Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 34, representing a potential upside of 65.8% from the current price of HKD 21.0 [1][2]. Core Insights - The company experienced a 4.7% year-on-year decline in core net profit for H1 2024, with total revenue reaching RMB 79.1 billion, an 8.4% increase compared to the previous year. The development business revenue was RMB 59.1 billion, up 8.3%, while recurring business revenue grew by 9.0% to RMB 20 billion, accounting for 25.3% of total revenue [1][2]. - The company’s sales performance showed resilience despite a 26.7% decline in sales revenue to RMB 124.7 billion, with a 69% equity ratio. The average selling price decreased by 1.4% to RMB 23,930 per square meter, but the company maintained a strong market position, ranking among the top four in the industry [1][2]. - The recurring business's profit contribution increased to 51.4%, becoming a significant growth driver for the company. The shopping center segment saw a 21.9% increase in retail sales, with a 30% rise in rental income [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 25.2%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year, primarily due to a 4.6 percentage point decline in the development business gross margin to 12.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25% to RMB 10.2 billion [1][2]. - The company’s financial structure remains robust, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 1.54 and a total interest-bearing debt ratio of 38.9%. The average financing cost decreased by 32 basis points to 3.24%, positioning the company among the lowest in the industry [1][2]. - The company’s asset management scale increased by 5.1% to RMB 449.1 billion, supporting its value release and business transformation in the evolving industry landscape [1][2].

Stock Data and Market Performance - The closing price of the stock on September 4th was HKD 20.65, with a 52-week price range of HKD 19.39-35.50 [1] - The total market capitalization is HKD 147.3 billion, with 7,131 million shares outstanding [1] - In H1 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 79.13 billion, a YoY increase of 8.4%, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.4% YoY to RMB 10.25 billion [1][7] - The gross profit margin was 22.3%, down 3.4 percentage points YoY, primarily due to lower margins in development and sales business [1][7] - As of June 2024, the company had cash and bank balances of RMB 118.33 billion, a 3.5% increase from the end of 2023 [1][7] Business Segments Performance Development and Sales Business - The company achieved contracted sales of RMB 124.7 billion in H1 2024, ranking fourth in the industry, with top-five market share in 20 cities [5][9] - The company focused on strategic investments in core cities and prime locations, acquiring multiple strategic projects [9] Commercial Property Business - Shopping center rental income reached RMB 9.48 billion in H1 2024, a 9.7% YoY increase [5][10] - Retail sales in 82 operating shopping centers totaled RMB 91.62 billion, up 21.9% YoY, with 69 centers ranking in the top three locally [5][10] - Six new shopping centers opened with a leasing rate of 97.8%, and two new shopping center sites were acquired in Beijing and Dalian [5][10] Light Asset Management Business - CR Mixc Lifestyle achieved revenue of RMB 7.96 billion in H1 2024, a 17.1% YoY increase, with core net profit of RMB 1.77 billion, up 24.2% YoY [3][10] - The company managed 108 shopping centers, including 13 luxury malls, and had a total managed area of 398 million square meters [3][10] - The Mixc Star membership program reached 52.2 million members, a 13% increase from the end of 2023 [3][10] Ecosystem Business - Urban construction business generated revenue of RMB 390 million, with 358 projects under management, ranking second in new government construction contracts [5][10] - Rental housing business achieved revenue of RMB 380 million, with 62 projects under management, ranking eighth in the industry [5][10] - CR Youchao REIT reported revenue of RMB 39.31 million, a 1.5% YoY increase, and EBITDA of RMB 24.6 million, up 4.3% YoY [5][10] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 268.77 billion in 2024, with a net profit of RMB 26.54 billion [6][12] - The 2024 EPS is forecasted at RMB 3.72, with a PE valuation of 10-11x, implying a market cap range of HKD 289.9-318.9 billion and a fair value range of HKD 40.65-44.71 per share [5][12] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 22.15% in 2024, with a net profit margin of 9.87% [6][14] - ROE is projected to be 9.44% in 2024, with a net debt ratio of 25.25% [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) with a target price of HKD 29.77, compared to the current price of HKD 21.05 [4]. Core Insights - Development profit margins are under pressure, but recurring business serves as a stable foundation. For the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 79.13 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 10.25 billion, down 25% [2][9]. - The sales structure has improved, with the top ten cities contributing over 60% of sales. The sales amount for the first half of 2024 was CNY 124.7 billion, down 27% year-on-year, with a sales price of CNY 24,000 per square meter, down 1% [2][16]. - Investment is focused on high-tier cities, with two new comprehensive projects acquired. The company spent CNY 25.6 billion on land acquisition in the first half of 2024, with a land acquisition ratio of 72% [2][19]. - Operating real estate shows stable improvement in operational efficiency. The income from investment properties was CNY 11.47 billion, up 7% year-on-year, with a total operating area of 12.59 million square meters, up 23.9% [2][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company reported total revenue of CNY 79.13 billion, with a core net profit of CNY 10.74 billion, reflecting a core net profit margin of 13.6% [2][9]. - The development business's gross profit margin was 12.4%, while the recurring business's gross profit margin was 71.5% [12][21]. Sales Analysis - The total sales amount for the first half of 2024 was CNY 124.7 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 27%. The equity sales amount was CNY 86 billion, down 32% [2][16]. - The contribution from first-tier cities was 38%, and the top ten cities accounted for 65% of total sales [2][16]. Land Acquisition and Projects - The company acquired 11 projects in the first half of 2024, with a total land acquisition cost of CNY 25.6 billion [2][19]. - The static gross profit margin for land acquisition was 34.1%, slightly higher than the previous year [2][19]. Investment Properties - The income from investment properties was CNY 11.47 billion, with a gross profit margin of 71.5% [2][21]. - The retail sales in shopping centers reached CNY 91.6 billion, up 22% year-on-year, indicating strong performance despite rental pressure [2][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for China Resources Land (1109) [2][5]. Core Views - In the first half of 2024, the company experienced revenue growth without profit increase, with a gross margin still in a downward trend. The development and sales business faced temporary pressure, while the recurring income business showed steady improvement, contributing over 50% to core net profit [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported revenue of 79.13 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.25 billion RMB, down 25.4% year-on-year. The gross margin decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 22.3% [5]. - The development and sales business generated revenue of 59.13 billion RMB, up 8.3% year-on-year, accounting for 74.7% of total revenue. The company expects to settle 166.12 billion RMB in the second half of the year, aiming for a total settlement revenue of 225.25 billion RMB for the year, a 6.2% increase year-on-year [5]. - The recurring income business saw revenue rise by 9% to 20 billion RMB, contributing 5.52 billion RMB to core net profit, a 14.4% increase year-on-year [5]. Business Segments - The gross margin for the development and sales business fell by 4.6 percentage points to 12.4%, while the operating real estate business's gross margin increased by 0.2 percentage points to 71.5% [5]. - The company maintained a strong market position, ranking fourth in sales amount with a 26.7% year-on-year decline to 124.7 billion RMB, while maintaining a top-five market share in 20 cities [5]. Future Outlook - The company has accumulated land reserves of 4.7712 million square meters, with a corresponding value of 1,141.71 billion RMB based on the average selling price of 24,000 RMB per square meter in the first half of the year, indicating ample future performance release potential [5]. - The financial health remains robust, with a comprehensive financing cost of 3.24% in H1 2024, down 32 basis points from the beginning of the year [5].

