结构性分化，把握龙头配置价值 ——中药行业2025年2月月报 长城证券产业金融研究院 分析师：刘鹏 执业证书编号：S1070520030002 邮箱：liupeng@cgws.com 分析师：袁紫馨 执业证书编号：S1070122080041 邮箱：yuanzixin@cgws.com 评级：强大于市（维持） 2025.03.03 01 核心观点 核心观点 1、 2024年 中 药 行 业分 化加大 ，头部 效应凸 显，竞 争格局 有望重 塑 2024年多因素影响行业竞争局，头部企业优势集中，华润系（华润三九、东阿阿胶、昆药集团、江中药业）、片仔癀名贵 OTC龙头、 奇 正藏药 院内贴 膏龙头 通过品 牌壁垒 和渠道 优势普 遍实现 稳健增 长，中 小企业 受成本 端压力 、集采 政策、 医保控 费、消费 疲软等 因素共 振 陷 入 亏 损 或利润 同比下 滑，行 业整体 承压， 2025年 业 绩 压 力减弱 下弹性 有望释 放 2、 估 值 与复盘 • 2月中药板块下跌1.15%， 大 幅 跑输 沪深300和 SW 医 药 生 物指数 ，主要 系科技 成长股 资金虹 吸效应 及"AI+医 疗" 关 注 景 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company has exceeded profit expectations, driven by its self-developed multimodal AI algorithm models that enhance commercialization efficiency [1]. - The social business segment continues to grow rapidly, with significant contributions from products like MICO, YoHo, and SUGO, the latter expected to see over 200% revenue growth in 2024 [2]. - The premium game "Alice's Dream" has entered a profit phase, contributing to the company's second growth curve [3]. - The company has repurchased approximately 43 million shares, reflecting confidence in its operations and market sentiment [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 33.08 billion CNY in 2023 to 62.43 billion CNY in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22.5% [1][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 4.76 billion CNY in 2024 to 9.86 billion CNY in 2026, with a notable growth rate of 71.6% in 2025 [1][8]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 13.1 in 2024 to 6.3 in 2026, indicating improved valuation metrics [1][8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to stabilize around 29% by 2026, reflecting strong profitability [1][8]. Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is committed to its "bush" strategy, focusing on AI empowerment and diversifying its product offerings to cover more segments in the global social entertainment market [8]. - The self-developed multimodal algorithm model Boomiix is expected to enhance operational efficiency across various business functions, significantly improving user engagement and monetization [2]. - The company aims to strengthen its position in the Middle East while exploring growth opportunities in Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, and North America [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price in the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company is actively advancing its layout in the robotics sector and enhancing competitiveness across multiple segments [1]. - The establishment of a joint venture with Suzhou Ishikawa aims to strengthen the company's capabilities in the differential gear field, with a total investment of 200 million RMB [2][3]. - The company anticipates significant growth in net profit for 2024, projecting an increase of 70% to 87% year-on-year, supported by rapid growth in the new energy vehicle parts business [4]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Growth**: The company expects revenue to grow from 1,472 million RMB in 2022 to 3,584 million RMB by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.8% [1]. - **Net Profit**: Projected net profit is expected to rise from 211 million RMB in 2022 to 550 million RMB in 2026, with a notable increase of 77.4% in 2024 [1][4]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE is forecasted to improve from 10.4% in 2022 to 17.2% in 2026 [1]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to increase from 0.33 RMB in 2022 to 0.86 RMB in 2026 [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a dual business strategy in "automotive + aerospace," leveraging rich customer resources and aiming for enhanced profitability through new projects and products [4][9]. - The joint venture with Suzhou Ishikawa is expected to integrate technology and resources, improving product precision and delivery efficiency, thereby increasing market share [3][4].

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 03 月 04 日 阿特斯（688472.SH） 组件业务显现韧性，大储放量穿越周期 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 47,536 | 51,310 | 46,161 | 48,983 | 56,887 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 69.7 | 7.9 | -10.0 | 6.1 | 16.1 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,157 | 2,903 | 2,291 | 3,530 | 4,074 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 6065.4 | 34.6 | -21.1 | 54.1 | 15.4 | | ROE（%） | 18.3 | 13.4 | 9.8 | 13.2 | 13.3 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.58 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.96 | 1.10 | | P/E（倍） | 18.6 | 13.8 | 17.5 | 11.4 | 9.9 | | ...

