Core Viewpoint - TJX Cos has forecasted annual sales and profit below Wall Street estimates, indicating strained discretionary spending among budget-conscious consumers amid economic uncertainty [1][2] Group 1: Sales and Profit Forecast - The company expects annual comparable sales to rise between 2% and 3%, lower than analysts' average estimate of 3.5% growth [3] - Earnings per share for fiscal 2027 are forecasted to be between $4.93 and $5.02, compared to analysts' average estimate of $5.18 per share [3] Group 2: Market Conditions and Competition - There are growing concerns over declining discretionary purchases as living costs rise, leading to smaller basket sizes and softer demand among lower-income shoppers [2] - The company faces intense competition from rivals such as Ross Stores, Burlington Stores, Amazon.com, and fast-fashion chains like Shein, all expanding their discount offerings [3] Group 3: Recent Performance and Market Reaction - TJX reported a quarterly comparable sales increase of 5%, exceeding the estimate of 3.6% growth [4] - Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $1.43, surpassing the expectation of $1.39 per share [5] - Overall store traffic increased by 2.8% at TJ Maxx and 3.3% at Marshalls compared to the previous year, boosted by the holiday season [5] - The company announced an additional share repurchase plan of up to $3 billion [5]

T.J. Maxx parent TJX Cos. posted a jump in profit and sales during the fourth quarter as it continued to scoop up market share, but the discount retailer guided for growth to slow slightly over the co... ...

Group 1 - TJX Cos forecasts annual sales and profit below Wall Street estimates due to budget-conscious consumers reducing discretionary spending amid macroeconomic uncertainty [1] - The company expects annual comparable sales to rise between 2% and 3%, lower than analysts' average estimate of 3.5% growth [1] - TJX anticipates earnings per share for fiscal 2027 to be between $4.93 and $5.02, compared to analysts' average estimate of $5.18 per share [1] Group 2 - TJX reported quarterly revenue of $17.74 billion, exceeding analysts' average estimate of $17.36 billion [1] - The company faces margin pressures as economic challenges impact its core customer base, primarily lower-income shoppers, leading to smaller basket sizes and softer demand [1]

We recently published an article titled 12 Best Retail Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. On February 23, The TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE:TJX) saw JPMorgan raise its price target to $173 from $154 while maintaining an Overweight rating as part of an earnings preview across the retail sector. During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE:TJX) delivered strong financial performance, with comparable sales increasing 5%, driven by higher average basket size and increased customer tr ...

Time now for Options Corner. Joining us now to take a deeper look at the chart is Rick Dukat, lead market technician for the Schwab network. All right, Rick, take us through the trends that you notice on this chart for TJX.>> Yeah, TJX not too shabby at all of a year here. Up uh almost 30% during the past 52 weeks. Compare that to the S&P 14% and its consumer discretionary sector only 5.7%.But really when you actually look at some of the other names in this discount retail space, uh TJX is actually kind of ...

Key Takeaways TJX to report Q4 results on Feb. 25, with revenues seen near $17.4 billion, up 6.4% Y/Y.Earnings per share are expected at $1.38, a 12.2% rise from the prior-year period.Higher wages, freight, shrink and tariff costs may pressure TJX's profitability in Q4.The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is likely to register top and bottom-line growth when it reports fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on Feb. 25. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $17.4 billion, which indicates a 6 ...

Core Insights - TJX is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.38 per share, reflecting a 12.2% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $17.4 billion, a 6.4% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [2] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Sales- Marmaxx' to reach $10.46 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +4.9% [4] - 'Net Sales- TJX International' is projected at $2.33 billion, reflecting a +12.1% change from the prior-year quarter [4] - 'Net Sales- TJX Canada' is expected to be $1.52 billion, showing a +5.2% year-over-year change [4] - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales- HomeGoods' stands at $2.99 billion, indicating a +5% change from the year-ago quarter [5] Comparable Store Sales - 'Comparable store sales (YoY change) - Total' is expected to be 3.1%, down from 5.0% in the previous year [5] - 'Comparable store sales (YoY change) - HomeGoods' is projected at 3.0%, compared to 5.0% last year [5] - 'Comparable store sales (YoY change) - Marmaxx' is estimated at 3.6%, down from 4.0% in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Comparable Store Sales - TJX Canada - YoY change' is projected at 1.5%, significantly lower than the 10.0% reported in the same quarter of the previous year [6] - 'Comparable Store sales- TJX International (Europe & Australia)' is expected to be 2.5%, down from 7.0% in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - TJX shares have returned +2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a -0.8% change [7] - With a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), TJX is anticipated to outperform the overall market in the near future [7]

Core Viewpoint - TJX Companies Inc is experiencing a slight decline of 0.7% in its stock price to $156.19 as investors await the upcoming quarterly earnings report scheduled for February 25 [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The fourth-quarter earnings report is anticipated to be released before the market opens on February 25 [1] - Historically, TJX has seen its stock price increase the day after earnings reports seven times in the last two years [1] - The average stock price movement following earnings in this period has been 2.2% [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Options trading indicates a larger-than-usual expected price swing of 5.1% for this earnings report, regardless of the direction [1]

Earnings Reports - A variety of companies are set to announce quarterly results, including Domino's Pizza, C3.ai, Dell Technologies, Home Depot, Nvidia, Salesforce, and others [2] Economic Data Releases - Key economic data to be released includes factory orders, the S&P Case-Shiller home price index, wholesale inventories, consumer confidence data, and the producer price index (PPI) for January [3][4] Federal Reserve Speeches - Several Federal Reserve officials, including Christopher Waller, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, and Lisa Cook, are scheduled to deliver speeches throughout the week [3]

Core Insights - The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has shown an 11.05% return over the past year, but its performance has slowed with only a 2.47% increase year-to-date and a 3.34% decline in the past month, indicating uncertainty in consumer spending [1] Retail Performance - Walmart (WMT) exceeded revenue estimates by $4.33 billion, driven by a 27% surge in eCommerce sales, resulting in a 15.65% stock increase year-to-date [1] - TJX Companies reported a 5% rise in comparable sales and a 7.49% increase in total revenue, benefiting from consumers shifting towards value retailers [1] - Dollar General (DG) achieved a 37.6% EPS beat and 2.5% same-store sales growth, reflecting the trend of value-seeking consumer behavior [1] - Target (TGT) experienced an 18.91% decline in operating income, struggling to maintain competitiveness without a clear value proposition [1] Consumer Spending Trends - The performance of XRT is closely tied to U.S. consumer spending, with December 2025 retail sales reported at $735 billion, flat month-over-month but up 3.3% year-over-year [1] - A decline in monthly growth below 2% or consecutive negative months could exert downward pressure on XRT, compressing margins across its holdings [1] - The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is at 52.9, indicating recessionary territory, with sustained readings below 50 signaling potential spending declines [1] Equal-Weight Methodology - XRT's equal-weight structure allows smaller retailers to have the same influence as larger ones, which can lead to significant performance shifts during quarterly rebalancing events [1] - Monitoring State Street's monthly holdings files and quarterly rebalance announcements is crucial for understanding potential changes in exposure to discount versus full-price retail [1]