Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [30]. Core Insights - The report highlights that coal prices are expected to remain elevated due to persistent cold weather and improving demand, with power coal prices showing a week-on-week increase [1][6]. - The report notes that the supply side is tightening due to safety inspections and environmental checks in major production areas, which is expected to support coal prices [1][5]. - The report recommends stable, high-dividend companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, while also suggesting attention to growth-oriented coal companies [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - A national safety production meeting was held to enhance safety measures in coal mining, emphasizing a systematic approach to safety governance [5]. - A new coal transportation route from Longkou to Guangzhou has been established, which is significant for energy security and regional economic development [5]. Price Trends - As of January 9, 2026, power coal prices at Qinhuangdao port were reported at 526, 613, and 699 CNY/ton for different grades, reflecting week-on-week increases [1]. - The report indicates that the average daily consumption of coal has improved, with a noted increase in coal output from production areas [1][2]. International Oil Prices - Brent crude oil prices increased to 63.34 USD/barrel, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 4.26%, which may influence coal prices [11]. Port Inventory Trends - The average daily coal inflow at the Bohai Rim ports increased to 1.4613 million tons, while the outflow also saw a slight increase, indicating a dynamic supply-demand balance [16]. - Port inventories decreased to 26.727 million tons, a reduction of 2.91% week-on-week, suggesting tightening supply conditions [16]. Shipping Costs - Domestic coastal shipping costs decreased to 31.90 CNY/ton, while international shipping rates showed mixed trends, with some routes experiencing price increases [22]. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating their stock prices, market capitalizations, and projected earnings ratios for the upcoming years [25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating due to expected price increases driven by supply constraints and high demand from cold weather [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that as of January 9, 2026, the spot prices for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port have increased, with Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 grades priced at 526, 613, and 699 CNY/ton respectively, reflecting increases of 21, 20, and 17 CNY/ton week-on-week [1]. - Supply is expected to contract due to ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures, while demand remains robust due to cold weather, supporting higher thermal coal prices [1]. - The report also notes that the average daily consumption of coal has improved, with a daily average of 164.79 million tons being shipped out from the Bohai Rim ports, a 0.69% increase week-on-week [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - A national safety production meeting was held on January 6, emphasizing the need for stringent safety measures in mining operations [7]. - A new coal transportation route from Longkou to Guangzhou was inaugurated, enhancing coal distribution efficiency [7]. 2. Price Movements - Domestic thermal coal prices have seen a week-on-week increase, with specific grades reporting price hikes [8]. - International thermal coal prices have shown stability with slight increases in certain markets, such as Indonesia [9]. 3. Inventory and Supply - Bohai Rim port coal inventory decreased to 26.727 million tons, a 2.91% drop week-on-week, indicating tighter supply conditions [20]. - The average daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports increased by 4.28% week-on-week, while outflow also saw a slight increase [20]. 4. Shipping Costs - Domestic coastal shipping costs have decreased slightly, with average freight rates reported at 31.90 CNY/ton, a 1.69% decline week-on-week [26]. - International shipping rates have shown mixed trends, with some routes experiencing price increases while others have decreased [26]. 5. Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalizations, and earnings projections [30].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (兖矿能源) has received preliminary approval for an environmental impact assessment for its subsidiary, Yanzhou Lunan Chemical Co., Ltd.'s energy-saving demonstration project for the efficient synthesis of fine chemicals, with a total investment of 5.005 billion yuan [1] - The "A-share Green Report" project, launched by the Daily Economic News in collaboration with the public environmental research center (IPE), aims to enhance the transparency of environmental information from listed companies [1] - The project monitors environmental performance based on authoritative regulatory data from 31 provinces and 337 cities, analyzing and interpreting the data to provide timely updates on environmental risks associated with listed companies [1] Group 2 - The latest issue of the A-share Green Weekly Report (Issue No. 228) indicates that four listed companies have recently exposed environmental risks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is entering a new upward cycle, with fundamental and policy factors aligning, making it an opportune time to invest in coal stocks [5] Price Trends - As of January 10, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 696 RMB/ton, an increase of 17 RMB/ton week-on-week [2] - The price for Shanxi-produced coking coal at Jingtang port remains stable at 1650 RMB/ton as of January 9 [3] - International thermal coal prices show mixed trends, with Newcastle NEWC5500 at 71.8 USD/ton (up 0.3 USD) and ARA6000 at 95.3 USD/ton (down 1.8 USD) [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The utilization rate for thermal coal mines is 90.3%, up 8.2 percentage points week-on-week, while coking coal mine utilization is at 85.34%, up 5.7 percentage points [3] - Coastal provinces show an increase in daily coal consumption by 29.90 thousand tons/day (+15.11%), while inland provinces see a decrease of 7.40 thousand tons/day (-1.81%) [4][5] - Chemical coal consumption has increased by 8.36 thousand tons/day (+1.13%) [4] Inventory Levels - As of January 8, coal inventory in coastal provinces decreased by 111.60 million tons (-3.17%), while inland provinces saw a larger drop of 409.00 million tons (-4.15%) [4] Investment Strategy - The coal sector is characterized by high performance, cash flow, and dividends, with a recommendation to invest in quality coal companies [7] - Companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others are highlighted for their stable operations and strong performance [7] - The coal market is expected to remain tight in the next 3-5 years, with a focus on the potential for price increases and valuation recovery [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal mining industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The current phase is viewed as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a focus on the recovery of coal market conditions and value reassessment [3][5]. - Supply constraints are expected to re-emerge, with domestic coal production potentially declining due to regulatory checks and safety inspections [5][13]. - Demand for coal is projected to see slight growth in 2026, driven by a 5% economic growth rate and increased coal consumption in non-electric sectors [5][13]. - Short-term coal prices are expected to stabilize and potentially rise due to seasonal demand increases and inventory reductions at coastal ports [5][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Coal Prices - As of January 10, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 696 CNY/ton, up 17 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][32]. - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port remains stable at 1650 CNY/ton [34]. - International thermal coal prices show slight increases, with Newcastle coal at 71.8 USD/ton, up 0.3 USD/ton week-on-week [4][32]. 2. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The capacity utilization rate for thermal coal mines is reported at 90.3%, an increase of 8.2 percentage points week-on-week [5][13]. - Demand from coastal provinces has increased, with daily consumption rising by 29.9 thousand tons (+15.11%) [5][13]. - Chemical coal consumption has also increased, with a weekly rise of 8.36 thousand tons (+1.13%) [5][13]. 3. Market Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of coal supply as a stabilizing factor in the market, with expected regulatory constraints leading to a tighter supply environment [5][13]. - The anticipated recovery in coal prices and the potential for value reassessment in the sector are highlighted as key investment themes [5][13]. - The report suggests that the coal sector remains an attractive investment opportunity, particularly for high-quality coal companies with strong cash flows and dividend yields [5][15].

Investment Rating - The industry rating has been upgraded to "Overweight" [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the coal market requires a "black swan" event to stimulate coal prices, with a focus on the exit of domestic capacity increases as a critical factor [2] - The report highlights the tightening of regulations in Indonesia, which could lead to reduced exports and support coal prices [3] - The report notes that the coal price has started to rebound due to increased daily consumption and cost support [31] Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Coal Index reached 3818.02 points, up 6.26%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.48 percentage points, ranking 7th in the CITIC sector performance [73] Key Events - Since September 2021, over 500 million tons of coal production capacity have been added, which must be replaced by the end of 2025 to avoid risks of revocation of approvals [2] - The report indicates that the domestic coal market's supply-demand imbalance could be reversed if the exit of increased capacity is implemented [2] International Market Focus - Indonesia's new regulations aim to reduce production and increase domestic consumption, which could lead to a decrease in exports and support coal prices [3] - The report mentions that Indonesia's coal consumption is expected to grow by 9% in 2024, reaching 247 million tons, with significant consumption from the mining and power sectors [3] Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the implementation of fiscal and financial policies to stimulate domestic demand will positively impact the coal industry [9] - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and potential for growth, such as China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the coal industry, including Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Mining, Yancoal