(本文来自第一财经) 湖南黄金、豫光金铅此前封板，盛达资源涨超8%，紫金矿业涨超5%再创新高，锌业股份、兴业银锡跟 涨。 ...

Group 1 - The industrial metal sector saw a slight increase of 0.01% on January 27, with silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up by 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up by 0.09% [1] - Notable gainers in the industrial metal sector included Silver Holdings, which rose by 9.99% to a closing price of 12.55, and Yuguang Gold & Lead, which increased by 9.98% to 20.49 [1] Group 2 - The industrial metal sector experienced a net outflow of 6.521 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 6.339 billion yuan [2] - The top losers included Guocheng Mining, which fell by 8.20% to 29.68, and Zhongse Co., which decreased by 6.51% to 8.18 [2] - The trading volume for Guocheng Mining was 464,500 shares, with a transaction value of 1.382 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - Major net inflows were observed in Huafeng Aluminum with 70.51 million yuan, while retail investors showed a significant outflow of 65.41 million yuan [3] - The net inflow for Yongjie New Materials was 46.07 million yuan from major funds, but retail investors had a net outflow of 66.60 million yuan [3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the industrial metal sector [3]

昨日盘中现货黄金一度升至5111.11美元/盎司，再创历史新高，虽之后有所回落，但今日涨势继续，目前价格维持在5065美 元附近；现货白银昨日一度升至117.7285美元/盎司，创历史新纪录，岁之后回落，但今日继续上涨，目前稳定在110美元上 方。 1月27日，A股市场多数黄金股继续强势，其中，湖南黄金涨停，中国黄金涨9%，豫光金铅涨近9%，晓程科技、招金黄金 涨超7%，盛达资源涨超6%，白银有色涨超5%。 值得注意的是，湖南黄金、豫光金铅、晓程科技、招金黄金、四川黄金、盛达资源、西部黄金、紫金矿业、铜陵有色、中 金黄金、湖南白银、山东黄金、山金国际、赤峰黄金、洛阳钼业盘中均创出历史新高。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | 1 | 10.01 | 434亿 | 31.82 | | 600916 | 中国黄金 | 1 | 9.07 | 186亿 | 35.71 | | 600531 | 豫光金铅 | 1 | 8. ...

格隆汇1月27日｜A股市场多数黄金股继续强势，其中，湖南黄金涨停，中国黄金涨9%，豫光金铅涨近9%，晓程科技、招金黄金涨超7%，盛达资源涨超 6%，白银有色（维权）涨超5%。 值得注意的是，湖南黄金、豫光金铅、晓程科技、招金黄金、四川黄金、盛达资源、西部黄金、紫金矿业、铜陵有色、中金黄金、湖南白银、山东黄金、山 金国际、赤峰黄金、洛阳钼业盘中均创出历史新高。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 昨日盘中现货黄金一度升至5111.11美元/盎司，再创历史新高，虽之后有所回落，但今日涨势继续，目前价格维持在5065美元附近；现货白银昨日一度升至 117.7285美元/盎司，创历史新纪录，岁之后回落，但今日继续上涨，目前稳定在110美元上方。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% J | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | 1 | 10.01 | 434亿 | 31.82 | | 600916 | 中国黄金 | 1 | 9.07 | 186亿 | 35.71 | | 600531 | 豫光金铅 | 1 | ...

Group 1 - The precious metals sector has strengthened again, with Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Shengda Resources, China Gold, Yuguang Gold Lead, and Zhaojin Mining also reached the daily limit up [1] - Xiaocheng Technology saw an increase of over 13% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing unprecedented highs, with international gold prices surpassing $5000 and $5100 per ounce, driven by increased demand due to heightened market risk aversion [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On January 26, international gold prices rose significantly, breaking through key thresholds of $5000 and $5100 per ounce, with a daily increase exceeding $110 per ounce [1][3]. - The domestic market mirrored this trend, with Shanghai Gold Exchange AU9999 rising by 1144.45 yuan per gram, and retail prices for physical gold reaching approximately 1575 yuan per gram [1]. - The A-share market saw a surge in gold-related stocks, with multiple companies hitting all-time highs in their stock prices [1][3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - For current holders of gold, it is advised to maintain strategic positions as a hedge against currency credit risk, while being cautious of potential short-term volatility [2]. - New investors are encouraged to consider gradual investments during market corrections, as price pullbacks may present better entry points [2]. Group 3: Market Drivers - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to a combination of global monetary and fiscal credit system reassessment, central bank gold purchases, and geopolitical risks [4]. - Emerging market central banks have been increasing their gold reserves to diversify foreign exchange risks, providing structural support for gold prices [4]. Group 4: Future Price Outlook - There are both upward support and valuation risks for future gold prices, with potential support from continued low interest rates and increased demand due to geopolitical tensions [5]. - However, there is a caution regarding a possible "temporary overheating" risk in the U.S. economy in mid-2026, which could lead to market corrections if expectations for interest rate cuts change [5]. Group 5: Stock Market Performance - The gold sector has shown strong performance in the capital markets, with the Wind precious metals industry index rising by 7.3% on January 26 and a cumulative increase of 28% for the year [6]. - Significant inflows of leveraged funds into gold stocks have been observed, with several companies receiving substantial net financing [6].

