Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile is expected to achieve net profits of 17.041 billion, 20.604 billion, and 24.318 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, maintaining a target price of 20.79 RMB and 23.37 HKD, with a "Buy" rating maintained [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In January, Geely's total sales reached 270,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, slightly outperforming industry expectations [1] - The overall retail market for narrow passenger vehicles in January is estimated at approximately 1.8 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3%, while the retail of new energy passenger vehicles is expected to be around 800,000 units, growing approximately 7.5% [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Geely's brand sales in January reached 217,400 units, with a month-on-month increase of 25.8%, driven by the "oil-electric dual" strategy [2] - New energy vehicle sales in January were 124,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while fuel vehicle sales were 145,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% and a month-on-month increase of 76.8% [2] - Geely's exports in January reached 60,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 121.2% and a month-on-month increase of 50.1%, indicating successful overseas expansion [2] Group 3: Brand Performance - The Zeekr brand achieved sales of 23,900 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 99.7%, while Lynk & Co. sold 28,900 units [3] - The Zeekr 9X has become the sales champion in the large SUV segment, while the Zeekr 009 has been the sales champion in the MPV segment for two consecutive years [3] - The upcoming Zeekr 8X aims to cover the full-size high-end SUV market and is expected to feature advanced technology [3]

东方证券发布研报称，预测快手-W(01024)25-27年经调整归母净利润为204/225/259亿元。维持此前给予 公司26年18xPE估值，对应合理价值为4,048亿CNY，折合4,542亿HKD（港币兑人民币汇率0.891），目 标价104.36港元/股，维持"买入"评级。 东方证券主要观点如下： 目前数据意义在于整体稳在更高水位后，从1月初主要在低ARPU地区流量扩圈（如东南亚、中亚等） →高付费能力地区收入震荡爬升，预期后者对可灵ARR提升作用更大。此外新一代可灵3.0版本内测 中，统一架构下工作流衔接性更好，且区别于竞品的迭代在于原生文本输出，预计进一步推进技术前沿 水平。产品层面更侧重于专业创作各环节提效，若年前能全量使用，有望延续1月产品热度，带动需求 释放。 1月产品出圈后，目前DAU保持较高水位 可灵3.0版本正处于内测中，部分评测提示或有的迭代包括：（1）可灵3.0是基于统一多模态底座训练， 支持文/图生视频、参考生视频、视频编辑一体化，生成视频时长可在3~15秒灵活控制，并且音频输出 更原生融合，真实感更好；（2）智能分镜，具备多镜头的storyboard工作流，镜头控制更精细；（3） ...

