国防军工 / 行业深度分析报告 /2024.04.30 低空经济未来已来，近万亿市场待释放 证券研究报告 投资评级:看好(维持) 低空经济未来已来，近万亿市场待释放 最近12月市场表现 核心观点 ❖ 政策扶持下低空经济高速发展，相关监管持续完善：中央层面，低空经 国防军工 沪深300 上证指数 济作为重要新质生产力，自2021年国务院首次将“低空经济”写入国家规划 5% 以来，各部门相继出台政策持续催化低空经济产业发展。地方层面，2024 年 -3% 多地已将低空经济纳入政府工作报告。监管层面，民用航空器必须取得TC（型 -11% 号合格证）、PC（生产许可证）、OC（运行许可证）和AC（适航证）方可进 -19% 行商业运营。亿航智能EH216-S成为全球首个“三证齐全”的eVTOL飞行器， -26% 随着国内低空经济认证流程进一步完善，有利于加快低空经济产业布局。 -34% ❖ eVTOL 低空经济核心载体，市场空间有望达 900 亿美元：相较于直升 机、汽车等其他交通工具，eVTOL 具有便捷性、低噪声、高速度、低成本等 分析师 佘炜超 SAC证书编号：S0160522080002 优势，是低空经济的核心 ...

医药 分析师：李琳琳 登记编码：S0730511010010 lill@ccnew.com 021-50586983 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 医药相对沪深 300 指数表现 发布日期：2024 年 04 月 30 日 投资要点： -30% -25% -21% -17% -12% -8% -4% 1% 2023.05 2023.09 2023.12 2024.04 医药 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 相关报告 《医药行业月报：关注年报和一季报超预期 相关机会》 2024-02-23 《医药行业月报：行业政策面未发生变化， 建议关注防御属性较强的子板块》 2024-01- 16 《医药行业月报：新版医保目录调整落地， 集采稳步推进 》 2023-12-17 联系人： 马嵚琦 电话： 021-50586973 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 16 楼 邮编： 200122 ⚫ 市场行情回顾。2024 年 2 月 20 日至 4 月 29 日，中信生物医药行 业指数上涨 5.84%（按照流通市值加权平均计算），同期沪深 300 上涨 7.59%，（按照流通市值加权平均计算） ...

证券研究报告 | 行业深度 | 房地产 房地产 报告日期：2024年05月02日 打破负循环，探寻修复路径 ——房地产行业深度报告 投资要点 行业评级: 看好(维持) ❑ 本轮房地产链式降温，政策“小步快走”难破负循环 分析师：杨凡 2024年是地产销售和投资增速持续下行的第三年，本轮周期下行从二手房到新 执业证书号：S1230521120001 房逐步降温，房企受销售下滑和资金收紧双重制约，行业形成“链式降温”和多 yangfan02@stocke.com.cn 方负循环效应。我们总结市场目前有三个负循环：1）购房者对交房的担忧和对 未来房地产市场的弱预期，即购房者预期的负循环；2）房企出险导致信用受损 研究助理：吴贵伦 且波及其他同行，房企信用的负循环；3）金融机构对房企更为谨慎，实质性落 w uguilun@stocke.com.cn 地支持受限，即金融机构预期的负循环。回顾2022-2023年，房地产放松政策 相关报告 虽次数多，但受到调整幅度有限或实质性落地支持受限等因素的影响，行业负循 环难以打破。 1 《新指引，新信号》 ❑ 2024年打破负循环已迈出重要一步，但仍需更多实质性政策发力 2024 ...

Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The solid-state battery industry is expected to see significant advancements, with a focus on high energy density and safety features, although the current industrialization progress is slower than anticipated [7][61] - The material costs for solid-state batteries are currently estimated at 1.5-2.5 yuan/Wh, which is significantly higher than traditional liquid batteries, indicating a need for cost reduction strategies [37][61] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The transition from liquid to semi-solid and solid-state batteries is gaining momentum, with several companies like NIO and SAIC already launching products using semi-solid batteries [57] - Companies such as CATL and BYD are actively developing solid-state battery technologies, with plans for mass production in the coming years [54][59] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - The domestic market is seeing rapid advancements in the oxide route for solid-state batteries, with companies like Weilan New Energy and Qingtao Energy leading the way [53] - The overall capacity planning for semi-solid battery production in China is projected to exceed 400 GWh, with investments surpassing 200 billion yuan [53] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The industry is focusing on the development of semi-solid batteries as a transitional technology towards full solid-state batteries, with significant investments in R&D and production capabilities [5][8] - Companies are encouraged to explore partnerships and collaborations to enhance their technological capabilities and market reach [6][59] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the challenges in the industrialization of solid-state batteries, including technical difficulties and cost reduction hurdles [61] - The outlook remains optimistic, with expectations for significant advancements in battery technology and production efficiency by 2030 [44][61] Other Important Information - The solid-state battery technology is still in its infancy, with various companies exploring different electrolyte materials and configurations to enhance performance [18][22] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards more sustainable and efficient battery technologies, driven by regulatory support and market demand for electric vehicles [41][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the current challenges in solid-state battery development? - The main challenges include the slow industrialization progress of semi-solid and solid-state batteries, fluctuations in raw material prices, and potential shifts in technology routes that could impact market demand [61] Question: What is the expected timeline for mass production of solid-state batteries? - Companies anticipate that full solid-state battery production will begin around 2027, with some manufacturers planning to introduce pilot production lines by 2026 [57][61]

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要关注公众号：水木纪要 海外市场观察 证券研究报告2024.05.12 美国二次通胀风险有多大？ 2024年5月6日～12日 刘刚，CFA 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080512030003 SFC CE Ref: AVH867 kevin.liu@cicc.com.cn 李雨婕分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523030005 SFC CE Ref: BRG962 yujie.li@cicc.com.cn 更多一 去年底以来，市场对美联储降息预期的“折返跑”很大程度上来自通胀的波动。可以说，接下来的一两个通胀数据如何， 基本就决定了年内的降息节奏，毕竟当前降息不是为了应对经济的恶化（《美联储降息的门槛》）。一季度美国经济数据如 就业、通胀和PMI均持续超预期，加上同期大宗商品价格大涨，不仅导致降息预期回落，甚至在二次通胀担忧下，加息的 声音也再度出现。然而进入4月，利率走高的反身性逐渐显现，房地产、PMI、非农等数据又接连放缓，降息预期也再度 升至年内两次（9月和12 月)周这种正反两个方向超预期数据“扎推”且来回摇摆的现象其实并不奇怪，恰恰是我们此 前提到的金融条件 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2024, the company reported revenue of $1.75 billion, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.3%, with a gross margin of 13.7%, down 2.7 percentage points [1] - EBITDA for Q1 was $887 million, with an EBITDA margin of 50.7% [1] - The total assets stood at $48.2 billion, with total liabilities of $17.3 billion and total equity of $30.8 billion [1] - The company plans for Q2 2024 sales revenue to grow by 5% to 7% and expects a gross margin of 9% to 11% [1][2] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a production of 1.79 million 8-inch wafers in Q1, a 7% increase quarter-over-quarter [2] - Revenue from wafer sales constituted 93% of total revenue, with other income making up 7% [2] - The revenue breakdown by application showed smartphones and consumer electronics each accounted for 31%, while computers and tablets accounted for 18% [2] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue distribution by region remained stable, with China accounting for 82%, North America for 15%, and Eurasia for 3% [2] - The company noted an increase in customer inventory levels and a rise in demand from domestic clients, contributing to improved sales performance [2] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its production capacity and enhancing market share, particularly in the integrated circuit manufacturing sector [1] - It aims to prioritize cash flow for core business activities, including capacity expansion and R&D, foregoing profit distribution for 2023 [1] - The company is developing technology platforms for various applications, including high-voltage drives and image sensors, to cater to diverse market needs [2] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management indicated that the integrated circuit industry is recovering, with improved customer inventory and demand [2] - The company expects to exceed the average growth of comparable companies and is optimistic about maintaining growth in the first half of the year [3] - There are concerns about competitive pricing pressures due to increased local production capacity in China [3] Other Important Information - The company is experiencing depreciation pressure due to high capital expenditures aimed at expanding 12-inch capacity [3] - The management acknowledged the need for a balanced global supply chain and anticipates continued investment in local capacities [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does product mix affect ASP and will price declines slow down in the coming quarters? - The ASP is influenced by both price trends and product mix changes. The company has faced production bottlenecks but maintains that overall ASP has not significantly declined since February [4] Question: What specific consumer products are expected to gain market share? - The company noted increased demand for low-power Bluetooth IoT and MCUs, driven by a recovering international consumer market and upcoming sports events [4] Question: What is the contribution of the 28nm process to the company? - The company has been producing 28nm since 2014 and continues to expand its capacity due to strong customer demand across various sectors [5] Question: What is the company's outlook on the global wafer foundry industry growth? - The company aims to exceed the average growth of comparable firms and is optimistic about maintaining a strong order book for the upcoming quarters [6] Question: Will capital expenditures continue throughout the year? - The company expects to maintain capital expenditures in the second half of the year, aligning with customer demand [7] Question: How does the company view the global semiconductor market's future? - The company acknowledges a projected growth in the semiconductor market, driven by new applications and demand, but cautions about uneven growth across different sectors [8]

