据还是居民人均消费支出数据，都显示北京、天津等一线城市消费增长承压。 2025 年全国各省市中，只有北京社零增长为负，当年同比-2.9%，天津也只有 0.3%的正增长。而人均消费支出中，北京同样只有 1.85%，为全国最低。而 部分中西部省份消费增长亮眼，社零增速中，陕西（6.0%）、河南（5.6%）、 河北（5.6%）增速居前三位。人均消费支出中，西藏（8.00%）、新疆（6.05%）、 山西（5.57%）等居前三位。显示中西部省份消费能力受影响较小。 证券研究报告 | 固定收益点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 05 年 月 日 固定收益点评 2025 年各地成绩单——经济、财政与债务盘点 随着各地 2025 年数据公布，各地财经现状有了更为清晰的图景。而随着我国 经济体量的增长，区域经济状况显得更为重要，经济和市场分析需要落地到更 为具体的区域。我们尝试从经济、财政和债务等多个角度对 2025 年区域状况 进行刻画。各地呈现出较为显著的特点。 特点一：区域经济增长分化明显，重点化债地区低于其他区域。2025 年各地 经济增速分化明显。虽然广东依然是经济大省，但 2025 年增速较低，只有 3 ...

Core Insights - Fuling Power (600452.SH) is positioned as the only listed platform for energy-saving distribution networks under State Grid, with a solid state-owned background and experienced management team, enabling strategic transformation [4] - The company is optimizing its dual business layout, benefiting from regional load expansion and electricity reform, leading to increased volume and price in grid operations [4] - The State Grid plans to invest over 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, which will support Fuling Power's development in "main, distribution, and micro" networks, creating new growth trajectories [4] - Revenue projections for Fuling Power are 3.195 billion, 3.633 billion, and 4.031 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 475 million, 593 million, and 712 million yuan, indicating growth rates of 2.5%, 13.7%, and 11.0% respectively [4] Company Summaries Fuling Power (600452.SH) - The company is leveraging its unique position within the State Grid to enhance its energy-saving distribution network business, which is expected to see significant growth due to favorable policies and market conditions [4] - The financial health of Fuling Power is strong, with healthy debt levels and ample cash reserves, which will support future capital expenditures and cash dividends [4] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.31, 0.39, and 0.46 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 38.2, 30.6, and 25.5 times respectively, suggesting that the current valuation does not fully reflect the company's business potential [4] Hohhot Information (688615.SH) - Hohhot Information is a leader in intelligent text recognition, benefiting from AI and big data technologies to drive growth in both B2B and B2C segments [3] - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of 1.83 billion, 2.30 billion, and 2.85 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 28%, 25%, and 24% respectively [3] - Projected net profits for the same period are 487 million, 610 million, and 755 million yuan, with growth rates of 21.5%, 25.4%, and 23.8% [3] Nasda (002180.SZ) - Nasda is undergoing a significant asset divestiture that is expected to temporarily disrupt its performance, with projected net losses of 600 million to 900 million yuan for 2025 [7] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is expected to improve significantly post-divestiture, enhancing its financial structure [7] - Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive, with a maintained "buy" rating based on anticipated recovery and growth in subsequent years [8]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is a leader in intelligent text recognition, leveraging AI and big data technologies to drive growth in both B2B and B2C segments. Its main products include three core applications for consumers and a range of services for enterprise clients [1][13] - The global OCR market is expected to reach USD 51.92 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.24% from 2026 to 2032, driven by the maturation of AI technology and the automation of 80% of enterprise documents [2] - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, with the controlling shareholder holding 24% of the shares and the top ten shareholders owning approximately 61% [1][21] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is