当下投资银行股的机会成本仍然不高。数据显示，目前10年期国债收益率1.80%，仍处在历 史地位；银行股股息接近4.4%，较10年期国债收益率有2.6个百分点的溢价 商业银行的净利润正在较大范围地回暖，这体现在近期公布的10余家银行业绩快报中。 截至2026年2月12日，已有12家上市银行公布了2025年业绩快报，除华夏银行，其他各家净利润均实现 正增长：青岛银行的归母净利润同比增幅超过20%，齐鲁银行、杭州银行、浦发银行的归母净利润增幅 同比也在10%以上。而华夏银行归母净利润则比2024年末下降1.72%。 相比之下，2025年前三季度，商业银行累计实现净利润1.87万亿元，同比下降0.02%。其中，国有大 行、城商行、民营银行的净利润增速分别是2.27%、1.73%和7.09%；全国性股份制银行、农商行和外资 行净利润则同比下降，降幅分别为2.1%、7.36%和19.34%。 整体来看，商业银行的净利润正在迎来回暖。数据显示，2025年商业银行累计实现净利润为2.4万亿 元，较2024年末的2.3万亿元有所上升。2025年前三季度，商业银行累计实现净利润1.87万亿元，同比下 降0.02%，降幅较上半年有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration have conducted the 2025 assessment of systemically important banks, identifying 21 domestic banks categorized into five groups based on their systemic importance scores [1] Group 1: Assessment of Systemically Important Banks - A total of 21 domestic systemically important banks have been recognized, including 6 state-owned commercial banks, 10 joint-stock commercial banks, and 5 city commercial banks [1] - The banks are divided into five groups based on their systemic importance scores, with the first group consisting of 11 banks, the second group having 4 banks, the third group with 2 banks, the fourth group containing 4 banks, and the fifth group having no banks [1] Group 2: Breakdown of Bank Groups - The first group includes: China Minsheng Bank, China Everbright Bank, Ping An Bank, Huaxia Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, Guangfa Bank, Zheshang Bank, and Shanghai Bank [1] - The second group consists of: Industrial Bank, China CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and China Postal Savings Bank [1] - The third group includes: Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank [1] - The fourth group comprises: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China [1] - The fifth group currently has no banks included [1] Group 3: Future Regulatory Actions - The People's Bank of China and the National Financial Regulatory Administration will implement additional regulatory measures for systemically important banks according to the "Regulations on Additional Supervision of Systemically Important Banks (Trial)" [1] - The aim is to enhance the synergy between macro-prudential management and micro-prudential supervision, ensuring the safe and sound operation of systemically important banks [1] - This initiative is intended to better support the high-quality development of the real economy [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The banking index fell by 1.3% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices by 1.6% and 2.5% respectively, indicating a short-term style switch in the market [6][19] - H-shares of banks led the gains, while most A-shares declined, with notable performances from Huaxia Bank and Shanghai Bank due to improved earnings and strong expectations for convertible bond conversions [6][19] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio and return on equity (ROE) of bank stocks remain undervalued, with a continued recommendation for high-quality city commercial banks in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shandong provinces, including Hangzhou Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Nanjing Bank, Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, and Suzhou Bank [6][19] - The report also suggests focusing on low-valuation, high-dividend, and convertible bond opportunities, particularly in Industrial Bank [6][19] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The banking sector's trading activity has decreased, with turnover rates falling, although the transaction volume share for state-owned and rural commercial banks has rebounded [8][39] - The average dividend yield for the six major state-owned banks in A-shares is 4.28%, with a spread of 249 basis points over the 10-year government bond yield, while H-shares yield 5.21% [7][29] Profit Growth and Net Interest Margin - The overall asset growth rate for commercial banks reached 9.0% year-on-year by the end of Q4 2025, with major