2025 年 05 月 01 日 公司点评 买入/维持 科大讯飞(002230) 目标价: 昨收盘:46.93 收入快速增长，持续迭代 AI 模型 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (18%) (6%) 6% 18% 30% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 投资建议：公司来自于 AI 的收入实现快速增长。预计 2025-2027 年公司的 EPS 分别为 0.39/0.61/0.83 元，维持买入评级。 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 23.12/21.89 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 1,084.88/1,02 | | | 7.37 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 59.37/32.66 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<收入快速增长，AI 落地加速>>-- 2024-08-23 <<坚定 AI 战略，期待应用表现>>-- 2023-10-24 <>--2023-08-18 证券分析师：曹佩 整体收入保持高速增长。2024 年，公司收入 233.43 亿元，同比 增长 18.79%：智慧教育业务 ...

2025 年 05 月 01 日 公司点评 买入/首次 豪鹏科技(001283) 目标价: 昨收盘:54.15 豪鹏科技点评：AI 应用弹性大的优质电池龙头 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (10%) 10% 30% 50% 70% 24/5/6 24/7/16 24/9/25 24/12/5 25/2/14 25/4/26 相关研究报告 证券分析师：刘强 电话： E-MAIL：liuqiang@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522080001 证券分析师：梁必果 电话： E-MAIL：liangbg@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524010001 证券分析师：钟欣材 电话： E-MAIL：zhongxc@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524110004 ■ 事件：1）近期，豪鹏科技发布 2024 年报，2024 年实现营业收入 51.08 亿元，同比增长 12.50%；归母净利润 0.91 亿元，同比增长 81.43%。 ◼ 股票数据 总股本/流通(亿股) 0.82/0.58 总市值/流通(亿元) 44.4/31.33 12 个月内最高/最低价 (元) 68.86 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Poly Developments [1][10] Core Views - The company's revenue performance is under short-term pressure, but its leading position in the industry remains solid [1][10] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 311.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.00 billion yuan, down 58.56% year-on-year [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 54.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.09%, with a net profit of 1.95 billion yuan, down 12.27% year-on-year, indicating a narrowing decline compared to the full year of 2024 [4][5] Revenue and Profitability - The company's sales amount for 2024 was 323.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.5%, with a sales area of 17.97 million square meters, down 24.7% [6] - The gross profit margin for 2024 decreased by 2 percentage points to 14% [5][10] - The company has maintained its sales amount as the industry leader for two consecutive years [6] Market Position and Strategy - The company focuses on core cities, with a sales market share in 38 core cities increasing by 2 percentage points to 90% in 2024 [6][7] - The company expanded its land acquisition in 2024 with a total land price of 68.3 billion yuan, ranking second in the industry, with 99% of the investment located in 38 core cities [7] Debt and Financing - As of the end of 2024, the company's interest-bearing debt was reduced by 5.4 billion yuan to 348.8 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio decreasing by 2.2 percentage points to 74.3% [9] - The financing cost continued to decline, with the comprehensive cost of newly added interest-bearing debt down 22 basis points to 2.92% [9][10] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 5.21 billion yuan, 5.40 billion yuan, and 6.07 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10] - Corresponding PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 19.25X, 18.54X, and 16.51X [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its automotive business, with a significant focus on both HarmonyOS and AI technologies [1][5]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.321 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.22%, with a net profit of 131 million yuan, up 15.90% [4][5]. - The automotive business alone saw a remarkable growth of 101.23%, reaching 390 million yuan [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.9 billion yuan, 5.7 billion yuan, and 6.7 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 13.41%, 16.33%, and 17.54% [8]. - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.34 yuan in 2025, 0.40 yuan in 2026, and 0.52 yuan in 2027 [8][6]. - The company has established a team of over 1,000 certified HarmonyOS developers and over 200 sales personnel, achieving significant breakthroughs in various industries [5][6]. Business Segment Performance - Internet revenue reached 1.499 billion yuan, growing by 4.61%, while financial revenue was 1.238 billion yuan, up 7.91% [5]. - The energy business generated 335 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 47.42%, and the software business saw a 65.90% increase, reaching 112 million yuan [5]. - The company is actively participating in the domestic programming language ecosystem and has developed several AI applications through its FarAI platform [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4] Core Views - The company is exploring the implementation of AI models across various sectors, including smart governance, smart travel, smart finance, and more [4] - The company has launched several AI models, including the "Congrong Intelligent Review Model" and a self-developed financial model, and has partnered with Huawei to release integrated AI training and inference machines [4] - The company aims to promote the prosperity of the Hongmeng ecosystem and has secured projects with Guangzhou Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [4] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be -0.45, -0.38, and -0.19 yuan respectively [4] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to be 398 million yuan, a decrease of 36.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of -696 million yuan, a decrease of 8.12% year-on-year [6][8] - Revenue is projected to grow to 440 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 10.64%, and further to 560 million yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 27.27% [6][8] - The company’s net profit is expected to improve from -468 million yuan in 2025 to -192 million yuan in 2027 [6][8]

