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钢铁行业周度更新报告:淡季维持累库趋势,但库存处于历史低位-20260209
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 01:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [2]. Core Views - Demand is expected to gradually bottom out, and supply-side adjustments are beginning to show, indicating a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, leading to a quicker industry upturn [4]. - The report highlights that approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, but market-driven supply adjustments are starting to occur, suggesting a gradual recovery in the steel sector [5]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Last week, the apparent consumption of five major steel products was 7.607 million tons, a decrease of 5.12% week-on-week but an increase of 32.12% year-on-year. Rebar consumption was 1.476 million tons, down 16.3% week-on-week, but up 143.03% year-on-year [16]. - The total steel inventory reached 13.3775 million tons, an increase of 4.63% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [5]. - The average gross profit for rebar was 159.5 CNY/ton, down 37.4 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit was 19.5 CNY/ton, down 27.4 CNY/ton [5][33]. Raw Materials - Iron ore spot prices decreased, with the price for PB powder (61.5% iron content) at 766 CNY/ton, down 26 CNY/ton week-on-week. The main iron ore futures price fell by 31 CNY/ton to 760.5 CNY/ton, a decline of 3.92% [42]. - Iron ore port inventory rose to 171.41 million tons, an increase of 0.7% week-on-week, with the average available days of imported iron ore for domestic steel companies increasing to 31 days, up 14.81% [45][48]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills increased to 79.53%, up 0.53 percentage points week-on-week, while the capacity utilization rate was 85.69%, up 0.22 percentage points [24]. - The total steel production last week was 8.199 million tons, a decrease of 3.27 million tons week-on-week [31]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, as well as low-cost and flexible steel companies like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [5].
钢材库存压力有限,重视阶段性回调的配置机会
Xinda Securities· 2026-02-08 09:04
Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is "Bullish" [2]. Report's Core View - The current inventory accumulation pressure of the five major steel products is relatively limited, with the overall inventory at a relatively low level in history and the inventory accumulation speed slower than in previous years. Coupled with the supply support formed by the potential slight contraction of local production capacity due to recent safety inspections, the steel inventory pressure is limited. Currently, the profit per ton of general steel is considerable. Against the backdrop of the industry's "anti - involution," the performance improvement space of general steel companies is large, and they are expected to experience value restoration. The steel sector is also expected to present an opportunity for allocation. Based on the judgment of the steel industry cycle, the steel sector has strong "anti - involution" attributes and a large profit restoration space. High - quality steel enterprises have excellent upward elasticity brought about by the gradual restoration of performance and the room for the sector's valuation to rise due to the improvement of the supply pattern. The sector still has medium - to - long - term strategic investment opportunities, so the "Bullish" rating for the industry is maintained [2][3]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. This Week's Performance of the Steel Sector and Individual Stocks - The steel sector fell 3.02% this week, underperforming the broader market. The CSI 300 fell 1.33% to 4643.60. The top three sectors in terms of gains and losses were food and beverage (4.44%), textile and apparel (2.23%), and banking (2.09%) [10]. - The special steel sector fell 2.10%, the long - product sector fell 1.88%, the plate sector fell 3.84%, the iron ore sector fell 1.74%, the steel consumables sector fell 3.02%, and the trade and distribution sector fell 4.006% [2][13][17]. - The top three stocks in the steel sector in terms of gains and losses were Boyun New Materials (9.79%), Dazhong Mining (5.92%), and Shengde Xintai (4.72%) [15]. 2. This Week's Core Data Supply - As of February 6, the daily average hot metal output was 228.58 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.60 million tons (0.26%) and a year - on - year increase of 0.06% [25]. - As of February 6, the blast furnace capacity utilization rate of sample steel enterprises was 85.7%, a week - on - week increase of 0.22 percentage points [25]. - As of February 6, the electric furnace capacity utilization rate of sample steel enterprises was 48.1%, a week - on - week decrease of 7.59 percentage points [25]. - As of February 6, the output of the five major steel products was 720.8 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.55 million tons (0.21%) [25]. Demand - As of February 6, the consumption of the five major steel products was 760.7 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 41.08 million tons (5.12%) [35]. - As of February 6, the trading volume of construction steel by mainstream trading companies was 3.5 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 3.25 million tons (48.24%) [35]. - As of February 1, 2026, the commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 1.655 million square meters, a week - on - week increase of 226,000 square meters [35]. - As of February 8, the net financing amount of local government special bonds was 1.0851 trillion yuan, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 121.74% [35]. Inventory - As of February 6, the social inventory of the five major steel products was 940.4 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 49.68 million tons (5.58%) and a year - on - year decrease of 18.04% [43]. - As of February 6, the in - plant inventory of the five major steel products was 397.3 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 9.56 million tons (2.47%) and a year - on - year decrease of 24.13% [43]. Steel Prices - As of February 6, the general steel composite index was 3414.2 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 13.31 yuan/ton (0.39%) and a year - on - year decrease of 5.51% [49]. - As of February 6, the special steel composite index was 6582.0 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 2.28 yuan/ton (0.03%) and a year - on - year decrease of 2.88% [49]. Steel Mill Profits - As of January 30, the national average hot metal cost was 2396 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 12.0 yuan/ton [57]. - As of February 6, the profit per ton of construction steel electric furnace at normal electricity price was - 76 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 4.0 yuan/ton (5.00%) [57]. - As of February 6, the profit per ton of blast furnace for rebar was 65 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 14.0 yuan/ton (27.45%) [57]. - As of February 6, the profitability rate of 247 steel enterprises was 39.39%, unchanged from the previous week [57]. Futures - Spot Basis - As of February 6, the spot basis of hot - rolled coils was - 1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 17.0 yuan/ton [65]. - As of February 6, the spot basis of rebar was 143 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 21.0 yuan/ton [65]. - As of February 6, the spot basis of coke was - 117 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 18.0 yuan/ton [65]. - As of February 6, the spot basis of coking coal was 73.5 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 21.5 yuan/ton [65]. - As of February 6, the spot basis of iron ore was 4.5 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 2.0 yuan/ton [65]. Raw Materials: Price & Profit - As of February 6, the spot price index of Australian powder ore in Rizhao Port (62% Fe) was 764 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 29.0 yuan/ton [74]. - As of February 5, the ex - warehouse price of main coking coal in Jingtang Port was 1700 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 80.0 yuan/ton [74]. - As of February 6, the ex - factory price of first - grade metallurgical coke was 1770 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous week [74]. - As of February 6, the average profit per ton of coke for independent coking enterprises was - 10 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 45.0 yuan/ton [74]. - As of February 6, the price difference between hot metal and scrap steel was 66.3 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 51.9 yuan/ton [74]. 3. Valuation Table and Key Announcements of Listed Companies Valuation Table of Listed Companies - The table shows the closing prices, net profits attributable to parent companies, EPS, and P/E ratios of multiple listed steel companies from 2024 to 2027 [75]. Key Announcements of Listed Companies - Youfa Group plans to invest in establishing a wholly - owned subsidiary, Guangdong Youfa Pipe Industry Technology Co., Ltd., with a registered capital of 500 million yuan [76]. - Hainan Mining is planning to acquire the control rights of Luoyang Fengrui Fluorine Industry Co., Ltd. through the issuance of shares and payment of cash and raise supporting funds. The company's stock has been suspended since January 29, 2026, with an expected suspension time of no more than 10 trading days [76]. - Hualing Steel has repurchased 56,023,339 shares as of January 31, 2026, accounting for 0.8109% of the total share capital, with a total transaction amount of 278,597,423.90 yuan [78]. - Anyang Iron and Steel expects a loss of about 460 million yuan in 2025, with a year - on - year reduction of about 85.94% in the loss amount. The net profit after deducting non - recurring gains and losses is expected to be about - 748 million yuan, with a year - on - year reduction of about 77.44% in the loss amount [78]. 4. This Week's Important Industry News - The new - home transactions in 10 major cities increased by 26.8% week - on - week, indicating a warming of real estate demand and having a marginal boost to the demand for construction steel [79]. - Indonesia has suspended the spot coal export due to the government's production cut plan, which may affect China's coal supply and be negative for steel prices [79]. - As of February 2, 23 listed steel companies have released their 2025 performance forecasts, with 12 in profit and 11 in loss [79]. - In January 2026, the sales volume of excavators in China was 18,708 units, a year - on - year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales increasing by 61.4% and exports increasing by 40.5% [79].
抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司关于更换要约收购事项持续督导财务顾问主办人的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-02-06 22:49
股票代码:600399 股票简称:抚顺特钢 编号:临 2026-006 公司于2026年2月6日收到申万宏源承销保荐发来的《关于更换宁波梅山保税港区锦程沙洲股权投资有限 公司要约收购抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司项目持续督导财务顾问主办人的函》,原财务顾问主办人陶华玲 女士因工作变动无法继续履行持续督导职责,申万宏源承销保荐现已委派包成江先生(简历附后)接替 相关工作,继续履行持续督导职责。本次变更后,该项目的财务顾问主办人为包成江先生、王志超先 生。 本次财务顾问主办人的更换不会对持续督导工作的质量和进度 产生影响。申万宏源承销保荐财务顾问 团队将继续严格按照《上市公司收购管理办法》等相关法律法规的要求,认真履行财务顾问职责,确保 持续督导工作的连续性和有效性。 抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司关于更换要约收购事项持续督导财务顾问主办人的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏, 并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 申万宏源证券承销保荐有限责任公司(以下简称"申万宏源承销保荐")原指定陶华玲女士、王志超先生 作为宁波梅山保税港区锦程沙洲股权投资有限公司 ...
抚顺特钢:关于更换要约收购事项持续督导财务顾问主办人的公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-06 12:42
Group 1 - Fushun Special Steel announced the receipt of an underwriting and sponsorship letter from Shenwan Hongyuan [2] - The previous financial advisor, Tao Hualing, has left due to job changes, and Bao Chengjiang will take over [2] - Bao Chengjiang will jointly fulfill the continuous supervision responsibilities for the acquisition project of Ningbo Meishan Free Trade Port Zone Jincheng Shazhou Equity Investment Co., Ltd. with Wang Zhichao [2]
抚顺特钢(600399) - 抚顺特钢:关于更换要约收购事项持续督导财务顾问主办人的公告
2026-02-06 07:46
股票代码:600399 股票简称:抚顺特钢 编号:临 2026-006 抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司 关于更换要约收购事项持续督导 抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司董事会 二〇二六年二月七日 附件:财务顾问简历 包成江先生,硕士研究生学历,2022 年起从事投资银行工作, 曾参与中源技术新三板挂牌等项目。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,没 有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 申万宏源证券承销保荐有限责任公司(以下简称"申万宏源承销 保荐")原指定陶华玲女士、王志超先生作为宁波梅山保税港区锦程 沙洲股权投资有限公司要约收购抚顺特殊钢股份有限公司(以下简称 "公司")项目持续督导财务顾问主办人。 公司于 2026 年 2 月 6 日收到申万宏源承销保荐发来的《关于更 换宁波梅山保税港区锦程沙洲股权投资有限公司要约收购抚顺特殊 钢股份有限公司项目持续督导财务顾问主办人的函》,原财务顾问主 办人陶华玲女士因工作变动无法继续履行持续督导职责,申万宏源承 销保荐现已委派包成江先生(简历附后)接替相关工作,继续履行持 续督导职责。本次变更后,该项目的财务顾问主 ...
