Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (CDFG) announced the acquisition of DFS's retail business in the Greater China region, which includes nine retail stores in Hong Kong and Macau, along with intangible assets related to various brands and IP rights for exclusive use in the region [1] Group 1 - The acquisition will enhance CDFG's retail presence and brand portfolio in the Greater China market [1] - CDFG has signed a memorandum of understanding with LVMH Group to explore strategic cooperation in retail areas such as product sales, store openings, brand promotion, cultural exchange, tourism services, and customer experience [1]

证券日报网讯 1月26日，中国中免在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司始终秉持"分享购物的快 乐，延伸旅游的享受"的企业使命，服务各行各业群体的消费需求。公司非常重视数字化转型带来的机 遇，目前已经在购物小程序上实现云逛店服务，并通过算法模型应用在商品计划采购以及供应链履约环 节等，提升公司运营管理效率。公司还在持续探索AI在销售及对客服务等过程中的应用。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

从资金流向上来看，当日旅游零售板块主力资金净流出1.84亿元，游资资金净流入2.62亿元，散户资金净 流出7816.6万元。旅游零售板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，1月26日旅游零售板块较上一交易日下跌0.71%，中国中免领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4132.61，下跌0.09%。深证成指报收于14316.64，下跌0.85%。旅游零售板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601888 | 中国中免 | 92.66 | -0.71% | | 57.67万 | | 54.12 亿 | | 代码 名称 主力净流入 (元) 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) 游资净占比 散户净占比 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601888 中国中免 | -1.84/Z 7 | -3.41% | 2.62亿 | 4.85% | -7816.60万 | -1.44% ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights significant sell orders in the closing auction for multiple heavyweight stocks, with Zijin Mining's sell order amount exceeding 4 billion yuan [1] - Other companies such as China Ping An, Jiangxi Copper, China Duty Free Group, Shandong Gold, Wanhua Chemical, and Kweichow Moutai also had sell orders exceeding 400 million yuan [1] - Previously, on January 14, 2026, several stocks including China Merchants Bank, Zijin Mining, and Yangtze Power had sell orders exceeding 1 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that China Duty Free Group (CDFG) announced its subsidiary, CDF International, plans to acquire DFS's equity and assets related to the Greater China travel retail business for a maximum of $395 million in cash [1] - CDFG will issue up to 7.33 million H shares to LVMH's subsidiary Delphine SAS and the Miller family's trust Shoppers Holdings HK at a price of HKD 77.21 per share, raising up to approximately HKD 924 million [1][2] - The acquisition marks CDFG's first cross-border merger, aiming to strengthen its position in the Hong Kong and Macau duty-free market and enhance its international strategy by integrating DFS's member, brand, and store resources [1] Group 2 - DFS, established in 1960, is a leading global luxury travel retailer with significant presence in major airports and city centers, particularly in the Greater China region where it operates 9 stores [1] - In 2024, the 9 DFS stores in Hong Kong and Macau generated revenue of CNY 4.15 billion and a net profit of CNY 130 million, resulting in a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 based on the acquisition price [1] - The sales performance of Hainan's offshore duty-free market remains strong, with a projected sales figure of CNY 3.42 billion for December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17% [2] Group 3 - CDFG's strategic partnership with LVMH is expected to deepen cooperation in the Greater China region, with LVMH holding 0.35% and the Miller family holding 0.22% post-share issuance [2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of CNY 3.87 billion, CNY 5.22 billion, and CNY 5.81 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 50, 37, and 33 [3] - The overall market outlook for CDFG remains positive, driven by favorable policies and the anticipated growth of sales from both offshore and onshore duty-free stores [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China Duty Free Group (CDFG) is acquiring DFS in Greater China and deepening strategic cooperation with LVMH, indicating a strong market position in tourism retail [1] - CDFG is positioned as a leader in the tourism retail market, benefiting from the high demand for duty-free sales following the closure of Hainan Free Trade Port, with relevant policies being introduced to support growth [1] - The report anticipates a turning point in the fourth quarter for offshore duty-free sales, which have faced challenges in the first three quarters, leading to an adjustment in profit expectations for the company [1] Group 2 - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated to be 3.87 billion, 5.22 billion, and 5.81 billion yuan respectively, revised from previous estimates of 4.33 billion, 5.00 billion, and 5.52 billion yuan [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 50, 37, and 33 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [1] - The investment rating for the company remains at "Buy" [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the acquisition of DFS's Greater China operations by the company, which aims to deepen strategic cooperation with LVMH [8] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's position in the Hong Kong and Macau duty-free market, integrating DFS's resources to expand international channels [8] - The company anticipates a recovery in sales due to favorable policies and the opening of new duty-free stores, projecting a significant increase in net profit in the coming years [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be 67.54 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 24.08%, followed by a decline in 2024 to 56.47 billion yuan, and a gradual recovery thereafter [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 6.71 billion yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 33.46%, declining to 4.27 billion yuan in 2024, and then recovering to 5.81 billion yuan by 2027 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 3.25 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 2.06 yuan in 2024, and gradually increasing to 2.81 yuan by 2027 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 93.32 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 193.07 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 28.76 for the current price and latest diluted earnings [1] Strategic Developments - The company is set to strengthen its presence in the Hong Kong and Macau markets through the acquisition of DFS, which has a significant brand presence and strategic locations [8] - The partnership with LVMH is expected to facilitate further collaboration across various channels, enhancing the company's competitive edge [8]

