendations - 吉利汽车 (Geely Auto) has a market cap of $23.4 billion, with a target price of $25.00, indicating an upside potential of 48%[5] - 正力新能 (Zhengli New Energy) has a market cap of $2.8 billion, with a target price of $18.00, indicating an upside potential of 113%[5] - 极兔速递 (Jitu Express) has a market cap of $12.2 billion, with a target price of $13.40, indicating an upside potential of 25%[5] - 三一国际 (Sany International) has a market cap of $6.2 billion, with a target price of $20.60, indicating an upside potential of 37%[5] - 瑞幸咖啡 (Luckin Coffee) has a market cap of $11.0 billion, with a target price of $54.68, indicating an upside potential of 41%[5] Group 2: Performance Overview - The basket of 26 long positions had an average return of -2.3%, outperforming the MSCI China Index, which returned -2.4% by 0.1 percentage points[10] - Out of the 26 stocks, 11 had returns exceeding the benchmark[10] - The report includes a new addition of Datadog (DDOG US) to the buy list, while Salesforce (CRM US) has been removed[7]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The recent surge in China's AI models during the "Spring Festival" has shifted the focus from general chat tools to vertical productivity tools and real agent implementations, particularly in industrial video generation and engineering-level programming [1][13] - Major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Zhipu AI are leading the market, with competition now centered on efficiency, cost control, and scene adaptation rather than just parameter scale [1][13] - The demand for computing power is expected to boost hardware and computing rental markets, benefiting companies involved in computing leasing and third-party data centers [2][14] Summary by Sections Section 1: AI Model Developments - Multiple flagship models were released during the Spring Festival, enhancing capabilities in video and programming applications, with significant improvements in quality and efficiency [7][13] - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 model supports multi-modal input and has shown substantial advancements in generating complex interactions and maintaining physical accuracy [8][9] - Alibaba's Qwen3.5-Plus model has achieved breakthroughs in multi-modal capabilities and cost efficiency, making it competitive with leading models globally [10][11] Section 2: Market Outlook - The current market is experiencing liquidity concerns and changing capital expenditure expectations from overseas players like OpenAI, leading to a cautious outlook for the AI sector [3][15] - The AI development phase is seen as a critical acceleration period, with increasing demand for token usage and ongoing expansion of foundational computing infrastructure [3][15] Section 3: Recommended Investment Targets - Key investment opportunities include companies in computing and communication infrastructure, such as China Mobile, China Telecom, and third-party data center firms like Huohuan New Network and Data Port [15][17] - The report highlights the potential of low-orbit satellite components and chip suppliers in the commercial aerospace sector [3][15] - Recommendations also extend to edge computing firms and those involved in satellite internet and low-altitude economy sectors [17][19]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - During the Spring Festival of 2026, the global technology sector is characterized by AI-driven deepening, accelerated hard technology transformation, and a bipolar leadership between China and the US, with the practical application and commercialization of technology becoming the core theme [1] - The AI and large model fields have become the absolute core, with global capital and technology intensifying. OpenAI secured a financing round exceeding $100 billion, locking in computational power advantages, while Google is pushing large models deeper into research scenarios [1][6] - The humanoid robot industry is undergoing a critical transformation, with international leading companies completing the transition to fully electric drive, while Chinese companies are seizing opportunities in practical scenarios like "human-machine collaboration" [1][8] - The aerospace and low-altitude economy sectors are showing a trend towards scaling, with both US-China competition and China leading. SpaceX is consolidating its Starlink advantages through high reuse launches, while China's commercial space launch success rate remains at 100% [1][11] Summary by Sections AI - OpenAI finalized a new financing round exceeding $100 billion during the Spring Festival, marking the largest single financing in AI history, which will significantly impact the global AI industry's computational power landscape and competitive dynamics [6] - Google upgraded its flagship large model Gemini 3 Deep Think, enhancing its reasoning capabilities for scientific and engineering scenarios, achieving notable performance in various tests [7] Robotics - Boston Dynamics announced a complete switch of its Atlas humanoid robot to fully electric drive, marking a significant shift towards industrialization and scalability [8][9] - The industry consensus indicates that the core bottleneck for humanoid robots is not mobility or balance but the technology of dexterous hands, which remains a challenge [9] Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX completed its 600th Falcon 9 rocket launch, successfully deploying 24 upgraded Starlink V2 Mini satellites, further expanding the Starlink constellation and enhancing polar coverage and direct mobile communication capabilities [11][12] Semiconductor Storage - Samsung achieved mass production of the HBM4 chip, with a significant price increase of 20%-30% compared to the previous generation, highlighting the high demand for high-end storage chips driven by AI [10] Beneficiary Targets - AI Computing and Applications: Companies such as Cambricon, Industrial Fulian, and Inspur Information [2] - Robotics: Companies like Joyson Electronics and New Spring Co [2] - Large Models: Companies including Zhipu AI and iFLYTEK [2] - Semiconductor Storage: Companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Changjiang Electronics [2] - Commercial Aerospace: Companies such as Western Materials and Reascend Technology [2]