Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 0.76% on January 20, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 31.29, up 3.95% with a trading volume of 192,200 shares and a turnover of 592 million yuan [1] - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 16.17, up 1.89% with a trading volume of 173,400 shares and a turnover of 277 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Shengde Zhengtai (300881) up 1.44%, Fangda Special Steel (600507) up 1.34%, and Changbao Co. (002478) up 0.74% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 226 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 176 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Jiuli Special Materials had a net inflow of 11.90 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 22.80 million yuan from retail investors [3] - CITIC Special Steel saw a net inflow of 6.90 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 12.14 million yuan [3] - Changbao Co. had a net outflow of 15.77 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 15.09 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [3][4]. - The report highlights that despite a long period of micro-profitability in the industry, market-driven supply adjustments have begun, and if supply policies are implemented, the pace of supply contraction may accelerate [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - The apparent consumption of the five major steel products was 8.2612 million tons, a decrease of 1.77% week-on-week but an increase of 4.33% year-on-year [6]. - The total steel inventory was 12.47 million tons, down 0.55% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [6]. - The average profit margin for rebar was 199.4 CNY/ton, down 15.2 CNY/ton from the previous week [6]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The production of five major steel products was 8.192 million tons, a slight increase of 0.08% week-on-week [6]. - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills was 78.84%, down 0.47 percentage points from the previous week [6][29]. - The capacity utilization rate for these mills was 85.48%, down 0.56 percentage points week-on-week [6][29]. Raw Material Prices - Iron ore spot prices remained unchanged, while futures prices decreased by 0.31% to 812 CNY/ton [48]. - The port inventory of iron ore rose to 165.55 million tons, an increase of 1.72% [52]. - The total shipment volume from major iron ore producers decreased, with Brazil's shipments down 7.37% and Australia's down 2.29% [53][61]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hesteel, as well as those with competitive advantages like CITIC Special Steel and Yongjin Materials [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [6]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [3][4]. - The report highlights that despite a long period of micro-profitability in the industry, market-driven supply adjustments have begun, which could accelerate the industry's upward progress if supply policies are implemented [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.2612 million tons, a decrease of 1.77% week-on-week but an increase of 4.33% year-on-year [6][20]. - Total steel inventory was 12.47 million tons, down 0.55% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [6][12]. - The average profit margin for rebar was 199.4 CNY/ton, down 15.2 CNY/ton from the previous week [6][41]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills was 78.84%, a decrease of 0.47 percentage points from the previous week [6][29]. - The capacity utilization rate for these mills was 85.48%, down 0.56 percentage points week-on-week [6][29]. - The total steel production was 8.1921 million tons, a slight increase of 0.08% week-on-week [6][40]. Raw Materials - Iron ore inventory at ports reached 165.55 million tons, an increase of 1.72% week-on-week, marking a historical high [6][52]. - The spot price of iron ore remained unchanged, while futures prices decreased slightly [6][48]. - The total shipment volume of the four major iron ore producers decreased, with Brazil's shipments down 7.37% and Australia's down 2.29% [6][53][61]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [6]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [6].

Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 1.74% on January 19, with Jinzhou Pipeline leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jinzhou Pipeline (002443) closed at 9.35, up 7.72% with a trading volume of 451,900 shares and a turnover of 417 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.48, up 5.80% with a trading volume of 636,300 shares and a turnover of 601 million yuan [1] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) closed at 38.27, up 5.17% with a trading volume of 45,000 shares and a turnover of 171 million yuan [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 30.10, up 4.33% with a trading volume of 159,300 shares and a turnover of 476 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 5.95, up 2.41% with a trading volume of 273,200 shares and a turnover of 161 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 128 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 78.89 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow for Fangda Special Steel (600507) showed a net inflow of 16.76 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) had a net inflow of 14.64 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 16.98 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Economic Information - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Transsion, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts, with Xiaomi and OPPO reducing by over 20%, vivo by nearly 15%, and Transsion to below 70 million units [2] - Silver prices have surged over 50% in one month and over 150% in six months, impacting the photovoltaic industry, which consumes a significant amount of silver. The cost of raw materials for solar cells has increased by nearly 20% due to rising silver prices [2] - The company Xibei is expected to incur cumulative losses exceeding 600 million yuan from September 2025 to March 2026, leading to the closure of 102 stores, accounting for 30% of its total outlets [2] Company Alerts - Shenghong Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 260%-295% year-on-year for 2025, although Q4 performance fell short of expectations [4] - Cambridge Technology expects a net profit increase of 51%-67% year-on-year for 2025, with Q4 results also below expectations [4] - Multiple companies, including Weimait and Youyan Silicon, have announced plans to reduce their shareholdings by up to 4.98% and 3% respectively [4][11] Overseas Alerts - The three major U.S. stock indices collectively declined last Friday, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index dropping by 1.15%. Notable declines were seen in Chinese stocks such as Alibaba and JD.com [5] - The European Union is considering imposing tariffs on U.S. goods worth 93 billion euros in response to U.S. tariffs on eight European countries, which could take effect on February 6 if no agreement is reached [5]

Core Viewpoint - Fushun Special Steel (600399.SH) expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of the listed company in 2025, projected to be between 870 million and 770 million yuan, indicating a decline in performance compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a significant loss for the fiscal year 2025, with estimates ranging from 870 million yuan to 770 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - Su Dawei Ge's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to invest in a fund focusing on semiconductor, new energy, AI, and aerospace sectors, contributing 20 million yuan for a 10.2302% stake [2] - Shimao Energy terminates plans for a change in control after failing to reach consensus on key terms, with stock resuming trading on January 19 [3] - Huatian Hotel's controlling shareholder is planning a merger and restructuring, potentially changing the actual controller to the Hunan Provincial State-owned Cultural Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4] Group 2 - Jinpu Titanium's subsidiary Xuzhou Titanium will cease production due to intensified market competition, which is expected to significantly impact revenue in 2026 [5] - Dingxin Communications' deputy general manager is under investigation by the CSRC for suspected short-term trading of company stock, but it will not affect the company's operations [6] - Xinhang New Materials plans to acquire 51% of Hairete for 12.8826 million yuan to explore new growth points [7] Group 3 - Hualan Co.'s controlling shareholder raises the upper limit of its share buyback plan from 58.08 yuan to 86.66 yuan per share [8] - Wanhua Chemical's MDI Phase II facility has resumed normal production after maintenance [9] - Junsheng Electronics introduces a strategic investor, with a 1 billion yuan investment aimed at reducing overall debt [10] Group 4 - Jiangbolong announces five shareholders plan to transfer 3% of the company's shares through a pricing inquiry [11] - Haitai Technology expects a net profit increase of 226.86% to 323.97% in 2025, driven by high industry demand and increased orders [13] - Northern Rare Earth anticipates a net profit increase of 116.67% to 134.6% in 2025 due to successful market expansion [14] Group 5 - Lanke Technology forecasts a net profit increase of 52.29% to 66.46% in 2025, benefiting from the AI industry trend [15] - Keda expects a net profit increase of 52.21% to 67.43% in 2025, driven by growth in data center and new energy sectors [16] - Cambridge Technology predicts a net profit increase of 51% to 67% in 2025, supported by strong demand in core business areas [17] Group 6 - China Electric