证券研究报告 小米SU7 Ultra定价超预期，汽车电子景气度有 望持续上扬 ——电子元器件周报（0217-0302） 长城证券产业金融研究院 电子首席分析师：邹兰兰 执业证书编号： S1070518060001 时间：2025年3月2日 评级：强于大市（维持） 重点推荐公司盈利预测 | 股票名称 | | EPS（元/股） | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 24E | 25E | 24E | 25E | | 华勤技术 | 2.83 | 3.75 | 31 | 24 | | 昀冢科技 | -0.75 | 0.40 | - | 40 | | 南芯科技 | 0.94 | 1.31 | 40 | 28 | | 京东方 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 31 | 18 | | 普冉股份 | 2.55 | 3.23 | 47 | 37 | | 鼎龙股份 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 60 | 47 | | 华虹公司 | 0.51 | 1.20 | 103 | 44 | | 晶丰明源 | -0.33 | 1.49 | - | 60 | | 新洁能 | 1.10 | 1 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 03 月 02 日 医药 本周医药板块下跌 2.72%，礼来加强 IBD 赛道布局 | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2024E | 2025E | 2024E | 2025E | | 002755.SZ | 奥赛康 | 买入 | 0.13 | 0.2 | 110.38 | 71.75 | | 01952.HK | 云顶新耀-B | 买入 | -2.93 | -0.12 | - | - | | 02105.HK | 来凯医药-B | 买入 | -0.9 | -1 | - | - | | 600079.SH | 人福医药 | 增持 | 1.33 | 1.59 | 14.95 | 12.51 | | 688192.SH | 迪哲医药 | 增持 | -2.01 | -1.33 | -23.91 | -36.13 | | 688315.SH | 诺禾致源 | 买入 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 36.68 | 32. ...

证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 02 月 26 日 西麦食品（002956.SZ） 健康需求驱动市场扩容，燕麦龙头开启二次增长 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 1,327 | 1,578 | 1,952 | 2,356 | 2,863 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 15.1 | 18.9 | 23.7 | 20.7 | 21.5 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 109 | 115 | 126 | 167 | 220 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 4.4 | 6.1 | 9.3 | 32.0 | 32.1 | | ROE（%） | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 12.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.99 | | P/E（倍） | 32.7 | 30.8 | 28.2 | 21.3 | 16.2 | | P/B（倍） | 2.5 | 2 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 02 月 28 日 顺络电子（002138.SZ） 汽车&数据中心业务高速成长，24 年业绩实现稳步提升 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5,040 | 5,897 | 7,059 | 8,194 | 9,331 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 18.9 | 17.0 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 13.9 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 641 | 832 | 1,048 | 1,309 | 1,538 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 48.0 | 29.9 | 25.9 | 24.9 | 17.5 | | ROE（%） | 11.3 | 13.7 | 15.7 | 17.1 | 17.0 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.79 | 1.03 | 1.30 | 1.62 | 1.91 | | P/E（倍） | 40.2 | 31.0 | 24.6 | 19.7 | 16.7 | | ...

证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 02 月 28 日 佰维存储（688525.SH） 深耕存储领域，布局先进测试工艺巩固领先地位 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2025E 买入（维持评级） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 2,986 | 3,591 | 6,704 | 9,421 | 11,860 | 36,222 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 14.4 | 20.3 | 86.7 | 40.5 | 25.9 | 14.3 | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 71 | -624 | 176 | 598 | 764 | 行业 865 | 电子 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -38.9 | -976.7 | 128.1 | 240.6 | 27.7 | 2025 年 2 月 27 日收盘价（元） 23.0 | 77.36 | | ROE（%） | 2.9 | -32.8 | 8.4 | 22.3 | 22.1 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 02 月 27 日 伟测科技（688372.SH） 24 年营收创历史新高，行业复苏促高端产品需求释放 | 2024 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 733 | 737 | 1,077 | 1,300 | 1,590 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 48.6 | 0.5 | 46.2 | 20.8 | 22.3 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 244 | 118 | 128 | 235 | 295 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 84.3 | -51.6 | 8.8 | 84.0 | 25.7 | | ROE（%） | 10.2 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 8.6 | 9.9 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 2.14 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 2.06 | 2.59 | | P/E（倍） | 43.8 | 90.3 | 83.6 | 45.4 | 36.1 ...