房地产 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 25 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 2026-02 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 非沪籍外环内购房调整，市场成交稳中向好 《楼市延续筑底行情，政策宽松下布 局时点已至 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.24 《上海三区启动住房以旧换新，推动 新房去库存 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.4 《2025Q4 公募基金延续低配，持股集 中度进一步提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.27 上海限购放宽、公积金提额，力促"小阳春"回稳 ——行业点评报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | huyaowen@kysec.cn 事件：上海调减住房限购、优化住房公积金贷款 2026 年 2 月 25 日，上海市五部门联合印 ...

2026 年 02 月 26 日 开源晨会 0226 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 传媒 | -1.155 | | 银行 | -0.456 | | 汽车 | 0.056 | | 家用电器 | 0.130 | | 石油石化 | 0.190 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 钢铁 | 4.694 | | 有色金属 | 3.478 | | 建筑材料 | 2.749 | | 房地产 | 2.533 | | 基础化工 | 2.162 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【固定收益】上清所托管量环比减少，债市整体杠杆率持平——2026 年 1 月债市 托管数据点评-20260225 事件：1 月末，上清所债 ...

2026 年 02 月 25 日 金融工程研究团队 魏建榕（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790519120001 傅开波（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520090003 高 鹏（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520090002 苏俊豪（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522020001 胡亮勇（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522030001 王志豪（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522070003 盛少成（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523060003 蒋 韬（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525070001 常津铭（研究员） 证书编号：S0790126010044 相关研究报告 《分钟资金流因子的构建方法—市场 微观结构系列（31）》-2025.12.21 《大单与小单资金流的 alpha 能力— 市场微观结构系列（12）》-2021.6.2 《因子切割论—市场微观结构系列 （10）》-2020.9.16 《主动买卖因子的正确用法—市场微 观结构系列（9）》-2020.9.5 分钟主动资金流中的选股信息 ——开源量化评论（122） 魏建榕（分析师） 高鹏（分析师） weijianrong@kysec.c ...

事件点评 陈曦（分析师） 王帅中（联系人） chenxi2@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521100002 wangshuaizhong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790125070016 事件：1 月末，上清所债券托管量 49.71 万亿元（前值为 49.88 万亿元，下同）， 月净减 1762.93 亿元（-2045.04 亿元）；中债登债券托管量 129.60 万亿元（128.67 万亿元），月净增 9339.10 亿元（+5070.75 亿元）。上清所、中债登合计债券托管 量 179.31 万亿元（178.55 万亿元），月净增 7576.17 亿元（+3025.71 亿元）。 整体：上清所、中债登合计债券托管量环比多增 1 月上清所、中债登合计债券托管量 179.31 万亿元（178.55 万亿元），月净增 7576.17 亿元（+3025.71 亿元），环比增量回升。 上清所债券托管量 49.71 万亿元（49.88 万亿元），月净减 1762.93 亿元（-2045.04 亿元），环比较 12 月少减；中债登债券托管量 129.60 万亿元（128.67 万亿元）， 月净增 93 ...

Group 1: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market continues to show signs of bottoming out, with a weak performance in new home sales during the Spring Festival period, reflecting poor supply and demand dynamics [3][9][12] - The land market has seen a significant decline in both supply and demand, with total land area launched in January 2026 down 16% year-on-year, and total land transaction value down 39% [11][12] - Policy measures such as the reduction of the value-added tax on second-hand housing and the lowering of minimum down payments for commercial properties indicate a generally accommodative policy environment [3][12] Group 2: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The pig price is under pressure post-holiday due to the end of stocking and limited weight reduction, with the average price of pigs at 11.66 yuan/kg as of February 13, 2026, down 0.40 yuan/kg week-on-week [4][13] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in the average weight of pigs being marketed, indicating ongoing pressure from large pigs and structural pricing risks [13][14] - The overall market sentiment remains weak, with expectations of a seasonal decline in demand in the weeks following the holiday [14] Group 3: Retail and Consumer Services - The retail sector is experiencing a steady recovery in consumption, with payment transactions on the eve of the Spring Festival increasing by 21.64% compared to the previous year [5][19] - Key retail and catering enterprises reported an average daily sales increase of 8.6% during the first four days of the holiday compared to the same period in 2025 [19][25] - Investment recommendations focus on high-quality companies in the consumer sector, particularly those in gold and jewelry, offline retail, cosmetics, and medical aesthetics [26] Group 4: Pharmaceuticals - The company has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with GSK for two siRNA pipeline products, with potential total transaction value reaching up to $1 billion [6][28] - Revenue forecasts for the company are maintained at 143 million, 169 million, and 201 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a downward adjustment in net profit estimates [6][28] - The collaboration with GSK highlights the company's growing recognition in the small nucleic acid drug development field, paving the way for future global partnerships [28][29]

