Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NVIDIA with a target price of USD 146, adjusted down from USD 168 [2][12]. Core Insights - The report indicates a lack of short-term catalysts for NVIDIA, but highlights significant long-term upside potential [9]. - NVIDIA's stock price is currently viewed as attractive despite a recent decline following the GTC conference, as new products and partnerships are expected to have limited immediate impact [11][12]. - The company is evolving from merely selling hardware to becoming an operating system platform company, integrating data and business with its customers [13]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - The report discusses the NVIDIA GPU Technology Conference (GTC) and the keynote speech by Jensen Huang, which outlined the company's future direction in AI and computing [10][15]. AI Development Roadmap - NVIDIA is currently in the generative AI stage and is transitioning towards agent AI, eventually moving into the robotics era [15]. Chip Developments - NVIDIA revealed significant chip purchases by top supercomputer operators, with 1.3 million Hopper architecture chips purchased last year and 3.6 million Blackwell chips expected this year [16]. - The Grace Blackwell solution has entered full-scale production, and new platforms and chips are planned for future release, showcasing NVIDIA's innovation in chip technology [19]. Partnerships and Applications - NVIDIA announced collaborations with telecommunications companies for 6G technology and with General Motors for AI-driven self-driving cars, emphasizing safety with the Halos automotive safety solution [18][21]. - The introduction of the open-source humanoid robot functional model and partnerships with DeepMind and Disney for robotics development indicate a strategic expansion into the robotics field [20]. Performance Metrics - The report notes NVIDIA's P/E ratios of 23 times for CY25/FY26 and 17 times for CY26/FY27, positioning it favorably compared to other major tech companies [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of $5.30, representing an 81% upside potential [8][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of $298.6 million in 2024, marking a 29.8% year-over-year growth, and recorded its first positive net income of $5 million under GAAP [3][17]. - The growth was primarily driven by strong performance in IoT PaaS and smart solutions, with IoT PaaS revenue reaching $217.1 million, up 29.4% [4][17]. - The overall gross profit margin improved to 47.4%, with IoT PaaS gross margin increasing by 3.4 percentage points [4][17]. - The company successfully reduced total operating expenses by 11.0% year-over-year through strategic team streamlining and cost control [4][17]. - The number of premium IoT PaaS customers increased to 298, contributing 86.9% of total revenue, indicating enhanced customer stickiness [4][5]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $359 million, $425 million, and $494 million, with respective growth rates of 20.2%, 18.3%, and 16.3% [3][8]. - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow significantly, reaching $110 million by 2027, with a corresponding EPS of $0.18 [3][8]. - The company maintains a strong liquidity position with a net cash balance exceeding $1 billion by the end of 2024 [4][17]. Business Strategy and Development - The company continues to invest in AI technologies, launching the Tuya AI Agent development platform, integrating major language models to enhance developer capabilities [6][7]. - The focus remains on developing AI devices and smart applications, particularly in audio-video interaction and decision automation [7][8]. - The company is committed to returning value to shareholders, having approved a second dividend totaling approximately $37 million for 2024 [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 62.30, representing a potential upside of 36% [4][14]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth, with total revenue projected to reach RMB 3.93 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.95%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 640 million, up 257.34% year-on-year [4][14]. - The company is leveraging AI as a core driver for its business expansion, focusing on three growth curves: digital maintenance, digital energy, and air-ground integrated smart solutions [4][14]. - The digital maintenance business is expected to generate revenue of approximately RMB 3.04 billion in 2024, while the digital energy segment is projected to reach RMB 867 million, reflecting growth rates of 14.59% and 52.98% respectively [4][14]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are as follows: - 2024: Revenue of RMB 3.93 billion, net profit of RMB 640 million - 2025: Revenue of RMB 4.73 billion, net profit of RMB 804 million - 2026: Revenue of RMB 5.67 billion, net profit of RMB 970 million - The expected growth rates for revenue are 20.9% in 2024, 20.3% in 2025, and 19.9% in 2026. Net profit growth rates are projected at 257.3%, 25.6%, and 20.6% for the same years [3][4][14]. Business Segmentation - The company’s revenue breakdown for 2024 includes: - ADAS products: RMB 378.21 million - New energy charging services: RMB 793.14 million - Software cloud services: RMB 73.54 million - TPMS products: RMB 708.14 million - Automotive diagnostic products: RMB 1,415.25 million - The overall revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 3.93 billion, with a gross margin of 56.6% [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of $5.30, representing an 81% upside potential from the current price [8][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved significant revenue growth, with 2024 revenue reaching $298.6 million, a 29.8% increase year-over-year. This growth was driven by strong performance in IoT PaaS and smart solutions [3][17]. - The company reported its first positive net income