state-owned banks seeing a growth rate of 10.8% [9][44] - The net profit growth for commercial banks was 2.3% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend, particularly among city and rural commercial banks [9][44] - The net interest margin for 2025 is projected at 1.42%, with a marginal stabilization observed, and a further narrowing of the decline expected in 2026 [9][46] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios across various banks are stable or improving, attributed to increased write-off efforts, while the provision coverage ratio continues to decline [10][49] - Capital adequacy ratios remain stable, with attention on the potential impact of the second round of fiscal injections for state-owned banks and refinancing for smaller banks in 2026 [10][49]

对于银行推出的压岁钱专属产品，不少投资者表示很心动。小俊今年13岁，他告诉记者，每年的压岁钱 自己都攒起来，目前已有四万余元。当记者问及是否愿意办理专属银行卡存压岁钱时，小俊高兴地 说："当然愿意，还能挣点利息，反正这笔钱家长平时也不让我花，存起来正合适。"小俊的妈妈李女士 表示，自己对银行推出的压岁钱专属产品很满意，这类产品既可以培养孩子的攒钱习惯，又能提供一定 的利息收入。 业内人士认为，压岁钱专属产品既是银行应对揽储压力的营销手段，也是挖掘场景金融、增强客户黏性 的重要工具。 ● 本报记者 李蕴奇 新春佳节之际，孩子们的压岁钱是不少家庭绕不开的话题。多家银行敏锐捕捉到这一热点，在春节期间 推出压岁钱专属产品，积极围绕儿童压岁钱开展营销活动，通过存款利率上浮、赠送权益等方式吸引客 户。专家分析，压岁钱专属产品既可以缓解银行揽储压力，也可通过场景金融，深化客户对银行品牌的 认知，增强客户黏性。 专属产品集中登场 中国证券报记者近期走访银行网点发现，多家银行围绕儿童压岁钱推出不少特色产品。北京银行 （601169）推出儿童专属银行卡——"小京卡"。北京银行微信公众号显示，当该行客户通过"小京卡"办 理三年期定 ...

压岁钱不仅是春节期间长辈赠予孩子的新春祝福，也是孩子们的过年仪式感所在，而如何科学配置、合 理管理这笔"成长资金"，已成为众多家长的共同关切。北京商报记者注意到，近期包括国有大行、股份 制银行及城农商行在内的多家银行机构均密集推出未成年人压岁钱专属储蓄、理财产品，通过切入春节 假期财富管理需求，为孩子和家长提供多元化的资金管理方案，部分存款产品利率较普通存款更有优 势。分析人士称，此举不仅能为银行锁定长期稳定的低成本资金，更能提前抢占年轻客群，带动后续理 财、保险、教育金等综合业务落地，进而有效提升银行长期收益与客户黏性。 股份制银行亦推出差异化产品。华夏银行针对未成年人推出"阳光成长计划"，家长可陪同孩子线下办理 儿童银行卡，并实现亲子账户一键绑定，孩子可选择"阳光存""月成长"两种储蓄模式，资金自动转入生 成定期；广发银行"自由卡"以"定制梦想卡面+专款专用+亲子共管"为核心，给予孩子独立金融账户，家 长可通过手机银行代管并代买定制存款产品；招商银行App则上线"金小葵管家"专区，为未成年人压岁 钱规划提供黄金、保险等多元理财选项。 城农商行则主打定制化与低门槛。如广西北部湾银行推出"梦想储蓄1号"整存整 ...

城农商行则主打定制化与低门槛。如广西北部湾银行推出"梦想储蓄1号"整存整取产品，50元即可起存，1年期、2年期、3年期年利率分别为1.4%、1.65%、 1.9%；如东农商银行则面向18周岁以下青少年推出起存1万元、单户最高5万元的压岁钱定制存单，利率设定为1.3985%，寓意"一定上985"。 综合来看，当前银行对压岁钱市场的布局主要聚焦三类形态：一是未成年人专属储蓄或卡片账户，起存门槛低，附带卡面定制、专款专用等功能；二是压岁 钱专属定期存款或特色存单，部分机构在合规框架内给予阶段性利率上浮及权益激励；三是亲子共管式资金管理方案，将压岁钱纳入家庭资产配置，提供定 投、理财等多种服务。 压岁钱不仅是春节期间长辈赠予孩子的新春祝福，也是孩子们的过年仪式感所在，而如何科学配置、合理管理这笔"成长资金"，已成为众多家长的共同关 切。 北京商报记者注意到，近期包括国有大行、股份制银行及城农商行在内的多家银行机构均密集推出未成年人压岁钱专属储蓄、理财产品，通过切入春节假期 财富管理需求，为孩子和家长提供多元化的资金管理方案，部分存款产品利率较普通存款更有优势。分析人士称，此举不仅能为银行锁定长期稳定的低成本 资金，更 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Spring Festival has prompted banks to launch special products for children's "lucky money," aiming to attract customers through higher deposit rates and additional benefits, thereby addressing their deposit acquisition pressures and enhancing brand recognition and customer loyalty [1]. Group 1: Bank Products - Beijing Bank has introduced a children's exclusive bank card called "Xiao Jing Card," offering a three-year fixed deposit rate of 1.75%, which is higher than the standard rate for the same term, with a minimum deposit of 1,000 yuan [2]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has launched the "Baby Card" for children under 16, providing a three-year deposit rate of 1.55% for a 5,000 yuan deposit, along with waived card issuance and annual fees [3]. - Huaxia Bank's "Sunshine Growth Plan" offers a specialized savings service for minors, with a minimum deposit of only 50 yuan and an annual interest rate of 1.75% [4]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Industry experts view these children's financial products as a marketing strategy to alleviate deposit acquisition pressures and as a means to enhance customer loyalty through scenario-based finance [5]. - The competition in the banking sector is intensifying, and children's financial products are seen as a new growth point for deposits, allowing banks to bind family relationships and transition from simple savings to comprehensive services that include education and support [6]. - The strategic focus on children's financial services not only aims to secure current funds but also seeks to integrate financial literacy into family wealth management, creating a cross-generational customer value chain [6].