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三只松鼠:2024年三季报点评:Q3收入和利润皆表现亮眼,公司开启投资并购
Guohai Securities· 2024-11-01 15:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Insights - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in Q3 2024, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 24% and a net profit increase of 221.9% [3][4]. - The company is shifting its distribution strategy from "wholesale distribution" to "deep distribution," focusing on daily sales products, which is expected to enhance efficiency and revenue contributions [4][6]. - The company plans to invest a total of 6.6 billion RMB in retail, manufacturing, and brand development, indicating a long-term strategic focus on offline discount operations and enhancing its manufacturing capabilities [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.169 billion RMB, a 56.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 341 million RMB, a 101.2% increase year-on-year [3][6]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 24.46%, reflecting a slight increase compared to previous periods, attributed to improved cost control and scale effects from revenue growth [4][6]. - The company expects to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 10.306 billion RMB, 13.254 billion RMB, and 16.037 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 45%, 29%, and 21% [6][7]. Investment Forecast - The report forecasts a net profit of 402 million RMB for 2024, with a growth rate of 83%, and an EPS of 1.00 RMB, corresponding to a PE ratio of 25 [6][7]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 15% in 2024, increasing to 21% by 2026 [7][9]. Market Performance - As of October 31, 2024, the company's stock price was 25.52 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 10.23 billion RMB [4][9]. - The company's performance over the past 12 months shows a 41% increase, significantly outperforming the benchmark index [4][9].
三只松鼠:利润表现亮眼,开启投资并购新篇章
Tai Ping Yang· 2024-10-31 13:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.68, compared to the last closing price of 26.52 [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.095 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 51 million, which is a significant increase of 221.89% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on a "D+N" multi-channel collaborative strategy, enhancing distribution with 105 daily sales products and completing the first round of market penetration [1]. - The company has initiated a new chapter in investment and mergers, planning to acquire control or related business and assets of several companies with a total investment not exceeding 2.6 billion [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue growth rates of 41%, 25%, and 21% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profit growth rates of 83%, 43%, and 31% [1][4]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2024 was 24.46%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 2.46%, up by 1.51 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 5.543 billion in 2023 to 8.134 billion by 2026, with total liabilities increasing from 3.029 billion to 4.120 billion in the same period [5]. Future Projections - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.00, 1.44, and 1.89 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26x, 18x, and 14x [1][4]. - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the growth of platforms like Douyin and Pinduoduo, with optimistic growth projections for Q4 [1].
三只松鼠2024年三季报点评:三季报收入增56%,新零售改革见效
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-10-31 01:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 4.01 billion, 5.74 billion, and 7.68 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 82.63%, 43.02%, and 33.75% [3]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 71.69 billion for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.46%, and a net profit of 3.41 billion, up 101.15% year-on-year [1]. - The company has successfully implemented a "high-end cost-performance" strategy, leading to continuous revenue growth over five consecutive quarters, with quarterly revenue growth rates consistently above 20% since Q3 2023 [1][2]. - The company plans to invest up to 2 billion in building supply chain bases and 1 billion in incubating new sub-brands, aiming to enhance product matching and supply chain efficiency [1]. - The company is also looking to invest up to 3.6 billion through acquisitions to strengthen its offline presence and enter the dairy beverage market [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company's net profit margin and gross margin were 4.76% and 25.44%, respectively, showing improvements of 1.06 and 0.70 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2024, the net profit margin and gross margin were 2.46% and 24.46%, reflecting year-on-year increases of 1.51 and 0.11 percentage points [2]. - The company expects revenues to reach 102.05 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 43.44% [4].
三只松鼠:战略调整成效显著,强化内生外延
Xinda Securities· 2024-10-30 14:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance report shows revenue of 2.095 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, up 221.89% year-on-year, indicating strong growth [1] - The high-end cost-performance strategy has significantly improved profitability, with the company achieving five consecutive quarters of revenue growth, validating the effectiveness of this strategy [1] - The company plans to invest up to 200 million yuan to enhance its snack supply chain and centralized base, aiming to increase the self-production ratio of snack products and improve supply chain efficiency [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2022 was 7.293 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 25.4%, while 2023 revenue is projected at 7.115 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2022 was 129 million yuan, with a significant increase projected for 2023 at 220 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 69.9% [2] - The company expects EPS to grow from 0.32 yuan in 2022 to 1.78 yuan by 2026, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [3]
三只松鼠:2024Q3业绩点评:持续实现高质量增长,开启并购整合之路
Soochow Securities· 2024-10-30 04:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.169 billion yuan in Q1-3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 341 million yuan, up 101.2% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.095 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, up 221.9% year-on-year [2] - The company is enhancing cooperation with volume sales channels and has successfully launched 105 daily sales products in distribution channels, receiving positive market feedback [2] - The company is initiating a merger and acquisition strategy, which aligns with its development stage [4] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 10.108 billion yuan, 13.302 billion yuan, and 17.616 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 32%, and 32% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 409 million yuan, 588 million yuan, and 835 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 86%, 44%, and 42% [4] - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecast to 1.02 yuan, 1.47 yuan, and 2.08 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 26, 18, and 13 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [4] Investment Announcements - The company plans to acquire control or related businesses/assets of "Ai Ling Shi" for no more than 200 million yuan, "Ai Zhe Kou" for no more than 60 million yuan, and Anhui Zhi Yang Food Co., Ltd. for no more than 100 million yuan [3] - The company intends to invest up to 200 million yuan to enhance the construction of snack supply chains and centralized bases [3] - The company aims to invest no more than 100 million yuan to incubate new sub-brands focusing on various food categories [3]
三只松鼠:改革效果如期兑现,开启投资并购之路
申万宏源· 2024-10-29 08:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.169 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.46%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 341 million yuan, up 101.15% year-on-year [4][6]. - The company is focusing on a "D+N" all-channel strategy, enhancing its distribution network and product offerings, which has led to improved market response and profitability [4][5]. - The company plans to invest up to 2 billion yuan in acquiring control of snack brands and enhancing its supply chain infrastructure, indicating a strategic move towards expansion and diversification [5]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve a total revenue of 10.197 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 43.3%. The net profit is expected to reach 402 million yuan, reflecting an 82.8% increase [6][8]. - The gross margin for the third quarter of 2024 improved to 24.5%, with a net profit margin of 2.5%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is forecasted at 1.00 yuan, with subsequent years showing continued growth [6][8].