recognized as a leader in intelligent text recognition, providing digital and intelligent products and services to global consumers and diverse B2B clients. Its C-end business primarily consists of three core applications: Scanning King, Business Card King, and Qixinbao, while its B-end services focus on intelligent text recognition and commercial big data [1][13] Market Potential - The domestic commercial big data service market is projected to exceed RMB 60 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 20.76%. The market is characterized by high technical and qualification barriers, leading to a relatively concentrated competitive landscape [2] Competitive Advantages - The company has established a strong user base and high brand recognition in the C-end market, with over 180 million monthly active users across its core applications as of 2025H1. The B-end business has been developed over nearly a decade, providing targeted solutions that effectively help clients reduce costs and improve efficiency [3][24] - The synergy between B and C-end businesses enhances research and development efficiency and reduces marketing costs for B-end services [3] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of RMB 1.83 billion, RMB 2.30 billion, and RMB 2.85 billion in 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.5%, 25.4%, and 23.8% [4][5] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company is RMB 487 million, RMB 610 million, and RMB 755 million for the same years, reflecting growth rates of 21.5%, 25.4%, and 23.8% [4][5] Business Model - The C-end business primarily operates on a subscription model, providing stable cash flow, while the B-end generates revenue through technical service fees, including basic data services, standardized services, and scenario-based solutions [19][20]

涪陵电力（600452.SH） 背靠国网综能， "配、微、储"望协同打造新增长极 国网控股背书，双主业布局持续优化。涪陵电力深耕电力行业多年，是国网旗下唯 一配网节能上市平台。公司前身源自涪陵国资委川东电力集团，依托多轮国资整 合，于 2020 年深化再融资、收购国家电网下属多省配电网节能资产，逐步建成区 域电网运营与配网节能业务并举、全国化拓展的经营格局。公司股权结构高度清 晰，国资主导地位稳固，核心高管均具国网系统任职经验，全面赋能公司战略转 型。业务涵盖区域电网运营与配网节能两大领域，主业增长韧性突出，高毛利配电 网业务增厚利润。 区域负荷扩张叠加电改红利，电网业务量价双升。作为重庆涪陵区的核心供电主 体，涪陵电力紧抓区域工业经济向好与电改红利，电网运营板块保持高质量扩张。 2024 年，涪陵全区用电量同比增长 4.67%，工业用电量同比增长 2.96%。公司外 购电量及售电量不断走高，2024 年售电量达 34.64 亿千瓦时，同比提升 7.71%； 电价改革背景下，2024 年单位售电均价升至 0.644 元/千瓦时，购销价差稳步提升 至 0.227 元/千瓦时，电网板块营业收入同比增长 6.34% ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 04 年 月 日 纳思达（002180.SZ） 资产剥离轻装前行，政策引领拐点可期 2026 年 1 月 31 日，纳思达发布 2025 年业绩预告，重大资产出售短期 扰动业绩，资产负债率下修改善财务结构。预计 2025 年度归属于上市公 司股东的净利润为负 6-9 亿元，扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为负 4.5-6.5 亿元，经营业绩亏损主要受重大资产出售、行业政策调整等因素影响。利 盟重大资产出售后，公司资产负债率显著下降，预计利盟股权处置及其他 资产预估减值对归母净利润影响为负 7-9 亿元，剔除后归母净利润为 0-1 亿元。 安全可靠测评工作指南新增打印机主控芯片，有望引领打印机规范化采 购。2025 年 7 月 1 日，中国信息安全测评中心更新了《安全可靠测评工 作指南（V3.0）》，相较于 2024 年 11 月 26 日发布的 2.0 版本，本次更新 将激光或喷墨打印机搭载的主控芯片及人工智能训练推理芯片纳入到产 品测评品类。 分析师 孙行臻 打印机：安可测评短期扰动出货节奏，A3 机型+信创市场持续发力。①整 体态势：2025 ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2026 02 04 年 月 日 涪陵电力（600452.SH） 背靠国网综能， "配、微、储"望协同打造新增长极 国网控股背书，双主业布局持续优化。涪陵电力深耕电力行业多年，是国网旗下唯 一配网节能上市平台。公司前身源自涪陵国资委川东电力集团，依托多轮国资整 合，于 2020 年深化再融资、收购国家电网下属多省配电网节能资产，逐步建成区 域电网运营与配网节能业务并举、全国化拓展的经营格局。公司股权结构高度清 晰，国资主导地位稳固，核心高管均具国网系统任职经验，全面赋能公司战略转 型。业务涵盖区域电网运营与配网节能两大领域，主业增长韧性突出，高毛利配电 网业务增厚利润。 区域负荷扩张叠加电改红利，电网业务量价双升。作为重庆涪陵区的核心供电主 体，涪陵电力紧抓区域工业经济向好与电改红利，电网运营板块保持高质量扩张。 2024 年，涪陵全区用电量同比增长 4.67%，工业用电量同比增长 2.96%。公司外 购电量及售电量不断走高，2024 年售电量达 34.64 亿千瓦时，同比提升 7.71%； 电价改革背景下，2024 年单位售电均价升至 0.644 元 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 04 年 月 日 纳思达（002180.SZ） 资产剥离轻装前行，政策引领拐点可期 2026 年 1 月 31 日，纳思达发布 2025 年业绩预告，重大资产出售短期 扰动业绩，资产负债率下修改善财务结构。预计 2025 年度归属于上市公 司股东的净利润为负 6-9 亿元，扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为负 4.5-6.5 亿元，经营业绩亏损主要受重大资产出售、行业政策调整等因素影响。利 盟重大资产出售后，公司资产负债率显著下降，预计利盟股权处置及其他 资产预估减值对归母净利润影响为负 7-9 亿元，剔除后归母净利润为 0-1 亿元。 安全可靠测评工作指南新增打印机主控芯片，有望引领打印机规范化采 购。2025 年 7 月 1 日，中国信息安全测评中心更新了《安全可靠测评工 作指南（V3.0）》，相较于 2024 年 11 月 26 日发布的 2.0 版本，本次更新 将激光或喷墨打印机搭载的主控芯片及人工智能训练推理芯片纳入到产 品测评品类。 