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TJX Stock Up 30% in 2025: What's the Smart Move for 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-12 16:01
Core Insights - TJX Companies, Inc. has demonstrated exceptional performance in 2025, with shares increasing by 30.4% year to date, reflecting strong investor confidence in its off-price model and consistent sales performance [1][9] - The company's growth has outpaced key benchmarks, including a 6.4% increase in the Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry and a 20.9% rise in the S&P 500 [2] - TJX's stock performance has surpassed major peers in the off-price retail sector, with Ross Stores gaining 22.4%, while Costco and Burlington experienced declines of 3% and 5.5% respectively [3] Stock Performance - TJX shares reached a 52-week high of $157.72, closing at $155.58, and are trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $145.67 and $132.02, indicating a bullish trend [7][8] - The stock's year-to-date performance of 30.4% is supported by strong customer traffic and a 5% growth in comparable sales for Q3 [9] Business Model and Growth Drivers - TJX benefits from a flexible off-price model that allows for rapid sourcing of quality branded merchandise, enhancing the shopping experience and customer retention [10] - The company reported a 5% increase in comparable sales in Q3 across all divisions, indicating broad momentum [11] - TJX plans to expand its store footprint from 5,191 to a target of 7,000 stores, including entry into Spain, supported by strong inventory availability [12] Financial Outlook - Management has raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting a 4% growth in comparable sales, a pretax profit margin of 11.6%, and EPS of $4.63 to $4.66, reflecting a 9% increase from the previous year [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TJX's fiscal 2026 EPS has increased by 1 cent to $4.66, with projected earnings growth of 9.4% in fiscal 2026 and 8.9% in fiscal 2027 [19] Challenges - Rising operating costs are impacting profitability, with SG&A expenses increasing by 60 basis points, complicating margin expansion [14] - Shrinkage remains a concern, as last year's favorable adjustments create tougher comparisons for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter [15] Valuation - TJX's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 30.97, slightly above the industry average of 29.88 and significantly higher than the broader sector average of 24.92 [16] Investment Strategy - Given strong traffic trends, upgraded guidance, and market-share gains, TJX is positioned as a durable name in off-price retail, although the stock's recent rally suggests a hold strategy rather than aggressive accumulation [21]
华尔街顶级分析师最新评级:亚马逊获首次覆盖、通用电气能源升级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 15:13
Core Viewpoint - The article summarizes the latest analyst ratings from Wall Street, highlighting significant upgrades, downgrades, and new coverage that could impact market sentiment and investment decisions [1][6]. Upgrades - Oppenheimer upgraded General Electric Energy (GEV) from "Hold" to "Outperform," setting a target price of $855, citing improved pricing and sales, along with enhanced factory utilization and operational efficiency [5]. - JPMorgan raised PepsiCo (PEP) from "Neutral" to "Overweight," increasing the target price from $151 to $164, due to the company's accelerated innovation and marketing spending [5]. - HSBC upgraded AbbVie (ABBV) from "Hold" to "Buy," with a target price increase from $225 to $265, noting the company's growth momentum and strong execution capabilities [5]. - Morgan Stanley raised Terex (TEX) from "Equal Weight" to "Overweight," with a target price increase from $47 to $60, as the company's performance has rebounded and its business mix has improved [5]. - Oppenheimer upgraded Dyne Therapeutics (DYN) from "Hold" to "Outperform," significantly raising the target price from $11 to $40, highlighting the stock's undervaluation compared to its competitor Avidity [5]. Downgrades - HSBC downgraded Biogen (BIIB) from "Hold" to "Reduce," with a slight target price decrease from $144 to $143, citing the poor performance of its multiple sclerosis business [5]. - Jefferies lowered Emerson Electric (EMR) from "Buy" to "Hold," maintaining a target price of $145, indicating limited short-term upside due to the company's recent performance outlook [5]. - JPMorgan downgraded Noble Energy (NE) from "Overweight" to "Neutral," raising the target price from $31 to $33, while expressing caution about upstream capital expenditures [5]. - Jefferies downgraded Rexnord (RRX) from "Buy" to "Hold," reducing the target price from $170 to $160, noting that the company's transformation plan is taking longer than expected [5]. - Jefferies lowered Vail Resorts (VLTO) from "Buy" to "Hold," with a target price decrease from $125 to $105, stating that the current stock price reflects the company's stable demand and strong returns [5]. New Coverage - Guggenheim initiated coverage on Amazon (AMZN) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $300, suggesting that the retail sector is showing signs of improvement despite previous concerns [9]. - B. Riley initiated coverage on Roblox (RBLX) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $125, highlighting the company's strong long-term fundamentals [13]. - Cowen initiated coverage on Sensata Technologies (IOT) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of $55, believing the company's platform aligns well with the $45 trillion "physical operations" industry [13]. - B. Riley initiated coverage on Take-Two (TTWO) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $300, driven by the anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto 6 in November 2026 [13]. - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce initiated coverage on Shark Ninja (SN) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $135, viewing the company as a "category disruptor" [13].
