Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price relative to the industry index over the next six months [8][22]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the storage industry and an increase in enterprise-level storage demand, with revenue projected to grow significantly in the coming years [2][4]. - The embedded storage segment is anticipated to generate substantial revenue growth, with a forecasted increase of 90.5% year-on-year in 2024 [2]. - The company has successfully launched its self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip, which is expected to enhance its position in the high-end smart terminal market [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.256 billion yuan, a 1.5% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 4.4% decrease year-on-year [9][10]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 10.35%, reflecting a decline compared to previous periods, primarily due to slow recovery in the consumer electronics market and inventory digestion issues [2][9]. - The company’s net profit attributable to shareholders was -151.81 million yuan for Q1 2025, indicating a significant year-on-year decline [12]. Revenue Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 10.125 billion yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.6% through 2027, reaching approximately 30.125 billion yuan by 2027 [1][15]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 4.99 billion yuan in 2024, a 160.2% increase year-on-year [11]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned as a leading independent storage manufacturer in China, with significant growth potential driven by global trends such as AIGC and the "Digital China" initiative [4]. - The enterprise storage segment saw a remarkable revenue increase of over 200% year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating strong demand in various sectors including internet and finance [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Beijing Junzheng, expecting a price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the industry index over the next six months [7]. Core Views - The company has turned a profit in Q1 2025, with a significant recovery in its non-net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by a rebound in the automotive and industrial sectors [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding into advanced DRAM processes and 3D DRAM products aimed at AI applications, indicating strong growth potential [4]. - The overall revenue for 2024 is projected to decline by 7.03% year-on-year, with a net profit decrease of 31.84%, primarily due to weak market demand in the automotive and industrial sectors [10]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - 2023 revenue is projected at 4,531 million CNY, with a decline to 4,213 million CNY in 2024, followed by a recovery to 5,109 million CNY in 2025 [14]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease from 537 million CNY in 2023 to 366 million CNY in 2024, before rising to 502 million CNY in 2025 [14]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 36.40%, up 1.93 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][8]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 1.12 CNY in 2023, decreasing to 0.76 CNY in 2024, and then recovering to 1.04 CNY in 2025 [14]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 59.1 in 2023 to 42.4 by 2027, indicating a potential improvement in valuation as earnings recover [14]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - ROE is projected to decline from 4.4% in 2023 to 3.0% in 2024, with a gradual recovery to 5.4% by 2027 [14]. Product Segmentation - **Memory Chips**: - Revenue from memory chips is expected to be 25.89 billion CNY in 2024, accounting for 61.47% of total revenue, despite a year-on-year decline of 11.06% [3]. - Q1 2025 revenue for memory chips was 6.63 billion CNY, reflecting a 9.90% quarter-on-quarter increase [3]. - **Computing Chips**: - Revenue from computing chips is projected at 10.90 billion CNY in 2024, with a slight year-on-year decline of 1.65% [3]. - Q1 2025 revenue for computing chips was 2.70 billion CNY, showing a decrease of 2.65% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - **Analog and Connectivity Chips**: - Revenue from analog and connectivity chips is expected to grow by 15.31% year-on-year to 4.72 billion CNY in 2024 [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the need for a proactive approach in economic management, focusing on domestic demand expansion and self-sufficiency in response to external uncertainties [1][8] - The Politburo meeting highlighted the importance of strengthening bottom-line thinking and preparing contingency plans to ensure economic stability, with a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [1][8] - The report indicates that expanding internal demand is crucial for countering external shocks and low domestic inflation, with future policies expected to revolve around this central theme [1][8] Group 2 - Domestic economic data for Q1 shows positive signs, with industrial production and domestic consumption showing relative strength, although Q2 may face volatility due to external factors [2][16] - The report notes a potential easing of the "tariff war" between the US and China, which could positively impact market sentiment, but warns that formal trade negotiations have not yet commenced, leaving external trade risks high [2][17] - The report suggests that the capital market may benefit from strong signals of domestic demand expansion, with sectors such as consumer goods, real estate, and technology being highlighted for potential investment opportunities [3][18] Group 3 - The report identifies specific sectors that may benefit from the expansion of domestic demand, including consumer electronics, automotive, and healthcare, particularly in light of upcoming holidays that may boost spending [3][18] - It also recommends a cautious approach to investment in defensive assets and dividend-paying stocks to mitigate ongoing external risks [3][18] - The focus on technology and self-sufficiency is underscored, with attention drawn to domestic alternatives in critical areas such as semiconductors and emerging industries like robotics and healthcare [5][18]

证券研究报告 交易型指数基金资金流向周报 数据日期：2025/4/21-2025/4/25 长城证券产业金融研究院 基金研究 分析师：金铃 执业证书编号：S1070521040001 www.cgws.com 国内被动股票基金 | 大 类 | 所属概念 | 基金规模 | 周涨跌幅 | 周资金净买 | 今年以来周涨跌幅 | 今年以来周资金流向 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (亿元) | (%) | 入额(亿元) | 走势图 | 走势图 | | | | 上证50 | 1594.56 | -0.39 | -14.93 | | | | | | 沪深300 | 9834.49 | 0.38 | -27.83 | | | | | | 中证500 | 1401.20 | 1.25 | -6.47 | | | | | | 中证1000 | 1169.17 | 1.95 | 5.94 | | | | | | 创业板指 | 1264.48 | 2.12 | -10.06 | | | | | | 科创创业50 | 329.65 | 0.82 ...

