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吉比特(603444):《问剑长生》亮眼表现驱动Q1业绩增长,关注《杖剑传说》进展
长城证券· 2025-04-29 10:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [5][16]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year but down 1.43% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The new game "Wanjian Changsheng" has performed well, contributing to revenue and profit growth, and is expected to launch in additional regions, including Hong Kong, Macau, and Europe and the United States [2][3]. - The company is also focusing on upcoming game launches, such as "Zhangjian Chuanqi," which is set to officially launch in the first half of 2025, and the SLG game "Jiumu Zhiye," expected in the second half of 2025 [2][3]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 4.185 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 19.0% year-on-year. However, revenue is expected to recover in 2025E to 4.409 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 19.3% [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A was 1.461 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 23.0% year-on-year. By 2025E, net profit is expected to rise to 1.134 billion yuan, indicating a growth rate of 20.0% [1][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) for 2023A was 27.8%, with a projected decline to 20.9% in 2024A, before stabilizing around 19.0% by 2027E [1][9]. Revenue and Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin is projected to remain stable around 88.5% from 2023A to 2027E, indicating strong profitability [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023A was 15.62 yuan, with projections of 15.74 yuan in 2025E and 19.92 yuan in 2027E, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [1][9]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned in the media industry and has a total market capitalization of approximately 16.8 billion yuan as of April 28, 2025 [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new game launches in driving future growth, alongside the stabilization of existing game revenues [2][3].
吉比特(603444):25Q1业绩超预期,新游上线流水表现优异
招商证券· 2025-04-28 15:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.82% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.43% [1][2]. - The newly launched game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" performed exceptionally well, generating 363 million yuan in revenue during Q1 2025, with over 2 million registered users [6][7]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new products and is actively investing in IP incubation and operation, with several upcoming game releases planned for 2025 [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a net operating cash flow of 213 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.73% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 49.54% [6]. - The company’s total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.11 billion yuan, 4.48 billion yuan, and 4.88 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 9%, and 9% [7][8]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.066 billion yuan, 1.120 billion yuan, and 1.231 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 13%, 5%, and 10% [7][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a stable long-term operation for existing games, with significant contributions from domestic game revenue. The domestic game business saw a total revenue of 3.21 billion yuan from "Wen Dao" and 4.41 billion yuan from "Wen Dao Mobile" in Q1 2025 [6]. - The company is focusing on new game launches and has a rich reserve of products, including the self-developed game "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and the licensed game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye" [6][7]. - The company is also investing in well-known enterprises and actively exploring IP operations across various media formats, including novels and animations [6][7].
吉比特(603444):新游《问剑长生》亮眼表现驱动增长,关注存量游戏后续表现及储备新游进展
长江证券· 2025-04-27 01:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 1.136 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 275 million yuan, up 38.71% year-on-year. This marks the first quarter of positive revenue growth since 2023 [2][4] - The new game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" contributed over 360 million yuan in revenue increment, with other core products like "Wen Dao" and "Yi Nian Xiao Yao" also showing quarter-on-quarter revenue growth. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the revenue trends of core products and the progress of new game launches [5][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, reflecting an 11.82% year-on-year increase, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 275 million yuan, up 38.71% year-on-year [2][4] - The company’s revenue returned to positive growth for the first time in 2023 [4] Game Performance - The new game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" significantly contributed to revenue, generating 363 million yuan in Q1 2025. The revenue from "Wen Dao" was 321 million yuan, down 16.3% year-on-year but up 34.9% quarter-on-quarter. "Wen Dao Mobile" generated 441 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year and down 4.3% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] - The report highlights the need to focus on the revenue trends of core products and the testing and launch schedules of new games [7] Investment and Expenses - The company increased its marketing expenses due to the launch of "Wen Jian Chang Sheng," with sales expenses rising to 360 million yuan, an increase of 66 million yuan year-on-year and 165 million yuan quarter-on-quarter. The sales expense ratio increased by 9.5 percentage points to 31.7% [6] - The report notes that the overall investment return on marketing spending remains good, with stable year-on-year sales expense ratios [6]
吉比特(603444):业绩超预期,配置价值显现看好估值修复,关注后续新品弹性
华创证券· 2025-04-26 14:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][9][19]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 1.14 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 22% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 280 million yuan, up 12% year-over-year but down 1.4% quarter-over-quarter [2][9]. - The report highlights the potential for valuation recovery, driven by the performance of new products and the stabilization of existing product revenues [2][9]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 4.26 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 15.4%. This is expected to further increase to 4.54 billion yuan in 2026 and 4.79 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 6.5% and 5.4% respectively [5][10]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.07 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12.9%. This is expected to rise to 1.15 billion yuan in 2026 and 1.20 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 7.3% and 4.6% respectively [5][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to be 14.81 yuan in 2025, increasing to 15.89 yuan in 2026 and 16.62 yuan in 2027 [5][10]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 15.3x in 2025, decreasing to 14.3x in 2026 and 13.7x in 2027. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to be 3.0x in 2025, 2.8x in 2026, and 2.6x in 2027 [5][10]. Product and Market Insights - The report notes that the core products are showing signs of stabilization, with the new product "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" contributing significantly to revenue. The product generated 360 million yuan in revenue during Q1 2025 [9][10]. - The company has two new products scheduled for release in 2025, which are expected to enhance revenue growth and provide upward momentum for the stock price [9][10].