智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，预测快手-W(01024)25-27年经调整归母净利润为204/225/259 亿元。维持此前给予公司26年18xPE估值，对应合理价值为4,048亿CNY，折合4,542亿HKD（港币兑人 民币汇率0.891），目标价104.36港元/股，维持"买入"评级。 东方证券主要观点如下： 目前数据意义在于整体稳在更高水位后，从1月初主要在低ARPU地区流量扩圈（如东南亚、中亚等） →高付费能力地区收入震荡爬升，预期后者对可灵ARR提升作用更大。此外新一代可灵3.0版本内测 中，统一架构下工作流衔接性更好，且区别于竞品的迭代在于原生文本输出，预计进一步推进技术前沿 水平。产品层面更侧重于专业创作各环节提效，若年前能全量使用，有望延续1月产品热度，带动需求 释放。 风险提示：宏观消费恢复不及预期，国内商业化效率不及预期，海外业务亏损加大，可灵技术迭代不及 预期。 1月产品出圈后，目前DAU保持较高水位 Sensor Tower数据显示，1月可灵移动端海外总收入309万美元，环比增长112%；DAU 694万，环比增长 139%。分国家看，目前美国的收入仍处于震荡爬坡状态，也是移 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that AI and policy are driving the continuous increase in game content supply, with a projected 8% year-on-year growth in China's game sales revenue in 2025, significantly outperforming the retail sales growth of 3.7% [1] - The approval process for game licenses is expected to accelerate due to regulatory changes in 2025, with a monthly increase in the issuance of licenses [1] - The application of AI in the gaming industry is transitioning from B2B to B2C, with major games leveraging AI to enhance user engagement and content creation [2] Group 2 - AI game editors, exemplified by Tencent's "Peace Elite," have surpassed 33 million DAU, indicating a shift from B2B to C2B empowerment in the gaming sector [2] - The rise of user-generated content (UGC) is seen as a crucial phase in the gaming industry, with companies that integrate self-developed AI engines into their platforms likely to gain significant advantages [2] - A price war for new games is anticipated to restart in 2026, but low ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) games are expected to be less affected compared to high ARPU games [3] Group 3 - The revival of PC games is deepening, with an increasing proportion of cross-platform products, as development budgets for mobile games rise significantly [4] - Some leading projects are now exceeding traditional AAA console game budgets, indicating a shift in investment strategies within the industry [4]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Eli Lilly's drug Tirzepatide is projected to achieve sales of $36.507 billion in 2025, marking it as the "king of drugs" for that year, with expectations to maintain this position for several years [1] - According to Evaluate, approximately half of the top ten global drugs by sales in 2030 are expected to be GLP-1 class drugs [2] - The weight loss sector has become a strategic focus for major pharmaceutical companies (MNCs), with significant business development (BD) and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity anticipated this year [3] Group 2 - Major pharmaceutical companies are heavily investing in the weight loss sector, with Eli Lilly expecting Orforglipron to receive approval in Q2 2026 and ongoing clinical trials for other drugs [3] - Recent transactions in the weight loss sector include a $100 million upfront payment from Roche for a specific oral GLP-1 agonist patent and a strategic collaboration between CSPC and AstraZeneca worth up to $18.5 billion [4] - New directions in the weight loss market, such as oral small molecules and ultra-long-acting GLP-1 drugs, present potential investment opportunities, with companies like Singlomd, Hengrui Medicine, and others identified as relevant targets [4]

智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，认为本土品牌在高端消费领域的崛起背后是消费者代际变迁 和文化自信等因素，本质也是广大消费者（包括高净值人群）对国家治理预期提升的结果。对于运动户 外行业及相关本土龙头公司的中长期前景保持乐观预期。继续看好功能性家纺和运动户外服饰领域的投 资机会。 东方证券主要观点如下： 中国本土品牌在奢侈品消费领域的崛起是大趋势，未来仍有望延续 根据《2026胡润至尚优品——中国高净值人群品质生活报告》，未来一年，高净值人群最愿意购买的服 饰类型中，对高奢品牌的热情大幅下降了12个百分点，对实用性服饰（注重舒适度，不在意品牌）的热 情显著上升了14个百分点，对功能性服饰（运动户外为主）上升了2个百分点。该行认为以上偏好的变 化利好舒适度和功能性兼具，同时逐步打通运动休闲和工作商务场景的运动户外行业品牌。在运动方式 上，高净值人群最青睐的前三种方式分别为登山/徒步、跑步和瑜伽，相关细分领域受青睐度排名前列 的品牌中已经有不少本土的龙头，包括被本土龙头收购的国际品牌，因此该行对于运动户外行业及相关 本土龙头公司的中长期前景保持乐观预期。 根据贝恩公司近期发布的《2025年中国个人奢侈品市场 ...

中期不确定性较大，印尼煤炭产量通常高于年初计划 （1）印尼上一次申报RKAB是在2022年末至2023年初，但紧随其后，印尼允许企业在2023年7月31日之 前提交一次RKAB变更；（2）2023年下半年，RKAB有效期从一年变为三年，并在2025年下半年变回 一年，当前正处于2026年RKAB的获批期，部分观点认为后续仍有较大可能会出现变化；（3）2016年 以来，印尼煤炭实际产量多数年份显著高于RKAB配额或政府目标。 长期对煤价抬升有利，印尼政府对提煤价有较强诉求 东方证券主要观点如下： 事件 印尼矿商暂停现货煤炭出口。据媒体报道，印尼矿业官员周二表示，由于印尼政府提出大幅减产计划， 该国矿商已暂停现货煤炭出口。印尼上月向主要矿商下达的产量配额比2025年水平降低40%至70%，作 为该国提振煤价计划的一部分。印尼主要行业协会反对此举，警告称可能引发裁员和矿山关闭。 预计对一季度煤价及预期产生明显提振 （1）对上游，由于印尼政府调低了产量配额，矿商在无法判断未来可出口配额的情况下，只能自发采 取先暂停现货合约的方式应对的防御性策略，等待政策确定后再恢复现货报价；（2）对中下游，在此 前对煤价的一致预期不 ...

