Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities highlights the acceleration of Agentic Coding products, represented by Claude Code, and Agent applications, represented by OpenClaw, indicating a potential restructuring of the software industry [1] - It is predicted that 2025 will be the "Year of Agents," with 2026 likely marking the period of accelerated implementation of Agent technologies [1] - The rapid iteration of Agentic Coding is expected to significantly lower software development costs, while the value of standalone software may decline due to the "Jevons Paradox" [1] Industry Trends - The competition among major domestic and international companies for the super entry point of personal Agent assistants is anticipated to drive the next wave of token acceleration [1] - The rapid iteration of Agentic Coding could lead to an explosion of personalized, AI-generated software in the market [1] - Continuous monitoring of Agent developments is recommended as the industry evolves [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the Hong Kong stock market experienced increased volatility due to global risk asset fluctuations, a pullback in the global software industry, controversies surrounding subsidies for Hong Kong tech giants, a rebound in the US dollar, and ongoing impacts from the commodity market [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Despite the volatility, the liquidity in the market remains relatively abundant, with significant inflows from foreign and southbound investors driving strength in traditional sectors such as agriculture, food and beverage, and transportation [1] - The upcoming peak earnings season for US tech stocks and a potential decrease in precious metal volatility are anticipated, along with several catalysts in technology and consumer sectors around the Chinese New Year [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The recommendation is to maintain a balanced portfolio and hold stocks through the holiday period, with a focus on sectors that have seen concentrated negative pricing, such as semiconductors, and those with improving trends in consumer goods, real estate chains, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The mid-term investment strategy remains unchanged, with a suggestion to accumulate resource stocks after stabilization and to overweight insurance and local Hong Kong stocks [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the Hong Kong stock market experienced increased volatility due to global risk asset fluctuations, a pullback in the global software industry, and controversies surrounding subsidies for tech giants [1] - Despite the volatility, the liquidity remains relatively abundant, with significant inflows from foreign and southbound investors driving strength in traditional sectors such as agriculture, food and beverage, and transportation [1] - Looking ahead, the peak earnings season for US tech stocks is nearing its end, and a decrease in precious metal volatility is anticipated, with potential catalysts in technology and consumer sectors around the Chinese New Year [1] Group 2 - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy, recommending holding stocks through the holiday period while focusing on semiconductor stocks, specialty consumer sectors with improving trends, real estate chains, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The mid-term allocation view remains unchanged, with a recommendation to accumulate resource stocks after stabilization and to overweight insurance and local Hong Kong stocks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Fixed Income indicates that the bond market is likely to experience an upward trend before the Spring Festival due to a stable funding environment and a "hold bonds for coupon" mentality, while post-festival market performance is expected to be more differentiated [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The Spring Festival calendar effect suggests a higher probability of bond market gains before the festival, with limited increases in positions due to high institutional holdings [1] - The basic economic fundamentals are significantly influenced by base effects, with policy signals and technology narratives being key areas of focus [1] Group 2: Short-term Outlook - Short-term fluctuations in commodities and stock markets remain unsettled, with risk aversion combined with seasonal patterns of the Spring Festival leading to stable bond market performance before the festival [1] - Mid to short-duration coupon-bearing bonds are expected to outperform, although trading momentum is insufficient [1] Group 3: Post-Festival Expectations - The bond market's trajectory after the festival will depend on economic fundamentals, policy signals, and stock market performance, with a forecast of narrow fluctuations [1] - The attractiveness of the 10-year government bond at 1.8% is decreasing, but risks remain limited [1] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - There may be structural opportunities in ultra-long bonds, perpetual bonds, and mid to short-term varieties, while the experience of convertible bond investments is deteriorating, leading to smaller speculative opportunities [1]

Group 1 - The announcement states that from February 9, 2026, China Galaxy Securities will begin selling certain funds managed by the company [1] - The announcement also mentions that Huatai Securities will start selling some of the company's funds from the same date [2] - Investors can consult details through the respective websites and customer service numbers of China Galaxy Securities and the company [1][2] Group 2 - The sales agreements with both securities firms are subject to compliance with fund contracts, prospectuses, and related business announcements [1][2] - Specific details regarding the sales process, types of business, and any fee discount activities will be determined by the sales institutions [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the A-share market experienced a decline this week, driven primarily by a decrease in risk appetite, with a notable shift between high and low-performing stocks [1] Summary by Categories Market Overview - The overall external macro risks have been initially priced in, with a cooling of financing funds and a narrowing of net outflows from ETFs, while both domestic and foreign institutional investors have shown a net inflow against the trend [1] Structural Analysis - The report suggests that segments with floating profits, crowded trading, and significant performance verification pressures have largely completed their initial pricing, indicating that the adjustment phase may be nearing its end [1] Calendar Effect - The report notes that the calendar effect for February in the A-share market is relatively positive, recommending a gradual increase in portfolio flexibility [1] Investment Strategy - The focus should be on selecting high-beta and relatively high valuation-cost performance segments within industries experiencing a reversal in prosperity or a continuation of improvement trends, particularly in lithium battery chains, communication equipment, semiconductors, certain building materials, and chemicals [1] - For low-beta segments, attention should be given to agriculture [1] - From a mid-term perspective, it is advised to overweight the upstream sectors of the power chain, insurance, and the