医药生物/化学制药 前沿生物（688221.SH） 两款 siRNA 管线独家授权 GSK，携手推进全球合作 2026 年 02 月 24 日 chaoshuran@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525110001 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2026/2/13 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 22.60 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 29.98/7.16 | | 总市值(亿元) | 84.65 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 84.65 | | 总股本(亿股) | 3.75 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 3.75 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 252.45 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 前沿生物 沪深300 相关研究报告 《补体管线研发稳步推进，FB7011 双 靶点头对头优效—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.10.31 《前瞻布局小核酸打开成长空间，HIV 用药稳增长—公司首次覆盖报告》 -2025.9.25 余汝意（分析师） 巢舒然（分析师） yuru ...

医药生物/化学制药 前沿生物（688221.SH） 两款 siRNA 管线独家授权 GSK，携手推进全球合作 2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2026/2/13 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 22.60 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 29.98/7.16 | | 总市值(亿元) | 84.65 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 84.65 | | 总股本(亿股) | 3.75 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 3.75 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 252.45 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 前沿生物 沪深300 相关研究报告 siRNA 管线方面，公司已有用于治疗 IgA 肾病的 FB7013（补体系统单靶点， 2025/12/31 国内 IND 申请获 CDE 受理）、FB7011（补体系统双靶点，IND enabling 阶段）；FB7023（治疗 ASCVD），已确定临床前候选分子（PCC），并启动了在 自发性高血脂猕猴模型上的药效 ...

行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 《上海三区启动住房以旧换新，推动 新房去库存 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.4 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 《2025Q4 公募基金延续低配，持股集 中度进一步提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.27 《销售延续调整态势，期待政策显效 与市场筑底 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.1.19 楼市延续筑底行情，政策宽松下布局时点已至 ——行业点评报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | huyaowen@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070001 春节市场成交量：一手房网签偏弱，二手房基本持平 一手房方面，2026 年除夕前一周 40 城市合计一手房成交 133.68 ...

农林牧渔 2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关研究报告 《一号文件聚焦农业现代化"量化落 地"，猪价节前走弱节后面临较大压 力—行业周报》-2026.2.8 备货进入尾声支撑走弱，降重有限+大猪压力未释节后猪价承压。据涌益咨 询，截至 2026 年 2 月 13 日，全国生猪均价 11.66 元/公斤，周环比-0.40 元/公 斤，节前最后一周猪价整体偏弱。屠宰量在节前显著抬升，承接供给释放。供 给端看，2026 年 2 月 12 日全国出栏均重 126.05kg，较上周环比-1.35kg，节前 有一定降重行为但幅度较小。结构端 2026 年 2 月 12 日肥标差 1.06 元/公斤，仍 处高位对应大猪压力仍在，集中兑现导致的结构性压价风险较大。 需求端看，白条价格回落但毛白价差稳定，白条价格较前周继续回落至 15.80 元/公斤，环比-0.57 元/公斤，毛白价差维持高位，终端价格边际走弱，符合节 前备货后段特征，价格端的边际支撑走弱 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a steady recovery in consumer spending during the Spring Festival, with significant increases in payment transactions and retail sales compared to the previous year [4][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality companies in high-growth sectors driven by emotional consumption themes [7][35] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The Spring Festival saw a robust recovery in social consumption, with payment transactions on New Year's Eve reaching 4.931 billion, a 21.64% increase from the previous year [4][26] - Key regions like Hainan and cities such as Tianjin and Zhenjiang showed strong performance in retail and dining, with Hainan's duty-free shopping amounting to 1.03 billion yuan, up 20.9% year-on-year [4][27] - Domestic travel orders surged by 60%, and outbound travel orders increased by over 180% during the holiday period [4][26] Investment Recommendations - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end gold and fashion jewelry brands, recommending companies like Laopai Gold and Chaohongji for their differentiated product offerings [7][35] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [7][35] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that cater to emotional value and innovative safe ingredients, recommending brands like Maogeping and Proya [7][35] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading medical beauty institutions, recommending companies like Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [7][35] Market Performance - The retail and social service indices reported declines of 1.59% and 0.78% respectively during the week from February 9 to February 13, 2026 [6][15] - The report notes that the education sector saw the highest growth among sub-sectors, while the watch and jewelry sector led the year-to-date performance with an 11.29% increase [6][18] Company Highlights - Laopai Gold reported a significant revenue increase of 250.9% in the first half of FY2025, driven by strong consumer demand and brand expansion [37] - Chaohongji is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 125% to 175% in FY2025, supported by its differentiated product strategy [37] - Maogeping and Proya are highlighted for their strong performance in the beauty sector, with Maogeping achieving a revenue increase of 31.3% in FY2025 [37]