(记者 刘志远 陈旭) 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前核实。据此操作，风险自担。 三花智控主要从事生产销售空调冰箱之元器件及部件、汽车空调及新能源车热管理之元器件及部件、咖啡机洗碗机洗衣机之元器件及部件。 | 市值(亿元) | 时间 | 2023Y | | 2024Y 2025前三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2071.42 | | | | 季度 | | | 营业收入 | | 279.47 | 240.29 | | 机构持股 | (亿元) | | | | | | 归母净利润 | | 192.98 | 316.35 | | 北向资金持股比例 | (亿元) | | | | | 3.49% | 净资产收益率 (%) | | 16.77 | 13.67 | | (12月31日) | | | | | | | 毛利率 | | 27.47 | 28.08 | | | (%) | | | | | | 每股收益 (元) | | | | | 最新监管情况 | | | | | | 近一年无相关信息 | 经营活动现金流 | | 43.67 | 30.58 | | ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 浙江三花智能控制股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02050 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 476,536,400 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 476,536,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 476,536,400 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 476,536,400 | | 2. 股份分類 ...

- The report introduces a quantitative model framework for market trend analysis, focusing on five asset style stages: external growth, quality growth, quality dividend, value dividend, and bankruptcy value. The model evaluates assets based on their intrinsic attributes and prioritizes them using the sequence of g > ROE > D, analyzing whether there are "good assets" and whether they are "expensive" [5][8][9] - The model incorporates key factors such as expected growth (gf), actual growth (g), profitability (ROE), high dividend (D), and bankruptcy value (B/P). Each factor is associated with specific market phases, e.g., expected growth is relevant across all phases, while profitability is emphasized during maturity phases [9][12] - The quantitative model has demonstrated strong historical performance, achieving an annualized return of 27.67% since 2009. It has shown consistent excess returns in most years, particularly post-2017, with limited effectiveness in years like 2011, 2012, and 2016 [19][22] - The model's backtesting results for specific years include notable excess returns, such as 51% in 2009, 36% in 2013, and 62% in 2022. However, it also recorded underperformance in years like 2011 (-11%) and 2014 (-4%) [22] - The report details six specific strategies derived from the model, each focusing on different factors: - **Expected Growth Strategy**: Selects industries with the highest analyst-forecasted growth rates. Recent recommendations include sectors like automotive sales, lithium equipment, and tungsten [38][39] - **Actual Growth Strategy**: Focuses on industries with the highest unexpected growth (△g). Current recommendations include photovoltaic equipment, insurance, and coal chemical sectors [40][41] - **Profitability Strategy**: Targets high-ROE industries with low valuations under the PB-ROE framework. Recommended sectors include copper, liquor, and non-dairy beverages [43][44] - **Quality Dividend Strategy**: Utilizes a DP+ROE scoring system to identify industries. Current recommendations include forestry, lithium equipment, and fiberglass [46][47] - **Value Dividend Strategy**: Employs a DP+BP scoring system. Recommended sectors include security, daily chemicals, and buses [49][50] - **Bankruptcy Value Strategy**: Focuses on industries with the lowest PB+SIZE scores. Current recommendations include automotive sales, ceramics, and cotton textiles [53][54]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, particularly in the communication equipment and internet service sectors, reflecting investor sentiment and market trends [1][2][3] Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced a capital outflow of 3.07 billion, with a decline of 5.24% [2] - Xinyi Sheng saw a capital outflow of 2.33 billion, with a decline of 5.66% [2] - Liou Shares had a capital outflow of 2.07 billion, with a decline of 8.74% [2] - BlueFocus Media faced a capital outflow of 1.77 billion, with a decline of 8.88% [2] - Xinwei Communication had a capital outflow of 1.57 billion, with a decline of 9.41% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The communication equipment sector showed significant outflows, with Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinwei Communication leading the losses [2][3] - The internet service sector also faced notable outflows, with Liou Shares and NetEase Technology among the top affected stocks [2][3] - The cultural media sector, represented by BlueFocus Media, experienced substantial capital outflows, indicating potential investor concerns [2][3] Group 3: Additional Stocks with Notable Outflows - Industrial Fulian had a capital outflow of 1.32 billion, with a decline of 4.65% [2] - Runze Technology saw a capital outflow of 1.26 billion, with a decline of 7.24% [2] - Hunan Silver experienced a capital outflow of 0.801 billion, with a decline of 4.47% [3]