Energy, China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and others [5]. Core Views - The coal market is expected to see strong marginal improvements in supply and demand, leading to a stabilization and potential increase in coal prices. The report anticipates that coal prices will continue to rise due to high electricity demand during the cold weather and a reduction in port inventories [6][8]. - The demand side remains resilient, with non-electric demand and electricity demand both expected to maintain high levels. The report highlights that steel production and chemical industry coal consumption are driving this demand [8]. - On the supply side, there are expectations of reduced coal production due to regulatory changes and potential capacity cuts in key mining regions, which could further tighten supply [8]. - The report suggests that investors should consider low-entry opportunities in the coal sector, focusing on companies with strong dividend yields and low valuations, as well as those with significant production capacity growth [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views and Operational Tracking - The report emphasizes the importance of dividend policies and growth prospects for listed companies in the coal sector, indicating a focus on stable earnings and potential for future growth [12][14]. 2. Coal Price Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of coal prices, including indices for thermal coal and coking coal, highlighting recent price movements and trends in both domestic and international markets [9][10]. 3. Coal Inventory Tracking - There is a focus on coal production levels and inventory status, with recent data showing a decrease in port coal inventories, indicating improved supply-demand dynamics [8][10]. 4. Downstream Performance in the Coal Industry - The report tracks downstream consumption patterns, including daily coal usage by power plants and trends in steel and cement prices, which are critical for understanding overall coal demand [9][10]. 5. Recent Performance of the Coal Sector and Individual Stocks - The report analyzes the recent performance of the coal sector, noting fluctuations in stock prices and market sentiment, while also providing forecasts for key companies [8][10].

Group 1 - The coal mining sector increased by 1.23% on January 9, with Jiangte Equipment leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4120.43, up 0.92%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14120.15, up 1.15% [1] - Jiangte Equipment's stock price rose by 9.95% to 9.06, with a trading volume of 448,900 shares and a transaction value of 397 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Major coal companies such as China Shenhua and Xinda Zhou A also saw increases, with China Shenhua up 2.41% to 42.45 and a transaction value of 1.551 billion yuan [1] - Conversely, some companies like Dayou Energy and Shanxi Coking Coal experienced declines, with Dayou Energy down 3.23% to 8.10 and a transaction value of 859 million yuan [2] - The coal mining sector experienced a net outflow of 324 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 397 million yuan [2][3] Group 3 - Jiangte Equipment had a net inflow of 109 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 46 million yuan [3] - China Shenhua also saw a net inflow of 34.67 million yuan from major funds, with retail investors experiencing a slight outflow [3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed sentiment in the coal mining sector, with significant retail interest despite the net outflow from major funds [2][3]

Group 1 - The coal mining sector saw a slight increase of 0.35% on January 8, with Dayou Energy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.98, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13959.48, down 0.51% [1] - Dayou Energy's stock price rose by 6.35% to 8.37, with a trading volume of 1.75 million shares [1] Group 2 - The coal mining sector experienced a net inflow of 140 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 92.66 million yuan [2] - Major stocks in the coal mining sector showed varied performance, with Shanxi Coking Coal experiencing a net inflow of 162 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - The overall trading activity indicated a mixed sentiment, with some stocks like Yanzhou Coal Mining seeing a net outflow from retail investors [3]

Group 1 - Coal stocks have risen, with notable increases in companies such as Nan Gobi (+5.34%), China Shenhua (+2.16%), Yanzhou Coal (+2.06%), and China Coal Energy (+0.73%) [1] - A report indicates that the Yulin city government in Shaanxi province announced a reduction of 1.9 million tons in production capacity from 26 out of 52 coal mines due to insufficient supply assurance for electricity coal in 2024-2025 [1] - Industry analysts from Shanxi Securities expect improved performance in Q4, with potential for long-term price stability and recovery in 2026, suggesting that current stock price declines enhance dividend value for investors [1] Group 2 - Guohai Securities forecasts an improvement in the coal supply-demand relationship by 2026, with policy support likely leading to an increase in coal price averages, estimating North Port thermal coal at around 750 yuan and coking coal at approximately 1550 yuan [1] - The overall industry profitability is anticipated to recover, driven by favorable market conditions and policy backing [1]