国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 1月28日消息，据台媒报道，台积电嘉义科学园区先进封测厂，近 日 再传出 2 起工安事故，造成 2 名工人受伤，让现场施工人员直呼「越是关键时刻，工 地安全越是不能松懈」。 本月 22 日，台积电举办 AP7 媒体导览时，台积电资深副总经理暨副共同营运长侯永清公开宣示，将与营建伙伴成立「半导体营建工程安全协会」，集合 大家力量把台湾安全提升到另一层次，预计明年初开始运作。 不过，没过几天， AP7 昨天接连发生 2 起工安意外。据了解，这 2 起事件分别造成 2 名工人受伤，轻者脚受伤需缝针、重者脚踝皮开肉绽，送医救治。 台积电在嘉科园区设立 2 座先进封装厂，去年 5 月起发生一连串工安事故，酿 2 死 5 伤，引发社会关注，如今农历年前，再传工安事故，引起外界质疑台 积电工安承诺跳票。 半导体公众号推荐 半导体论坛百万微信群 加群步骤： 第一步：扫描下方二维码，关注国芯网微信公众号。 今年元旦起，嘉科工安检查由南科管理局接管，南科管理局长郑秀绒日前的一番话，「台积电是业界领头羊，要做到工安不打折 ...

Market Overview - US stock index futures showed mixed results, with Nasdaq futures up 0.84%, S&P 500 futures up 0.27%, and Dow futures down 0.03% [1] - Major European indices collectively declined, with Germany's DAX down 0.5%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.51%, France's CAC down 1.29%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.29% [1] - Spot gold surpassed $5,300 per ounce, setting a new historical record, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 23% [1] Company Developments - Amazon announced plans to cut approximately 16,000 corporate jobs to streamline its structure amid AI competition [5] - Tesla's new car registrations in Europe last year totaled 238,656 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.9% [6] - ASML reported Q4 revenue of €9.718 billion, exceeding expectations, and announced a €12 billion stock buyback while planning to streamline its technology and IT departments [7] - Seagate Technology's Q2 revenue grew by 22% year-on-year to $2.83 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.11, both surpassing expectations [8] - AT&T's Q4 revenue was $33.5 billion, with a net addition of 421,000 postpaid wireless phone users, which fell short of expectations [9] - Corning's Q4 sales reached $4.41 billion, with core earnings per share of $0.72, both exceeding expectations [10] - Texas Instruments reported a 10% year-on-year revenue increase to $4.42 billion, with earnings per share of $1.27 [11] - LVMH's revenue exceeded €80.8 billion, with a net profit decline of 13%; Q4 demand in Asia was stronger than expected [12] - Vale's iron ore and copper production reached 336 million tons and 382,000 tons, respectively, marking the highest levels since 2018 [13] Strategic Moves - Guo Minghao, an analyst at Tianfeng International Securities, indicated that Apple’s pricing strategy for the new iPhone 18 in 2H26 is to "keep prices as low as possible" [4] - But Bin revealed a $9.1 billion US stock portfolio, with Google replacing Nvidia as the top holding, while Netflix, TSMC, and Broadcom were completely sold off [3]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis suggests that TSMC's stock rating has been upgraded to "buy" due to a strong outlook despite previous concerns about revenue growth slowing and high valuations [4]. Revenue Performance - TSMC's revenue growth has slowed, primarily due to capacity constraints, but the company is accelerating its expansion plans [4][7]. - In Q4 2025, TSMC achieved revenue of $33.7 billion, exceeding prior guidance, although the growth rate showed a significant decline compared to the previous quarter [7][9]. - The company is facing capacity limitations, which are impacting overall business scale, as evidenced by Nvidia's request for increased H200 chip production [8]. Advanced Process Technology - Revenue from TSMC's 3nm, 5nm, and 7nm processes constitutes a significant portion of total revenue, with 3nm revenue showing substantial growth [14]. - The increase in 3nm process revenue is expected to enhance gross margins, indicating positive signals for investors [14]. Profitability Metrics - TSMC's gross margin reached 62.3% in Q4, up 3.3 percentage points year-over-year, reflecting strong pricing power [18]. - Operating margin improved to 54%, a 5 percentage point increase year-over-year, showcasing excellent operational efficiency [19]. - Net profit margin was 48.3%, up 5.2 percentage points year-over-year, with earnings per share of $3.14 exceeding market expectations [19]. Financial Health - Cash and marketable securities accounted for 38.7% of total assets, up from 36.2% year-over-year, indicating improved liquidity [21]. - Inventory turnover days decreased from 80 to 74, reflecting strong market demand and enhanced inventory management [21]. - Free cash flow increased by 43% year-over-year, demonstrating robust cash generation capabilities [21]. Capacity Expansion Plans - TSMC is focusing on long-term capacity enhancement, with ongoing investments in the U.S., including land purchases in Arizona for new facilities [23][24]. - These long-term plans aim to alleviate capacity constraints that currently limit growth [24]. Future Outlook and Valuation - TSMC expects Q1 2026 revenue to be between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 38% [26]. - The projected gross margin for this period is between 63% and 65%, indicating sustained pricing power [27]. - The forward P/E ratio has decreased from 29.55 to 23.29, suggesting renewed investment opportunities in TSMC [29].

