The recovery on Friday came after a sharp sell-off driven largely by weakness in technology shares, particularly software stocks. During that period, risk appetite had deteriorated, with Bitcoin also plunging before recovering some of its losses as markets stabilised. US equities traded lower on Monday as investors turned cautious ahead of a series of closely watched economic releases and another round of corporate earnings, following a volatile week that ended with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching ...

Economic Data - The People's Bank of China will release January CPI and PPI on February 11 [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics will publish the monthly report on January commodity residential sales price index on February 13 [1] - Financial data including January social financing and new RMB loans will also be released next week [1] - In the US, December retail sales month-on-month will be announced on February 10, followed by January unemployment rate and non-farm employment data on February 11 [1] Earnings Reports - The US earnings season continues with several notable companies reporting next week, including BP, Barclays, Marriott, Coca-Cola, and AstraZeneca on February 10 [2] - Other companies such as NetEase, Youdao, and Total will report on February 11, while TripAdvisor and Hyatt will report on February 12 [2] - In Hong Kong, SMIC will report earnings on February 10, followed by Budweiser APAC and NetEase Cloud Music on February 11 [2] New Stock Issuance - One new stock, Tongbao Optoelectronics, will be available for subscription on February 9, with Ai De Technology listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange on February 10 [2] - Several new stocks will list in Hong Kong, including Lanke Technology on February 9 and Aixin Yuanzhi on February 10 [2] Stock Unlocking - A total of 33 restricted stocks will be unlocked next week, with a total market value exceeding 36 billion yuan, led by Hunan YN with 24.096 billion yuan [3][10] Central Bank Operations - The central bank will have 4.055 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing next week, with specific amounts maturing each day [3][10] Government Bonds - The Ministry of Finance will issue the first phase of RMB government bonds in Hong Kong on February 11, with a scale of 14 billion yuan [13]

Economic Data and Earnings Reports - Key economic releases this week include delayed January jobs data, consumer inflation, and retail sales reports due to a recent government shutdown [1][3][4] - The January jobs report is expected to show fewer job additions than anticipated, despite a decrease in the unemployment rate [3] - The January CPI inflation report is anticipated to reveal steady inflation, with core inflation lower than expectations, influencing Federal Reserve rate decisions [4] Company Earnings - Cisco is set to report earnings, which may provide insights into AI infrastructure demand, with the CEO highlighting significant opportunities in this sector [5] - Consumer stocks such as Coca-Cola and McDonald's are also reporting; Coca-Cola has recently exceeded profit expectations, while McDonald's may reveal trends among affluent customers [6] - Other notable earnings reports include those from Ford, Honda, Ferrari, AstraZeneca, Moderna, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals, which will provide insights into auto sales and pharmaceutical demand [7]

Core Viewpoint - Lincoln is facing a significant decline in sales in the Chinese market, with a recall announcement highlighting safety issues and reflecting broader challenges within the luxury automotive sector [3][4]. Sales Performance - In 2025, Lincoln sold only 36,255 vehicles in China, a year-on-year decline of over 30%, averaging just over 3,000 units per month [5][6]. - The sales breakdown for 2025 is as follows: Nautilus (17,457 units), Lincoln Z (12,584 units), Aviator (4,363 units), and Navigator (1,851 units), indicating a heavy reliance on Nautilus and Lincoln Z for total sales [6]. - Lincoln's sales have been in continuous decline for four years, dropping from over 90,000 units in 2021 to 53,000 units in 2024, with year-on-year declines of 13%, 9%, 26%, and 31% respectively [6]. Market Context - The traditional luxury car market is shrinking, with major brands like Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi also experiencing sales declines in China [6]. - Lincoln's sales drop is more pronounced than that of its competitors, attributed to decreased brand appeal, slow transition to electric vehicles, and insufficient product competitiveness [6]. Broader Industry Trends - The partnership between Ford China and Changan Automobile has also seen a significant drop in sales, with wholesale sales halving from 2024 to 2025 [7].

Ford Motor Company - Ford is shifting away from all-electric vehicles (EVs) and will no longer produce an all-electric version of its popular F-150 truck, focusing instead on lower-priced EVs and hybrids [1][3] - This strategic change will incur a one-time charge of $19.5 billion but is expected to align the auto lineup with customer demand and potentially lead to stronger profits in the long term [3] - Ford's stock is currently trading near 52-week highs, with a price-to-earnings ratio above its five-year average, indicating that it may not be an attractive option for value investors [4] Rivian Automotive - Rivian is preparing to launch the R2, a lower-priced EV truck model aimed at expanding sales and achieving sustainable profitability [6][8] - The company has sufficient cash to bring the R2 to market by 2026, but consumer demand for the vehicle remains uncertain until it is available for sale [8] - Given the significance of the R2 launch, conservative investors may prefer to wait for sales results before investing, while aggressive investors might also hold off due to the product's importance [9] Investment Outlook - Currently, neither Ford nor Rivian stocks are considered strong buys, with potential changes in investment attractiveness depending on Ford's stock price movements or the success of Rivian's R2 launch [10]

