Group 1 - The interest of mutual funds in the Hong Kong market slightly decreased in Q4 of last year, with strong capital inflows into the metals and financial sectors [1] - By the end of 2025, the structure of stock holdings in equity and mixed mutual funds diversified, with the top 50 holdings' share of total stock investments dropping from 25.8% to 25.1% [1] - The proportion of Hong Kong stocks in mutual fund heavyweights decreased from a peak of 17.8% to 16.3% [1] Group 2 - Driven by global metal market trends, Chinese mutual funds significantly increased their investments in metal stocks in Q4, with a quarterly rise of 1.7 percentage points [2] - Fund managers showed optimism towards banks and diversified financials, with notable inflows into Industrial Bank and ICBC [2] - For Q1 2026, mutual funds are expected to have a higher risk tolerance post profit-taking, with AI and metals remaining key investment themes [2]

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical sector is experiencing mixed performance, with the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index showing a slight decline, while the Petrochemical ETF has seen significant inflows and growth in net value over the past two years [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 29, 2026, the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index decreased by 0.27%, with stocks like Sankeshu and Zhongfu Shenying leading gains, while companies like Hebang Bio and China Petroleum faced declines [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) fell by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.05 yuan and a trading volume of 2.12 billion yuan, indicating active market participation with a turnover rate of 17.99% [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Performance Metrics - The Petrochemical ETF has seen continuous net inflows for 16 days, totaling 838 million yuan, with the latest share count reaching 1.106 billion and a total scale of 1.166 billion yuan, marking a new high [2]. - Over the past two years, the net value of the Petrochemical ETF has increased by 66.80%, with the highest single-month return recorded at 15.86% and the longest consecutive monthly gain spanning 8 months, achieving a maximum increase of 41.6% [2]. - The average return during the rising months of the Petrochemical ETF is 5.25%, and as of January 23, 2026, the one-year Sharpe ratio stands at 2.22 [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Outlook - According to Guosen Securities, the petrochemical sector is strictly implementing capacity reduction and replacement requirements for new refining projects, focusing on upgrading old facilities and demonstrating new technologies [2]. - The refining capacity in China is approaching the policy threshold of 1 billion tons, leading to the gradual consolidation and elimination of smaller capacities, while larger refineries are expected to increase their market share, optimizing the industry structure [2]. - With limited growth in refined oil demand, the transition towards "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" will be essential for refineries [2]. Group 4: Key Stocks in the Index - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index as of December 31, 2025, include Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and China Petrochemical, collectively accounting for 56.73% of the index [2].

证券之星消息，1月28日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨1.82%，博迁新材领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4151.24，上涨0.27%。深证成指报收于14342.9，上涨0.09%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605376 | 博迁新材 | 89.54 | 7.23% | 16.80万 | | 14.53亿 | | 300618 | 塞锐钻业 | 54.03 | 6.95% | 34.64万 | | 18.30亿 | | 301219 | 腾远钻业 | 79.19 | 4.68% | 16.62万 | | 12.97亿 | | 6633209 | 永杉锂业 | 12.25 | 4.61% | 31.84万 | | 3.82亿 | | 600711 | 盛电矿业 | 18.26 | 4.52% | 200.27万 | | 35.95 Z | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 80.76 | 3.34% | 81.20万 | | 64.6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [2]. Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the overall allocation of public funds in the chemical sector has significantly increased, indicating a bottoming out and potential investment opportunities [2]. - The top ten chemical stocks held by public funds saw a recovery in their market value share, with a notable increase in the proportion of leading blue-chip stocks, suggesting a preference for stable investments in cyclical products with price elasticity [2][12]. - The total market value of the top 30 chemical stocks held by public funds reached approximately 79.89 billion, reflecting a significant increase of about 45.23% compared to the previous quarter [24]. Summary by Sections 1. Q4 2025 Public Fund Chemical Holdings Changes - The proportion of heavy chemical stocks in overall public fund holdings increased by 0.70 percentage points to 2.37%, marking a new high for 2025 [7]. - Regional allocations also saw increases, with East China rising by 0.63 percentage points to 2.33%, South China by 0.96 percentage points to 3.02%, and North China by 0.44 percentage points to 1.44% [7]. 2. Changes in the Number of Funds Holding Chemical Stocks - The number of funds holding chemical stocks increased significantly, driven mainly by blue-chip stocks. The top three stocks with the highest increase in the number of funds were Wanhua Chemical, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), and Hualu Hengsheng, with increases of 119, 85, and 75 funds respectively [15][19]. 3. Total Market Value and Concentration of Chemical Holdings - The total market value of the top 30 chemical stocks held by public funds increased significantly, with these stocks accounting for 84.68% of the total market value of all heavy chemical stocks, an increase of 3.34 percentage points [24]. - The leading stocks by market value included Wanhua Chemical at approximately 89.41 billion, CNOOC at 67.53 billion, and Juhua Co., Ltd. at 59.78 billion [24].