打印机：安可测评短期扰动出货节奏，A3 机型+信创市场持续发力。①整 体态势：2025 年奔图打印机销 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The report emphasizes the need to monitor the recovery of US dollar liquidity and sentiment indicators, as recent market conditions have shown excessive liquidity and heightened risk aversion due to hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve [3] - Current US dollar liquidity is in a state of severe tightening, triggering a warning signal at -60%, indicating a significant reduction in net liquidity [3] - Fear sentiment indicators have worsened, amplifying market volatility, with rising uncertainty across global markets [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Insights - The fiscal outlook for 2026 remains challenging, necessitating larger fiscal expansions to ensure effective policy implementation, as 2025 saw insufficient internal growth in fiscal revenue [4] - Despite a budget deficit rate of 4% and an increase in government debt by 2.9 trillion yuan, actual spending fell short of initial budget expectations, indicating structural pressures on fiscal spending [4] - The report suggests that stronger fiscal measures will be required in 2026 to achieve effective expansion, with projections for special government bonds and a decrease in overall fiscal space [4] Group 3: Company-Specific Analysis - Haon Electric (301488.SZ) is positioned as a leader in intelligent driving perception, with a strategic partnership with NVIDIA to develop robotic brain technology, enhancing its competitive edge in the robotics sector [7] - The company is expected to see significant growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projections of 0.99 billion yuan in 2025, 1.31 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.76 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust expansion in its business model [8] - Cambricon Technologies (688256.SH) anticipates a substantial revenue increase in 2025, projecting revenues between 6 billion to 7 billion yuan, with a net profit turnaround expected to be between 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in automotive intelligent driving perception and is expanding into the robotics sector, establishing a new growth curve [1][3]. - The demand for intelligent driving products is increasing due to the rapid penetration of smart driving technologies, supported by sufficient orders [2][3]. - The company has positioned itself strategically by collaborating with NVIDIA to develop robotic brain systems, enhancing its competitive edge in the robotics field [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been focused on automotive intelligent driving perception systems since its establishment in 2010, achieving significant milestones in product development and market presence [15][16]. - It has received recognition as a "National Specialized and Innovative Small Giant" and successfully went public in 2023 [15]. 2. Market Dynamics - The penetration rate of intelligent driving systems is rapidly increasing, with policies and industry trends driving growth [34][35]. - By 2024, the domestic new car L2 and above ADAS installation volume is expected to reach 10.98 million units, with a penetration rate of 47.9% [35]. 3. Product Development - The company’s main products include vehicle-mounted camera systems, video recording systems, and ultrasonic radar systems, which are essential for intelligent driving [16][19]. - The company is also developing new products such as 4D millimeter-wave radar and collaborating with NVIDIA on robotic perception systems [17]. 4. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue has shown steady growth, increasing from 720 million to 1.41 billion from 2020 to 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 18% [25]. - The net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 is projected to be 640 million, reflecting a decrease due to high R&D investments [25][26]. 