Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the chemical industry, highlighting the potential benefits from the "dual carbon" policy implementation [5]. Core Insights - The "dual carbon" policy is expected to significantly impact the chemical industry, with a focus on carbon emissions control becoming a rigid constraint during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6][14]. - The report identifies that the attention towards "dual carbon" from provincial leaders has increased by 137% since September 2025, indicating a shift in focus towards carbon emissions as a critical performance metric [7][18]. - The chemical industry is anticipated to undergo structural changes, with high carbon intensity sectors facing supply constraints, while low-carbon leaders are expected to benefit from the transition [8][30]. Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan": Carbon Peak Closing Battle - Local carbon assessments may treat carbon emissions as an equally important rigid constraint [15]. - High carbon intensity sectors such as ammonia fertilizer, coal chemical, and chlorine-alkali are likely to face capacity constraints first [29][30]. 2. Petrochemical "Dual Carbon" Opportunities - The petrochemical sector is expected to undergo a transformation driven by the "dual carbon" goals, with a focus on optimizing supply and demand structures [38]. - Refining sector dynamics are shifting towards improved supply-demand balance due to stringent approval processes for new projects and the elimination of high-energy-consuming capacities [38]. 3. Basic Chemical "Dual Carbon" Opportunities - Coal chemical industry is projected to stabilize supply under carbon limits, driving quality improvements in the sector [3.1]. - Carbon fiber and fluorochemical sectors are expected to benefit from process optimization and green transitions [3.2][3.3]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three categories of leading companies: 1. Integrated leaders in the oil chemical sector with scale and efficiency advantages [8]. 2. Coal chemical leaders with advanced processes and low emissions [8]. 3. High-quality firms in fluorochemical and carbon fiber sectors that align with "dual carbon" goals [8].

Group 1 - Yuehongyuan A announced the transfer of 45% equity in Hongxi Mining for 22.37 million yuan, aiming to optimize its business and promote transformation, expecting a positive impact on financial results with an estimated gain of over 22 million yuan [2] - Wanhua Chemical plans to increase capital by 19.086 billion yuan to its wholly-owned subsidiary Wanhua Olefins, consolidating its carbon two industry operations to enhance competitiveness [3] - Huayou Cobalt signed a cooperation framework agreement to build an integrated battery industry chain project in Indonesia, aiming to establish the country as a production base for electric vehicle batteries [4] Group 2 - Gansu Energy reported that the first batch of wind turbines for its 1 million kW green electricity aggregation pilot project has been connected to the grid, contributing to over 10% of the company's expected installed capacity by the end of 2025 [5] - Lingyi Zhizao completed the acquisition of 35% equity in Liminda for 875 million yuan, gaining control over 52.78% of voting rights, making Liminda a subsidiary [6] - Tianqi Lithium's third-phase expansion project for chemical-grade lithium concentrate produced its first batch of qualified products, enhancing raw material supply for its lithium chemical production bases [7] Group 3 - Ecovacs expects a net profit of 1.7 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 110.90% to 123.30% due to product upgrades and cost optimization [9] - Cambrian anticipates a turnaround with a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan for 2025, a significant increase in revenue driven by operational improvements [10] - China Southern Airlines expects a net profit of 800 million to 1 billion yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.696 billion yuan in the previous year [11] Group 4 - Shandong Gold forecasts a net profit of 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56% to 66% due to improved production efficiency and rising gold prices [16] - Perfect World expects a net profit of 720 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.288 billion yuan, driven by successful game launches and cost reductions [17] - CICC anticipates a net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85% due to strong performance in investment banking and wealth management [18] Group 5 - *ST Songfa expects a net profit of 2.4 billion to 2.7 billion yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 76.64 million yuan, attributed to a major asset restructuring [19] - New Hope predicts a net loss of 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, down from a profit of 473.6 million yuan, impacted by fluctuations in the pig market [20] - 360 expects a net profit of 213 million to 318 million yuan for 2025, turning around from a loss, driven by increased investment income from equity method accounting [21]

格隆汇1月30日丨万华化学(600309.SH)公布，公司碳二产业快速发展，产业规模不断增大，为提升公司 碳二产业资产的运营管控效率，万华化学拟将其持有的120万吨乙烯一体化相关资产计145.86亿元及其 持有的全资子公司万华化学集团(烟台)烯烃有限公司45亿元债权共计190.86亿元增资至万华烯烃公司， 实现万华化学碳二产业在同一法人主体万华烯烃公司集中运营管控，进一步提升公司碳二产业的竞争 力，本次增资中10亿元人民币计入注册资本，180.86亿元计入资本公积。 目前万华化学持有的碳二产业资产为一套120万吨/年以乙烷+石脑油为原料的乙烯装置及配套的 LDPE 装置等相关资产，万华烯烃公司持有的资产为一套120万吨/年以乙烷为原料的乙烯装置及下游 PO/SM 装置、HDPE 装置、LLDPE 装置、PVC装置等相关资产。 增资后，万华烯烃公司注册资本将由30亿元增加至40亿元，仍然为万华化学的全资子公司。 ...

