2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) | 研究所： | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 姚丹丹 | S0350524060002 | | | | | yaodd@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 李晓康 | S0350124080022 | | | | lixk02@ghzq.com.cn | | [Table_Title] 手机业务积极拓展新兴市场，扩品类和移动互联 未来可期 ——传音控股（688036）2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 300 | 表现 | 2025/04/29 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 传音控股 | | -17.2% | -24.4% | -25.5% | | 沪深 300 | | -3.6% | -1.1% | 4.2% | | 市场数据 | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 75.87 | | 周价格 ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 杨仁文 S0350521120001 yangrw@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 方博云 S0350521120002 [Table_Title] 剧集实现突破，会员收入、人数均创新高 fangby@ghzq.com.cn ——芒果超媒（300413）2024 年&2025Q1 业绩点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 芒果超媒 | -19.0% | -19.0% | -3.9% | | 沪深 300 | -3.6% | -1.1% | 4.2% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/29 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 22.51 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 18.07-32.10 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 42,109.93 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 22,998.47 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 187, ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) | 研究所： | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 林昕宇 S0350522110005 | | | linxy01@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 赵兰亭 S0350524080004 | | | zhaolt@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 ： | 孙馨竹 S0350124060027 | | | sunxz@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 盈利水平保持稳健，分红比例维持高水平 ——奥普科技（603551）2024 年年报点评 | 相对沪深 300 表现 | | | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 奥普科技 | -3.2% | -3.6% | -1.0% | | 沪深 300 | -3.6% | -1.1% | 4.2% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/29 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 10.22 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 9.06-12. ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) [Table_Title] 聚焦产品力与全渠道布局，IP 赋能注入新活力 ——晨光股份（603899）2025 年一季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 晨光股份 | -3.9% | 3.8% | -14.5% | | 沪深 300 | -3.6% | -1.1% | 4.2% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/29 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 29.47 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | | | 25.01-40.09 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 27,225.22 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 27,225.22 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 92,382.84 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 92,382.84 | | 日均成交额（百万） | | | 383.88 | | 近一月换手（%） | | | 0.76 | 相关报告 《晨光股份（6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has experienced a slowdown in revenue growth, but cost reduction and efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profitability [3][7] - For FY2025 Q3, the company reported revenue of $1.18 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $90 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.1% [6][8] - The company anticipates a revenue guidance for FY2025 Q4 of $1.01 to $1.04 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 10% to 13% [8][12] Revenue Performance - The company's FY2025 Q3 revenue was $1.18 billion, with the education business (excluding Dongfang Zhenxuan) generating $1.04 billion, which is a year-over-year increase of 21.2%, exceeding previous guidance of 18% to 21% [8][12] - The gross profit for FY2025 Q3 was $650 million, with a gross margin of 55.1%, an increase of 8.5 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [8][12] Profitability Metrics - Operating profit for FY2025 Q3 was $120 million, a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, with an operating margin of 10.5%, up 1.1 percentage points year-over-year [8][12] - Non-GAAP operating profit was $140 million, a year-over-year decrease of 0.2%, with a Non-GAAP operating margin of 12%, slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations of 10.8% [8][12] Financial Position - As of the end of FY2025 Q3, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $1.42 billion, time deposits of $1.41 billion, and short-term investments of $1.85 billion [8][12] - The company has a strong brand reputation and operational experience in the education sector, which supports its profitability outlook despite challenges in traditional study abroad and new cultural tourism businesses [12] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $4.86 billion, $5.53 billion, and $6.27 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, with net profits of $414 million, $514 million, and $617 million for the same periods [11][12] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 19, 15, and 13 for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [12]

2025 年 04 月 30 日 公司研究 评级：买入(首次覆盖) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李畅 S0350524010004 lic05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 核心产品稳定增长，分红率保持在较高水平 ——佐力药业（300181）2024 年报及 2025 年一 季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 佐力药业 | -4.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | | 沪深 300 | -3.6% | -1.1% | 4.2% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/29 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 15.88 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | | | 11.53-18.50 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 11,138.03 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 9,574.23 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 70,138.73 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 60,291.09 | | 日均成交额（ ...

