Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for the company, but it suggests maintaining attention to the stock due to its strong brand competitiveness and stable growth in main business [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 84.0 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.07% [2][7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 6.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45.74% [2][7]. - The acquisition of a 51% stake in China Resources Shenghuo in December 2024 significantly enhanced the company's performance, resolving competition issues with its core product [7]. - The company aims to double its revenue by the end of 2028, targeting an industrial revenue of 10 billion yuan [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 87.3 billion yuan, 94.7 billion yuan, and 103.6 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 4%, 9%, and 9% [8]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 7.3 billion yuan, 8.8 billion yuan, and 10.6 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 18, 15, and 13 [7][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to increase from 0.86 yuan in 2024 to 1.39 yuan by 2027 [2][10]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE is projected to rise from 11.14% in 2024 to 12.79% in 2027 [2][10]. Business Segment Analysis - **Oral Pharmaceuticals**: Revenue from oral pharmaceuticals is expected to grow from 36.9 billion yuan in 2024 to 56.2 billion yuan by 2027, with a consistent growth rate of 15% [8]. - **Injectable Pharmaceuticals**: Revenue from injectable pharmaceuticals is projected to remain stable, with a slight increase from 5.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.2 billion yuan by 2027 [8]. - **Wholesale and Retail**: Revenue from drug wholesale and retail is expected to grow modestly from 36.6 billion yuan in 2024 to 40.3 billion yuan by 2027 [8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand value and channel distribution, particularly through partnerships with China Resources [7]. - Continuous investment in R&D, with 1.4 billion yuan allocated in 2024, aims to drive product innovation and improve treatment options for chronic diseases [7].

Investment Rating - The report suggests maintaining attention on Kunming Pharmaceutical Group with a target price not specified for the next six months [1]. Core Views - The acquisition of 51% stake in China Resources Sanjiu has significantly enhanced Kunming Pharmaceutical's performance, resolving competition issues and boosting sales of its core product, Xuesaitong soft capsules, which saw an 11.27% year-on-year increase [7]. - The company aims to double its revenue by the end of 2028, targeting 10 billion yuan in industrial revenue, driven by a strategic focus on the aging population and chronic disease treatment [7]. - The report highlights strong growth in Kunming Traditional Chinese Medicine, with a revenue of 809 million yuan and a profit margin of 16% in 2024, supported by enhanced channel strategies and brand value [7]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported a revenue of 8.401 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.07%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 648.08 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 45.74% [2][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.86 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 11.14% [2][10]. - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 731.76 million yuan, 884.02 million yuan, and 1.055 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 15, and 13 [7][10]. Revenue and Growth Projections - The projected revenue for 2025 is 8.727 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.87%, and for 2026, it is expected to reach 9.473 billion yuan, growing by 8.55% [2][10]. - The report anticipates a continuous increase in sales volume for Xuesaitong soft capsules, with expected growth rates of 15% for the years 2025-2027 [8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing its product pipeline through R&D investments, with 140 million yuan allocated in 2024, leading to the approval of new drugs for chronic diseases [7]. - The integration with China Resources is expected to further strengthen the company's market position and operational efficiency [7].

[ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 03 月 12 日 证券研究报告•2024 年年报点评 当前价：17.77 元 昆药集团（600422）医药生物 目标价：——元（6 个月） 并表圣火开启协同，昆中药提质增效显著 | [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 8401.45 | 8726.76 | 9472.63 | 10356.33 | | 增长率 | 9.07% | 3.87% | 8.55% | 9.33% | | 归属母公司净利润（百万元） | 648.08 | 731.76 | 884.02 | 1055.24 | | 增长率 | 45.74% | 12.91% | 20.81% | 19.37% | | 每股收益 EPS（元） | 0.86 | 0.97 | 1.17 | 1.39 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 11.14% | 10.60% | 11.77% | 12.79% | | PE | 21 | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kunming Pharmaceutical Group [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 8.401 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.34% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 19.86% to 648 million yuan [6] - The acquisition of Huaren Shenghuo is expected to enhance profitability and support the strategic integration of the company's Sanqi business [6] - The stable landing of centralized procurement is anticipated to lead to a recovery in product prices, providing a favorable outlook for future earnings [6] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.601 billion yuan and a net profit of 203 million yuan [6] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 3 yuan per ten shares, resulting in a payout ratio of 35.04% [6] - The company’s core products, including "Kun Traditional Chinese Medicine 1381," have shown significant growth, with combined revenue from key products increasing by 20% [6] Strategic Developments - The integration of Huaren Shenghuo into the company’s financials is expected to bolster profits and establish a benchmark in the Sanqi industry chain [6] - The company is focusing on brand building and channel development, which are progressing steadily [6] - The centralized procurement renewal in December 2024 has stabilized prices for key products, ensuring a stable revenue stream until December 31, 2027 [6] Earnings Forecast - The projected profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 750 million yuan, 910 million yuan, and 1.135 billion yuan respectively [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is expected to be 18, 15, and 12 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