参会嘉宾:实控人、联席首席执行官、总裁、首席财务官、董事会秘书 公司财务情况介绍 各项指标保持稳健增长，2023 年收入 114.11 亿元（+23.52%）；归母净利润 19.74 亿元（+19.21%）；扣 非净利润 16.65 亿元（+23.38%）。23Q4 收入 39.78 亿元（+17.72%）；归母净利润 9.10 亿元 （+20.17%）；扣非净利润 8.36 亿元（+37.55%）。 2024Q1 收入 23.50 亿元（+6.22%）；归母净利润 3.63 亿元（+10.20%）；扣非净利润 3.00 亿元 （+8.52%）。其中，海外业务同比增长近 50%，国际市场收入占比超 15%。我们认为，24 年伴随各地医疗 设备更新细则政策逐步落地，及各级医疗机构高质量建设等需求带动，叠加海外持续拓展，公司全年增长动 力有望维持。 2023 年国内市场收入 97.33 亿元（+19.37%），国际市场收入 16.78 亿元（+54.72%），保持高速增长态 势，国际市场占收比提升至 14.7%。 2024 年一季度公司实现营业收入 23.5 亿元，同比增长 6.22%，实现归母净利润 3.03 ...

雷诺、铃木、菲亚特等跨国车企也已相继退出中国市场 资料来源：《2023百度汽车行业洞察报告》 产业链部分环节进入收缩期 国际整车领域存在被国内车企并购重组的机会 国内生产+海外品牌模式 公共领域全面电动化 绿色货运配送 换电模式应用试点 燃料电池汽车示范城市群 g D • 量产混合动力专用发动机热效率普遍>43%； • 新一代发动机热效率有望接近47% 2020 2021 2022 2023.1-10 2024E 2025E 47.4% 58.3% 66.7% 77.8% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2020 2021 2022.1-11 2023.1-10 2024E 2025E 85.0% 90.0% 全球 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------|-------|--------------------------------| | 品牌 | | 2023年销量（万辆，狭义乘用车） | | 比亚迪 | | 301.3 | | 特斯拉中国 | | 94.8 | | 吉利汽车集团 | | 48.7 | | 广汽埃安 | | 48.00 | | 上汽通用五菱 ...

Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - In 2023, the company achieved operating revenue of 781.12 billion, a year-on-year increase of 50.04% [7] - The total profit reached 324.13 billion, with net profit at 279.56 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.83% [7] - Total assets amounted to 5719.43 billion, up 74.76% year-on-year, while net assets increased by 8.45% to 2122.99 billion [7] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - Hydropower generation reached 2762.63 billion kWh in 2023, an increase of 140.15 billion kWh or 5.34% year-on-year [1][4] - The company has over 30 pumped storage projects under tracking, with a total installed capacity of nearly 42 million kW [1][4] - In the renewable energy sector, distributed photovoltaic and energy storage projects both exceeded 1 million kW in scale [1][5] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - International business profits exceeded 2.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 51%, with successful acquisitions in Peru and ongoing projects in Pakistan [1][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve a hydropower generation target of 3088 billion kWh in 2024, with domestic hydropower stations expected to exceed 3074 billion kWh [1][13] - Expansion plans include increasing the installed capacity of Xiluodu and Xiangjiaba hydropower stations [1][13] - The company is focusing on developing pumped storage and enhancing its renewable energy base [1][13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that despite challenges such as reduced water inflow, the company expects significant improvements in generation capacity due to optimized dispatching [16] - The company is committed to maintaining a high cash dividend policy, with a proposed cash dividend of 200.64 billion for 2023 [3][18] Other Important Information - The company has established an ESG management framework to enhance its sustainability practices [8][9] - It has implemented over 400 rural revitalization projects, investing over 2 billion [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected scale of R&D expenses and the main business synergy model? - The company emphasizes high-tech content, economic efficiency, resource efficiency, low environmental impact, and human resource advantages in its R&D investments [16] Question: What is the growth source of the Ludus company and the sustainability of overseas business performance? - The international business revenue exceeded 2.1 billion, with stable growth expected due to the nature of public utility operations in Peru [16] Question: What is the outlook for future water inflow and generation capacity? - Current water inflow is near the historical average, and generation capacity is expected to improve significantly [16] Question: What is the progress of pumped storage project construction? - There are currently 2.4 million kW of pumped storage under construction, with an additional 4.2 million kW planned [16] Question: What are the company's specific investment arrangements? - The company will focus on low-risk, stable-return investments, particularly in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River [16][17] Question: What is the current status of renewable energy installations in 2023? - The company has successfully integrated nearly 2 million kW of renewable energy projects [17] Question: What is the future investment layout in Latin America? - The company completed its first renewable energy asset acquisition in Peru, establishing a complementary generation structure [17] Question: What is the capacity of the hydropower unit in Peru and its operational timeline? - The company operates the Santa Teresa 1 hydropower station in Peru with a capacity of 100,000 kW, operational since September 2015 [17] Question: What are the expansion plans for this year? - Expansion projects for Xiangjiaba and Gezhouba hydropower stations are underway [17] Question: What is the source of the significant increase in operating cash flow in 2023? - The increase in cash flow is attributed to the recovery of electricity payments [17] Question: How does the company view its investments in the Yangtze Protection ETF? - The company maintains that these investments align with its strategic goals and support the high-quality development of the Yangtze Economic Belt [17] Question: Will the dividend payout ratio increase after reducing debt? - The company has set a minimum cash dividend policy of 50% of distributable profits, with a current payout ratio of approximately 74% [18] Question: What is the overall interest-bearing debt cost rate? - The company has successfully reduced its financing cost rate and debt scale, with a notable decrease in 2023 [19][20]

【摘要】 经营业绩概览： 1）装机：截至2023年底，公司清洁能源装机容量2752.79万千瓦，水电装机 2559.98万千 瓦，新能源装机 192.81万千瓦。 2）发电量：全年完成发电量1070.61亿千瓦时，水电发电量1052.64 亿千瓦时，新能源发电 17.98亿千瓦时。 3）利用小时数：发电设备利用小时3968.70小时，相较于同行业3136.25小时超出832.45小 时。 境外电站： 1）瑞丽江一级电站：装机 60 万千瓦，是中国在缅甸投资的最大的水电项目。 2）桑河二级水电站：装机容量40 万千瓦，占柬埔寨全国总发电装机容量超20%，是柬埔寨境 内最大的水电站。 3）截至 2023 年，累计发电量 411.38亿千瓦时，实现利润 45.82 亿元。。 24年华能水电光伏电站投资计划 2024年公司预计开工和续建新能源项目84个，预计投产309万千瓦，新能源项目计划投资 139.91亿元。 【领导致辞】 随着西部大开发战略全面实施，公司应运而生，历经 25 年砥砺奋进，从无到有、从小到大、 从弱到强、从强到优，公司发展呈现了六个鲜明的特色：一是龙头示范有引领，公司总装机 2752 万千瓦，总资 ...