Can TJX Extend Margin Gains as Freight Costs Continue to Ease?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 16:25
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. reported a significant increase in profitability due to easing freight costs, with gross margin expanding by 100 basis points to 32.6% and pretax profit margin rising to 12.7% [1][7] - The company is benefiting from favorable ocean freight rates and efficiencies in merchandise movement, alongside strong availability of quality branded inventory [2] - Guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter indicates a moderation in margins, with gross margin expected to be between 30.5% and 30.6%, suggesting that the substantial gains from the third quarter may not be repeated [3] Financial Performance - TJX's gross margin increased by 100 basis points to 32.6% in the third quarter, primarily driven by lower freight costs and strong merchandise margins [7] - The pretax profit margin rose by 40 basis points year-over-year, exceeding the company's expectations [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TJX's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 9.4% and 8.9%, respectively [9] Comparison with Competitors - Walmart Inc. continues to show steady margin improvement, supported by disciplined inventory controls and a favorable business mix, although freight is not the primary margin lever for Walmart [4] - Burlington Stores, Inc. reported a 30-basis-point gross margin increase in the third quarter, benefiting from direct freight-related tailwinds and ongoing cost-saving initiatives [5] Valuation Metrics - TJX shares have gained 4.8% in the past month, outperforming the industry growth of 2.1% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.53X, slightly above the industry's average of 30.16X [8]
Off-price retailers neutralize tariff impact
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-08 09:00
Core Insights - The three major off-price chains in the U.S. successfully mitigated the impact of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration in Q3, a feat not commonly achieved by other retailers this year [1][2]. Company Performance - **TJX Companies**: - Achieved a gross margin increase of 1 percentage point to 32.6% and a net income rise of 11% to $1.4 billion in Q3. - Overall net sales increased by 7% year over year to over $15 billion, with comparable store sales at Marmaxx rising by 6% and at U.S. HomeGoods by 5% [3][4]. - **Ross Stores**: - Sales grew by 10% year over year to $5.6 billion, with comparable store sales up by 7%. - Operating margin decreased by 35 basis points to 11.6% due to tariff impacts, although the company managed to partially offset these costs through opportunistic buys and an increase in name brands [5]. - **Burlington Stores**: - Total sales rose by 7% from last year to $2.7 billion, with comparable store sales increasing by 1%. - Despite mixed results, gross margin expanded by 30 basis points to 44.2%, and merchandise margin increased by 10 basis points [6].
TJX seen extending sales momentum as pricing power boosts margins – BofA
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-12-04 19:18
Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company has a team of experienced and qualified news journalists who produce independent content [2] Market Focus - Proactive specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - The content delivered includes insights across various sectors such as biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
TJ Maxx Hits the Road with the First-Ever "Maxxinista Express" Holiday Tour Inspired by its Iconic Superfans
Prnewswire· 2025-12-04 16:16
Core Concept - TJ Maxx is launching the Maxxinista Express, a unique double-decker bus tour across the country to enhance holiday shopping experiences for fans, featuring stops at three TJ Maxx stores in select cities throughout December [1][3]. Group 1: Event Details - The Maxxinista Express will travel to Los Angeles, Dallas, and Miami, with specific dates for each city: December 4, December 11, and December 18, 2025 [7]. - Each tour stop will include a full day of shopping, festive activities, and themed competitions such as Maxx-themed bingo and trivia [4][5]. - The bus will feature exclusive merchandise, custom storage for shopping hauls, and photo opportunities designed for social media sharing [4][5]. Group 2: Community Engagement - The initiative aims to celebrate the Maxxinista community, encouraging fans to connect and share their shopping experiences [3][5]. - The event will be co-hosted by celebrities, including Janel Parrish, to enhance engagement and excitement among participants [5][6]. - Fans unable to attend can follow the journey on social media platforms like TikTok and Instagram for exclusive content [7]. Group 3: Brand Positioning - TJ Maxx positions itself as a leader in the off-price retail sector, with over 1,300 stores across 49 states and Puerto Rico, emphasizing value and style for shoppers [9]. - The Maxxinista Express is designed to resonate with the brand's core audience, celebrating their passion for discovering unique finds at great prices [2][3].