Group 1 - The home appliance parts sector increased by 2.68% on February 3, with Xing Shuai Er leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the home appliance parts sector showed significant price increases, with Xing Shuai Er rising by 5.62% to a closing price of 14.67 [1] Group 2 - The home appliance parts sector saw a net inflow of 870 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 656 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net inflow from main funds was Sanhua Intelligent Control, with 83.9 million yuan, while it faced a net outflow of 249.9 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Dongfang Electric Heat had a net inflow of 20.51 million yuan from main funds, but also saw a net outflow of 17.74 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Insights - The main focus of the articles is on the significant inflow of capital into specific stocks, highlighting the top 20 stocks by principal capital inflow as of February 3rd, with notable performances in various sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - Aerospace Development (航天发展) saw a capital inflow of 2.031 billion, with a price increase of 9.99% [2] - Huasheng Tiancheng (华胜天成) experienced a capital inflow of 1.698 billion, with a price increase of 10.01% [2] - Kweichow Moutai (贵州茅台) had a capital inflow of 1.212 billion, with a price increase of 3.36% [2] - Xinyi Communication (信维通信) reported a capital inflow of 1.087 billion, with a price increase of 13.12% [2] - Tongyu Communication (通宇通讯) had a capital inflow of 1.059 billion, with a price increase of 10% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The telecommunications equipment sector, represented by companies like Aerospace Development, Xinyi Communication, and Tongyu Communication, showed strong capital inflows, indicating investor confidence in this sector [2][3] - The internet services sector, with Huasheng Tiancheng and Yanshan Technology (岩山科技), also attracted significant capital, reflecting growth potential in digital services [2][3] - The brewing industry, represented by Kweichow Moutai, continues to draw investment, albeit with a lower growth rate compared to technology sectors [2][3] Group 3: Additional Notable Stocks - Other notable stocks include Hailanxin (海兰信) with a capital inflow of 1.038 billion and a price increase of 15.82%, indicating strong performance in the shipbuilding sector [2][3] - Yongding Co. (永鼎股份) attracted 906 million with an 8.67% increase, also in the telecommunications equipment sector [2][3] - Sany Heavy Industry (三一重工) saw a capital inflow of 675 million with a 7.95% increase, reflecting stability in the engineering machinery sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting potential investment opportunities in specific sectors such as communication equipment, internet services, and consumer electronics [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - Aerospace Development saw a capital inflow of 1.893 billion, with a price increase of 9.99% [2] - Huasheng Tiancheng experienced a capital inflow of 1.676 billion, with a price increase of 10.01% [2] - Kweichow Moutai had a capital inflow of 1.137 billion, with a price increase of 3.08% [2] - Hailanxin recorded a capital inflow of 1.063 billion, with a price increase of 14.64% [2] - Tongyu Communication had a capital inflow of 1.029 billion, with a price increase of 10% [2] - Yongding Co. saw a capital inflow of 810 million, with a price increase of 7.51% [2] - Yanshan Technology had a capital inflow of 809 million, with a price increase of 4.07% [2] - Xinyi Communication recorded a capital inflow of 734 million, with a price increase of 9.47% [2] - Zhejiang Wenhu Interconnect had a capital inflow of 719 million, with a price increase of 9.99% [2] - Hongbaoli saw a capital inflow of 679 million, with a price increase of 10.04% [2] - Julisi saw a capital inflow of 672 million, with a price increase of 10.03% [3] - Sanhua Intelligent Control had a capital inflow of 620 million, with a price increase of 2.56% [3] - China Shipbuilding recorded a capital inflow of 594 million, with a price increase of 4.38% [3] - Shenjian Co. saw a capital inflow of 568 million, with a price increase of 10.04% [3] - Tianfu Communication had a capital inflow of 566 million, with a price increase of 13.91% [3] - Sany Heavy Industry recorded a capital inflow of 492 million, with a price increase of 6.74% [3] - Goldwind Technology saw a capital inflow of 474 million, with a price increase of 5.11% [3] - Wangsu Science & Technology had a capital inflow of 459 million, with a price increase of 10.13% [3] - Xian Dao Intelligent recorded a capital inflow of 445 million, with a price increase of 7.41% [3] - Zhongheng Electric saw a capital inflow of 429 million, with a price increase of 10.01% [3]

Group 1 - The top 20 stocks with significant capital inflow as of February 3 include Huasheng Tiancheng (1.643 billion), Aerospace Development (1.256 billion), and Hailanxin (1.037 billion) [1] - Huasheng Tiancheng saw a price increase of 10.01%, while Hailanxin experienced a notable rise of 19.98% [2][3] - Other notable stocks with substantial capital inflow include Tongyu Communication (0.997 billion), Xinwei Communication (0.801 billion), and Yonding Co. (0.683 billion) [1][2] Group 2 - The sectors represented among the top inflow stocks include Internet Services, Communication Equipment, and Consumer Electronics [2] - Guizhou Moutai, a major player in the liquor industry, attracted 0.665 billion with a price increase of 2.1% [2] - Companies like Junda Co. and Longi Green Energy, both in the photovoltaic equipment sector, also saw significant capital inflow of 0.357 billion and 0.344 billion respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - Sanhua Intelligent Controls has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a recent increase of 2.01% in share price, reaching 51.76 CNY per share, while the company has seen a year-to-date decline of 6.21% [1] Company Overview - Sanhua Intelligent Controls, established on September 10, 1994, and listed on June 7, 2005, is based in Shaoxing, Zhejiang Province, China. The company primarily engages in the manufacturing of refrigeration and air conditioning electrical components and