aerospace industry chain [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-bank financial sector is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The insurance sector is showing signs of improvement, with increased recognition of the industry's fundamentals by insurance companies, as evidenced by China Ping An's continued stake increase in China Life [4] - The brokerage and margin trading businesses maintain a high level of activity, with significant growth in new account openings and trading volumes in January 2026 [5][32] - The asset management and fund distribution businesses are expected to recover, supported by new regulations that have been implemented [5] - Huatai Securities has announced a plan to issue HKD 10 billion in convertible bonds, which is expected to enhance its operational capabilities [6] - The overall performance of brokerage firms is optimistic, with many firms reporting substantial profit growth [6] Data Tracking Insurance Industry Data - As of December 2025, the insurance industry's original premium income reached CNY 61,194 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.43% [10] - The life insurance premium income was CNY 46,491 billion, up 9.05% year-on-year, while property insurance premium income was CNY 14,703 billion, an increase of 2.60% [10] Securities Industry Data - In January 2026, the average daily trading volume of A-shares was CNY 36.5 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 156.58% [13] - The margin trading balance at the end of January 2026 was CNY 2.72 trillion, up 53.06% year-on-year [13] - New public fund issuance reached 1,094.51 billion units in January 2026, with stock and mixed funds seeing significant growth [13] Industry Dynamics - Insurance capital is increasingly active in equity markets, participating in cornerstone investments in Hong Kong stocks [27] - China Insurance Group reported premium income exceeding CNY 730 billion for 2025, indicating strong operational performance [28] - China Life Group's consolidated investment income grew by double digits in 2025, reflecting robust financial health [29] - China Ping An increased its stake in China Life by 10.12%, demonstrating confidence in the sector [30] - Several automotive service providers have withdrawn from the insurance agency business, indicating competitive pressures in the market [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4][48]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings, with 4.9158 million new accounts in January 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 213% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 89% [4]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift of funds from traditional banks to capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, driven by the expiration of 70 trillion yuan in one-year or longer deposits and a decline in net interest margins [4]. - The report discusses the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerages [4]. - The report notes that the international business landscape for brokerages is expanding due to the deepening process of RMB internationalization and the demand for cross-border wealth management and investment banking services [4]. - The report mentions that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting a strong confidence in the insurance sector [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,643.60 with a decline of 1.33%, while the non-bank index closed at 2,030.92 with a decline of 0.60% [8]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [8]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [10]. - Ping An Group's recent acquisitions of shares in China Life (H) are detailed, showcasing a strategic investment approach [12]. - Huatai Securities plans to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development [14]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brokerages with strong comprehensive capabilities, recommending stocks such as Guotai Junan A+H, GF Securities A+H, and CITIC Securities A+H [4]. - For insurance, the report recommends China Life (H), New China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance, highlighting the systemic value reassessment opportunities in the insurance sector [4].

北交所策略专题报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 2025 北交所券商执业全景：特色券商优势巩固，头部券商逐渐跃居前列 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 专题：2025 年格局重塑：头部券商成为执业主力军，特色券商优势巩固 2026 年 1 月 30 日北京证券交易所、全国股转公司根据对证券公司 2025 年的执 业质量情况进行了评价。2025 年度，115 家证券公司中，14 家证券公司子公司 纳入其母公司合并评价，由高到低分别被评为一、二、三、四档，其中，一档占 比 19.80%；二档占比 39.60%；三档占比 19.80%；四档占比 20.79%。从一档券 商变化来看，北交所市场券商执业格局"大洗牌"，头部券商逐渐跃居前列。2025 年排名前十名分别为国泰海通、华泰证券、招商证券、申万宏源、中信证券、国 金证券、东吴证券、开源证券、中信建投、平安证券，其中华泰证券、中信证券、 平安证券分别由 2024 年的第二档跃升为第一档。从专业质量总分变化来看，头 部券商进步明显。2025 年排名前五名分别为 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown resilience, with various sub-sectors outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index recently [9][10] - The report highlights the ongoing regulatory tightening on virtual currencies by eight government departments, which may impact market dynamics [16] - The insurance sector is expected to see significant growth in new business value (NBV) and profitability in 2026, driven by favorable market conditions and product demand [23][33] - The securities industry is undergoing transformation, with potential new growth points emerging from market recovery and supportive policies [21] - The trust industry is entering a stable transition phase, while the futures market continues to maintain high transaction volumes [40][41] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - All sub-sectors of non-bank financials outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index in the last five trading days [9] - The multi-financial sector rose by 0.49%, while the securities and insurance sectors fell by 0.63% and 0.73%, respectively [9] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - February trading volume decreased month-on-month, with average daily stock trading at 28,613 billion yuan, a 17.64% decline from the previous month but a 40.43% increase year-on-year [14] - The margin balance reached 26,809 billion yuan, up 49.43% year-on-year [14] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.2x for 2026 [21] 2.2 Insurance - The insurance sector is projected to see a significant increase in NBV, with expectations of a 50% year-on-year growth in net profit for 2025 [23] - The total premium income for life insurance is expected to reach 52,696 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year increase [27] - The "insurance + health care" model is gaining traction, with ongoing developments in commercial health insurance [30] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 32.43 trillion yuan by mid-2025, a 20.11% year-on-year increase [34] - The futures market recorded a transaction volume of 9.51 billion contracts and a transaction value of 90.81 trillion yuan in December 2025, marking a 45.17% and 58.55% year-on-year growth, respectively [41] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, providing a safety margin for investors [21] - The insurance sector is favored due to its recovery potential and improving liability side, while the securities sector is expected to benefit from market recovery and policy support [21] - Recommended companies include China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [21]