Group 1: Market Overview - Gold prices have surpassed $5,100 per ounce, reaching a historical high, with silver prices also rising concurrently. This price increase is driven by both safe-haven and monetary attributes [1] - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves to optimize foreign exchange structures and reduce reliance on single sovereign currencies. Private investors are also incorporating gold into their asset allocations to hedge against uncertainties [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end target price for gold from $4,900 to $5,400, citing ongoing global policy uncertainties and potential for further price increases in precious metals [1] Group 2: Industry and Company Insights - Zijin Mining is engaged in the exploration, development, and smelting of gold and copper, with a projected net profit for 2025 between 51 billion and 52 billion yuan [2] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining focuses on gold mining and smelting, expecting a net profit for 2025 in the range of 3 billion to 3.2 billion yuan [2] - Shengda Resources specializes in the mining and sales of silver and gold, holding nearly 10,000 tons of silver reserves [3] - Shandong Zhaojin Refining has achieved record processing volumes in gold and silver refining, with significant growth in gold repurchase business [4] - Yuguang Gold Lead is a major silver production base in China, utilizing unique processes for efficient precious metal recovery [4] - Lao Feng Xiang is involved in the research, design, production, and sales of gold jewelry, with gold jewelry prices reaching historical highs [5] - China Gold focuses on gold retail and brand operations, benefiting from the rising demand in the physical gold consumption market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The surge in metal prices, particularly gold and silver, is driven by a combination of geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and structural weaknesses in the dollar credit system, leading to significant investment opportunities in the precious metals sector [4][10]. Group 1: Metal Price Movements - On January 26, gold prices surpassed $5100 per ounce, while silver prices reached over $110 per ounce, marking a significant increase in the precious metals market [4][5]. - The A-share market saw the precious metals sector lead with a 7.3% increase, while basic metals also experienced a rise of 2.73% [2][3]. - Analysts predict that the overall strong trend in the precious metals market will continue, although caution is advised due to high volatility [4][10]. Group 2: Company Performance and Earnings - As of January 26, 73% of the 26 listed companies in the non-ferrous metals sector have reported positive earnings forecasts for 2025, largely attributed to rising metal prices [6][8]. - Companies like Zhao Jin Gold and Hunan Gold expect significant profit increases due to higher gold and other metal prices [7][8]. - The acquisition of gold mines by companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum indicates a strategic move to enhance production capabilities amid rising prices [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current market dynamics suggest a potential for further price increases in metals, driven by global economic conditions and supply constraints [9][10]. - Analysts recommend a cautious approach to investment, suggesting strategies that include dollar-cost averaging and careful risk management [10][11]. - Regulatory measures may be implemented to curb excessive speculation in the metals market, emphasizing the need for compliance with trading rules [11].