Core Insights - Sentiment towards Ford's Model e division has fluctuated significantly, culminating in a record sales month in 2025 due to the $7,500 EV tax credit expiring in September [1] Financial Performance - Ford's Model e division incurred a loss of $1.4 billion in Q3, contributing to a total loss of $3.6 billion for the year, primarily from first-generation EV products [2][3] - The company initially projected a loss of $5 billion for Model e in 2023, with actual losses exceeding expectations [3][7] Strategic Shifts - CEO Jim Farley aims to make Model e profitable by 2029, drawing inspiration from BYD's cost structure [4][5] - Ford is transitioning its EV strategy to focus on lower-priced models to enhance competitiveness [6][8] Market Context - EV sales in the U.S. reached a peak of 12% market share in the first three quarters of the year but dropped to 5% in Q4 [3] - Global EV sales figures indicate that China leads with 6.4 million units sold, followed by Europe with 2.2 million, and the U.S. with 1.2 million [10]

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is ongoing, with significant results from major companies like Alphabet, Amazon, AMD, Qualcomm, and Palantir [1] - As of February 6, 59% of S&P 500 companies have reported their fourth quarter results, with analysts estimating a 13% increase in earnings per share, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2][4] - Analysts initially expected an 8.3% increase in earnings per share for the fourth quarter, a decrease from the previous quarter's 13.6% growth rate, but have since raised expectations, particularly for tech companies [4] Group 2 - Major capital expenditures by Big Tech are influencing the AI trade, with ongoing themes from 2025, such as artificial intelligence and economic policies, continuing to impact investor sentiment [5] - Upcoming earnings reports are anticipated from companies including Coca-Cola, Spotify, Robinhood, Lyft, Ford, Rivian, Moderna, Airbnb, and Coinbase [6]

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Core Insights - Ford is experiencing a strong recovery and is poised for steady growth over the next five years, following a challenging period [1] - The brand remains a powerful asset for Ford, with iconic vehicles like the F-Series and Mustang leading their respective market segments [2] Sales Performance - In 2025, Ford sold 828,842 F-Series trucks, significantly outperforming its closest competitor, Chevrolet Silverado, which sold 587,527 units [3] - The Mustang also saw a sales increase, with 45,333 units sold in 2025, marking a 3% rise from 2024 [3] - Overall, Ford's year-end sales increased by 6%, growing its market share to 13.2%, with fourth-quarter sales up by 2.7% [6] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Ford's revenues grew by 9% year over year, reaching $50.5 billion [6] - The company's net cash position improved by 14.2% year over year, totaling $26.79 billion [7] - Free cash flow surged by 50.3%, while operating free cash flow increased by 34.5% in the same quarter [7] Competitive Landscape - The discontinuation of the Chevy Camaro has left the Mustang as the only major competitor in the sports car segment, enhancing Ford's market position [4] - Ford's model lineup focuses on SUVs and pickup trucks, with the Mustang being the sole car produced [4] - Ford's strong sales figures set the stage for a favorable earnings report, contrasting with General Motors, which reported a significant operating loss in Q4 2025 [9]

Core Insights - Ford is experiencing a strong recovery and is poised for steady growth over the next five years, following a challenging period [1] Sales Performance - In 2025, Ford sold 828,842 F-Series trucks, significantly outperforming its closest competitor, Chevrolet Silverado, which sold 587,527 units [3] - Ford's Mustang sales reached 45,333 units in 2025, marking a 3% increase from 2024 [3] - Overall, Ford's total year-end sales increased by 6%, with a market share growth to 13.2% [6] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Ford's revenues grew by 9% year over year, reaching $50.5 billion [6] - The company's net cash position improved by 14.2% year over year, totaling $26.79 billion [7] - Free cash flow surged by 50.3%, while operating free cash flow increased by 34.5% in the same quarter [7] Competitive Landscape - The discontinuation of the Chevy Camaro has left Ford's Mustang as the only major competitor in the sports car segment, with the Corvette experiencing a 26.4% sales decline [4] - Ford's model lineup focuses on SUVs and pickup trucks, with the Mustang being the sole car produced [4] Market Outlook - The strong vehicle sales at the end of 2025 set a positive outlook for Ford's upcoming earnings report, expected to outperform General Motors, which reported a significant operating loss in Q4 2025 [9]