南财智讯1月30日电，鲁西化工发布年度业绩预告，预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 8.50亿元—11.00亿元，同比预减45.78%—58.10%；预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常 性损益的净利润为6.50亿元—9.00亿元，同比预减54.12%—66.87%。报告期内，受石油价格波动、化工 产品市场低迷等因素影响，公司化工产品下游需求不佳，公司主要产品价格同比下降幅度大于原料价格 下降幅度，利差收窄，导致公司经营业绩同比下降。 ...

证券代码：000830 证券简称：鲁西化工 公告编号：2026-006 鲁西化工集团股份有限公司 本次业绩预告相关财务数据未经会计师事务所审计，但公司 已就业绩预告有关事项与年报审计会计师事务所签字注册会计师 进行了预沟通，双方在本报告期的业绩预告方面不存在重大分歧。 三、业绩变动原因说明 报告期内，受石油价格波动、化工产品市场低迷等因素影响， 公司化工产品下游需求不佳，公司主要产品价格同比下降幅度大 于原料价格下降幅度，利差收窄，导致公司经营业绩同比下降。 四、风险提示 2025 年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、 完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日－2025 年 12 月 31 日 2、预计的经营业绩：☑ 同向下降 | 项 | 目 | 本报告期 | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公 司股东的净利 | | 盈利：85,000 | 万元–110,000 | 万元 | 盈利：202,871.17 | 万元 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [3]. Core Insights - The top five sectors with the highest excess returns for long positions in January 2026 (excluding comprehensive) are Defense and Military, Communication, Agriculture, Home Appliances, and Electric Equipment & New Energy, with excess returns of 11.41%, 8.40%, 7.85%, 6.01%, and 4.98% respectively [2]. - Over the past year, the sectors with the highest average monthly excess returns (excluding comprehensive) are Real Estate, Home Appliances, Retail, Construction, and Defense and Military, with excess returns of 2.17%, 2.09%, 1.69%, 1.69%, and 1.58% respectively [2]. - The GAN_GRU factor has shown a mean Information Coefficient (IC) of 0.1107 and an annualized excess return of 22.36% from January 2019 to January 2026 [41]. - As of January 28, 2026, the latest IC for the GAN_GRU factor is 0.0003, with a one-year mean IC of 0.0553 [41]. - The top five sectors based on the recent IC performance of the GAN_GRU factor are Defense and Military, Construction, Real Estate, Banking, and Communication, with IC values of 0.3498, 0.2478, 0.2165, 0.1993, and 0.1976 respectively [41]. - The long position combination based on the GAN_GRU factor has shown the highest excess returns in the sectors of Defense and Military, Communication, Agriculture, Home Appliances, and Electric Equipment & New Energy [45]. Summary by Sections GAN_GRU Model Overview - The GAN_GRU model utilizes Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) for processing time-series features and GRU for encoding these features into stock selection factors [4][13]. GAN_GRU Factor Performance - The GAN_GRU factor has demonstrated significant performance metrics, including a mean IC of 0.1107 and an annualized excess return of 22.36% [41]. - The recent IC rankings for various sectors indicate strong performance in Defense and Military, Construction, and Real Estate [41][45]. Long Position Combinations - The report lists the top ten stocks selected based on the GAN_GRU factor, including companies like Xinhua Insurance, Guanghong Technology, and Guangdong Expressway [50].

Price Trends - The latest price of R2201 as of January 28 is 17,333.33 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 11.83% over the last 60 days [2][4] Related Companies - Relevant producers include: - Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) - Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. (000830) - Haohua Technology Co., Ltd. (600378) [2][4]

Price Trends - The latest price of isooctanol as of January 28 is 7700.00 CNY per ton, reflecting a significant increase over various time frames: 6.70% over the last 5 days, 9.48% over the last 10 days, 9.74% over the last 15 days, 11.86% over the last 30 days, and 17.26% over the last 60 days [2][4] Related Producers - Key producers in the isooctanol market include: - Luxi Chemical (000830) - Chengzhi Co., Ltd. (000990) - Huachang Chemical (002274) - Zhengdan Co., Ltd. (300641) - Hualu Hengsheng (600426) - China Petroleum (601857) - Jianye Co., Ltd. (603948) [2][4]

