Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Basic Materials** sector, particularly the **metals** industry, highlighting a tight year for metals [2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Cement Production**: Expected output in December 2025 is projected at **144 million tons**, reflecting a **6.6% YoY decline**. The total output for 2025 is estimated at **1,693 million tons**, down **6.9% YoY** [6][6]. - **Finished Steel**: Anticipated output for December 2025 is **115 million tons**, with a **3.8% YoY decrease**. The total for 2025 is **1,446 million tons**, showing a **3.1% YoY increase** [6][6]. - **Crude Steel**: Projected output for December 2025 is **68 million tons**, down **10.3% YoY**, with a total of **961 million tons** for 2025, a **4.4% YoY decline** [6][6]. - **Aluminum Production**: December 2025 output is expected to be **4 million tons**, a **3.0% YoY increase**, with a total of **45 million tons** for 2025, reflecting a **2.4% YoY increase** [6][6]. - **Copper Production**: December 2025 output is projected at **440,000 tons**, down **21.4% YoY**, with a total of **5,320,000 tons** for 2025, a **6% YoY decline** [6][6]. - **Automobile Production**: December 2025 output is expected to be **3 million units**, down **2.8% YoY**, while total production for 2025 is projected at **35 million units**, up **9.8% YoY** [6][6]. - **Electricity Generation**: Expected to reach **859 billion KWh** in December 2025, with a **0.1% YoY increase** and a total of **9,716 billion KWh** for 2025, reflecting a **2.2% YoY increase** [6][6]. Policy Changes - The **2026 Trade-in Subsidy Policy** for automobiles will see a reduction in the first tranche of fund allocation from **Rmb 81 billion** in 2025 to **Rmb 62.5 billion** in 2026 [8][8]. - Subsidies for **New Energy Vehicles (NEVs)** will shift from a fixed amount to a percentage of the vehicle price, capped at **Rmb 20,000** [8][8]. Real Estate Market Insights - **Residential Sales Value**: Expected to decline to **Rmb 11,662 billion** in 2023, down **6.5% YoY**, with a recovery projected to **Rmb 14,997 billion** in 2025 [10][10]. - **New Residential Starts**: Anticipated to decrease to **1,989 million sqm** in 2024, with a further decline to **954 million sqm** in 2025 [10][10]. - **Average Selling Price**: Expected to stabilize around **Rmb 10,442 per sqm** in 2025, reflecting a **0.7% YoY increase** [10][10]. Additional Insights - The **mining sector** is projected to see a **5.4% YoY increase** in added value, while the **ferrous metals** sector is expected to grow by **0.7% YoY** [6][6]. - The **non-ferrous metals** sector is anticipated to grow by **4.8% YoY** [6][6]. - **Investment in Property**: Expected to decline significantly, with a total of **Rmb 420 billion** in 2025, down **36.8% YoY** [6][6]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future expectations of the metals and real estate sectors in China.

Group 1 - The industrial metal sector increased by 2.62% on January 29, with Yiqiu Resources leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Notable gainers in the industrial metal sector included Yiqiu Resources, which rose by 10.08% to a closing price of 4.37, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals, which increased by 10.06% to 9.19 [1] Group 2 - The industrial metal sector experienced a net outflow of 7.772 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 6.846 billion yuan [2] - The top losers in the industrial metal sector included Yian Technology, which fell by 6.03% to a closing price of 16.82, and Guocheng Mining, which decreased by 5.63% to 29.14 [2] Group 3 - Major stocks with significant net inflows included Ding Sheng New Materials, which had a net inflow of 138 million yuan, and Yiqiu Resources with a net inflow of 128 million yuan [3] - Conversely, stocks like Yunnan Copper experienced a net outflow of 226 million yuan from speculative funds [3]

股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临 2026-003 中国铝业股份有限公司 关于股权激励部分限制性股票回购注销实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 回购注销原因：鉴于中国铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2021 年限 制性股票激励计划（以下简称"激励计划"）首次授予的 7 名激励对象退休且不继 续在公司或下属子公司任职、1 名激励对象因不受个人控制的工作调动等客观原因与 公司解除劳动关系、2 名激励对象因个人原因离职、5 名激励对象发生负面情形，公 司本次拟对上述 15 名激励对象已获授但尚未解除限售的全部或部分限制性股票合计 660,751 股进行回购注销。 本次注销股份的有关情况 | 回购股份数量（股） | 注销股份数量（股） | 注销日期 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 660,751 | 660,751 | 2026 年 | 2 | 月 | 3 日 | 一、本次限制性股票回购注销的决策与信息 ...