万华化学集团股份有限公司 关于对全资子公司万华化学集团（烟台）烯烃有限公司增资的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 证券代码：600309 证券简称：万华化学 公告编号：临 2026-06 号 增资标的名称：本次增资的标的公司为万华化学集团股份有限公司的全资子公司 万华化学集团（烟台）烯烃有限公司。 增资金额：1,908,558 万元人民币（其中资产出资1,458,558 万元，债权出资 450,000 万元）。 万华化学集团股份有限公司（以下简称"万华化学"或"公司"）碳二产业快 速发展，产业规模不断增大，为提升公司碳二产业资产的运营管控效率，万华化学 拟将其持有的 120 万吨乙烯一体化相关资产计 1,458,558 万元及其持有的全资子公 司万华化学集团（烟台）烯烃有限公司（以下简称"万华烯烃公司"）450,000 万元 债权共计 1,908,558 万元增资至万华烯烃公司，实现万华化学碳二产业在同一法人 主体万华烯烃公司集中运营管控，进一步提升公司碳二产业的竞争力，本次增资中 100, ...

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical is enhancing the operational management efficiency of its carbon two industry by increasing its investment in Wanhua Olefins Company, consolidating its assets under a single legal entity to improve competitiveness [1] Group 1: Investment and Financial Details - Wanhua Chemical plans to increase its investment in Wanhua Olefins Company by a total of 190.86 billion yuan, which includes 145.86 billion yuan in ethylene integrated assets and 45 billion yuan in debt [1] - The capital increase will see 10 billion yuan added to the registered capital and 180.86 billion yuan allocated to capital reserves [1] - Following the capital increase, the registered capital of Wanhua Olefins Company will rise from 3 billion yuan to 4 billion yuan, maintaining its status as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Wanhua Chemical [1] Group 2: Asset Overview - Wanhua Chemical's carbon two industry assets include a 120,000 tons/year ethylene facility using ethane and naphtha as raw materials, along with related LDPE facilities [1] - Wanhua Olefins Company holds assets comprising a 120,000 tons/year ethylene facility using ethane, as well as downstream PO/SM, HDPE, LLDPE, and PVC facilities [1]

万华化学公告称，为提升碳二产业运营管控效率，拟对全资子公司万华化学集团（烟台）烯烃有限公司 增资190.86亿元，其中资产出资145.86亿元，债权出资45亿元。本次增资中10亿元计入注册资本， 180.86亿元计入资本公积。增资后，万华烯烃公司注册资本将由30亿元增加至40亿元，仍为万华化学全 资子公司。该事项已获公司第九届董事会2026年第一次会议通过，不构成关联交易和重大资产重组，无 需提交股东会审议。不过，增资完成后，万华烯烃公司经营存在不确定性风险。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical plans to increase its investment in its wholly-owned subsidiary Wanhua Olefins by a total of 19.086 billion yuan, which includes 1.4586 billion yuan worth of integrated ethylene-related assets and 4.5 billion yuan in debt claims, to enhance the competitiveness of its carbon two industry [1] Group 1 - The total investment amounting to 19.086 billion yuan will be allocated to Wanhua Olefins, with 1 billion yuan included in the registered capital and 18.086 billion yuan in capital reserves [1] - Following the capital increase, the registered capital of Wanhua Olefins will rise from 3 billion yuan to 4 billion yuan, maintaining its status as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Wanhua Chemical [1] - The purpose of this capital increase is to improve the operational management capabilities of the carbon two industry, which is expected to promote the professional and standardized operation of the petrochemical carbon two business in the long term [1]

Summary of Conference Call on Chemical and Building Materials Industry Industry Overview - The conference focused on the chemical and building materials industry, emphasizing the investment opportunities in midstream leading companies despite market adjustments [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Investment Strategy**: The company remains committed to recommending core midstream leading stocks, especially in the chemical sector, as they believe these stocks will perform well even during market adjustments [1]. 2. **Price Trends**: Some chemical products are experiencing price increases, but the current market is more about capital allocation rather than a price-driven rally [2]. 3. **Global Demand**: The demand for chemicals is increasingly global and diversified, making it a more stable investment compared to real estate, which has uncertain demand [2]. 4. **Supply Dynamics**: There has been a significant exit of overseas production capacity, particularly in Europe due to high energy prices and increased labor costs, which has strengthened domestic companies' confidence [2]. 5. **Capital Expenditure Trends**: Domestic capital expenditure in the basic chemical sector is expected to decline by approximately 16% year-on-year in 2024, with a smaller decline of 5-6% in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a downward trend [3]. 6. **Government Policies**: The government's focus on "anti-involution" reflects an awareness of low product prices, which may lead to adjustments in operating rates to balance supply and demand [3][4]. 7. **Carbon Neutrality Initiatives**: The upcoming carbon neutrality policies will significantly impact the chemical industry, with expectations for peak carbon emissions by 2030, which will drive changes in production practices [5]. 8. **Market Recovery**: The chemical market is expected to recover as supply contracts and demand stabilizes, with a focus on leading companies that dominate domestic production [6][7]. 9. **Stock Recommendations**: Specific companies such as Wanhua, Hualu, and others in the polyester and organic silicon sectors are highlighted for their potential growth in production capacity and profitability [8][9]. 10. **Profitability Projections**: The profitability of leading companies is projected to improve significantly, with expectations that earnings could return to historical midpoints, even if product prices do not reach previous highs [10][11]. 11. **Valuation Metrics**: Current valuations for leading companies are considered attractive, with expected price-to-earnings ratios around 15-17 times under neutral performance expectations [28]. Additional Important Insights - **Sector Performance**: The chemical sector has underperformed for several years, contrasting with the metals sector, which has seen price increases [6]. - **Investment Timing**: The timing of investments in leading companies is crucial, as they are expected to benefit from market recovery and improved pricing power [27]. - **Emerging Opportunities**: There are emerging opportunities in agricultural chemicals, particularly in phosphate and potash sectors, which are expected to see volume growth despite price stability [13][31]. - **Regulatory Changes**: Recent regulatory changes regarding PVC production may lead to increased capital expenditures and potential industry consolidation, optimizing supply-demand dynamics [14]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the chemical and building materials industry.