5. R&D Investment - The company has significantly increased its R&D spending, with 2024 R&D expenses reaching 140 million, a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [28]. - The R&D expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2025 is 11.48%, indicating a strong commitment to innovation in the automotive and robotics sectors [28].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fiscal situation in 2025 presents challenges that will continue into 2026. Greater fiscal expansion is needed to ensure the effectiveness of the fiscal policy. If government bond supply does not significantly exceed expectations, fiscal revenue and expenditure in 2026 are expected to remain under pressure [1][5][25] 3. Summary by Related Catalog Fiscal Revenue in 2025 - Fiscal revenue growth was -1.7% in 2025, still lower than the budgeted 0.1%, indicating continued pressure on fiscal revenue. Non-tax revenue growth slowed down, with a year-on-year decline of 11.3%, while tax revenue growth increased by 0.8% year-on-year. Some taxes, such as personal income tax (up 11.5% year-on-year) and stamp duty (up 24.6% year-on-year), showed significant growth, but whether this high growth can continue in 2026 remains to be seen. Some tax growth may improve in 2026. Export tax rebates and value-added and consumption taxes on imported goods dragged down the tax growth rate in 2025 by -1.2% and -0.5% respectively, but these are expected to improve in 2026. Government fund revenue continued to face pressure, with an actual growth rate of -7.0% in 2025 [2] - The overall revenue of the first and second accounts fell short of expectations in 2025. The budgeted growth rate of fiscal revenue was 0.1%, while the actual growth rate was -1.7%. The budgeted growth rate of government fund revenue was 0.7%, and the actual growth rate was -7.0% [8] Fiscal Expenditure in 2025 - The fiscal expenditure rhythm was slow, and the growth rate was lower than the budget. The actual growth rate of fiscal expenditure was 1.0%, compared with the budgeted 4.4%. The actual growth rate of government fund expenditure was 11.3%, compared with the budgeted 23.1% [3] - The pressure of rigid expenditure increased, and the growth rate of infrastructure expenditure slowed down significantly. The overall fiscal expenditure increased by 1.0% year-on-year, while social, scientific, cultural, and educational expenditures increased by 4.5% year-on-year, and debt interest payments increased by 4.8% year-on-year, both significantly higher than the overall fiscal expenditure growth rate. Infrastructure expenditure decreased by 6.6% year-on-year [3] - The actual deficit increased moderately, and the scale of carry - over and surplus funds changed little compared with the previous year. The actual fiscal deficit in 2025 was 7.14 trillion yuan, accounting for 5.1% of GDP, with the actual deficit rate increasing by 0.3 percentage points compared with the previous year, significantly lower than the increase in the budgeted deficit rate from 3% to 4%. The estimated balance of the first account was about 580.5 billion yuan, with a small increase compared with previous years. The balance of the second account was about 683.0 billion yuan, a slight decrease from 962.0 billion yuan in the same period last year [4] Outlook for 2026 - Fiscal challenges remain in 2026, and greater fiscal expansion is needed to ensure the effectiveness of the overall fiscal policy. If the budgeted deficit rate in 2026 is 4%, with about 2 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds and 4.5 trillion yuan in special bonds, and assuming an additional 50 billion yuan in special treasury bonds for capital replenishment, the expected increase in government bonds this year is 1 trillion yuan, a decrease from 2.9 trillion yuan in 2025, which will limit the scope of fiscal policy implementation in 2026 [5]