医药生物/中药Ⅱ 昆药集团（600422.SH） 三七产业布局逐步优化， "创新+出海"赋能未来成长 2025 年 03 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/3/11 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 17.77 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 24.11/11.92 | | 总市值(亿元) | 134.51 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 134.51 | | 总股本(亿股) | 7.57 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 7.57 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 99.96 | 股价走势图 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 昆药集团 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《2024 年利润超预期增长，2025 年轻 装上阵稳步向前 —公司信息更新报 告》-2025.2.11 《Q3 单季度营收利润环比向上，融合 变革深入推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.28 《2024H1 营收小幅承压，品牌建设工 作稳步推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.24 | 余汝意（分析师） | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kunming Pharmaceutical Group [2][6] Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 8.401 billion yuan (down 0.34% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 648 million yuan (up 19.86%) [6] - The acquisition of Huaren Shenghuo is expected to enhance profitability and support the strategic integration of the company's product lines [6] - The stable landing of centralized procurement is anticipated to lead to a recovery in the company's product prices [6] Financial Performance - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 9.301 billion yuan, 10.102 billion yuan, and 11.041 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 747 million yuan, 912 million yuan, and 1.135 billion yuan [9] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 3 yuan per ten shares, resulting in a payout ratio of 35.04% [6] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 43.5% in 2024 to 48.2% by 2027 [9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on brand building and channel development, with significant growth in key products such as "Kunchinese Medicine 1381" and "Shu Gan Granules" [6] - The integration of Huaren Shenghuo is expected to create a benchmark enterprise in the Sanqi industry chain [6] - The company has successfully maintained stable prices for its products under the centralized procurement policy, which is set to last until December 31, 2027 [6]

医药生物/中药Ⅱ 昆药集团（600422.SH） 三七产业布局逐步优化， "创新+出海"赋能未来成长 2025 年 03 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/3/11 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 17.77 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 24.11/11.92 | | 总市值(亿元) | 134.51 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 134.51 | | 总股本(亿股) | 7.57 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 7.57 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 99.96 | 股价走势图 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-11 昆药集团 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《2024 年利润超预期增长，2025 年轻 装上阵稳步向前 —公司信息更新报 告》-2025.2.11 《Q3 单季度营收利润环比向上，融合 变革深入推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.28 《2024H1 营收小幅承压，品牌建设工 作稳步推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.24 | 余汝意（分析师） | ...

医药生物/中药Ⅱ 昆药集团（600422.SH） 三七产业布局逐步优化， "创新+出海"赋能未来成长 2025 年 03 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 相关研究报告 《2024 年利润超预期增长，2025 年轻 装上阵稳步向前 —公司信息更新报 告》-2025.2.11 《Q3 单季度营收利润环比向上，融合 变革深入推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.28 《2024H1 营收小幅承压，品牌建设工 作稳步推进—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.24 | 余汝意（分析师） | 巢舒然（联系人） | | --- | --- | | yuruyi@kysec.cn | chaoshuran@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070002 | 证书编号：S0790123110015 | 2024 年收购华润圣火 51%股权事项落地，血塞通软胶囊品牌优势进一步加强 2025 年 3 月 12 日，公司公告 2024 年度报告，2024 年实现营收 84.01 亿元（重 述调整前同比+9.07%，重述调整后同比-0.34%，下文皆为同比口径）；归母净利 润 6.48 亿元（重述调整前+ ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to embrace centralized procurement policies actively, which will enhance its medical terminal coverage and drive future business development [2][4] - The company reported a stable performance in its oral medication segment, while the injection segment experienced a significant decline [3] - The construction of the Kun Pharmaceutical business model is showing significant results in channel reform, which is expected to improve product accessibility and market coverage [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 8.401 billion yuan, which is essentially flat year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 648 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.86% [2] - The company’s oral medication revenue reached 3.693 billion yuan in 2024, marking an 8.15% increase year-on-year, while the injection segment revenue fell by 49.09% to 539 million yuan [3] - The company anticipates a double-digit revenue growth in 2025, with projected revenues of 9.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 757 million yuan [8] Business Segment Analysis - The blood clotting series products showed robust growth, with the sales volume of blood clotting soft capsules increasing by 11.27% to 1.584 billion capsules in 2024 [3] - The company’s wholesale and retail business generated 3.655 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a 6.07% year-on-year increase [3] - The company is focusing on enhancing its distribution channels through the Kun Pharmaceutical business model, which aims to improve the coverage of core products in retail terminals [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to embrace centralized procurement policies actively, which will enhance its medical terminal coverage and drive future business development [2][4] - The company reported a stable performance in oral medications, while injections saw a significant decline due to policy adjustments [3] - The construction of the Kun Pharmaceutical business model is expected to yield significant results, improving channel efficiency and market reach [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 8.401 billion yuan, which is essentially flat year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 648 million yuan, reflecting a 19.86% increase [2][3] - The company forecasts a double-digit revenue growth for 2025, with projected revenues of 9.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 757 million yuan [8] - Key financial metrics for 2024 include a gross margin of 43.5% and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.3% [7] Business Segment Performance - The oral medication segment generated 3.693 billion yuan in revenue, marking an 8.15% year-on-year increase, while the injection segment saw a 49.09% decline, with revenues of 539 million yuan [3] - The blood-activating series products, particularly the oral formulations, showed robust growth, with sales of blood-activating soft capsules reaching 1.584 billion units, a year-on-year increase of 11.27% [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively participating in national and provincial centralized procurement initiatives, which is expected to stabilize product supply prices and enhance market penetration [4] - The Kun Pharmaceutical business model aims to improve the efficiency of distribution channels and increase product accessibility across various medical institutions [5][6]