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Alibaba: Why It's My Preferred Bet Amid The U.S.-China Trade War (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-11 13:30
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...
Michael Burry's largest stock holding has lost 19.73% since the tariff war started
Finbold· 2025-04-11 11:49
Michael Burry, of ‘The Big Short’ fame, who predicted the 2008 crash, went all in on Chinese equities following a misjudged bet against the semiconductor industry.Per the latest 13-F filing available, Alibaba stock (NYSE: BABA) is the savvy investor’s largest holding. Chinese stocks account for 43% of Burry’s portfolio — and BABA shares, on their own, make up 16% of it.Before the onset of the trade war, the renowned investor’s portfolio was up quite significantly. However, as his largest holding happens to ...
阿里巴巴:Positive profitability growth of core ecommerce business likely to sustain-20250410
招银国际· 2025-04-10 03:28
10 Apr 2025 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Alibaba (BABA US) Positive profitability growth of core e- commerce business likely to sustain We expect Alibaba to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth and adjusted EBITA for 4QFY25 (March year-end). For core domestic e-commerce business, driven by healthy GMV growth and an increase in monetization rate aided by incremental technology service fee charges and the increase in penetration of Quanzhantui, Alibaba could sus ...
BABA vs. CPNG: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-04-09 16:45
Core Viewpoint - Investors in the Internet - Commerce sector should consider Alibaba (BABA) as a more attractive option compared to Coupang, Inc. (CPNG) for undervalued stocks based on various financial metrics and rankings [1]. Valuation Metrics - Alibaba has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Coupang has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3]. - BABA's forward P/E ratio is 9.18, significantly lower than CPNG's forward P/E of 54.55, suggesting that BABA is undervalued [5]. - The PEG ratio for BABA is 0.30, while CPNG's PEG ratio is 54.01, further indicating BABA's better valuation in terms of expected earnings growth [5]. - BABA's P/B ratio is 1.59, compared to CPNG's P/B of 8.70, highlighting BABA's superior market value relative to its book value [6]. Investment Conclusion - Given the stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics, BABA is positioned as the superior choice for value investors at this time [7].
Best Momentum Stock to Buy for April 9th
ZACKS· 2025-04-09 15:00
Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, April 9th:Hang Seng Bank (HSNGY) : This world-class financial institution and one of Hong Kong's largest listed companies in terms of market capitalization, has a Zacks Rank #1(Strong Buy), and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 5.8% over the last 60 days.Hang Seng Bank’s shares gained 3% over the last three month compared with the S&P 500’s decline of 15.8%. ...
阿里巴巴(BABA):核心电商延续增势,AI驱动集团新科技周期
申万宏源证券· 2025-04-09 14:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba (BABA) [2][12][23] Core Insights - The core e-commerce segment continues to show growth, driven by AI technology, which is expected to propel a new technology cycle [6][12] - Revenue for FY4Q25 is forecasted to reach RMB 241.5 billion, representing an 8.9% year-on-year increase, with non-GAAP net profit expected to be RMB 28.0 billion, up 10% year-on-year [7][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and the role of Taotian as the largest online consumption platform in China, benefiting from increased user engagement and market share stability [8][12] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Alibaba are as follows: - FY23: RMB 868,687 million - FY24: RMB 941,168 million - FY25E: RMB 1,001,424 million - FY26E: RMB 1,099,939 million - FY27E: RMB 1,203,232 million - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 1.8% for FY23, 8.3% for FY24, 6.4% for FY25E, 9.8% for FY26E, and 9.4% for FY27E [5][14] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates are: - FY23: RMB 143,991 million - FY24: RMB 158,359 million - FY25E: RMB 155,930 million - FY26E: RMB 177,305 million - FY27E: RMB 190,169 million - The report anticipates a decline in non-GAAP net profit growth in FY25E to -1.5%, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [5][14] Business Segment Performance - Taotian is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 5.4% year-on-year, while the International Digital Commerce Group is projected to grow by 26% [6][7] - The Cloud Intelligence Group is anticipated to see significant revenue growth driven by increased AI demand and capital expenditures [9][12] - The Local Life Group is expected to continue reducing losses while maintaining steady order growth [10][11] Strategic Focus - Alibaba is focusing on core business investments while developing new growth drivers in AI and international markets [12] - The report highlights the strategic importance of enhancing the business ecosystem for merchants and improving advertising efficiency [8][9]
Alibaba vs. Amazon: Which E-Commerce Titan is Best Stock Pick?