华润置地（01109.HK） 做优经营性不动产业务，加速大资管转型步伐 1）不动产打造第二增长曲线，逆势中营收仍显亮色。2024H1 公司实现营 业额 791.3 亿元，同比增长 8.4%。其中，开发销售型业务营业额为 591.3 亿元，同比增长8.3%；经常性收入合计营业额200.0亿元，同比增长9.0%， 占比达 25.3%。经营性不动产业务方面，公司已然成为内资商业运营引领 者，以"万象系"购物中心为代表的投资物业为公司业绩增长贡献新动能， 既能有力支持主营业务获取资源产生协同效益，又能自主盈利贡献长期稳 定现金流，同时亦是公司估值差异化体现所在；2024H1 经营性不动产中 的购物中心/写字楼/酒店分别实现租金收入 95/9.5/10.4 亿元；其中购物 中心上半年如期开业 6 家，旗下在营购物中心已达 82 家，实现零售额（同 比+21.9%至 916 亿元）及出租率（较年底+0.8pct 至 97.3%）双增长。 2）开发毛利率承压，核心净利润稳健。上半年公司综合毛利率 22.3%； 其中开发业务毛利率受行业下行影响同比-4.6bp 至 12.4%，不动产业务 毛利率同比+0.2bp 达 71.5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's recurring income showed steady growth, with a 9% YoY increase to RMB 20 billion, while core net profit grew by 14.4% YoY to RMB 5.5 billion [2] - The company's asset management scale reached RMB 449.1 billion, a 5.1% increase from the end of 2023 [3] - The company's contracted sales for the first half of 2024 were RMB 124.7 billion, maintaining its position as the fourth-largest in the industry [2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of RMB 79.1 billion in the first half of 2024, an 8.4% YoY increase, with net profit attributable to shareholders and core net profit at RMB 10.3 billion and RMB 10.7 billion, respectively [2] - The company's weighted average financing cost decreased by 32 basis points to 3.24%, maintaining its position in the lowest tier of the industry [2] - The company's total interest-bearing debt ratio and net interest-bearing debt ratio decreased to 38.9% and 33.6%, respectively, both at low levels in the industry [2] Business Operations - The company's shopping centers achieved rental income of RMB 9.5 billion, a 9.7% YoY increase, with a retail sales growth of 21.9% YoY to RMB 91.6 billion [3] - The company plans to open approximately 10 new shopping centers in the second half of 2024, with the total number of operational shopping centers expected to reach 110 by the end of 2027 [3] - The company's office rental income decreased by 4.9% YoY to RMB 950 million, with an occupancy rate of 75% [3] Land Reserves and Development - The company acquired 11 new projects in the first half of 2024, adding 2.02 million square meters of land reserves, with 87% of the investment concentrated in first- and second-tier cities [2] - The company's total land reserves reached 56.99 million square meters, with 47.71 million square meters allocated for development and sales, of which over 70% are located in first- and second-tier cities [2] - The company's total salable resources for the second half of 2024 amounted to RMB 368.7 billion, with 85% located in first- and second-tier cities [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% from 2024 to 2026, with net profit attributable to shareholders growing at a CAGR of 4% [4] - The company's EPS is forecasted to be RMB 4.40, RMB 4.56, RMB 4.75, and RMB 4.95 for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 5.87, 4.16, 4.01, and 4.11 for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company maintained its position as the fourth-largest in the industry by sales scale, with a top-five market share in 20 major cities [2] - The company's sales in first-tier cities accounted for an 8 percentage point increase YoY [2] - The company's investment in first- and second-tier cities accounted for 87% of its total land acquisitions [2]

