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报喜鸟(002154):哈吉斯及乐飞叶品牌实现收入增长,加大市场投入致利润下降
长城证券· 2025-04-23 07:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][18]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 1.9% in 2024, with a significant drop in net profit by 29.1% due to increased market investment and brand promotion costs [1][2]. - The multi-brand strategy has been successfully implemented, enhancing the company's core competitiveness and risk resistance [9]. - The company has established a balanced development of its brand matrix, with three brands exceeding 1 billion in revenue [4]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit**: - 2023 revenue was 5,254 million, projected to decrease to 5,153 million in 2024, then increase to 5,505 million in 2025 [1]. - Net profit for 2023 was 698 million, expected to drop to 495 million in 2024, with a recovery to 544 million in 2025 [1]. - **Profitability Ratios**: - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 65.02%, a slight increase from the previous year [2]. - The net profit margin for 2024 is expected to be 10.09%, down 3.78 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - The latest diluted EPS for 2024 is projected at 0.34, down from 0.48 in 2023, with a gradual increase expected in subsequent years [1][9]. Brand Performance Summary - **Brand Revenue**: - The Hazzys brand achieved a revenue of 1.781 billion, a growth of 1.29%, while the Lefuye brand saw a significant increase of 27.95% to 335 million [3]. - The Baonia brand's revenue was 1.009 billion, down 2.89%, and the Baoxin brand revenue decreased by 8.35% to 1.585 billion [3]. - **Channel Development**: - The company has established 1,815 offline stores across various key locations and is actively expanding its online presence through major e-commerce platforms [3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a well-balanced brand matrix with mature, growth, and nurturing brands, allowing for resource sharing and collaborative development [4]. - The acquisition of the international outdoor brand Woolrich marks a significant step towards enhancing the company's multi-brand strategy and international expansion [9].
税友股份(603171):2024年度业绩点评:业绩稳步增长,BG双端持续驱动
长城证券· 2025-04-22 12:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in performance, with both business segments (BG) driving success. The financial indicators reflect significant improvements, particularly in net profit, which increased by 35.01% year-on-year in 2024 [4][5] - The company is actively enhancing its digital tax services, integrating AI-driven solutions to empower small and micro enterprises, with AI products contributing over 20% to the revenue of its digital tax business [2][4] - The user base for the company's platform has seen substantial growth, with active enterprise users reaching 10.7 million, a 30.5% increase from the beginning of the year [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.945 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, and a net profit of 113 million yuan, reflecting a 35% increase [1][4] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 2.311 billion yuan, with an expected net profit of 277 million yuan, indicating a significant growth trajectory [9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 4.5% in 2024 to 16.0% by 2027, showcasing improved profitability [1][9] Business Development and Strategy - The company is committed to supporting digital governance initiatives, contributing to the digitalization of tax management across various provinces [4] - The integration of AI capabilities into the company's services is designed to address client pain points and enhance operational efficiency [4] - The digital governance business segment reported a revenue of 763 million yuan, growing by 3.37% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand for its services [4]
纳思达(002180):自研奔图A3打印机顺利起量,期待未来信创驱动增长
长城证券· 2025-04-22 11:09
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 04 月 22 日 纳思达(002180.SZ) 自研奔图 A3 打印机顺利起量,期待未来信创驱动增长 全球第四的激光打印机厂商,首次覆盖,给予"增持"评级。 公司作为全球第四的激光打印机厂商,国内领先的专用集成电路芯片设计企 业和全球通用耗材行业领导型企业,有望受益于信创发展与集成电路领域带 来的高速成长机会,未来成长空间广阔。预计公司 2025~2027 年归母净利润 分别为 16.93/23.70/30.81 亿元,对应 25/26/27 年 PE 为 19/14/10 倍,首次 覆盖,给予"增持"评级。 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 24,062 | 26,415 | 29,260 | 32,507 | 36,564 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | -6.9 | 9.8 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 12.5 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | -6,185 | 749 | 1,693 ...