基金研究 上周国内主要股指小幅上涨，权重指数资金流入放缓 上周国内主要股票指数涨跌互现，其中沪深 300、上证 50 和上证指数等大盘 指数涨跌幅分别为 0.38%、-0.33%和 0.56%。中证 500、中证 1000 和创业板 指等中小盘指数涨跌幅分别为 1.20%、1.85%和 1.74%。风格指数涨跌互现， 其中金融风格、周期风格、消费风格、成长风格和稳定风格指数涨跌幅分别 为 0.21%、2.44%、0.24%、1.41%和 0.73%。成长风格下，大盘成长、中盘成 长和小盘成长风格指数涨跌幅分别为 1.64%、2.24%和-2.36%。 证券研究报告 | 基金研究*周报 2025 年 04 月 28 日 综合 ETF 基金中，上周交易额为 528.20 亿元，比前周变化-486.79 亿元。其 中，中大盘风格综合 ETF 交易额为 244.91 亿元，变化-435.37 亿元；中小盘 综合 ETF 交易额为 286.23 亿元，变化-53.32 亿元。 截止上周，32 只主题 ETF 的平均周涨跌幅为 0.56%。其中大盘风格 ETF 平均 周涨跌幅为 0.21%，中小盘风格 ETF 平均周涨跌 ...

Group 1 - The fiscal system in China shows significant revenue and expenditure differentiation, with public budget tax revenue growth slowing to 1.35% year-on-year in 2024, while non-tax revenue relies on local asset revitalization, raising sustainability concerns [1][2] - Government fund budgets are impacted by a 12.18% year-on-year decline in land transfer fees, with over 80% of local revenue dependent on land sales [1][2] - The balance of local government debt is highlighted, with special debt accounting for 65% of total local government debt, and interest payments on 30-year treasury bonds reaching 352.9 billion yuan, representing 4.5% of public budget expenditure [1][2] Group 2 - Regional fiscal differentiation is intensifying, with the East relying on high-tech industries to alleviate pressure, while the North shows mixed results due to real estate impacts, and the Southwest faces challenges from declining land finance [2][3] - National tax revenue is projected to decline by 3.4% in 2024, exacerbating conflicts with rigid growth in social spending, and the retreat of land finance reveals hidden risks in special debt coverage [2][3] - The central-local fiscal relationship is continuously optimizing, with central transfer payments reaching 1 trillion yuan, accounting for 84% of local primary revenue, and reforms focusing on matching local responsibilities with fiscal powers [1][2][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [5][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end MLCC nickel powder driven by AI applications, with a projected revenue growth of 37.2% year-on-year in 2024 [2][3]. - The company's net profit for 2024 is forecasted to be 0.87 billion yuan, representing a significant increase of 370.7% year-on-year, although slightly below expectations [2][5]. - The report highlights the successful introduction of new nickel powder products into major overseas customer supply chains, which is anticipated to drive sales growth in the coming years [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company reported a revenue of 9.45 billion yuan in 2024, up 37.2% year-on-year, with a projected revenue of 12.40 billion yuan in 2025 [2][17]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 0.87 billion yuan, with projections of 1.86 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.44 billion yuan in 2026 [5][17]. - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 20.91%, an increase of 5.87 percentage points year-on-year [2][13]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to be 0.33 yuan in 2024, increasing to 0.71 yuan in 2025 [5][17]. Business Segment Analysis - **Nickel-based Products**: This segment is the largest, contributing 6.85 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 36.9% [3][4]. - **Copper-based Products**: Revenue from this segment is expected to reach 1.22 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 56.4% year-on-year [3][4]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic MLCC nickel powder market, with significant growth potential due to the rising demand from AI-driven applications [5][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a forecasted stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 8.189 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.13%. Excluding the impact of the sale of the wireless vehicle-mounted business, the revenue growth was 23.34%, primarily driven by the 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) business in the domestic automotive electronics and smart home sectors [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 668 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.53%, mainly due to revenue growth and investment income from the sale of the wireless vehicle-mounted business [2]. - The company invested 719 million yuan in R&D in 2024, focusing on enhancing its deployment in AI, edge computing, and intelligent robotics, while also expanding its traditional module business [2][3]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financial performance for 2025-2027 includes: - Net profit attributable to the parent company: 558 million yuan in 2025, 709 million yuan in 2026, and 871 million yuan in 2027 [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.73 yuan in 2025, 0.93 yuan in 2026, and 1.14 yuan in 2027 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 33.3 in 2025, 26.2 in 2026, and 21.3 in 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved record-high revenue in 2024, with total revenue reaching 3.798 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.32%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 268 million yuan, up 36.92% year-on-year [2][4]. - The data center power supply business experienced significant growth, with revenue from high-power server power supplies increasing by 536.88% year-on-year, contributing to 53.48% of the data center power supply revenue [3][4]. - The company is recognized as a major domestic manufacturer of data center power supplies, with strong partnerships with leading server manufacturers and internet companies, positioning it well for future growth opportunities in the AI and server industries [3][4]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025: Revenue of 4.597 billion yuan, net profit of 331 million yuan - 2026: Revenue of 5.513 billion yuan, net profit of 458 million yuan - 2027: Revenue of 6.536 billion yuan, net profit of 549 million yuan [4][10]. - Key Financial Ratios: - Return on Equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 10.5% in 2023 to 16.3% in 2027 [10]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.84 yuan in 2023 to 5.16 yuan in 2027 [10]. - Profitability Metrics: - Gross margin improved to 21.36% in 2024, with a net margin of 7.06% [2][10].