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical sector is experiencing a positive trend, with the China Petrochemical Industry Index showing an increase, and significant inflows into the Petrochemical ETF, indicating strong investor interest and potential for growth [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 28, 2026, the China Petrochemical Industry Index rose by 0.54%, with key stocks like Zhejiang Longsheng hitting the daily limit up, and others such as China National Offshore Oil Corporation and Hubei Biopharma also seeing gains [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) increased by 0.39%, with a turnover rate of 4.34% during the trading session [1]. - Over the past 15 days, the Petrochemical ETF has attracted a total net inflow of 745 million yuan, reaching a record high of 1.018 billion shares and a total size of 1.045 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The Petrochemical ETF has seen a net value increase of 62.39% over the past two years [1]. - The highest monthly return since inception was 15.86%, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being 8 months and a maximum cumulative increase of 41.60% [1]. - The average monthly return during the rising months was 5.25%, and the ETF outperformed its benchmark with an annualized excess return of 2.35% over the past year [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicates that a turning point in policy and capital expenditure is evident, with the concept of "anti-involution" suggesting improved profitability and healthier long-term development for the industry [1]. - The chemical industry is entering a strategic window, characterized by the exit of high-cost marginal capacity overseas and a restructuring of the global chemical order [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Petrochemical Industry Index accounted for 56.73% of the index, including Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and China Petrochemical among others [2].

化工板块今日（1月27日）深度回调，反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘后迅速走弱， 而后持续低位震荡，盘中场内价格一度跌超2%，截至收盘，跌1.62%。 成份股方面，氟化工、锂电、氮肥等板块部分个股跌幅居前。截至收盘，多氟多、藏格矿业双双大跌超 5%，天赐材料跌4.17%，恩捷股份、星源材质、华鲁恒升等多股跌超3%，拖累板块走势。 值得注意的是，化工板块近期持续受资金青睐。交易所数据显示，截至昨日，化工ETF（516020）近5 日获资金净申购额超过13亿元；近10日获资金净申购额更是接近20亿元。 消息面上，1月27日，碳酸锂期货盘初延续颓势，主力合约跌幅一度超过7%。有分析指出，短期由于前 期锂价预期交易过于充分，价格上涨过快，监管不断加强后，或有回调的风险。由于供应端国内供应面 临合规风险，海外供应仍旧面临资源民族主义与地缘政治的风险，为在锂电需求高增长带动碳酸锂供需 反转的叙事证伪前，碳酸锂价格中枢或仍旧维持上升趋势。 就化工板块整体而言，有分析认为，最近一阵化工板块表现亮丽，反映了市场对后续景气的期待。基本 面没有大的变化。个别公司受到国外负面情绪影响，实际并不会有直接影响，未来也 ...