2025 年 04 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/维持 海泰新光(688677) 昨收盘:34.70 海泰新光点评报告：海外布局稳步推进，客户订单有望恢复 ◼ 走势比较 (50%) (36%) (22%) (8%) 6% 20% 24/4/29 24/7/11 24/9/22 24/12/4 25/2/15 25/4/29 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 1.21/1.21 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 41.85/41.85 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 49.3/25.48 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<海泰新光点评报告：短期受客户订 单周期影响，业绩恢复可期>>-- 2024-10-31 <<海泰新光点评报告：史赛克产品迭 代影响公司 23 年收入，24 年有望迎 来反转>>--2023-10-29 <<海泰新光点评报告：第二季度订单 波动，未来增长依然可期>>--2023- 09-03 证券分析师：谭紫媚 电话：0755-83688830 E-MAIL：tanzm@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520090001 研究助理 ...

2025 年 04 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/维持 惠泰医疗(688617) 昨收盘:427.10 惠泰医疗点评报告：业绩持续高增长，PFA 有望贡献新增量 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (8%) 4% 16% 28% 40% 24/4/29 24/7/10 24/9/20 24/12/1 25/2/11 25/4/24 ◼ 股票数据 总股本/流通(亿股) 0.97/0.97 总市值/流通(亿元) 414.64/414.64 12 个月内最高/最低价 (元) 569/303.52 相关研究报告 <<惠泰医疗点评报告：业绩基本符合 预期，看好集采下产品放量>>-- 2024-11-01 <<惠泰医疗点评报告：电生理手术量 保持强劲增长，业绩持续向好>>-- 2024-08-27 <<惠泰医疗点评报告：电生理手术量 增速强劲，血管介入新品迭出>>-- 2024-04-26 证券分析师：谭紫媚 电话：0755-83688830 E-MAIL：tanzm@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520090001 研究助理：李啸岩 电话：0755-83683312 E-MAIL：lixiaoyan@tpyzq. ...

2025 年 04 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/首次 ◼ 股票数据 总股本/流通(亿股) 48.47/48.47 总市值/流通(亿元) 677.17/677.17 12 个月内最高/最低价 (元) 18.65/11.86 相关研究报告 中金黄金(600489) 证券分析师：刘强 电话： E-MAIL：liuqiang@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522080001 证券分析师：梁必果 电话： E-MAIL：liangbg@tpyzq.com 昨收盘:13.97 事件：2025 年 4 月 30 日，公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。 2024 年公司实现收入 655.56 亿元，同比+7.01%；归母净利润 33.86 亿 元，同比+13.71%；扣非净利润 35.32 亿元，同比+18.25%。2025 年一季 度，公司实现收入 148.59 亿元，同比+12.88%，环比-23.84%；归母净利 润 10.38 亿元，同比+32.65%，环比+39.79%；扣非净利润 12.68 亿元，同 比+71.13%，环比+38.76%。 业绩显著增长，盈利能力持续提升 ◼ 走势 ...

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司点评 增持/首次 国泰集团(603977) 民爆一体化+军工新材料+轨交业务，一体两翼发展稳步推进 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (18%) (6%) 6% 18% 30% 24/4/29 24/7/10 24/9/20 24/12/1 25/2/11 25/4/24 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 6.21/6.21 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 77.9/77.9 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 15.35/8.93 | | (元) | | 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 事件：国泰集团近期发布 2024 年报，期间公司实现营业收入 23.54 亿元，同比下降 7.34%；归母净利润 1.81 亿元，同比下降 40.84%。公司 拟每 10 股派现 0.9 元（含税）。 点评： 商誉减值导致利润大幅下滑。公司 2024 年实现营业收入 23.54 亿元， 同比下降 7.34%；归母净利润 1.81 亿元，同比下降 40.84% ...

2025 年 04 月 29 日 公司点评 买入/首次 凯龙股份(002783) 湖北省国资委成为实控人，民爆一体化区域龙头迎来发展新机遇 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (12%) (4%) 4% 12% 20% 24/4/29 24/7/10 24/9/20 24/12/1 25/2/11 25/4/24 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 4.99/4.41 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 39.4/34.81 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 9.53/6.66 | | (元) | | 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 事件：凯龙股份近期发布 2024 年报，期间公司实现营业收入 14.41 亿元，同比下降 2.45%；归母净利润 1.48 亿元，同比下降 15.51%（实现 扣非归母净利润 1.76 亿元，同比基本持平）。公司拟每 10 股派现 1 元（含 税）。公司公告长江产业集团以 277,624.41 万元的交易对价受让控股股 东中荆集团 75%股权并办理完成股权过户登记手续，湖北省 ...