宏观经济 | 动态跟踪 开启"投资于人"新一环——房地产新动 向的信号意义 研究结论 风险提示 ⚫ 产业转型过程中，大城市劳动密集型行业占比减少，技术密集型行业占比增加，可 能会制约劳动者的增加以及地产需求的扩大。 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 05 日 | 陈至奕 | 执业证书编号：S0860519090001 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BUK982 | | | chenzhiyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 黄汝南 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120004 | | | huangrunan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 010-66210535 | | 孙金霞 | 执业证书编号：S0860515070001 | | | sunjinxia@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 孙国翔 | 执业证书编号：S0860523080009 | | | sunguoxiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 刘姜枫 ...

Core Viewpoint - The electronic industry panel manufacturers are continuing their production control strategies, leading to price increases for large-sized panels, which are expected to persist due to demand from events like the World Cup [1][2]. Group 1: Panel Price Trends - Large-sized panel prices are expected to continue rising as manufacturers maintain production control, with demand remaining stable [2]. - AVC data indicates that all sizes of TV panels saw price increases in late January, with some monitor panels also experiencing price hikes [1][2]. - The tight supply-demand situation for TV panels is extending to monitor panels, with expectations of price increases in February [2]. Group 2: Capital Expenditure Trends - The large-scale capital expenditure cycle in the panel industry is nearing its end, with leading manufacturers expected to significantly reduce future spending [3]. - According to BOE's announcement, 2025 will be the peak year for capital expenditure, with a significant decline anticipated starting in 2027 [3]. - TCL Technology is focusing on investments aligned with the accelerated penetration of OLED in the mid-size market, with no major new production line investments planned beyond the T8 line [3]. Group 3: Mobile OLED Panel Market - Mobile OLED panel prices are under short-term pressure, but the impact is expected to be manageable [4]. - The penetration rate of mobile OLED panels is anticipated to continue increasing, which may offset the decline in overall smartphone shipments [4]. - Omdia forecasts that global smartphone AMOLED panel shipments will decrease slightly to 810 million units in 2026, a minor decline from 817 million in 2025 [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The favorable supply-demand relationship and the expected continuation of price increases for large-sized panels suggest potential investment opportunities in panel manufacturers such as TCL Technology, BOE A, and others [5]. - Related material manufacturers and display driver chip manufacturers are also highlighted as potential investment targets [5].

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.66% and the ChiNext Index down 1.02% [1] - The banking sector showed strong performance, with Qilu Bank rising over 2%, while sectors such as precious metals, photovoltaic equipment, and storage chips experienced significant declines [1] Institutional Insights - Tianfeng Securities suggests that the "spring market" may be more sustained this year, with potential trends including a stronger foundation for the spring rally, enhanced consumer and travel market activity, and a possible range-bound bond market [1] - The firm also notes that traditional patterns such as "bonds strong, stocks weak" before the holiday may be weakened this year, with expectations for a more balanced support for both stocks and bonds [1] - The anticipated market style post-holiday may involve a combination of growth and dividend strategies rather than a complete switch [1] Sector Analysis - Shangyin Fund indicates that recent fluctuations in the A-share market are primarily due to trading dynamics rather than fundamental changes, suggesting that the current adjustment may present attractive buying opportunities [2] - Dongfang Securities highlights that the rebound following the recent decline has been significant, indicating a stronger expectation for market stability moving forward, with a focus on technology sectors as potential areas of interest [3]