韦尔股份(603501):24年扣非净利润同比高增21.1倍,高端手机、汽车市场CIS表现强劲
长城证券· 2025-04-22 10:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [22]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 25.73 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 3.32 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 498.1% year-on-year [2][11]. - The company is a leading player in the image sensor market, with strong performance in high-end mobile phones and automotive sectors, particularly in the CIS (Camera Image Sensor) segment [4][5]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2024 revenue is forecasted at 25.73 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.32 billion yuan, with a remarkable year-on-year growth of 498.1% [2][11]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 29.44%, an increase of 7.68 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin is expected to reach 12.76%, up by 10.18 percentage points [11]. - **Segment Performance**: - The semiconductor design segment is anticipated to generate revenue of 21.64 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 20.6% year-on-year, accounting for 84.3% of total revenue. The automotive CIS revenue is expected to grow by 29.9% to 5.91 billion yuan [3][4]. - The semiconductor distribution segment is projected to achieve revenue of 3.94 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.6% [3]. - **Future Projections**: - The company forecasts net profits of 4.44 billion yuan, 5.64 billion yuan, and 6.80 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34, 27, and 22 [5][15]. - **Cash Flow and Inventory**: - As of the end of 2024, the company's inventory is reported at 6.96 billion yuan, a 10% increase year-on-year. The inventory turnover days decreased by 1 day compared to the previous quarter [5][9]. - **Market Position**: - The company is positioned as a top player in the image sensor market, actively expanding into automotive, medical, and AR/VR applications, indicating significant growth potential [5][4].
电力设备及新能源行业:光伏电池组件逆变器出口月报(25年3月)
长城证券· 2025-04-22 06:55
证券研究报告 光伏电池组件逆变器出口月报 (25年3月) 长城证券产业金融研究院 分析师:于夕朦S1070520030003 吴念峻S1070524070003 评级(强于大市) 2025年4月21日 核心观点 ◼ 逆变器增长趋势企稳,电池组件出现复苏信号。(1)2025年3月,中国太阳能电池片组件合计出口额为 24.63亿美元,同比-23.5%,环比+47.8%,以infolink均价测算对应合计出口量为31.80GW,同比+8.7%, 环比+46.3%。欧洲市场出货节奏趋向合理,库存累积压力与价格竞争乱象放缓,终端需求逐步复苏,3月 国内出口欧洲光伏电池组件8.1GW,为最近数月最高值,亚非等其他新兴市场百花齐放态势延续,各大市 场涌现活力,市场出货、库存周期相对健康,支撑出口增量,3月欧洲以外市场实现电池组件出口23.7GW, 同比+23.84%,亚洲、非洲单月出口量均创下历史最佳。(2)逆变器方面,2025年3月国内出口总额6.33 亿美元,同比+5.68%,出口规模达373.24万台,同比+12.83%。欧洲下游需求回暖、渠道库存状态恢复, 出口额自23年下半年重回同比正增长(3月逆变器出口欧洲地区 ...
债市周观察(4.14-4.20):博弈LPR降息失败
长城证券· 2025-04-22 05:39
证券研究报告 | 固定收益研究*周报 2025 年 04 月 22 日 4 月 LPR 为何没有调降?我们认为 固定收益研究 债市周观察(4.14-4.20)——博弈 LPR 降息失败 一是宏观背景而言,国内 3 月公布的经济、金融数据较好,海外关税由紧 急冲击演变为长期慢变量,且美联储降息窗口未至,降息的紧迫性还是不 强。具体数据来看,2025 年一季度 GDP 实际增速达 5.4%,部分经济指标 也同步改善。金融数据同样释放积极信号,3 月新增社融 5.89 万亿元,新 增人民币贷款 3.64 万亿元,同比多增 5500 亿元。显示企业融资需求回暖 与居民购房意愿的分化。 二是从政策面来看,尽管全面降息暂缺,但结构性工具持续发力:一季度 新发放企业贷款加权平均利率较去年同期下降 45BP,至 3.30%,个人住 房贷款加权平均利率较上年同期下降 60BP,至 3.10%,显示定向降息政 策效果显现。此外,资金面也已经逐渐趋于边际宽松。 三是银行负债端压力还需要逐步释放。4 月 17 日多家银行下调存款利率, 调整幅度为 5 个基点至 40 个基点,且中长期定期存款调整幅度较大。净 息差压力缓解为后续宽松腾 ...