Research anticipates a net profit of 533 million yuan in 2025, a 14.04% increase year-on-year [18] - China Automotive Research expects a net profit of 1.06 billion yuan in 2025, a 17.85% increase year-on-year [19] - Zhongcheng Co. forecasts a net profit of 276 million to 414 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a previous loss [20] Group 7 - Junda Co. expects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.5 billion yuan in 2025, worsening from a previous loss of 591 million yuan [21] - Guangdian Network anticipates a net loss of 1.29 billion to 1.55 billion yuan in 2025, attributed to declining traditional business revenue [22] - Jiugang Hongxing predicts a net loss of approximately 1.879 billion yuan in 2025, an improvement from a previous loss of 2.617 billion yuan [23] Group 8 - Jinbo Co. expects a net loss of around 1.4 billion yuan in 2025, worsening from a previous loss of 815 million yuan [24] - Dongjiang Environmental anticipates a net loss of 1.05 billion to 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, due to ongoing industry adjustments [25] - Daqing Energy forecasts a net loss of 1 billion to 1.3 billion yuan in 2025, despite improvements in production costs [26] Group 9 - Dongzhu Ecology expects a net loss of 935 million to 1.135 billion yuan in 2025, impacted by macroeconomic factors [27] - Weiyuan Co. anticipates a net loss of 950 million to 1.05 billion yuan in 2025, turning from profit to loss [28] - Huanghe Xuanfeng predicts a net loss of 850 million yuan in 2025, an improvement from a previous loss of 983 million yuan [29] Group 10 - Fushun Special Steel expects a net loss of 770 million to 870 million yuan in 2025, turning from profit to loss [30] - China First Heavy Industries anticipates a net loss of 310 million to 460 million yuan in 2025, significantly reducing losses compared to the previous year [31] - Jishi Media forecasts a net loss of 364 million to 455 million yuan in 2025, with overall revenue expected to remain stable [33] Group 11 - Guangxi Energy expects a net loss of 170 million to 220 million yuan in 2025, turning from profit to loss [34] - Baike Bio anticipates a net loss of 220 million to 280 million yuan in 2025, turning from profit to loss due to declining vaccine sales [35] - Zhongtai Auto expects to remain in a loss position for 2025, with a projected positive net asset value by year-end [36] Group 12 - Nasda anticipates a loss for 2025 due to significant asset sales and industry policy adjustments [37] - Rongsheng Development expects to report a loss for 2025, with the amount not exceeding the previous year's audited net assets [38] Group 13 - China National Materials signs a contract worth 299 million Canadian dollars for engineering services in Canada [40] - Dayu Water-saving's subsidiary wins a project worth 133 million yuan for water source guarantee engineering [41] - Hailu Heavy Industry reports new orders totaling 1.941 billion yuan for 2025 [42]

Group 1 - Xianghe Industrial signed a contract worth 43.1041 million yuan with China Railway 15th Bureau, accounting for approximately 6.5% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [1] - Dayu Water-saving's subsidiary won a bid for a project valued at 133 million yuan, with a construction period of 545 days [2] - China National Materials International's subsidiary signed a contract worth 299 million Canadian dollars for engineering design and procurement services [3] Group 2 - Baoland expects a net loss of approximately 75 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 58.7224 million yuan in the previous year [4] - Changhong High-tech received an administrative regulatory decision due to inadequate internal controls and improper revenue recognition [5] - Debon Stock will be suspended from trading on January 21, 2026, pending a decision on its delisting [6] Group 3 - Haitai Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 226.86% to 323.97% for 2025, with an expected profit of 51.5 million to 66.8 million yuan [7] - Fushun Special Steel expects a net loss of 770 million to 870 million yuan for 2025, compared to a profit of 112 million yuan in the previous year [8] - Rejing Bio forecasts a net loss of 210 million to 230 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 191 million yuan in the previous year [10] Group 4 - Sanyou Chemical expects a net profit of approximately 91 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of about 82% compared to the previous year [11] - Lianhuan Pharmaceutical received approval for clinical trials of a new drug for benign prostatic hyperplasia [12] - Samsung New Materials anticipates a net loss for 2025, indicating a decline in operational performance [13] Group 5 - Jinggong Technology expects a net profit increase of 36.1% to 70.13% for 2025, with an estimated profit of 200 million to 250 million yuan [14] - Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical's subsidiary signed a licensing agreement for the production and commercialization of RAY1225 injection, with total payments expected to reach 1 billion yuan [15] - Hengshuai shares saw a reduction of 600,000 convertible bonds held by its controlling shareholder [16] Group 6 - Buchang Pharmaceutical plans to repurchase shares worth 60 million to 120 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans [17] - Baike Bio expects a net loss of 220 million to 280 million yuan for 2025, marking a shift from profit to loss [18] - Weishi Electronics anticipates a net profit decrease of 53.27% to 61.61% for 