吉比特:季报点评:《问剑长生》带动Q1业绩增长,关注《杖剑传说》进展-20250425
中原证券· 2025-04-25 12:23
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" based on expected performance exceeding the market index by over 15% in the next six months [12]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.136 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year but down 1.43% quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The newly launched game "Wanjian Changsheng" has performed exceptionally well, contributing significantly to revenue growth with a total revenue of 363 million yuan and over 2 million registered users [8]. - The company plans to launch two new games in 2025, including "Zhangjian Chuanqiao" and "Jiumu Zhiye," which are expected to further enhance revenue streams [8]. Financial Performance - The gross profit margin stands at 90.89%, with a diluted return on equity of 5.47% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 16.28% as of March 31, 2025 [2]. - The company’s sales expense ratio increased to 31.70%, while the R&D expense ratio decreased to 15.89% due to adjustments in projects and teams [8]. - The forecasted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 15.65 yuan, 16.71 yuan, and 17.48 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.07, 13.18, and 12.60 [9][10].
吉比特(603444):新游驱动增长 长线产品企稳
新浪财经· 2025-04-25 06:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by the launch of new game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" and stable performance of existing titles [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.136 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 29.43% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-over-year but down 1.43% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - Non-GAAP net profit was 275 million yuan, showing a year-over-year increase of 38.71% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.11% [1]. Game Performance - "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" contributed 363 million yuan in revenue during Q1 2025 [1]. - Existing games showed mixed results: - "Wen Dao PC" revenue was 321 million yuan, down 16.3% year-over-year but up 34.9% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - "Wen Dao Mobile" revenue was 441 million yuan, down 15.9% year-over-year and down 4.3% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - "Yi Nian Xiao Yao" revenue was 130 million yuan, down 22.9% year-over-year but up 1.1% quarter-over-quarter [1]. International Business - The company's overseas revenue in Q1 2025 totaled 117 million yuan, a decrease of 15.95% year-over-year, primarily due to significant revenue drops from "Fei Ba Long Qi Shi" and "Yi Nian Xiao Yao" in international markets [1]. New Game Pipeline - The company is progressing with new game launches, including "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye," expected to launch in 2025 [2]. - "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" is anticipated to expand into Hong Kong, Macau, and international markets, potentially contributing to revenue growth [2]. - The game "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" has begun platform reservations and is set to launch in H1 2025 [2]. Profitability and Cost Structure - Gross margin improved by 1.64 percentage points year-over-year to 90.89% [2]. - Sales expense ratio increased due to higher marketing costs for new game promotions, while management expenses rose due to year-end bonuses [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company expects net profits of 1.18 billion yuan, 1.32 billion yuan, and 1.45 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 24%, 12%, and 10% [3]. - The target price is set at 294.84 yuan, based on an 18x PE for 2025, considering uncertainties in new game revenues and the profitability of overseas operations [3].