Group 1 - The global chemical industry is transitioning from "overcapacity" to "high-quality supply" by 2026, driven by national growth policies, marginal recovery in overseas demand, and the initiation of a restocking cycle, leading to a stabilization and rebound in the prices of basic chemicals and a significant improvement in industry profit expectations [1][3]. - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) has become a core tool for investors to capitalize on the petrochemical industry's recovery, with the index it tracks rising by 15.10% in the past month and 51.39% over the past year as of January 26, 2026 [1][5]. - The ETF has attracted significant capital inflow, with over 180 million yuan in net inflows in the past five days and over 270 million yuan in the past twenty days [1][5]. Group 2 - The "High-Quality Development" policy framework has been established, emphasizing the control of new refining capacities and the scientific regulation of ethylene and paraxylene production, marking a shift from quantity-driven growth to quality and efficiency improvements [3][4]. - A global restocking cycle has commenced, with widespread price increases for chemical products, including a 550 yuan/ton increase for butadiene and a 100 yuan/ton increase for bisphenol A, alongside sulfur prices reaching near ten-year highs [3][4]. - Major international companies like BASF and Dow have also raised prices for MDI/TDI, indicating a strong performance in the polyurethane market, supported by increased global oil demand projected at 950,000 barrels per day for 2026 [4][5]. Group 3 - Chemical companies are expected to report positive earnings, with Salt Lake Co. forecasting a net profit of 8.29 to 8.89 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 77.78% to 90.65%, and other companies like Juhua Co. and Cangge Mining also projecting significant profit increases [5][6]. - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) tracks the CSI Petrochemical Industry Index, with top holdings including major companies like Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum, covering over 56% of the index, thus providing a balanced exposure to both energy security and growth in new materials [5][6]. - The ETF has a low comprehensive fee rate of 0.20% per year, making it an ideal tool for participating in the current economic upturn in the chemical sector [5][6].

证券之星消息，1月27日能源金属板块较上一交易日下跌2.32%，藏格矿业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4139.9，上涨0.18%。深证成指报收于14329.91，上涨0.09%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605376 | 博迁新材 | 83.50 | 5.96% | | 12.76万 | | 10.51亿 | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 72.91 | -0.99% | | 65.44万 | | 47.80亿 | | 002756 | 永兴材料 | 55.16 | -1.06% | | 20.85万 | | 11.31亿 | | 002466 | 天齐锂业 | 61.00 | -1.15% | | 54.44万 | | 32.96ZZ | | 002192 | 融捷股份 | 58.87 | -1.67% | | 17.16万 | | 10.01亿 | | 002240 | 盛新锂能 | 39.43 | -1 ...

Group 1 - Cangge Mining's stock price dropped by 5.02% to 90.11 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.81 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.25%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 141.49 billion yuan [1] - Cangge Mining Co., Ltd. is located in Golmud City, Qinghai Province, and was established on June 25, 1996, with its listing date on June 28, 1996. The company's main business involves the production and sales of potassium fertilizer (potassium chloride) [1] - The revenue composition of Cangge Mining includes potassium chloride at 83.34%, lithium carbonate at 15.90%, and other products at 0.75% [1] Group 2 - Zhonghang Fund has a significant holding in Cangge Mining, with its Zhonghang Mixed Reform Selected A fund (004936) holding 32,400 shares, accounting for 9.31% of the fund's net value, making it the sixth-largest holding [2] - The estimated floating loss for the fund today is approximately 154,200 yuan [2] - The Zhonghang Mixed Reform Selected A fund was established on December 14, 2017, with a latest scale of 6.85 million yuan, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 19.21% [2]

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4133 | -0.09 | 4.26 | 0.45 | | 深证综指 | 2721 | -0.92 | 7.04 | 0.77 | | 风格指数 | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (％) | | | | | 大盘指数 | 0 | 0.36 | 13.54 | | 中盘指数 | -0.39 | 11.93 | 34.07 | | 小盘指数 | -1.66 | 10.48 | 26.75 | | 涨幅居前 | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | 行业(％) | | | | | 贵金属 | 10.24 | 46.38 | 97.93 | | 动物保健Ⅱ | 5.27 | 16.4 | 31.45 | | 工业金属 | 5.24 | 23.79 | 96.1 | | 小金属Ⅱ | 4.86 | 31.59 | 73.96 | | 饰品 | 4 ...