Summary of Conference Call on Metal and Resource Market Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal market is expected to maintain strong growth in 2026, with a baseline increase of 30% to 50% driven by both EPS and PE improvements. The current non-ferrous metal index still has room for growth [1][3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended investment order: 1. Gold 2. Silver 3. Tin 4. Minor metals (Tungsten, Uranium) 5. Basic industrial metals (Copper, Aluminum) - Precious metals are preferred due to their price increase trends and PE expansion potential. Minor metals show good price elasticity, while basic industrial metals have long-term value [1][5] Gold Market Insights - Current gold price is $1,150 per ounce, with an upward trend expected to continue due to geopolitical factors driving safe-haven demand. Related companies have a PE of only 12-13 times, indicating significant investment potential [1][6] - The gold industry is projected to see a PE increase to at least 15 times, suggesting further upside [6][24] Silver Market Insights - Silver price is nearing $30,000 per ton, with significant growth potential. Companies like Shengda Resources show promising prospects. The silver market is expected to present substantial investment opportunities in the next couple of years, potentially reaching ten times the current price by 2027 [1][7][9] Tin Market Challenges and Projections - The tin market faces supply concentration risks, particularly in Indonesia and the Democratic Republic of Congo. The semiconductor industry's rapid growth is creating a supply gap. Tin prices are expected to reach 450,000 yuan by 2027, with related companies' PE potentially reaching 18 to 20 times [1][10] Tungsten Market Dynamics - China controls a significant portion of global tungsten supply, with stable demand from military and nuclear sectors. A global tungsten shortfall exceeding 5% is anticipated from 2026 to 2027, with prices expected to rise to 600,000 yuan [1][11] Copper Market Challenges - The copper market is facing headwinds from high inventories and geopolitical factors. Current copper prices are fluctuating around 100,000 yuan, with a potential decrease in volatility. Companies like Zijin Mining have a market cap of 1 trillion yuan, corresponding to a PE of 16 times, indicating safety in holding or increasing positions [1][4][14] Aluminum Market Overview - The aluminum market is experiencing price increases, currently ranging from 24,000 to 25,000 yuan, with potential to stabilize above 25,000 yuan. Companies like China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum are highlighted for their growth potential [1][15][16] Lithium Market Outlook - The lithium market is seeing strong consumption growth, but supply is not keeping pace, leading to sustained high prices. Regulatory risks are present, but the overall trend remains bullish [1][12] Minor Metals Investment Opportunities - Minor metals like Rhenium and Uranium are highlighted for their investment potential, with Rhenium primarily used in aerospace and Uranium seeing increasing demand in nuclear power [1][13] Conclusion - The overall outlook for the non-ferrous metal market is positive, with various segments showing strong growth potential. Investment strategies should focus on precious metals and minor metals, while being cautious of supply risks in industrial metals.

1. Report Summary - Report focuses on the institutional research of Shengda Resources in the non - ferrous metals industry on January 26, 2026 [1][2][16] 2. Core Information 2.1 Research Basic Situation - Research object: Shengda Resources [16] - Industry: Non - ferrous metals [16] - Reception time: 2026 - 01 - 26 [16] - Company reception staff: Board Secretary Wang Wei, Securities Affairs Representative Sun Mengying, Investor Relations Manager Cong Peng [16] 2.2 Detailed Research Institutions | Reception Object | Reception Object Type | Institution - related Personnel | | --- | --- | --- | | GF Securities | Securities company | Chen Kaili | | CITIC Securities | Securities company | Gao Mingyang | | Sino - British Life Insurance | Life insurance company | Li Yuanfeng | | Northeast Securities Proprietary | Securities company | Wang Jiahui | | Fuyan Capital | Others | Liu Xianglong, Zhuang Qiyuan | [17] 2.3 Main Content 2.3.1 Company Introduction - Investor Relations Manager Cong Peng introduced the company's basic situation [21] 2.3.2 Q&A - **Copper production of Yichun Jinshi Mining's 460 Highland copper - molybdenum mine**: Currently handling the exploration - to - mining rights transfer. Specific production will be based on post - commissioning data [21] - **Impact of cold weather on Yichun Jinshi Mining**: Located in a cold climate area, expected to have short - term shutdowns due to Spring Festival and extreme climate. Annual effective working days are expected to be over 330 [21] - **Company's future capital expenditure**: For the development and construction of Deyun Mining's Bayan Baolege silver - polymetallic ore project, Yichun Jinshi Mining's 460 Highland copper - molybdenum mine project, and Guangxi Jinshi Mining's Miaohuang copper - lead - zinc - silver ore project; fine - production and management of existing mines, exploration for reserve increase; mergers and acquisitions of high - quality primary metal mineral resources projects [21] - **Completion time and silver production of Dongsheng Mining**: Striving to complete construction in 2026. The production scale of the Bayanwula silver - polymetallic ore is 250,000 tons/year, with an average silver grade of 284.90 g/t. Specific production will be based on post - commissioning data [23] - **Cost of Honglin Mining**: In the trial - production stage, costs are affected by multiple factors. Although safety investment is high, the ore is easy to process, so costs can be well - controlled [23] - **Commissioning time of two newly acquired mines**: Yichun Jinshi Mining focuses on the exploration - to - mining rights transfer of the 460 Highland copper - molybdenum mine in 2026, aiming for construction to start in 2027. Guangxi Jinshi Mining is in the NDRC approval stage for the Miaohuang copper - lead - zinc - silver ore mine construction [23][24] - **Production of Guangxi Jinshi Mining**: The Miaohuang copper - lead - zinc - silver ore has a production scale of 660,000 tons/year, with an average copper grade of 1.68% in sulfide copper industrial ore, an average lead grade of 2.66%, an average zinc grade of 2.40%, and an average silver grade of 83.75 g/t in sulfide lead - zinc - silver industrial ore. Specific production will be based on post - commissioning data [24][25]