Group 1: Key Insights - The report highlights multiple positive catalysts for the electronics sector, particularly for Huadian Co., Ltd. (002463), including the upcoming financial disclosures from overseas cloud vendors and domestic supply chain performance forecasts, which will validate the sustainability of computing power demand and industry prosperity [4] - The defense and military industry, represented by Guoke Military Industry (688543), is transitioning from conventional ammunition to intelligent and information-based ammunition, positioning the company to benefit from high industry demand and military trade orders, which are expected to drive significant growth [4] - In the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector, Huan Huang Pharmaceutical (0013.HK) is advancing its ATTC platform with candidates entering clinical trials, including HMPL-A251, which is a first-in-class drug, and is also expanding the indications for existing drugs, indicating strong future growth potential [5] Group 2: Company-Specific Analysis - Wan Hua Chemical (600309) is reinforcing its position as a global leader in polyurethane, with significant market shares in MDI and TDI, and is expected to enhance profitability through strategic partnerships and cost advantages in its petrochemical segment [6] - Su Kan Agricultural Development (601952) anticipates a slight decline in 2025 profits due to falling grain prices, but expects a recovery driven by rising grain prices and increased farmland area through land transfer initiatives [7] - Yingwei Technology (002837) is poised for substantial growth in the server liquid cooling market, with expectations of doubling industry growth in 2026 and 2027, supported by orders from major overseas clients [8] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - China Pacific Insurance (601601) demonstrated strong resilience with a 11% year-on-year increase in net profit to 27.9 billion yuan, driven by robust growth in new business value in its life insurance segment [8] - Jin Jiang Shipping (601083) reported a 64% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, indicating strong performance relative to peers, with expectations for continued growth [8] - Xiaoshangcheng (600415) is benefiting from increased rental income and new merchant additions, with projections for profit doubling in 2026 due to enhanced service offerings and improved gross margins [8]

Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share liquor sector experienced a significant surge, with a rise of 9.68% on January 29, leading the market performance for the day [1][2] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector also saw a notable increase of 8.18%, with a total transaction volume of 32.31 billion [2] - The precious metals sector rose by 8.04%, with a transaction volume of 70.62 billion, indicating strong market interest [2] Group 2: Energy and Petrochemical Sector Dynamics - The energy and petrochemical sector's rise began in early January 2026, with domestic crude oil futures rebounding from 411 yuan/barrel to 475 yuan/barrel, a 15% increase [4] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector has accumulated a remarkable increase of 44.22% year-to-date, ranking second in market performance, only behind precious metals [7] - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has shown a cumulative increase of 14.71% since the beginning of the year, reflecting strong investor interest [9] Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - The recent surge in the petrochemical sector is driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, raising concerns over oil supply stability [11] - The market has priced in a risk premium of $3-8 per barrel due to fears of potential disruptions in oil supply from Iran, which produces approximately 3.3 million barrels per day [11] - The classic rotation pattern in commodity markets, where precious metals lead, followed by industrial metals and then energy, is being validated again [14][16] Group 4: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector is expected to gain market attention as commodity prices rise, driven by increased costs in agricultural production due to higher energy prices [17][24] - The CPI and food prices have shown signs of recovery, with the CPI rising by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a potential shift in consumer price dynamics [18] - The agricultural ETF (516810) tracks a comprehensive index covering the entire agricultural value chain, which may benefit from the rising commodity prices [26] Group 5: Industry Outlook - The petrochemical industry is at a turning point, with new policies aimed at preventing excessive competition and improving profitability [22] - The capital expenditure ratios in the refining and chemical sectors are showing a trend towards conservatism, indicating a strategic shift among companies [23] - The anticipated recovery in the petrochemical sector is supported by both geopolitical factors and the broader commodity market dynamics, suggesting a favorable outlook for industry leaders [24][25]