Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices this year. Key areas to focus on in July include safety regulation policies, supply-side changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to "export rush" in the first half of the year, the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies, and stable dividend policies in energy enterprises [2][10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of July 7-13, 2025, among 100 tracked chemical products, 22 saw price increases, 47 experienced declines, and 31 remained stable. 39% of products had a month-on-month average price increase, while 55% saw a decrease, and 6% remained unchanged. The top gainers included DMF, potassium chloride, and acetone, while hydrochloric acid and aniline were among the largest decliners [9][33] Oil Price Trends - International oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude futures closing at $68.45 per barrel (up 2.93%) and Brent crude at $70.36 per barrel (up 3.02%). The U.S. average daily crude oil production was reported at 13.385 million barrels, a decrease of 48,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 850,000 barrels year-on-year [9][10] Product Price Changes - The average price of polysilicon increased to 31,200 CNY/ton, up 1.30% from the previous week, while glyphosate prices rose to 25,501 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.79% increase. The gross profit margin for glyphosate was reported at 10.85%, with a significant year-on-year increase of 129.88% [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several investment themes: the sustained high prices of crude oil, the rapid development of downstream industries, and the recovery of demand supported by policy measures. Recommended companies include China Petroleum, China Oilfield Services, and various technology firms in the electronic materials sector [10][11] Key Stocks for July - The report highlights "Satellite Chemical" and "Anji Technology" as key stocks for July, with both companies showing strong revenue and profit growth in their recent financial reports [11][17]

Group 1 - The market showed positive performance last week, with the China Securities Xinhua National Brand Index rising by 1.78% to 1679.33 points [1] - Key stocks such as Sungrow Power, Tigermed, and Kangtai Biological performed strongly, with Sungrow Power leading with a 12.50% increase [1] - Year-to-date, notable performers include Xinlitai with a 47.42% increase, WuXi AppTec with a 43.21% rise, and Anji Technology up by 38.52% [2] Group 2 - The market sentiment is shifting towards a bullish outlook, with institutions optimistic about future performance due to a lack of systemic risks and positive reactions to favorable information [2] - Key sectors of interest include computing power chains, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with high-dividend assets expected to attract institutional investment [2] - The ongoing revaluation of Chinese assets is supported by continuous breakthroughs in domestic technology innovation and favorable policies, which are expected to enhance supply-demand dynamics in the domestic market [3]