2025, with expected profits of 21.49 million to 26.16 million yuan [19] Group 7 - China Automotive Research expects a net profit increase of 17.85% for 2025, with a projected profit of 1.06 billion yuan [20] - Hualan Biological's controlling shareholder raised the upper limit of its shareholding plan to 86.66 yuan per share [22] - Nasda anticipates a net loss for 2025, indicating a decline in financial performance [23] Group 8 - Haizheng Pharmaceutical received a warning letter from the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Commission for financial data inaccuracies [24] - Mengguli received an administrative regulatory decision for accounting errors in its financial reports [25] - Zhongguancun's subsidiary received acceptance for a drug application for a heart-related treatment [26] Group 9 - Hosheng Silicon Industry was ordered to correct information disclosure violations by the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Commission [27] - Meiteng Technology expects a net profit decrease of 22.4551 million to 28.5285 million yuan for 2025, a reduction of 55.21% to 70.14% [28] - Sanwei Co. received a warning letter for financial irregularities related to related party transactions [29] Group 10 - Ganyue Expressway expects a net profit increase of 3.18% for 2025, with a projected profit of 1.32 billion yuan [30] - Xinhang New Materials plans to acquire 51% of Hairete for 12.8826 million yuan [31] - China Software anticipates a net loss of 41 million to 49 million yuan for 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [32] Group 11 - Rongsheng Development expects a net loss for 2025, with losses not exceeding the previous year's audited net assets [33] - Northern Rare Earth anticipates a net profit increase of 117% to 135% for 2025, with expected profits of 2.176 billion to 2.356 billion yuan [34] - Energy-saving Wind Power received renewable energy subsidies totaling 1.507 billion yuan, a 122.74% increase from the previous year [35] Group 12 - Dongzhu Ecology expects a net loss of 935 million to 1.135 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 630 million yuan in the previous year [36] - Jingneng Real Estate anticipates a net loss of 986 million to 1.315 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 109 million yuan in the previous year [37] - Hailu Heavy Industry signed new orders worth 1.941 billion yuan for 2025, with total orders on hand amounting to 3.597 billion yuan [38] Group 13 - Dalian Thermal Power expects a net loss of 92 million to 112 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 146 million yuan in the previous year [39] - Jiangsu Sop expects a net profit decrease of 52.99% to 62.4% for 2025, with profits projected between 8 million to 10 million yuan [40] - Lian Technology plans to initiate preparations for issuing H-shares and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [42] Group 14 - Zhenyang Development expects a net profit decrease of 58.13% to 64.94% for 2025, with profits projected between 67 million to 80 million yuan [43] - Sheneng Co. reported a 1.7% decrease in power generation for 2025, with total generation of 57.654 billion kWh [44] - XGIMI Technology's subsidiary received a development notification from a well-known domestic automotive manufacturer [45] Group 15 - Wanhua Chemical's MDI Phase II facility resumed production after maintenance [46] - Daqing Energy expects a net loss of 1 billion to 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, with a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [47]

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 1.26% on January 16, with Fushun Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4101.91, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14281.08, down 0.18% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Xianglou New Materials (301160) rose by 2.18% to a closing price of 72.33, with a trading volume of 32,600 and a transaction value of 235 million [1] - Taigang Stainless Steel (000825) fell by 2.23% to 5.25, with a trading volume of 1,352,600 and a transaction value of 720 million [1] - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318) decreased by 2.27% to 28.85, with a trading volume of 110,400 and a transaction value of 322 million [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 260 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 177 million [2] - The main funds' net inflow and outflow for specific stocks included: - Xianglou New Materials had a net inflow of 15.28 million from main funds [3] - Jiu Li Special Materials experienced a net outflow of 20.14 million from main funds [3] - Sand Steel Co. (002075) had a net outflow of 15.15 million from main funds [3]

Group 1 - The company Fushun Special Steel expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company to be between -870 million yuan and -770 million yuan for the year 2025, indicating a loss compared to the same period last year [1] - The main reasons for the performance change include a decline in both product orders and sales prices due to market demand, significantly impacting performance [1] - New projects are gradually being put into production, but actual output is lower than expected due to the steel industry's market environment, leading to a substantial increase in fixed costs per unit of product [1] - To meet the industry's demand for quality improvement and development, the company has raised its product quality control and requirements, resulting in increased quality costs [1]