under GAAP in 2024, with a net profit of $5 million, compared to a net loss of $60.3 million in 2023. The NON-GAAP net profit was $75.3 million, reflecting a 268.5% year-over-year increase [3][17]. - The overall gross profit margin improved to 47.4% in 2024, up 1 percentage point from 2023, indicating enhanced profitability, particularly in the IoT PaaS segment [3][17]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $359 million, $425 million, and $494 million, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 20.2%, 18.3%, and 16.3% [3][8]. - The company expects to maintain a strong gross profit margin, with estimates of 46.4% for 2025 and 45.7% for 2026 [3][11]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is $42 million, increasing to $110 million by 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [3][14]. Business Strategy and Customer Base - The company is focusing on optimizing its customer structure, with an increase in premium IoT PaaS customers contributing a higher percentage of total revenue, rising from 83.4% in 2023 to 86.9% in 2024 [4][5]. - The developer ecosystem is expanding, with 1.316 million registered developers and over 1.07 million smart device SKUs developed through the platform [5][6]. - The company is prioritizing AI investments, launching the Tuya AI Agent development platform to integrate various large language models, enhancing its service offerings [6][7]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a second dividend for 2024, totaling approximately $37 million, reflecting confidence in its financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 62.30, representing a potential upside of 36% [4][14]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth, with total revenue projected to reach RMB 3.93 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.95%. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 640 million, up 257.34% year-on-year [4][14]. - The company is leveraging AI as a core driver for its business expansion, focusing on three growth curves: digital maintenance, digital energy, and air-ground integrated smart solutions [4][14]. - The digital maintenance business is expected to generate revenue of approximately RMB 3.04 billion in 2024, while the digital energy business is projected to reach RMB 867 million, reflecting growth rates of 14.59% and 52.98% respectively [4][14]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are as follows: - 2024: Revenue of RMB 3.93 billion, net profit of RMB 640 million - 2025: Revenue of RMB 4.73 billion, net profit of RMB 804 million - 2026: Revenue of RMB 5.67 billion, net profit of RMB 970 million - The expected growth rates for revenue are 20.9% in 2024, 20.3% in 2025, and 19.9% in 2026. Net profit growth rates are projected at 257.3%, 25.6%, and 20.6% for the same years [3][4][14]. Business Segmentation - The company’s revenue breakdown for 2024 includes: - Digital maintenance: RMB 3.04 billion - Digital energy: RMB 867 million - Other segments include ADAS products, new energy charging services, software cloud services, and automotive diagnostics, contributing to the overall revenue growth [8][14].

Group 1 - The report highlights that since 2000, during 8 significant declines in the US stock market, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have performed poorly, with average declines of 25.3% for A-shares and 28.7% for Hong Kong stocks, closely mirroring the average decline of 29.0% in the US market [7][9][15] - The report indicates that the US economy's size and influence are substantial, with its GDP accounting for 26.1% of the global total in 2023, and its consumer spending representing 26.5% of global consumption, which underscores the interconnectedness of global markets [16][17] - The report suggests that a scenario where the US stock market experiences volatility while A-shares and Hong Kong stocks rise is the most favorable outcome, drawing parallels to historical periods where Japan and China outperformed the US during its market stagnation [20][22] Group 2 - The report notes that the recent downturn in the US stock market, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experiencing maximum declines of 10.1% and 14.3% respectively, contrasts with the strong performance of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, which have seen gains of 14.0% and 48.7% respectively since the beginning of the year [6][7] - The report emphasizes that the AI revolution could facilitate a transition in China's economic dynamics, potentially leading to a revaluation of Chinese assets similar to the early 2000s, as the country leverages its advantages in intelligent manufacturing and technology [25][26] - The report discusses the historical context of US market declines, noting that such downturns are often accompanied by economic recessions, which negatively impact global equity markets, indicating that A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are unlikely to remain insulated from US market movements [18][20][24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for the company [2][5] Core Insights - The company has shown significant profit improvement, with a net profit increase of 200% year-on-year in 2024, reaching US$366 million [3][14] - The production of copper and zinc has steadily increased, with copper production at 400,000 tons in 2024, up 15% year-on-year, and zinc production at 220,000 tons, up 8% year-on-year [3][14] - The company is advancing major projects, including the successful development of Chalcobamba and the expansion of Kinsevere, which is expected to ramp up production in 2025 [15][17] - The company plans to increase production capacity at Khoemacau to 60,000 tons/year by 2026-2027 and aims for a target of 130,000 tons/year by 2028 [15][17] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from US$4.479 billion in 2024 to US$5.334 billion in 2025, representing a 