Group 1 - The core index of the CSI 1000 Information Technology Index is reported at 9130.36 points, with a one-month increase of 6.25%, a three-month increase of 11.71%, and a year-to-date increase of 7.69% [1] - The CSI 1000 Index series selects liquid and representative securities from each industry, forming 10 industry indices to provide diversified investment targets [1] - The top ten holdings of the CSI 1000 Information Technology Index include: O-film (2.69%), Huahong Semiconductor (1.54%), Heertai (1.42%), Siwei Tuxin (1.39%), Sifang Jichuang (1.33%), Jingfang Technology (1.27%), Chipone (1.25%), Weining Health (1.24%), Anji Technology (1.24%), and Tuobang Co. (1.2%) [1] Group 2 - The market share of the CSI 1000 Information Technology Index holdings is 57.12% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and 42.88% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - The industry composition of the index holdings includes: Software Development (24.50%), Integrated Circuits (19.58%), Optical Electronics (14.73%), IT Services (12.38%), Semiconductor Materials and Equipment (9.51%), Electronic Components (7.54%), Electronic Terminals and Components (7.10%), Other Electronics (2.08%), Electronic Chemicals (1.84%), and Discrete Devices (0.73%) [2] - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, and temporary adjustments may occur under special circumstances [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Tongcheng Travel, a leading OTA in China's lower-tier markets, benefiting from the tourism boom and support from major shareholders Tencent and Ctrip [3][6][8] - In 2024, Tongcheng Travel is projected to achieve revenue of CNY 17.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45.8%, and an adjusted net profit of CNY 2.79 billion, up 26.7% year-on-year [6] Company Overview - Tongcheng Travel is formed from the merger of Tongcheng and eLong, positioning itself as a top three player in the OTA industry, providing comprehensive travel services including transportation and accommodation bookings [6][8] - The company has a significant user base from non-first-tier cities, allowing it to capitalize on the growth in lower-tier markets [8] Industry Analysis - The online travel market is expected to exceed CNY 1 trillion in 2024, driven by high demand in the cultural tourism sector and low penetration rates in lower-tier cities [7] - The current market structure is characterized by a dominant player (Ctrip) and several strong competitors (Tongcheng, Meituan, Feizhu), with a focus on differentiated competition [7] - The bargaining power in the transportation sector is low due to high supplier concentration, while the accommodation sector has a higher bargaining power with lower supplier concentration [7]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor materials ETF is showing strong performance, with significant increases in both price and trading volume, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the semiconductor materials and equipment sector [3][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of July 8, 2025, the semiconductor materials ETF (562590) rose by 1.27%, with a latest price of 1.11 yuan [3]. - Over the past two weeks, the ETF has accumulated a rise of 1.85%, ranking 2nd out of 5 comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 16.45% and a transaction value of 54.74 million yuan [3]. - The average daily trading volume over the past year was 17.32 million yuan, ranking 2nd among comparable funds [3]. Group 2: Scale and Share Growth - In the past week, the ETF's scale increased by 4.11 million yuan, placing it 1st out of 5 comparable funds in terms of scale growth [3]. - The ETF's share count grew by 8 million shares in the past week, also ranking 1st among comparable funds [3]. Group 3: Tracking Accuracy - As of July 7, 2025, the ETF's tracking error over the past two months was 0.015%, the highest accuracy among comparable funds [3]. Group 4: Index Composition - The CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index (931743) includes 40 listed companies involved in semiconductor materials and equipment, reflecting the overall performance of this sector [4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 62.78% of the total index weight, with notable companies including Northern Huachuang (002371) and Zhongwei Company (688012) [4][6].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing supply-side reform aimed at the orderly exit of backward production capacity, marking a significant policy shift from self-regulation to higher-level government intervention [6][7] - The market is expected to experience a "pulse-like" behavior due to unclear demand-side conditions, contrasting with the more robust demand seen during the 2016 supply-side reforms [7][9] - There is a notable focus on the differentiation between "old industries" (e.g., steel, coal, cement) and "new industries" (e.g., new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, photovoltaic sectors), with a recommendation to prioritize sectors with external demand [7][8] Market Performance - The report provides a snapshot of market indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3472.32, reflecting a 0.32% increase, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.25% [4] - The banking sector showed a strong performance with a 1.84% increase, while the beauty care sector declined by 1.87% [5] Industry Analysis - The report indicates a marginal recovery in production and demand expectations for June, with the PMI showing slight improvement, suggesting a potential stabilization in industrial profits [9][10] - It highlights that the price pressures are expected to ease, and inventory levels are likely to remain resilient, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [9][10] - The report suggests that the profitability factors are anticipated to improve, with a focus on high profitability, small-cap, and high-valuation stocks expected to outperform in the coming month [10]

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices this year. Key areas to focus on in July include safety regulations, supply changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to "export rush," the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][12] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of June 30 to July 6, among 100 tracked chemical products, 25 saw price increases, 56 saw declines, and 19 remained stable. The average price of TDI increased by 7.02% week-on-week, while the average price of acrylic acid rose by 3.65% [11][36] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on safety regulations and supply changes affecting the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations from the first half of the year, the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies. Long-term investment themes include sustained high crude oil prices benefiting the oil and gas extraction sector, rapid development in downstream industries, and policy support for demand recovery [12][19] Key Products and Price Changes - TDI prices increased to 12,013 CNY/ton, while acrylic acid prices reached 7,100 CNY/ton, reflecting a 14.52% year-on-year increase. The average price of crude oil also saw slight increases, with WTI at 66.50 USD/barrel and Brent at 68.30 USD/barrel [11][35][36] Company Highlights - Satellite Chemical and Anji Technology are highlighted as "gold stocks" for July, with both companies showing strong revenue and profit growth in 2024. Satellite Chemical reported a revenue of 45.648 billion CNY, a 10.03% increase year-on-year, while Anji Technology achieved a revenue of 1.835 billion CNY, a 48.24% increase year-on-year [13][19]

Market Performance - The market experienced an upward trend last week, with the CSI Xinhua National Brand Index rising by 1.39% to 1649.96 points [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.40%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.25%, the ChiNext Index by 1.50%, and the CSI 300 Index by 1.54% [2] Strong Stock Performances - Notable strong performers included Anji Technology, which rose by 7.98%, and WuXi AppTec, which increased by 7.58% [2] - Other significant gainers included Yiling Pharmaceutical, Tiger Med, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, all rising over 6% [2] - The overall trend showed many stocks in the index gaining over 1%, indicating broad market strength [2] Year-to-Date Performance - Since the beginning of 2025, notable stock performances include: - Xintai rising by 55.34% - Anji Technology increasing by 45.75% - WuXi AppTec and Marubi both rising over 30% [3] Market Outlook - Analysts from Xing Shi Investment suggest that the market will continue to perform positively due to strong trading sentiment and sector rotation opportunities [4] - The overall risk premium in the A-share market remains at historically low levels, indicating high value [4] - The macroeconomic environment is expected to remain stable, with ongoing domestic policy support and emerging opportunities in sectors like artificial intelligence and new consumption [4][5] Investment Strategy - Wangzheng Asset maintains a strategy focused on "technology blue chips + innovative growth," emphasizing quality of business operations and undervalued stocks in sectors such as internet, electronics, and automotive [5] - The focus is also on high-potential innovative growth sectors as they mature and enter rapid growth phases [5]