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has issued a warning and imposed a fine of 488,000 yuan on Huaxia Bank Co., Ltd. Zhongshan Branch for violating financial statistics and financial technology management regulations [1][2][3] Group 1 - The administrative penalty was documented in the PBOC Zhongshan Branch's public disclosure of administrative penalty decisions [1][2] - The specific violation involved breaches of financial statistics and financial technology management regulations [1][2][3] - The penalty includes a warning and a fine amounting to 488,000 yuan [1][2][3] Group 2 - The decision was made by the People's Bank of China Zhongshan Branch [1][2] - The administrative penalty decision number is 中人银罚决字〔2026〕1号 [2][3] - The penalty decision date is February 13, 2026, with a public disclosure period of three years [2][3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The overall social financing growth slightly declined to 8.2% in January, while M1 and M2 growth rates significantly rebounded, with M1 growing by 4.9% and M2 by 9.0% [6][16] - Government net financing increased significantly by 2,831 billion yuan year-on-year, contributing to the overall social financing growth [6][17] - The report indicates a shift in deposit structure due to accelerated deposit migration, impacting M1 negatively while having limited effect on M2 [6][16] Summary by Sections Overall Situation - Social financing growth decreased slightly to 8.2%, while M1 and M2 growth rates increased significantly [15][16] - M1 and M2 growth rates rose by 1.1 percentage points and 0.5 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month [6][16] Government Sector - Fiscal strength showed a year-on-year decline, impacting overall financing dynamics [39] Household Sector - Demand remained stable year-on-year, with short-term loan demand increasing [39] Corporate Sector - Short-term loan demand increased year-on-year, while bill financing saw a significant reduction [39] Non-Bank Sector - The acceleration of deposit migration was noted, with non-bank deposits increasing by 1.45 trillion yuan year-on-year [6][39]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The report highlights a "strong deposit, weak loan" characteristic in the opening month of the year [4] - In January 2026, new social financing increased by 7.2 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.2 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 8.2% [4][5] - New RMB loans in January 2026 amounted to 4.7 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 420 billion yuan, with a balance growth of 6.1% [4][5] - The report indicates that consumer demand has shown some recovery, particularly in short-term loans, but overall consumer credit demand may remain pessimistic throughout the year [1][2] Summary by Sections Credit Overview - Entity credit remained stable, with a significant reduction in bill financing [1] - Retail loans saw an increase of 456.5 billion yuan in January, with short-term loans contributing 109.7 billion yuan [1] - Corporate loans totaled 4.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 330 billion yuan, influenced by a substitution effect between short-term loans and bill financing [2] Social Financing - Government bonds contributed significantly to social financing, with new issuance of 976.4 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year increase of 283.1 billion yuan [5] - The report notes a trend of "deposit migration," with non-bank deposits reaching 36 trillion yuan, accounting for 10.7% of total deposits [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a "New Momentum Portfolio" including banks like Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others, highlighting their potential for value recovery [3][5] - It emphasizes the importance of high-dividend bank stocks in the current environment, suggesting that banks with new growth drivers may achieve greater value restoration [5]