抚顺特钢股价涨5.2%,华夏基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有857.5万股浮盈赚取282.98万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 02:50
Group 1 - Fushun Special Steel Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.2%, reaching 6.68 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 233 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.82%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 13.174 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on June 7, 1999, and listed on December 29, 2000, is located in Fushun City, Liaoning Province, and its main business includes steel smelting, steel rolling processing, metallurgical technology services, and industrial gas manufacturing and sales [1] - The revenue composition of Fushun Special Steel is as follows: alloy structural steel 27.18%, stainless steel 24.74%, tool steel 20.20%, high-temperature alloy 18.86%, and others 9.02% [1] Group 2 - Huaxia Fund has a fund that ranks among the top ten circulating shareholders of Fushun Special Steel, specifically the Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF (159845), which newly entered the top ten in the third quarter with 8.575 million shares, accounting for 0.43% of circulating shares [2] - The Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF has a latest scale of 49.908 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 4.95%, ranking 1616 out of 5562 in its category, and a one-year return of 38.01%, ranking 1760 out of 4285 [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF is Zhao Zongting, who has been in the position for 8 years and 295 days, managing a total fund asset size of 356.966 billion CNY [3] - During Zhao Zongting's tenure, the best fund return achieved was 124.19%, while the worst return was -32.63% [3]
钢铁行业周度更新报告:25Q4板块预披业绩总亏约119亿
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 13:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, facilitating a quicker industry upturn [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Steel prices have decreased, with the Shanghai rebar price dropping by 20 CNY/ton to 3240 CNY/ton, a decline of 0.61%. The total inventory of steel has increased by 1.70% to 12.7851 million tons [8][12]. - Apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.0174 million tons, down 0.96% week-on-week but up 28.96% year-on-year [21]. - The production of five major steel products was 8.2317 million tons, an increase of 0.44% week-on-week [12][37]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply clearance is beginning to occur [4]. - The construction sector's demand for steel is expected to stabilize, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is projected to grow steadily [4]. Profitability and Production Margins - The average gross profit for rebar was 196.9 CNY/ton, down 11.7 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit increased by 2.3 CNY/ton to 46.9 CNY/ton [39]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 39.39%, a decrease of 1.3% from the previous week [28]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [4].
特钢板块1月30日跌0.16%,抚顺特钢领跌,主力资金净流出1.96亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-01-30 08:54
Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.17% on January 30, with Fushun Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 16.42, up 3.27% with a trading volume of 326,800 shares and a turnover of 531 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.48, up 1.09% with a trading volume of 760,700 shares and a turnover of 494 million yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (6652009) closed at 6.54, down 4.11% with a trading volume of 1,332,900 shares and a turnover of 867.1 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 196 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 159 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks includes: - Fangda Special Steel had a net inflow of 19.57 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - CITIC Special Steel experienced a net outflow of 21.09 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Shagang Co. (002075) had a net outflow of 5.42 million yuan from institutional investors [3]
特钢板块1月29日跌0.39%,常宝股份领跌,主力资金净流出8216.83万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-01-29 09:03
Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.39% on January 29, with Changbao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the special steel sector include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 15.90, up 1.47% with a trading volume of 265,300 shares and a turnover of 419 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.41, up 0.94% with a trading volume of 678,000 shares and a turnover of 439 million yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) closed at 6.82, up 0.44% with a trading volume of 1,043,200 shares and a turnover of 721 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.82, down 4.01% with a trading volume of 541,800 shares and a turnover of 546 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 82.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 84.75 million yuan [2] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks includes: - CITIC Special Steel had a net inflow of 47.09 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Changbao Co. experienced a net outflow of 21.95 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 50 million yuan to Changbao Co. [3]
特钢板块1月28日涨1.53%,久立特材领涨,主力资金净流出2397.71万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-01-28 08:56
Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.53% on January 28, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 35.43, up 7.36% with a trading volume of 206,200 shares and a transaction value of 698 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 5.52, up 2.99% [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) at 6.35, up 2.25% [1] - Xining Special Steel (600117) at 2.98, up 1.36% [1] - Conversely, Changbao Co. (002478) and Jinzou Pipeline (002443) saw declines of 0.87% and 1.11%, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 23.98 million from institutional investors and 18.07 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 42.05 million [2] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks indicates that Jiuli Special Materials had a net inflow of 21.80 million from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks with significant net inflows include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel with 14.52 million [3] - Fangda Special Steel with 12.80 million [3] - Notably, Xining Special Steel had a net inflow of 6.99 million from institutional investors [3]