交银国际研究 公司更新 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 港元 20.90 港元 24.94↓ +19.3% 内地房地产 2024 年 8 月 28 日 华润置地 (1109 HK) 经营性不动产业务稳定增长，维持派息水平 毛利率下滑导致利润下跌，仍维持派息水平。2024 年上半年，物业交付 增加带动物业开发收入同比增长 8.3%至 591 亿元（人民币，下同），整体 收入同比上升 8.4%至 791 亿元。但受物业开发毛利率下跌 4.6 个百分点至 12.4%影响，整体毛利率同比下跌 3.4 个百分点至 22.3%。毛利/净利润/核 心净利润同比下跌 5.9%/25.4%/4.7%至 176/103/107 亿元。但如进一步扣除 分拆房托带来的一次性重估收益，我们估算核心利润约为 75 亿元，同比 下跌约 33%。公司建议中期每股派息 0.2 元，同比上升 1.0%，派息率大致 维持在 13%。 杠杆维持低位，融资成本下降。2024 年 6 月底净有息负债率 33.6%（2023 年底：32.6%）。加权平均融资成本进一步下降 32 个基点至 3.24%，为行 业最低水平（2023 年底：3.56%），同时平均债务 ...

2024 年 08 月 28 日 华润置地 (01109) ——核心业绩略降，经营性业务稳健发展 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持）投资要点： ⚫ 24H1 核心净利润同比-5%、归母净利润同比-25%、略低于预期，经常性业务贡献核心利 | --- | --- | |------------------------|---------------------| | 市场数据： | 2024 年 08 月 28 日 | | 收盘价（港币） | 20.90 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 6225.99 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 37.50/20.35 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 1,490.37 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 7,130.94 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0956 | | | | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -35% -15% 5% 25% 08/2809/2810/2811/2812/2801/2802/2803/2804/2805/2806/2807/28 HSCEI 华润置地 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 袁豪 A023052012 ...

香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 告 的 內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全 部 或 任 何 部 分 內 容 而 產 生 或 因 依 賴 該 等 內 容 而 引 致 的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1109） 二 零 二 四 年 中 期 業 績 公 告 摘 要 | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------------| | 二 零 二 四 年 上 半 年 綜 合 營 業 額 為 人 民 幣791.3億 元，同 比 | | 其 中，開 發 銷 售 型 業 務 營 業 額 為 人 民 幣591.3億 元，同 比 | | 經 營 性 不 動 產 業 務 營 業 額 為 人 民 幣114.7億 元，同 比 增 長 | | 產 管 理 業 務 營 業 額 為 人 民 幣58.9億 元 ...

证券研究报告·海外公司深度·地产(HS) 华润置地（01109.HK） 优质资产运营引领者，坚持高质量综合发展 2024 年 05月 12日 买入（首次） 证券分析师 房诚琦 [Table_EPS] 执业证书：S0600522100002 盈利预测与估值 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E fangcq@dwzq.com.cn 营业总收入（百万元） 208045 252003 257034 276511 294436 证券分析师 白学松 同比(%) (2.25) 21.13 2.00 7.58 6.48 执业证书：S0600523050001 归母净利润（百万元） 28092 31365 31945 34096 35984 baixs@dwzq.com.cn 同比(%) (13.30) 11.65 1.85 6.73 5.54 证券分析师 肖畅 EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） 3.94 4.40 4.48 4.78 5.05 执业证书：S0600523020003 P/E（现价&最新摊薄） 7.50 6.71 6.59 6.18 5.85 xiaoc@dwzq.com.cn [ [TT a ...