交易型指数基金资金流向周报-20250421
长城证券· 2025-04-21 12:35
证券研究报告 交易型指数基金资金流向周报 ——数据日期:2025/4/14-2025/4/18 | 大 类 | 所属概念 | 基金规模 | 周涨跌幅 | 周资金净买 | 今年以来周涨跌幅 | 今年以来周资金流向 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (亿元) | (%) | 入额(亿元) | 走势图 | 走势图 | | | | 上证50 | 1594.56 | 1.69 | 78.90 | | | | | | 沪深300 | 9834.49 | 0.76 | 340.90 | | | | | | 中证500 | 1401.20 | -0.40 | 34.97 | | | | | | 中证1000 | 1169.17 | -0.48 | 17.29 | | | | | | 创业板指 | 1264.48 | -0.56 | -1.74 | | | | | | 科创创业50 | 329.65 | -0.28 | -1.34 | | | | | | 科创50 | 1812.21 | -0.21 | -14.11 | | | | | 综 ...
一品红(300723):AR882全球III期临床稳步推进,BIC药物潜力凸显
长城证券· 2025-04-21 12:34
证券研究报告|公司动态点评 2025 年 04 月 21 日 一品红(300723.SZ) AR882 全球 III 期临床稳步推进,BIC 药物潜力凸显 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E 增持(首次评级) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 2,280 | 2,503 | 1,618 | 1,973 | 2,251 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 3.7 | 9.8 | -35.4 | 21.9 | 14.1 | | | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 291 | 185 | -575 | 262 | 360 | 行业 | 医药 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | -5.3 | -36.5 | - | 145.6 | 37.4 | 2025 年 4 月 18 日收盘价(元) | 36.95 | | ROE(%) | 12.1 | 5.8 | -27.1 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 总市值(百万元) | 16,690 ...
上周股市企稳,资金继续流入权重指数托市
长城证券· 2025-04-21 12:07
证券研究报告 | 基金研究*周报 2025 年 04 月 21 日 基金研究 上周股市企稳,资金继续流入权重指数托市 上周国内主要股票指数涨跌互现,其中沪深 300、上证 50 和上证指数等大 盘指数涨跌幅分别为 0.59%、1.45%和 1.19%。中证 500、中证 1000 和创业板 指等中小盘指数涨跌幅分别为-0.37%、-0.52%和-0.64%。风格指数涨跌互现, 其中金融风格、周期风格、消费风格、成长风格和稳定风格指数涨跌幅分别 为 2.76%、0.35%、-0.05%、-0.54%和 1.10%。成长风格下,大盘成长、中盘 成长和小盘成长风格指数涨跌幅分别为-0.39%、-0.33%和 3.95%。 综合 ETF 基金中,上周交易额为 1014.99 亿元,比前周变化-1255.55 亿元。 其中,中大盘风格综合 ETF 交易额为 680.29 亿元,变化-692.45 亿元;中小 盘综合 ETF 交易额为 339.55 亿元,变化-567.44 亿元。 截止上周,32 只主题 ETF 的平均周涨跌幅为-0.10%。其中大盘风格 ETF 平均 周涨跌幅为 1.14%,中小盘风格 ETF 平均周 ...
海康威视(002415):创新业务较快增长,25Q1业绩向好
长城证券· 2025-04-21 11:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hikvision, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [5]. Core Views - Hikvision's innovative business is experiencing rapid growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue, which reached 224.84 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 24.31% of total revenue [2]. - The domestic business is under pressure due to reduced government investment, leading to a decline in traditional sectors such as public security and traffic management [2]. - The overseas business has become a stable profit contributor, with revenue of 259.89 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 8.39% year-on-year [3]. - The company is committed to embracing AI and increasing R&D investment, with a R&D expense ratio of 12.83% in 2024 [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company demonstrated strong operational resilience by significantly reducing accounts receivable while still achieving revenue growth [4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, Hikvision reported total revenue of 92,496 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 11,977 million yuan, a decrease of 15.10% [1]. - The company expects to achieve revenues of 97,962 million yuan, 105,770 million yuan, and 115,839 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 13,277 million yuan, 14,941 million yuan, and 16,797 million yuan [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be 1.44 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times [9].