Group 1: Company Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 11.36 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 2.83 billion yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.71% [5] - The newly launched game "Wanjian Changsheng" contributed significantly to revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 3.63 billion yuan [6] Group 2: Industry Trends - The eye care industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with the company managing to maintain revenue growth despite external challenges, achieving a revenue of 60 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 16% year-on-year [8][9] - The company is expanding its international presence, with significant revenue contributions from Europe and Southeast Asia, achieving a total revenue of 210 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The chemical industry is seeing a substantial increase in revenue, with the company reporting a revenue of 8.59 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.68% [12][15] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 0.67 billion yuan in Q1 2025, which is a 10.46% increase year-on-year and a remarkable 902.93% increase quarter-on-quarter [12][15] - The net profit margin for the company improved significantly, with a sales net profit margin of 10.80% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points [12] - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 41.27 billion yuan, 48.48 billion yuan, and 55.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [17]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 remained stable, with a notable increase in Q4 and a strong start in Q1 2025, supported by a full order book [1][5][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.157 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.43% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3.32% to 297 million yuan [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 328 million yuan, a significant increase of 131.09% year-on-year, and a net profit of 104 million yuan, up 270.28% year-on-year [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue was 1.157 billion yuan, with a net profit of 297 million yuan, reflecting a stable performance despite a slight decline in revenue [4][5] - Q4 2024 saw a revenue of 575 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.25%, and a net profit of 128 million yuan, up 15.81% year-on-year, marking a record for quarterly performance [5][6] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 36.65%, an increase of 8.67 percentage points year-on-year, driven by higher revenue from large projects [6][8] Order Book and Future Outlook - As of December 31, 2024, the company had an order backlog of 4.772 billion yuan, with a significant portion from polyolefin pneumatic conveying systems [6][8] - The company’s new orders in 2024 were approximately 1.351 billion yuan, with a stable domestic order intake despite a decline in overseas orders [6][8] - Ongoing projects are expected to enhance production capacity and expand application areas, with significant investments in equipment upgrades anticipated in the coming years [8] Market and Industry Trends - The petrochemical industry is experiencing rapid project advancements, supported by national policies that promote the application of the company's products [8] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing upgrades and expansions in the petrochemical sector, which is expected to drive demand for its products [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][9][21] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its brokerage and margin financing business, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, driven by a rise in stock trading volume [4][5][11] - The company is actively investing in AI and financial technology, enhancing its capabilities and product offerings through the development of its proprietary financial model [7][15][17] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.486 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.93%, and a net profit of 2.715 billion yuan, up 38.96% [4][10] - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 11.604 billion yuan, a growth of 4.72%, and a net profit of 9.610 billion yuan, increasing by 17.29% [4][10] Business Segments - The brokerage business revenue in Q1 2025 increased by 66% year-on-year, with total revenues from interest and commission fees reaching 0.811 billion, 0.717 billion, and 1.958 billion yuan respectively [5][11] - The company’s market share in brokerage services continues to grow, with a total stock trading volume of 24.24 trillion yuan in 2024 [5][11] Cost Management and R&D - The company has successfully reduced its sales expenses, with a sales expense ratio of 2.01% in Q1 2025, down from 2.77% in 2024 [6][15] - Significant investments are being made in financial technology, with advancements in AI capabilities including natural language processing and image recognition [6][15] AI and Financial Model Development - The company is deepening its "AI + Finance" strategy, with the launch of its proprietary "Miaoxiang" financial model aimed at enhancing financial research capabilities [7][17] - The company has built a comprehensive financial database and an extensive user ecosystem centered around its platform, enhancing its competitive edge in the financial services sector [7][17] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 12.929 billion, 14.544 billion, and 16.404 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 10.547 billion, 11.761 billion, and 13.007 billion yuan [8][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][11][12] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth and improved profitability, with a resilient performance in its first quarter of 2025 [5][6][9] - The company achieved a revenue of 69.85 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.23 billion yuan, up 16.9% year-on-year [5][6] - The report emphasizes the company's focus on high-quality development, cost reduction, and efficiency improvement, which are expected to continue driving performance [7][9] Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the express logistics business generated revenue of 51.86 billion yuan, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, while the supply chain and international segments saw a 9.9% increase [5][6] - The total business volume reached 3.56 billion parcels, with a year-on-year growth of 19.7% [5][6] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.3%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase, while the net profit margin improved to 3.20% [7][8] Cost Management and Shareholder Returns - The company has successfully implemented cost control measures, resulting in a decrease in the cost-to-revenue ratio to 86.7% [7] - Free cash flow increased by 70% year-on-year to 22.3 billion yuan, providing a solid foundation for dividends and share buybacks [9] - The company plans to repurchase shares with a total amount not less than 500 million yuan and not exceeding 1 billion yuan, with a buyback price capped at 60 yuan per share [9] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 319.06 billion yuan, 354.32 billion yuan, and 390.61 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12%, 11%, and 10% respectively [10][11] - Net profit projections for the same period are 11.796 billion yuan, 13.520 billion yuan, and 15.319 billion yuan, with growth rates of 16%, 15%, and 13% respectively [10][11] - The report highlights the company's commitment to shareholder returns and the potential for value creation through strategic initiatives [9][11]