automotive parts [2] - The company's revenue composition is 63.88% from refrigeration and air conditioning electrical components and 36.12% from automotive parts [2] - The company operates in two segments: HVAC and electrical equipment, and automotive thermal management, with key products including four-way valves, electronic expansion valves, and electronic water pumps [2] Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Sanhua Intelligent Controls reported a revenue of 24.03 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.24 billion CNY, up 40.85% year-on-year [3] - The company has distributed a total of 8.83 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.64 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [4] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 445,500, with an average of 8,271 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 41.88% from the previous period [3] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with some experiencing a reduction in shareholding [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry: Energy Storage and Lithium Battery Key Points 1. **Energy Storage Policy**: The national capacity compensation electricity price policy has been introduced, with provinces expected to follow up with detailed regulations and lists. There is a strong demand for large-scale energy storage, with an expected growth of over 60% in 2026. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act has led to unexpected installations in 2025, and data center energy storage is anticipated to explode starting Q4 2025, with 2026 expected to exceed forecasts. Emerging markets in Europe and the Middle East are also projected to see significant growth in energy storage demand, contributing to a global installation growth of over 60% in 2026 and a compound annual growth rate of 30-50% over the next three years. The focus remains on large-scale energy storage integration and leading energy storage battery companies [1][1][1] 2. **Lithium Battery Market**: The China Passenger Car Association anticipates a recovery in electric vehicle sales in late January, with retail sales expected to reach 800,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 8%, which is better than pessimistic forecasts. Domestic sales in 2026 are expected to grow by 5-10%, with battery capacity increasing by 10%. The national energy storage capacity price policy is expected to be followed by multiple provinces, and the recent decline in lithium carbonate prices may lead to the suspension or restart of some projects. Production is expected to decrease by over 10% in February due to the Spring Festival, but recovery is anticipated post-holiday. Battery prices have been adjusted to 0.38 yuan/wh, with price increases for small and medium customers already implemented, and larger customers expected to see gradual price adjustments after March. The battery sector is strongly recommended, with top picks including CATL and EVE Energy, along with other quality material leaders [2][2][2] 3. **Industrial Control and Wind Power**: The industrial control sector is experiencing a weak recovery in demand, with positive trends in lithium battery demand, wind power, and machine tools. The domestic offshore wind power capacity is projected to exceed 8GW in 2025, with a three-year action plan to enhance domestic offshore wind potential. The European offshore wind sector is entering a sustained boom cycle, and the domestic onshore wind power capacity is expected to exceed 100GW, a 25% year-on-year increase. Wind turbine prices are expected to rise by 3-5%, with profit margins gradually recovering. Recommendations include companies involved in offshore cables, foundations, and complete machines [3][3][3] 4. **Solar Power and Grid Investment**: Demand in the solar power sector is currently weak, with rising silver prices pushing battery prices up significantly. The component sector is facing pressure, and demand is expected to decline for the first time in 2026. However, space solar power presents significant growth potential, with gallium arsenide, P-type HJT, and space perovskite expected to benefit first. The grid investment is projected to grow in 2025, with opportunities in overseas transformer markets. Key recommendations include leading companies in various segments of the energy sector [3][3][3] 5. **Company Recommendations**: - CATL: Global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with confirmed growth and low valuation - Sungrow: Global leader in inverters, with strong overseas energy storage integration capabilities - Sifang Electric: Domestic leader in power equipment with strong overseas orders and profitability - EVE Energy: Strong growth in power and energy storage lithium batteries, with a stable consumer battery segment - Other notable companies include Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, and LONGi Green Energy, which are expected to perform well in their respective sectors [3][3][3] Additional Insights - The energy storage market is expected to see a significant increase in demand driven by new policies and technological advancements - The lithium battery sector is poised for growth, with a focus on production recovery and price adjustments - The industrial control and renewable energy sectors are experiencing a gradual recovery, with specific companies positioned to benefit from these trends - The solar power market faces challenges but also opportunities in emerging technologies like space solar power [1][2][3][4][5]