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 随着人工智能（AI）浪潮席卷全球，半导体产业链成为科技角力的核心战场。然而，根据知名科 技分析网站《Stratechery》的最新报告指出，作为全球晶圆代工龙头的台积电（TSMC），目前 已成为AI 供应链中最大的「风险」来源。这项风险并非源自广受讨论的地缘政治因素，而是源 于台积电早前对市场需求的预判失准，导致未能及早扩充产能，进而造成如今严重的供应瓶颈。 分析师认为，台积电过去几年的投资不足，实际上已成为AI 建设与扩张速度的「实质煞车（de facto brake）」。 报告指出，观察当前的AI 供应链，台积电无疑占据了至关重要的地位。凭借其广泛的代工服务 以及对超大规模云端服务商基础建设的支援，台积电是这波AI 革命不可或缺的推手。由于高效 能运算订单的增长极为强劲，辉达（NVIDIA）甚至已经超越苹果（Apple），成为台积电最大 的客户，这标志着半导体市场结构的重大转变。 只是，面对台积电的供应瓶颈，业界是否会转向其他代工厂？分析师对此持保留态度，并解释了 为何在代工领域进行「多角化」对高效能运算客户而言是一步险棋。尤其是尽管英特尔晶圆代工 （Intel ...

每经AI快讯，1月28日，美股盘前，阿斯麦涨近5%，台积电涨2.5%。 ...

格隆汇1月28日｜英特尔(INTC.US)盘前续涨4.8%，报46.04美元。消息面上，供应链人士透露，英伟达 预计在2028年推出的Feynman架构平台将与英特尔合作，英伟达在合作中采用"量少、低阶、非核心"的 策略。GPU核心芯片仍由台积电代工，而I/O芯片则部分采用英特尔18A或预定2028年量产的14A制程， 最后由英特尔EMIB进行先进封装。按先进封装比重计算，英特尔最高约占25%，台积电约占75%。(格 隆汇) ...

格隆汇1月28日｜有投资者在互动平台向晶晨股份提问：请问贵公司和台积电有合作吗？如果有请简单 介绍一下相关合作项目！晶晨股份回复称，公司与台积电保持着长期稳定的合作关系，台积电为公司多 款芯片产品提供晶圆代工服务，具体的业务情况详见公司定期报告。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia plans to collaborate with Intel on the Feynman architecture platform expected to launch in 2028, adopting a "low-volume, low-tier, non-core" strategy in this partnership, reflecting a shift in supply chain strategy among US tech giants due to political and supply chain pressures [2][3][6]. Group 1: Nvidia and Intel Collaboration - Nvidia's Feynman architecture will involve collaboration with Intel, with core GPU chips still being manufactured by TSMC, while I/O chips will utilize Intel's 18A or the anticipated 14A process, depending on yield conditions [3][6]. - The collaboration is part of a broader trend among US tech companies to diversify their supply chains and reduce reliance on TSMC, driven by political pressures and supply chain resilience considerations [3][4][10]. Group 2: Impact on TSMC - Despite some orders being diverted to Intel, industry analysts believe this shift will benefit TSMC by alleviating monopoly concerns and political pressures, while TSMC remains confident in securing high-end chip orders [4][10]. - TSMC is expected to maintain a dominant position in high-end chip manufacturing, as the orders moving to Intel are primarily non-core, allowing TSMC to strengthen its bargaining power and supply capabilities in the future [10]. Group 3: Other Companies Involved - Other major companies such as Apple, Google, Microsoft, AWS, Qualcomm, Broadcom, AMD, and Tesla are also in discussions with Intel for potential collaborations, indicating a significant shift in the semiconductor landscape [2][3][8]. - Apple's renewed partnership with Intel for entry-level M-series processors is driven by the need to mitigate manufacturing risks and respond to US manufacturing goals and tariff impacts [8].

Market Performance - The market showed mixed performance from January 19 to January 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.84% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11%[5] - The average daily trading volume was 2.80 trillion yuan, a decrease compared to the previous week[5] Healthcare Sector - At the JPM 2026 conference, over 20 Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies showcased their products, with significant business development (BD) transactions announced[16] - In 2025, the value of China's innovative drug patent licensing transactions reached approximately $135.7 billion, a 143% increase year-on-year, with 157 total transactions[20] Consumer Sector - The Qianwen APP integrated with Alibaba's ecosystem, achieving over 100 million monthly active users within two months of launch, marking its entry into the "billion-level club"[25] - This integration allows for a seamless process from search to decision-making and payment, establishing a comprehensive AI application ecosystem[26] Hard Technology Sector - The supply of storage and logic chips remains tight, leading to widespread price increases across the industry[32] - The price of enterprise SSDs continues to rise, with a projected increase of 33-38% for NAND Flash products due to supply constraints[36] High-end Manufacturing - The State Grid announced a total fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), a 40% increase from the previous period, averaging 800 billion yuan annually[42] - The goal is to achieve a 30% share of renewable energy in total power generation by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for the solar and wind energy sectors[46]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Dongfang Hongyuan, under the leadership of Dan Bin, has made significant adjustments to its U.S. stock holdings, focusing more on technology giants [1] - As of the end of Q4 2025, Dongfang Hongyuan held a total of 10 U.S. stocks with a combined market value of approximately $1.316 billion, which is an increase from about $1.292 billion at the end of Q3 2025 [1] - The fund has completely exited positions in several stocks, including Coinbase, Netflix, Astera Labs, BitMine Immersion Technologies, Broadcom, and TSMC [1] Group 2 - Google has replaced Nvidia as the largest holding of Dongfang Hongyuan, with a 40.55% increase in shares during Q4 2025, leading to a significant rise in its portfolio weight [1] - By the end of Q4 2025, the market value of Dongfang Hongyuan's holdings in Google was approximately $406 million, accounting for about 31% of its U.S. stock portfolio [1] - Google's stock experienced a nearly 29% increase in Q4 2025, contributing to its elevated position in the fund's holdings [1]