ZACKS· 2025-04-08 20:00
In the ever-evolving landscape of global e-commerce, Alibaba Group (BABA) and Amazon.com (AMZN) continue to dominate the digital marketplace. Both companies have transformed shopping habits across continents, built massive cloud computing operations, and expanded into various technological frontiers. While Amazon has established itself as the e-commerce leader in Western markets, Alibaba has cemented its position as the undisputed e-commerce powerhouse in China and is rapidly expanding its international pre ...
Alibaba Caught in Tariff Crossfire: Is It Time to Buy?
MarketBeat· 2025-04-08 11:37
The stock market is not thinking; it is only feeling, and this is when savvy investors can make the most returns for the months to come in their portfolios. Considering that the volatility breakout in the S&P 500 is coming due to new trade tariffs announced by President Trump, short-minded participants have decided to abandon all hope in the companies considered great just a few weeks ago. Alibaba Group TodayBABAAlibaba Group$105.92 -10.62 (-9.11%) 52-Week Range$68.36▼$148.43Dividend Yield0.93%P/E Ratio15. ...
Tariff Fallout: Chinese Tech Stocks Plunge on Wall Street
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-07 17:48
Group 1: Market Overview - U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies are experiencing significant declines due to rising investor anxiety over new tariffs, particularly after President Trump threatened additional levies if Beijing does not retract its retaliatory duties [1] - Major companies such as Alibaba, JD.com, and PDD Holdings are all trading sharply lower, raising concerns about the impact of escalating trade tensions on cross-border business and consumer demand [1] Group 2: Alibaba Group - Alibaba Group's stock has decreased by 11.2% to $103.45, marking its third consecutive weekly loss and a total decline of 25.9% over the past month [2] - The stock is on track for its 11th loss in the last 13 sessions and is trading below its 126-day moving average for the first time since late January, testing a key psychological support level at $100 [2] Group 3: JD.com - JD.com’s stock is down 8.6% to $33.61, with a total loss of 31.7% over the past six months and a decline of 7.1% in 2025 [3] - The stock is trading below its 160-day moving average for the first time since late September and is at risk of closing below $34, a level not breached since mid-January [3] Group 4: PDD Holdings - PDD Holdings' stock has fallen 6.8% to $97.17, heading for its eighth loss in the past 10 sessions and dropping below the $100 mark for the first time since early February [4] - Although shares are flat year-to-date, they have decreased by 16.5% over the last 12 months and are trading below all major short- and long-term moving averages, indicating broad technical weakness [4]
Michael Burry's top stocks set to wipe $10 million in two days
Finbold· 2025-04-07 11:36
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry's investment in Chinese technology stocks, particularly Alibaba, initially showed significant gains but has recently faced substantial losses due to market volatility and stock price declines [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Performance - In Q1 2025, Burry's portfolio was highly successful, with Alibaba shares rising over 50% during the AI boom [1]. - On April 4, 2025, Burry's three largest holdings lost $3.76 million in a single day, with Alibaba down 9.89% to $116.54, JD.com down 7.74% to $36.81, and Baidu down 8.21% to $82.43 [3]. - As of April 7, 2025, the losses continued, with predictions indicating a potential loss of $6.3 million if U.S. stock prices mirrored those in China [5][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The Hong Kong benchmark HSI index fell 13.22% on April 7, 2025, influenced by reciprocal tariffs between the U.S. and China [5]. - Year-to-date, Alibaba shares were down 17.98%, Baidu down 14.01%, and JD.com down 15.51% [6]. - The performance of these stocks in the U.S. market is expected to align closely with their performance in China, raising concerns for Burry's investments [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - There is uncertainty regarding whether Burry sold his stakes in these companies while they were still trading high or if he missed the opportunity during the Q1 rally [8].