金证法意[2025]字 1119 第 0981 号 2021 年限制性股票激励计划预留授予部分第二个解 除限售期解除限售条件成就、回购注销部分激励对 象已获授但尚未解除限售的限制性股票及调整回购 价格的 法律意见书 ibla i天堂 in 5 III & I 北京市建国门外大街1号国贸大厦A座十层 100004 电话:010-5706 8585 传真:010-8515 0267 北京金诚同达律师事务所 关于 中国铝业股份有限公司 金诚同达律师事务所 法律意见书 目 景 | 释 义 | | --- | | 正 文 | | 一、本次解除限售和本次回购注销、回购价格调整的批准和授权 . | | 二、本次解除限售的相关情况 . | | (一) 本次激励计划预留授予部分第二个限售期即将届满 . | | (二)本次解除限售条件已成就 | | (三)本次解除限售的激励对象及数量 | | 三、本次回购注销、回购价格调整的具体情况 … | | （一）回购人员及回购数量 | | （二）本次回购价格的调整事由及方法…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ...

中国铝业股份有限公司董事会薪酬委员会 关于回购注销部分激励对象已获授但尚未解除限售的限制性 股票、调整回购价格及预留授予部分第二个解除限售期解除 限售条件已成就的核查意见 中国铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会薪酬委员会（以下简称 "委员会"）依据《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》《上海 证券交易所股票上市规则》《上市公司股权激励管理办法》（以下简称"《管理 办法》"）《中央企业控股上市公司实施股权激励工作指引》等相关法律、法规、 规范性文件及《中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划》（以下简 称"《激励计划》"或"本次激励计划"）《中国铝业股份有限公司 2021 年限 制性股票激励计划实施考核管理办法》（以下简称"《考核管理办法》"）的相 关规定，对公司本次回购注销部分激励对象已获授但尚未解除限售的限制性股票 数量及调整回购价格，以及本次激励计划预留授予部分第二个解除限售期解除限 售条件已成就等事项进行了核查，发表核查意见如下： 一、鉴于公司已完成 2025 年中期股息派发，根据《激励计划》中关于派息 等事项的相关规定，将首次授予的限制性股票回购价格由人民币 2.72 元 ...

午后白酒消费板块走强，有色金属延续强势，消息面上，受春节旺季需求向好等因素影响，部分茅台经 销商已到货的飞天茅台（53度、500ml）一月和二月配额已售罄。此外，伦敦金属交易所(LME)金属普 涨，多个品种价格创新高，三个月期铜涨7.05%，报14009.0美元/吨；三个月期铅涨1.56%，报2048.5美 元/吨；三个月期锡涨2.32%，报57250.0美元/吨；三个月期锌涨2.87%，报3460.5美元/吨；三个月期镍涨 3.05%，报18828.0美元/吨。 全指现金流ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证全指自由现金流指数，中证全指自由现金流指数选取100只自由现金 流率较高的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映现金流创造能力较强的上市公司证券的整体表现。 中信证券指出，白酒行业即将迎来春节旺季营销活动，渠道在经销商大会后持续学习，吸收龙头企业渠 道、产品等多维度改革经验。行业或在新改革和新方向下重新聚焦市场培育和消费者教育，促进开瓶动 销并为经销商减负。综合考虑到动销已逐步平稳、2026年春节假期多一天、白酒春节消费场景等诸多因 素，判断2026年春节白酒实际动销有望维持平稳，无须过度悲观。再考虑到后续逐步复苏趋势明确 ...