吉比特:新游贡献增量,持续分红回馈投资者-20250424
太平洋· 2025-04-24 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][9][14] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 11.69% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue of 3.696 billion yuan. However, Q1 2025 showed a revenue increase of 22.47% year-on-year, reaching 1.136 billion yuan [4][9] - The company is expected to benefit from new game launches, with two new games planned for release in 2025, which are anticipated to contribute positively to revenue [6][9] - The company has a strong commitment to returning cash to shareholders, with a proposed cash dividend of 35 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling approximately 251 million yuan, representing a cash dividend payout ratio of 75.94% [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 3.696 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.69% year-on-year, and a net profit of 945 million yuan, down 16.02% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.136 billion yuan, up 22.47% year-on-year, with a net profit of 283 million yuan, an increase of 11.82% year-on-year [4][5][11] Game Development and Launches - The company has two new games in development, with plans to launch a Japanese fantasy-themed mobile game and a Three Kingdoms-themed SLG game in 2025. Additionally, the overseas version of "Wanjian Changsheng" is set to launch in various regions [6][9] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of approximately 718 million yuan for 2024, which is 81.46% of the annual net profit. The board has also proposed a cash dividend plan for the first half and third quarter of 2025 [7][9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 4.322 billion yuan, 4.631 billion yuan, and 4.855 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 16.95%, 7.16%, and 4.84%. Net profits are expected to be 1.046 billion yuan, 1.219 billion yuan, and 1.336 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 10.68%, 16.58%, and 9.60% [9][11]
吉比特(603444):新游贡献增量,持续分红回馈投资者
太平洋证券· 2025-04-24 13:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][9][14] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 11.69% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue of 3.696 billion yuan. However, Q1 2025 showed a revenue increase of 22.47% year-on-year, reaching 1.136 billion yuan [4][5] - The company is expected to benefit from new game launches, with two new games planned for release in 2025, which are anticipated to contribute positively to revenue [6][9] - The company has a strong commitment to returning cash to shareholders, with a proposed cash dividend of 35 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling approximately 251 million yuan, representing a cash dividend payout ratio of 75.94% [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 3.696 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.69% year-on-year, and a net profit of 945 million yuan, down 16.02% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.136 billion yuan, up 22.47% year-on-year, with a net profit of 283 million yuan, an increase of 11.82% year-on-year [4][5][11] Game Development and Launches - The company has two new games in development, scheduled for release in 2025, which are expected to enhance revenue. Additionally, the overseas version of the game "Wanjian Changsheng" is set to launch in various regions, including Hong Kong, Macau, and Europe [6][9] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 718 million yuan for 2024, which includes previous dividends, representing 81.46% of the annual net profit. The board has also proposed a cash dividend plan for the first half and third quarter of 2025 [7][9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 4.322 billion yuan, 4.631 billion yuan, and 4.855 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 16.95%, 7.16%, and 4.84%. Net profits are expected to be 1.046 billion yuan, 1.219 billion yuan, and 1.336 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 10.68%, 16.58%, and 9.60% [9][11]
吉比特:2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩超预期,《问剑长生》表现出色-20250424
国元证券· 2025-04-24 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items grew by 38.71% to 275 million yuan [2][4]. - The new game "Wanjian Changsheng" has performed exceptionally well, contributing significantly to revenue. It was launched in January 2025 and has surpassed 2 million registered users, achieving a quarterly revenue of 363 million yuan [3][4]. - The company is set to launch two new games in 2025, with a clear schedule for new releases, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company's revenue was 1.136 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, reflecting an 11.82% increase year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 275 million yuan, marking a 38.71% increase [2]. - The company's expense ratios for Q1 2025 were as follows: sales expense ratio at 31.70%, management expense ratio at 9.74%, and R&D expense ratio at 15.89%, with changes of +0.03%, -0.34%, and -4.14 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [2]. - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.1 billion, 1.255 billion, and 1.425 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 15.3, 17.4, and 19.8 yuan, and PE ratios of 14x, 12x, and 11x [4][6].
吉比特(603444):Q1业绩超预期,《问剑长生》表现出色
国元证券· 2025-04-24 08:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, driven by new game contributions and a significant increase in revenue from item consumption [2][3] - The new game "Wanjian Changsheng" has shown outstanding performance, with over 2 million registered users and a peak ranking of 14th on the App Store game sales chart [3] - The company is set to launch two new products in 2025, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year [2] - The company's non-GAAP net profit was 275 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38.71% [2] - The expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D in Q1 2025 were 31.70%, 9.74%, and 15.89%, respectively, showing slight changes compared to the previous year [2] Product Development - The company continues to implement a long-term operational strategy for its games, with classic products maintaining stable operations [3] - The overseas gaming business generated revenue of 117 million yuan in Q1, a decrease of 15.95% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced income from previously launched games [3] - Upcoming titles include "Zhangjian Chuan Shuo" (code M88) and "Jiumu Zhi Ye," with planned launches in 2025 [3] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.1 billion, 1.255 billion, and 1.425 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 15.3, 17.4, and 19.8 yuan [4] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14x, 12x, and 11x, respectively [4]