三只松鼠:2024年前三季度业绩与投资公告点评:盈利能力验证改革成效,拟将经验拓向新领域
中国银河· 2024-10-29 03:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.17 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 56%, with a net profit of 340 million yuan, up 101% year-on-year [2]. - The company plans to invest up to 2 billion yuan in building a snack supply chain and centralized base, 1 billion yuan to incubate new sub-brands, and 3.6 billion yuan for deep cooperation with partners [2]. - The company's high-end cost-performance strategy is responding to terminal demand, with a 24% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2024 [2][3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its supply chain efficiency and expanding its product and channel offerings, which is expected to strengthen its competitive edge [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenue growth from 7.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 17.31 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30% [6][7]. - The net profit is projected to increase from 219.79 million yuan in 2023 to 752.29 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][7]. - The diluted EPS is expected to rise from 0.55 yuan in 2023 to 1.88 yuan in 2026, indicating improved profitability [6][7]. - The PE ratio is projected to decrease from 48.39 in 2023 to 14.14 in 2026, suggesting a more attractive valuation over time [6][7].
三只松鼠:2024年三季报点评:盈利显著优化,开启投资并购
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5][11]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability and plans to invest up to 660 million yuan in mergers and acquisitions to enhance its retail, manufacturing, and branding strategies [3][11]. - Revenue growth remains strong, with a reported revenue of 7.169 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 56.46% [11]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its supply chain and enhancing its product offerings, which is expected to support continued growth momentum [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.095 billion yuan, up 24.03% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, up 221.89% year-on-year [11]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 increased by 0.1 percentage points to 24.5% [11]. - The company plans to invest up to 200 million yuan to enhance its snack supply chain and establish centralized bases in various regions [11]. Investment and Mergers - The company announced plans to acquire control of the snack chain "Ai Ling Shi" for up to 200 million yuan and the discount supermarket chain "Ai Zhe Kou" for up to 60 million yuan [11]. - Additionally, it aims to invest up to 100 million yuan in "Zhi Yang Food" to enter the dairy beverage sector [11]. Financial Projections - The report maintains EPS forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 at 1.02 yuan, 1.34 yuan, and 1.84 yuan respectively, with a target price of 31.39 yuan [11]. - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 10.218 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 408 million yuan [11].
三只松鼠:2024年三季报业绩点评:新分销稳步推进,三季度业绩高增
Minsheng Securities· 2024-10-28 11:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q1-Q3 2024, achieving total revenue of 716.9 million yuan and net profit of 34.1 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 56.46% and 101.15% respectively [2]. - The company is actively advancing a comprehensive transformation in its distribution strategy, focusing on adapting products to various channels and price ranges, with a significant emphasis on new product launches [2]. - The company plans to enhance its supply chain and manufacturing layout through acquisitions and investments, aiming to integrate the industry chain and foster new brand growth [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects total revenue to reach 10.27 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 44.4% compared to 2023 [3][5]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 405 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.1% year-on-year [3][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.01 yuan for 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26 [3][5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company anticipates revenues of 10.27 billion yuan in 2024, 13.53 billion yuan in 2025, and 17.81 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 44.4%, 31.8%, and 31.6% respectively [3][5]. - The net profit is expected to be 405 million yuan in 2024, 585 million yuan in 2025, and 772 million yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 84.1%, 44.6%, and 31.9% respectively [3][5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a "high-end cost-performance" strategy, aiming to cover all price ranges and product categories, including snacks and nuts [2]. - The company plans to invest up to 2 billion yuan in enhancing its snack industry park and supply chain bases across various regions [2]. - New brand incubation efforts will be supported with investments of up to 1 billion yuan, targeting categories such as convenient meals and health foods [2].
三只松鼠:关于拟加大投资孵化新子品牌的公告
2024-10-28 08:11
证券代码:300783 证券简称:三只松鼠 公告编号:2024-057 三只松鼠股份有限公司 关于拟加大投资孵化新子品牌的公告 注册地址:安徽省芜湖市弋江区高新技术产业开发区久盛路 8 号 经营范围:许可项目:食品销售;食品互联网销售(依法须经批准的项目, 经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动,具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或许可 证件为准)一般项目:食品互联网销售(仅销售预包装食品);食品销售(仅销 售预包装食品);婴幼儿配方乳粉及其他婴幼儿配方食品销售;保健食品(预包 装)销售;食品添加剂销售;未经加工的坚果、干果销售;宠物食品及用品零售; 宠物食品及用品批发;农产品的生产、销售、加工、运输、贮藏及其他相关服务; 农副产品销售;水产品零售;水产品批发;日用品销售;母婴用品销售;玩具、 动漫及游艺用品销售;品牌管理;广告制作;市场营销策划;工艺美术品及礼仪 用品销售(象牙及其制品除外);技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、 技术转让、技术推广(除许可业务外,可自主依法经营法律法规非禁止或限制的 项目)。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 三只松 ...