19% increase [4][12] - Net profit is expected to rise significantly, with projections of US$472 million in 2025 and US$636 million in 2027 [4][12] - The company anticipates capital expenditures of US$1.2 billion to US$1.3 billion in 2025, with significant allocations for Las Bambas, Khoemacau, and Kinsevere [16][17] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025 is US$0.04, with projections of US$0.05 for both 2026 and 2027 [5][18] - The target price is set at HK$4.65, based on a 15x PE valuation for 2025 [5][18] Production Guidance - For 2025, copper production is expected to be between 470,000 and 520,000 tons, with specific contributions from Las Bambas, Khoemacau, and Kinsevere [9][16] - Zinc production is projected to be between 310,000 and 340,000 tons [9][16]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a neutral investment rating for Target, with expectations of flat same-store growth in 2025, taking into account multiple downside risks [1][11]. Core Insights - Target's 2025 same-store sales growth guidance is flat, primarily driven by customer traffic, and considers various downside risks such as adverse weather, consumer confidence issues, and potential job losses [1][11]. - The company reported a slight increase in same-store sales of 1.5% for Q4 2024, exceeding market expectations, with a customer traffic increase of 2.1% [2]. - Target's online business is performing positively, with 80% of revenues coming from online sales, and the drive-up and order pickup services are leading the industry [4][14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Target's gross margin was 26.2%, slightly above expectations, despite a year-on-year decline of approximately 40 basis points due to increased online order costs and supply chain expenses [2]. - The company provided a fiscal year 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $8.80 to $9.80, which is below market expectations [2]. Supply Chain and Imports - Target is the second-largest retail importer in the U.S., with the share of imports from China expected to decrease from 30% to 25% by the end of 2025 [3][12]. - Approximately 50% of Target's supply comes from the U.S., with 25-30% sourced from other countries [3][12]. Product Categories and Margins - The cosmetics and apparel categories are gaining market share, while the home category is expected to see marginal improvements [7][15]. - Target is focusing on enhancing its private label offerings, with over 75% of revenue from private labels in apparel and home categories [15][18]. Inventory Management - Target's inventory increased by 7% year-on-year in Q4 2024, attributed to the introduction of new products and fluctuations in receipt timing [8][19]. - The company plans to optimize its supply chain to address out-of-stock situations in popular categories like toys and home goods [19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for MMG Limited [2][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit improvement, with a net profit increase of 200% year-on-year in 2024, reaching US$366 million [3][14] - The production of copper and zinc has steadily increased, with copper production at 400,000 tons in 2024, up 15% year-on-year, and zinc production at 220,000 tons, up 8% year-on-year [3][14] - Major projects are progressing well, including the Chalcobamba development and Kinsevere expansion, which is expected to ramp up production in 2025 [15][17] - The company plans to enhance its production capacity at Khoemacau to 60,000 tons/year by 2026-2027 and aims for a target of 130,000 tons/year by 2028 [15][17] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was US$4.479 billion, a 3% increase year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 40% to US$2.049 billion [3][14] - The company expects revenues to grow to US$5.334 billion in 2025, with net profit projected to reach US$472 million [5][12] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is US$0.04, US$0.05, and US$0.05 respectively, translating to HK$0.31, HK$0.39, and HK$0.39 [5][18] Production Guidance - For 2025, copper production is expected to be between 360,000 and 400,000 tons, with C1 costs ranging from US$1.5 to US$1.7 per pound [4][16] - Zinc production is projected to be between 310,000 and 340,000 tons [9] Acquisition Plans - The company announced the acquisition of Brazilian Nickel for up to US$500 million, expected to close by Q3 2025, which will enhance its nickel production capacity significantly [17]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark [11]. Core Insights - Leapmotor achieved a revenue of RMB 32.16 billion in 2024, a 92% year-over-year increase, and a net loss of RMB 2.82 billion, significantly narrowing from the previous year [11]. - The company reported a quarterly revenue of RMB 13.46 billion in Q4 2024, marking a 155% year-over-year increase and a net profit of RMB 80 million, turning positive ahead of schedule [11]. - The gross profit margin for the year was 8.4%, up 7.9 percentage points year-over-year, with Q4 gross profit margin reaching 13.3% [11]. - Leapmotor's strategic partnerships and international expansion efforts are accelerating, with over 400 sales service outlets established and a target of 550 by 2025 [11]. - The company launched the B10 model, featuring advanced intelligent driving technology, with pre-sale orders reaching 31,688 units within 48 hours [11]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 55.3 billion in 2025, RMB 86.5 billion in 2026, and RMB 100 billion in 2027, with net profits expected to be RMB 400 million, RMB 1.7 billion, and RMB 4.4 billion respectively [11]. - The report estimates a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 1.1 for 2025, with a target price of HKD 59.07 based on the current market conditions [11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of the economic smart car market in the RMB 100,000-200,000 range [11].