公用事业 2026年02月09日 若研究知 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ● 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全年配额成交量 2.35 亿吨，同比增长 约 24%，交易规模持续扩大。但受价格回落影响，成交均价 62.36 元/吨，成交额 146.3 亿元，同 比下降 19.23%。2025 年，纳入全国碳市场配额管理的重点排放单位共计 3378 家，其中发电、钢 铁、水泥和铝冶炼行业重点排放单位分别为 2087 家、232 家、962 家和 97 家。全国碳市场重点 排放单位碳减排意识持续加强，配额清缴完成情况保持在高水平，全国温室气体自愿减排交易市 场支持领域讲一步扩大，市场迎来快速扩容。自 2025 年 10 月 20 日至 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - 2026 年 02 月 09 日 碳交易市场规模持续扩大 全球气价 回落 看好 —— 申万公用环保周报(26/2/02~26/2/06) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 电力：2025 年碳市场交易规模持续扩大。截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，全国碳排放权交易市场配额 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全 ...

广州发展（600098.SH）2月3日在投资者互动平台表示，广州发展财务共享服务中心于2025年下半年启 动建设，项目通过整体规划、分步实施的方式推进，第一阶段将新能源业务板块纳入共享范围，预计 2026年下半年上线试运行。公司将以财务共享服务中心建设为契机，在支撑业务快速发展的同时，推动 财务管理转型，为实现智能前瞻的财务数字化体系奠定基础。 （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：1、请问贵公司是否已经建立财务共享中心？哪年建立 的？2、财务共享中心在技术上采用了哪些自动化或智能化工具？数字化程度按照0~10打分得几分？ 3、财务共享中心的数量有几个？这些中心的设立是基于地理区域划分，还是按业务板块划分？ ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the power generation sector, including Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and China Power Investment, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, aimed at addressing the challenges of the new energy transition and ensuring the development of regulating power sources [1]. - The notification highlights the need for a balanced approach to "new energy consumption, power security, and regulating power source profitability," which is crucial for the construction of a new power system [1]. - The report emphasizes the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for four types of regulating power sources, including independent new energy storage and pumped storage, to ensure fair competition and adequate compensation for capacity [1]. Summary by Sections Capacity Price Mechanism - The notification introduces a differentiated capacity pricing mechanism for various regulating power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on factors such as coal power capacity standards and peak contribution [1]. - The policy aims to ensure that the capacity value of regulating power sources is adequately recognized and compensated, addressing previous issues of insufficient cost coverage [1]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - A key breakthrough in the notification is the establishment of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation [1]. - This mechanism aims to avoid inefficient resource allocation by linking compensation to the actual contribution of each unit to the power system [1]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies for investment based on their integrated operations and stable profit potential, including Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng [1]. - It also highlights the potential for hydropower companies to benefit from increased output and stable dividends, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [1].

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 01 日 容量电价引导调节电源投资 精准定 价平稳收益 看好 ——《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》（发改价格 〔2026〕114 号）的点评 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - ⚫ 国家发展改革委、国家能源局联合印发《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》（发改价格〔2026〕 114 号，以下简称《通知》）。 ⚫ 应对新能源转型痛点，破解调节性电源发展瓶颈。本次容量电价机制完善的底层动因，源于新型电力系统 转型中的 "供需错配" 与现行机制的 "适配不足"。一方面，我国新能源已成 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 为保证广州发展集团股份有限公司2025年度第三期超短期融资券（债券简称：25广州发展SCP003，债 券代码： 012581145.IB）兑付工作的顺利进行，方便投资者及时领取兑付资金，现将有关事宜公告如下： 一、本期债券基本情况 1.发行人：广州发展集团股份有限公司 2.债项名称：广州发展集团股份有限公司2025年度第三期超短期融资券 3.债项简称：25广州发展SCP003 4.债项代码：012581145.IB 5.发行金额：人民币8亿元 6.发行期限：270天 7.本计息期债券利率：1.71% 1.发行人：广州发展集团股份有限公司 联系人：郭晓川 联系方式：020-37850365 2.主承销商：中信银行股份有限公司 联系人：冯宁卓 8.本期应兑付本息金额：人民币810,119,452.05元 9.到期兑付日：2026年2月9日（如遇法定节假日或休息日，则顺延至其后的第1个工作日，顺延期间不 另计息） 二、兑付办法 托管在银行间市场清算所股份有限公司的债券，其兑付资金由银行 ...

股票简称：广州发展 股票代码：600098 公告编号：临 2026-005 号 公司债券简称：21 穗发 01、21 穗发 02、22 穗发 01、22 穗发 02 公司债券代码：188103、188281、185829、137727 广州发展集团股份有限公司关于 2025年度第三期超短期融资券兑付公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和 完整性承担法律责任。 为保证广州发展集团股份有限公司 2025 年度第三期超短 期融资券（债券简称：25 广州发展 SCP003，债券代码： 012581145.IB）兑付工作的顺利进行，方便投资者及时领取 兑付资金，现将有关事宜公告如下： 3.债项简称：25 广州发展 SCP003 4.债项代码：012581145.IB 5.发行金额：人民币 8 亿元 6.发行期限：270 天 7.本计息期债券利率：1.71% 8.本期应兑付本息金额：人民币 810,119,452.05 元 9.到期兑付日：2026 年 2 月 9 日（如遇法定节假日或休 息日，则顺延至其后的第 1 个工作日，顺延期间不另计息） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for renewable energy and gas companies [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slight increase in overall power generation in 2025, primarily driven by wind and solar energy contributions, while traditional coal power generation shows a decline [8][9]. - The extreme cold weather in the U.S. has led to a significant spike in natural gas prices due to increased demand and supply constraints [18][22]. - The report suggests various investment opportunities across different segments of the energy sector, including coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, renewable energy, and gas companies [18][43]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Generation - In December 2025, total power generation was 858.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%. Coal power generation decreased by 3.2%, while renewable sources like wind and solar saw significant growth [10][11]. - For the entire year of 2025, total power generation reached 9715.9 billion kWh, up 2.2% from the previous year, with coal power down by 1.0% and solar power up by 24.4% [15][19]. 2. Natural Gas - As of January 23, 2026, the Henry Hub spot price surged to $30.72/mmBtu, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 903.53%. European gas prices also rose significantly due to low inventory levels and increased demand [20][28]. - The report notes that the extreme cold weather has tightened supply and demand dynamics, leading to higher global gas prices, particularly in Europe and Northeast Asia [22][37]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their integrated coal and power operations [18]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are favored due to favorable conditions for energy storage and reduced capital expenditures [19]. - Nuclear power companies like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their stable cost structures and growth potential [18]. - Renewable energy operators such as Xinte Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended as new market rules enhance the stability of returns [18]. - Gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Liuhe are suggested for their potential recovery in profitability due to cost reductions and improved pricing mechanisms [43].