2026 年 01 月 26 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 67,540 | 56,474 | 55,174 | 61,618 | 66,074 | | 同比（%） | 24.08 | (16.38) | (2.30) | 11.68 | 7.23 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,714 | 4,267 | 3,865 | 5,222 | 5,813 | | 同比（%） | 33.46 | (36.44) | (9.42) | 35.11 | 11.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.25 | 2.06 | 1.87 | 2.52 | 2.81 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 28.76 | 45.25 | 49.95 | 36.97 | 33.21 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·旅游零售Ⅱ 中国中 ...

Summary of China Duty Free Group's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Duty Free Group (CDFG) - **Acquisition**: CDFG acquired 100% equity of DFS Macau and retail stores in Hong Kong, along with intangible assets in Greater China, including brand, membership system, IT systems, and intellectual property [2][3][5] Core Points and Arguments Strategic Acquisition - The acquisition aims to optimize business layout, enhance international capabilities, and solidify CDFG's position in the global duty-free industry [2][5] - CDFG established a strategic partnership with LVMH to expand cooperation in product sales, store openings, brand promotion, cultural exchange, tourism services, and customer experience [2][3] Market Expansion - CDFG plans to strengthen overseas expansion, focusing on mature markets (bidding), growth markets (acquisitions like Hong Kong and Macau), and high-potential markets (self-pilot projects in Cambodia, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam) [2][6] - The retail performance in Hong Kong exceeded expectations, particularly in cosmetics, jewelry, watches, and gifts, leading to confidence in future profitability [2][7] Financial Aspects - CDFG's subsidiary, CDF International, acquired DFS's retail stores and intangible assets for up to $395 million [3] - The acquisition is expected to enhance CDFG's backend capabilities and facilitate broader market expansion, especially in Southeast Asia and along the Belt and Road Initiative [2][8] DFS Group Overview - DFS Group, established in 1960, is a leading high-end retail and travel retail operator, collaborating with 1,800 global brands [4] - The acquisition not only focuses on store resources but also on brand value, membership value, and supply chain systems [4][5] Future Plans and Market Strategy - CDFG aims to explore further cooperation opportunities with LVMH in overseas channels and may re-enter previously exited markets [5][10] - The company is optimistic about the retail industry's growth in Hong Kong and Macau, viewing it as a key pillar for future profitability [7][17] Integration and Operational Strategy - CDFG plans to integrate DFS into its existing system, ensuring a smooth transition in supply chain, talent, and channel resources [20][22] - The company will leverage its extensive membership base to enhance revenue and attract high-net-worth customers [9][11] Profitability and Valuation - CDFG's valuation logic is based on market comparisons, with the acquisition price reflecting a protective measure for the company and investors [17] - The expected revenue for the acquired business in 2023 is approximately 6 billion RMB, with a net profit of around 1 billion RMB [17] Cash Utilization and Future Investments - CDFG plans to utilize its ample cash reserves for future investments and acquisitions, aiming to optimize its investment strategy for better performance in the capital market [24] Other Important Insights - CDFG is considering introducing more high-potential Chinese brands into its offerings, particularly in spaces with significant display potential [11][21] - The company is focused on maximizing the value of the acquisition through post-merger integration and synergy effects across various business segments [21][22] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding China Duty Free Group's strategic acquisition of DFS and its implications for future growth and market positioning.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the social services sector, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [3][28]. Core Insights - The silver economy is gaining traction with active policy support from multiple government departments aimed at fostering the development of elderly care services and enhancing consumption potential [2][17]. - The Spring Festival travel rush is anticipated to significantly boost travel demand, with projections of approximately 95 million air passengers during the period [2][20]. - The consumer services sector outperformed the market, with a reported increase of 1.52%, surpassing the market by 2.71 percentage points during the review period [1][12]. Industry Dynamics - Recent policies have been introduced to cultivate elderly care service providers, with companies like New Oriental and China Travel Group launching initiatives targeting the silver economy [2][17][18]. - The Spring Festival travel period is expected to see a substantial increase in passenger numbers, with a forecast of 22.4 million travelers in Hainan, marking a 5.3% increase year-on-year [2][19]. - The IPO activity in the chain industry remains robust, with companies like Yuanji Food and Guming Tea achieving significant milestones in store openings and financial performance [2][21]. Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the social services sector include increases of 26.86% for Tongdao Liepin and 17.50% for Keri International during the review period [1][15]. - Conversely, Ctrip Group saw a decline of 18.63%, indicating volatility within the sector [1][15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as China Duty Free, Guming, Huazhu Group, and Ctrip Group, among others, as potential investment opportunities [3][28]. - Long-term recommendations include companies like Meituan, Mijia Group, and various educational and travel service providers, reflecting a diversified approach to investment in the sector [3][28].