1月28日，化工板块攻势不减。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）开盘短暂震荡后迅速拉 升，而后持续高位震荡，盘中场内价格最高涨幅达到3.2%，截至收盘，涨2.48%，收盘价续创2022年7 月以来新高。值得注意的是，化工ETF（516020）午后频现溢价交易，收盘溢价率更是高达0.42%，反 映买盘资金较为强势。 成份股方面，纯碱、氨纶、氮肥等板块部分个股涨幅居前。截至收盘，和邦生物、浙江龙盛双双涨停， 卫星化学、华峰化学飙涨超8%，鲁西化工、桐昆股份、宝丰能源等亦涨幅居前。 消息面上，近日，工业和信息化部、国家发改委等五部门联合印发《关于开展零碳工厂建设工作的指导 意见》。自2026年起，遴选一批零碳工厂，做好标杆引领；到2027年，在汽车、锂电池、光伏、电子电 器、轻工、机械、算力设施等行业领域，培育建设一批零碳工厂；到2030年，逐步扩展至钢铁、有色金 属、石化化工、建材、纺织等行业领域，探索传统高载能产业脱碳新路径。 方正证券指出，对化企而言，一方面未来部分高能耗或高碳排放子行业的供给侧增量存量均有政策约 束，另一方面，随着碳排放权交易市场的扩围，碳配额制度有望重塑部分行业成本曲线，加速 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57%, driven by a "price increase" theme, particularly in resource sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market saw over 3,600 stocks decline, with a total trading volume of 2.97 trillion yuan [1] - The resource sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, led the market, with significant inflows of over 34.3 billion yuan into the sector [3] Group 2: ETF Performance - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) reached a new high, with an intraday price increase of 7.35% and a closing increase of 6.95%, attracting a net subscription of 1.4 million units [3][5] - The Chemical ETF (516020) also performed well, with a closing increase of 2.48%, marking a new high since July 2022 [7] - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) rose by 1.75%, reflecting strong performance in the semiconductor sector [10] Group 3: Commodity Prices and Economic Factors - International gold prices have reached historical highs, driven by geopolitical tensions and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets [2][5] - The aluminum price has surged to a nearly four-year high, with spot gold reaching a new record of $5,283 per ounce [5] - The Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions are expected to influence market dynamics, with a dovish stance likely to support the non-ferrous metals market [5] Group 4: Sector Analysis - The chemical industry is experiencing a price surge, with a notable increase in prices for products like soda ash and nitrogen fertilizers, indicating a potential turning point for the sector [7][9] - The semiconductor sector is witnessing a price increase, with major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix raising prices significantly for memory products [10][13]

Group 1 - The chemical sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the chemical ETF (516020) rising over 2.48% and reaching a peak increase of over 3% during trading [1][7] - Key stocks in the sector include Hebang Biotechnology and Zhejiang Longsheng, both hitting the daily limit, while Satellite Chemical surged over 9% [1][7] - The overall market sentiment indicates that the current chemical sector boom may have more sustainability compared to previous cycles, with expectations for a prolonged upward trend [8][10] Group 2 - Guojin Securities suggests that the chemical sector may undergo a revaluation driven by supply-side policies and the current mismatch between China's chemical industry status and operational conditions, indicating a high probability of recovery [9] - The market may be underestimating the impact of liquidity on the sector, which is characterized by being at the bottom of the cycle, with an upward trend in fundamentals and attractive valuations [9] - Guohai Securities highlights that leading companies in the global chemical sector have established solid cost and efficiency advantages, entering a long-term upward performance phase [10] Group 3 - There are four key opportunities in the chemical sector: low-cost expansion, improving market conditions, new materials, and high dividends [10] - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry index, covering popular themes such as AI computing power, anti-involution, robotics, and new energy [10] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked funds (Class A 012537/Class C 012538) for more efficient exposure to the chemical sector [10]

1月27日，鲁西化工跌5.04%，截至发稿，报18.67元/股，成交4.08亿元，换手率1.13%，总市值355.54亿 元。 资料显示，鲁西化工集团股份有限公司位于山东聊城高新技术产业开发区化工新材料产业园，成立日期 1998年6月11日，上市日期1998年8月7日，公司主营业务涉及化工新材料、基础化工及其他业务。主营 业务收入构成为：化工新材料产品66.07%，基础化工产品20.11%，化肥产品12.06%，其他产品1.76%。 从鲁西化工十大流通股东角度 数据显示，易方达基金旗下1只基金位居鲁西化工十大流通股东。易方达中证红利ETF（515180）三季 度增持57.67万股，持有股数804.68万股，占流通股的比例为0.42%。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约796.64 万元。 易方达中证红利ETF（515180）基金经理为林伟斌、宋钊贤。 截至发稿，林伟斌累计任职时间12年331天，现任基金资产总规模1194.08亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 80.11%， 任职期间最差基金回报-22.14%。 宋钊贤累计任职时间5年146天，现任基金资产总规模598.17亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报68.14%， 任 职期间 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the target price increases for several listed companies, with significant growth potential identified by brokerage firms [1][3] - The companies with the highest target price increases include Baili Tianheng at 368.30%, Luoyang Molybdenum at 37.88%, and Sanqi Interactive Entertainment at 29.53%, representing the chemical pharmaceutical, industrial metals, and gaming industries respectively [1][3] - A total of 23 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on January 26, with companies like Jianda Co., Shouhua Gas, and Huayuan Bio receiving one recommendation each [3] Group 2 - On January 26, one company had its rating upgraded, specifically Hualu Hengsheng, which was raised from "Hold" to "Buy" by Tianfeng Securities [4][6] - The only company receiving a first-time coverage rating on January 26 was Boshi Jie, which was given a "Strong Buy" rating by China Merchants Securities [6][7]