Will TJX Q3 Sales Momentum Continue as Marmaxx and HomeGoods Shine?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 15:50
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. reported a 5% consolidated comparable sales growth in Q3 of fiscal 2026, with Marmaxx apparel achieving 6% and HomeGoods 5% growth, indicating strong performance in both segments [1][8] Sales Performance - Comparable sales growth was driven by increased customer transactions and a higher average basket size, with management noting selective price increases and strong value perception among consumers [2][4] - HomeGoods contributed stability with unique merchandise and plans for further store openings, enhancing customer traffic [3][8] Competitive Landscape - In comparison, Walmart Inc. achieved a 4.5% comparable sales increase, driven by e-commerce growth of 28%, while Burlington Stores reported a 1% increase in comparable store sales, rebounding after a drop due to weather conditions [5][6] Valuation and Estimates - TJX shares have increased by 7.1% over the past month, outperforming the industry growth of 1.8% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 29.77X, slightly below the industry average of 30.06X [9] - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate year-over-year earnings growth of 9.6% for fiscal 2026 and 9.4% for fiscal 2027 [10]
Bernstein Boosts TJX Companies (TJX) Price Target Following Strong Quarterly Results
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 06:37
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. is recognized as one of the best performing retail stocks in 2025, with Bernstein SocGen Group raising its price target to $155 from $152 while maintaining an Outperform rating [1] - The company's Q3 performance showed a 5% improvement in consolidated comparable sales and a pre-tax profit margin increase of 40 basis points year-over-year to 12.7%, driven by strong demand in apparel and home sectors [2] - Bernstein expressed confidence in TJX's long-term prospects, highlighting its consistent performance and expected upside from EPS outperformance [3] Company Overview - The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as an off-price clothing and home fashion retailer, with store brands including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, as well as international brands like T.K. Maxx and Winners [3]
TJX(TJX) - 2026 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-12-02 16:19
Financial Performance - Net sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 increased by 7% to $15.1 billion compared to $14.1 billion in the same quarter last year[92]. - Consolidated comparable sales (comp sales) rose by 5% for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by a higher average basket and increased customer transactions[96]. - Diluted earnings per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 were $1.28, up from $1.14 in the third quarter of fiscal 2025[92]. - Net income for Q3 FY2026 was $1.4 billion, or $1.28 per diluted share, compared to $1.3 billion, or $1.14 per diluted share, in Q3 FY2025[116]. - Net sales for the nine months ended November 1, 2025, totaled $42.6 billion, reflecting a 7% increase compared to $40 billion in the same period last year[95]. - For the first nine months of FY2026, net income was $3.7 billion, or $3.30 per diluted share, compared to $3.5 billion, or $3.03 per diluted share, in the same period of FY2025[117]. Cost and Expenses - The cost of sales ratio decreased to 67.4% for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, down 1.0 percentage points from 68.4% in the same quarter last year[108]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses as a percentage of net sales increased to 20.1% for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up 0.6 percentage points from 19.5% in the prior year[110]. - General corporate expenses rose to $216 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, compared to $150 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2025, primarily due to higher administrative costs[148][149]. Profit Margins - The pre-tax profit margin for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 was 12.7%, a 0.4 percentage point increase from 12.3% in the third quarter of fiscal 2025[92]. - Segment profit margin for Marmaxx increased to 14.9% in Q3 FY2026 from 14.3% in Q3 FY2025, attributed to favorable merchandise margins and expense leverage[126]. - Segment profit margin for HomeGoods rose to 13.5% in Q3 FY2026 from 12.3% in Q3 FY2025, driven by favorable merchandise margins and lower supply chain costs[133]. - Segment profit margin for TJX Canada decreased to 14.9% in Q3 FY2026 from 15.1% in Q3 FY2025, primarily due to higher capitalized inventory costs and payroll expenses[138]. - Segment profit margin improved to 9.2% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up from 7.3% in the same period last year, due to higher merchandise margins and favorable foreign exchange impacts[146]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned $1.1 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends during the third quarter of fiscal 2026[92]. - The company repurchased 13.4 million shares for $1.7 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, similar to the 15.4 million shares repurchased for the same amount in the prior year[157]. - Quarterly dividends declared were $0.425 per share for the first nine months of fiscal 2026, compared to $0.375 per share in the same period of fiscal 2025, totaling $1.4 billion in cash payments[159]. Inventory and Store Operations - The number of stores in operation increased by approximately 3% as of November 1, 2025, compared to the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2025[97]. - Average per store inventories increased by 8% at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to the same period last year[92]. Tax and Cash Position - The effective income tax rate decreased to 24.7% for Q3 FY2026 from 25.3% in Q3 FY2025, primarily due to increased tax benefits from share-based compensation and federal tax credits[115]. - As of November 1, 2025, the company held $4.6 billion in cash, with $1.6 billion held by foreign subsidiaries[151]. Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow - Capital expenditures for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 were primarily for store improvements and renovations, with anticipated full-year spending of approximately $2.1 billion to $2.2 billion[155]. - Operating activities generated net cash inflows of $3.7 billion for the nine months ended November 1, 2025, an increase of $305 million compared to the same period in fiscal 2025[153].
Best retail stocks to own heading into the 2025 holiday season
Invezz· 2025-11-30 10:00
Core Insights - Consumer discretionary stocks have underperformed compared to the broader market this year, but there are signs of increasing momentum as the holiday season approaches [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Consumer discretionary stocks have lagged behind the broader market in 2023 [1] - The upcoming holiday season is expected to drive a shift in momentum for these stocks [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Shoppers are increasingly focused on value and brand engagement as they prepare for the holiday season [1]