Core Viewpoint - CMP (Chemical Mechanical Polishing) technology is essential for the development of integrated circuits, playing a critical role in achieving surface flatness during chip manufacturing, which is increasingly important as technology nodes shrink and the number of layers in chips increases [6][38]. Group I: CMP Technology and Market Overview - CMP technology is a necessary process in wafer manufacturing, which includes multiple steps such as diffusion, lithography, etching, ion implantation, thin film growth, and CMP itself [9]. - The global CMP materials market is experiencing continuous growth, driven by advancements in semiconductor technology and increasing demand from various sectors, including 5G and AI [32][49]. - The CMP materials market is characterized by a high degree of technical, talent, and patent barriers, with significant market share held by leading companies from the US and Japan [54]. Group II: Market Size and Growth - The global CMP polishing pad market size increased from $650 million in 2016 to $1.13 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 11.69% [49]. - The CMP polishing liquid market also saw growth, rising from $1.1 billion in 2016 to $1.43 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 5.39% [50]. - China's CMP polishing liquid market grew significantly, from 1.23 billion yuan in 2016 to 2.2 billion yuan in 2021, achieving a CAGR of 12.28%, indicating a faster growth rate compared to the global market [50]. Group III: Domestic Industry Dynamics - Chinese companies are increasingly entering the CMP materials market, with government policies supporting the development of the semiconductor industry and promoting domestic alternatives to imported materials [39][41]. - The domestic semiconductor materials market is expected to continue growing at a rate higher than the global average, driven by technological advancements and increasing local demand [32][39]. - The shift towards domestic production of CMP materials is seen as a strategic move to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers, especially in light of export controls from the US and Japan [39][54]. Group IV: Product Segmentation and Applications - CMP materials are primarily categorized into polishing liquids, polishing pads, and cleaning agents, with polishing liquids accounting for 49% and polishing pads for 33% of the market share [18]. - Various types of polishing liquids are used for different applications, including copper CMP, tungsten CMP, and dielectric CMP, each tailored for specific manufacturing processes [19][21]. - Polishing pads are typically made from polyurethane and are designed to maintain a stable polishing environment while effectively distributing polishing liquids [20][22].

Core Viewpoint - The recent supply disruption of CMP slurry, specifically DST slurry produced by AGC in Taiwan, has accelerated the pace of domestic alternatives in the semiconductor industry, highlighting the urgency for local manufacturers to innovate and adapt [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of CMP Slurry - CMP slurry is essential for the chemical mechanical polishing process in semiconductor manufacturing, akin to smoothing and leveling surfaces in construction [2]. - The slurry consists of ultra-fine abrasives, chemical agents, and water, and is crucial for achieving the required surface smoothness in logic and memory chip production [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The CMP slurry market is predominantly controlled by American and Japanese companies, with Cabot Microelectronics holding 33% of the global market share, while Japanese firms account for an additional 23% [3]. - Domestic manufacturers currently hold a market share of 25-30%, which is even lower in high-end processes (e.g., below 28nm) [3]. - The global CMP slurry market was valued at $1.89 billion in 2021 and is projected to exceed $2.6 billion by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% [3]. - In China, the CMP slurry market is expected to grow from approximately 2.3 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.6 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 15% [3]. Group 3: Demand Surge Factors - The demand for CMP slurry is increasing due to the growing complexity of high-end processes, with the number of CMP steps for 14nm logic chips doubling, requiring more types of slurry [3]. - The rise of 3D NAND memory chips, with increasing stacking layers, necessitates more intricate polishing processes, leading to a significant increase in CMP slurry usage [3]. Group 4: Domestic Players - Anji Technology has been a leader in CMP slurry since 2006, achieving a market share of over 5% globally and increasing its share in China from 20.9% in 2020 to 30.8% in 2021 [4]. - Sanhe New Materials focuses on diamond polishing liquids for hard materials and is gradually increasing its market share by supplying to companies like SMIC [4]. - Dinglong Co. is a key player in the domestic polishing pad market, offering a comprehensive solution that includes polishing liquids, cleaning liquids, and polishing pads, enhancing its competitive edge [5].