Group 1 - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector experienced a significant rebound after an initial drop, with the non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) rising over 3% in the afternoon session, completing an adjustment with a net subscription of 1 million shares, amounting to over 200 million CNY [1] - The trading volume exceeded 800 million CNY, with a turnover rate surpassing 10%, indicating active market participation [1] - Key stocks in the sector saw substantial gains, with companies like Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Northern Copper, and Shenghe Resources hitting the daily limit, while Jiangxi Copper and Yunnan Copper rose over 7% and 9% respectively [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) attracted significant capital inflow, with over 480 million CNY in the last 5 days and over 1.5 billion CNY in the last 20 days, bringing its total scale to 7.348 billion CNY [2] - The precious metals market remains strong, with COMEX gold prices surpassing 5600 USD, reaching a record high, and the Shanghai gold futures contract breaking through the 1200 CNY per gram mark, with a monthly increase of over 25% [2] - The metal industry is entering a weak supply cycle, with global mining supply expected to remain rigid until 2028, while demand is anticipated to rise due to green energy transitions and new production capabilities [2]

Core Insights - The main focus of the news is the significant outflow of capital from various stocks, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - Industrial Fulian experienced the highest capital outflow of 5.09%, totaling 5.444 billion yuan [1][2] - Sunshine Power saw a capital outflow of 1.558 billion yuan with a decline of 4.92% [1][2] - China Aluminum had a capital outflow of 1.452 billion yuan, but its stock price increased by 3.49% [1][2] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals recorded a capital outflow of 1.204 billion yuan with a notable increase of 10.06% in stock price [1][2] - Semiconductor company SMIC faced a capital outflow of 1.109 billion yuan, with a decrease of 4.2% [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The consumer electronics sector, represented by Industrial Fulian and Luxshare Precision, showed significant capital outflows of 5.444 billion yuan and 1.068 billion yuan respectively [1][2] - The photovoltaic equipment sector, represented by Sunshine Power, experienced a capital outflow of 1.558 billion yuan [1][2] - The non-ferrous metals sector, including China Aluminum and Tongling Nonferrous Metals, had mixed results with capital outflows of 1.452 billion yuan and 1.204 billion yuan respectively [1][2] - The semiconductor sector, represented by SMIC, faced a capital outflow of 1.109 billion yuan [1][2] Group 3: Additional Stock Movements - Other notable stocks with significant capital outflows include: - Luoyang Molybdenum with 1.080 billion yuan and a slight decrease of 0.04% [1][2] - Hunan Silver with a capital outflow of 1.062 billion yuan and an increase of 4.95% [1][2] - Xiamen Tungsten with a capital outflow of 0.821 billion yuan and a decline of 7.11% [1][3] - The electronics components sector, represented by Huadian Co. and Shenghong Technology, also saw capital outflows of 0.895 billion yuan and 0.740 billion yuan respectively [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth trajectory of China's alumina industry, projecting a production increase and emphasizing the importance of market insights for investment decisions [1] Industry Overview - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's alumina production is expected to reach 8.01 million tons by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1] - The cumulative alumina production in China for 2025 is projected to be 92.446 million tons, with an overall growth of 8% [1] Companies Involved - Listed companies in the alumina sector include China Aluminum (601600), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Hongchuang Holdings (002379), Minfa Aluminum (002578), and Ningbo Fubang (600768) [1] Research and Consulting - Zhiyan Consulting is identified as a leading industry consulting firm in China, providing in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1] - The firm emphasizes its commitment to delivering comprehensive industry solutions to empower investment decisions through professional insights and quality services [1]

1月29日，中国铝业涨5.68%，截至发稿，报15.43元/股，成交30.77亿元，换手率1.53%，总市值2647.11 亿元。 资料显示，中国铝业股份有限公司位于北京市海淀区西直门北大街62号，成立日期2001年9月10日，上 市日期2007年4月30日，公司主营业务涉及铝土矿、煤炭等资源的勘探开采,氧化铝、原铝和铝合金产品 生产、销售、技术研发,国际贸易,物流产业,火力及新能源发电等。主营业务收入构成为：销售商品 97.41%，其他业务收入1.56%，提供服务1.03%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 东财有色增强A（011630）基金经理为杨路炜。 截至发稿，杨路炜累计任职时间4年321天，现任基金资产总规模20.1亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 174.05%， 任职期间最差基金回报-41.77%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，东财基金旗下1只基金重仓中国铝业。东财有色增强A（0116 ...