Core Insights - The China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Index has seen a slight decline of 0.13% as of October 22, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" was released on October 20, 2025, at the International Wind Energy Conference, setting ambitious targets for wind power installation during the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans [3] Group 1: Market Performance - The top-performing stocks include PetroChina Oilfield Services, which rose by 10.00%, and China Nuclear Engineering, which increased by 4.10% [3] - The recent trading volume for the National Modern Energy ETF was 161.57 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.62% [3] - Over the past year, the National Modern Energy ETF has seen an average daily trading volume of 615.35 million yuan [3] Group 2: Policy Changes - Starting November 1, 2025, the 50% VAT refund policy for onshore wind power will be canceled, while the policy for offshore wind power will continue until the end of 2027 [4] - The cancellation of tax incentives for onshore wind power is expected to impact net profits by approximately 19%, creating short-term pressure on profitability [4] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for the wind power industry remains robust due to China's commitment to its "dual carbon" strategy [4] - The wind power supply chain is anticipated to enter a recovery phase, with a focus on leading turbine manufacturers and offshore expansion [4] - The "Two Seas" strategy for wind power equipment is expected to enhance market share and overall profitability for companies in the sector [4] Group 4: Index Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Changjiang Electric Power and China Nuclear Power, accounting for 47.72% of the index [6]

Summary of Earnings Preview for China Utilities Sector Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Utilities** sector, specifically highlighting the **Power, Renewables, and Power Grid** industries in the Asia Pacific region - The overall industry view is considered **Attractive** [4][6] Key Insights - **3Q25 Earnings Expectations**: - Continued margin recovery is anticipated for wind component and submarine cable players - Polysilicon earnings may see upside risks - Solar module producers are expected to maintain flat or show mild decline in losses quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) [1][6] - **Coal Prices and Power Tariffs**: - A slight weakening in unit profit is expected due to a small rise in coal prices and a persistently soft power tariff [6][8] - **Sector Performance**: - Wind sector is expected to see a sector-wide gross profit (GP) margin recovery, primarily driven by submarine cables with a favorable product mix in 3Q25 - Wind Turbine Generator (WTG) Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) may experience a more muted recovery [6][8] Company-Specific Highlights - **CGN Power Co., Ltd (1816.HK)**: - On-grid power generation decreased by 3% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25 due to longer outage times - Estimated net profit of approximately **Rmb2.6 billion**, down 6% YoY [8][10] - **China Longyuan Power Group (0916.HK)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb937 million** in 3Q25, down from **Rmb1,542 million** in 2Q25 - Net profit for 9M25 expected to be **Rmb4.5 billion**, down 22% YoY [8][10] - **Huaneng Power International Inc. (0902.HK)**: - Estimated net profit of **Rmb4.1 billion**, up approximately 38% YoY but down 5% QoQ - Unit fuel cost expected to decline by **Rmb0.036/kWh** (12% YoY) [8][10] - **Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. (600522.SS)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb1.03 billion** for 3Q25, up 21.1% YoY and 9.6% QoQ [8][10] - **Goldwind (2208.HK)**: - Expected net profit of **Rmb953 million**, representing a 135.1% YoY increase [10][10] - **Tongwei Co. Ltd. (600438.SS)**: - Forecasted net loss of **Rmb2.2-2.4 billion** in 3Q25, with improvements in polysilicon business due to price rebounds [10][10] - **LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. Ltd. (601012.SS)**: - Expected loss of **Rmb1.0-1.3 billion** in 3Q25, with slight declines in wafer and module shipments [10][10] Additional Observations - **Polysilicon Players**: Potential earnings surprises are anticipated due to increases in shipments and average selling prices (ASP) in 3Q25 [6][8] - **Demand Outlook**: Weaker demand is expected in 4Q25 compared to 3Q25, particularly for solar products [6][8] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings preview for the China Utilities sector, highlighting both the overall industry outlook and specific company forecasts.

Group 1 - The China Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index has risen by 1.50%, with significant increases in constituent stocks such as PetroChina Oilfield Services up by 10.05% and China Railway Construction Heavy Industry up by 7.14% [3] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF (515900) has increased by 1.53%, with a latest price of 1.59 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.23% over the past month, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [3] - The trading volume of the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF was 587.53 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.17% [3] Group 2 - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.55 billion to 6.15 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 104.30% to 126.39% [4] - China CNR Corporation plans to hold a board meeting on October 30 to consider and approve its performance for the first three quarters, having signed significant contracts totaling approximately 54.34 billion yuan, which is about 22% of its expected revenue for 2024 [4] - The average daily trading volume of the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF over the past year was 20.23 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [4] Group 3 - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index evaluates the innovation and profitability quality of listed central enterprises, selecting 100 representative companies to reflect the overall performance of innovative central enterprises [5] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include China Shipbuilding, Hikvision, and China Southern Power Grid, accounting for 36.04% of the total index weight [5] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF has seen a significant increase in scale, growing by 13.42 million yuan over the past three months, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [4][5]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective rise in the three major indices, with significant increases in sectors such as energy equipment, electrical grid, and power generation equipment as of October 21 [1] - The only electrical grid equipment ETF (159326) rose by 2.14%, with a trading volume of 34.37 million yuan, and key stocks like China Electric Power and Siyuan Electric hitting the daily limit [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission issued a plan to enhance electric vehicle charging infrastructure, emphasizing the upgrade of distribution networks to accommodate charging facilities [1] Group 2 - The electrical grid equipment ETF (159326) tracks the CSI Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors like transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation, and distribution equipment [2] - The ETF has a high weight of 63% in ultra-high voltage components, the highest in the market, and includes leading companies such as Guodian NARI, TBEA, and Siyuan Electric among its top ten holdings [2]

Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission and five other departments have issued an action plan to double the service capacity of electric vehicle charging facilities by 2027, aiming to establish 28 million charging facilities nationwide and provide over 300 million kilowatts of public charging capacity to meet the demand of over 80 million electric vehicles [1][3]. Charging Infrastructure Goals - By the end of 2027, the plan sets specific targets for urban, highway, and rural charging networks, including the addition of 1.6 million DC charging guns in cities, 40,000 high-power charging guns on highways, and at least 14,000 DC charging guns in rural areas [3]. - The initiative also promotes a "unified construction and service" model for residential areas, aiming to establish 1,000 pilot communities to enhance private charging pile access and safety management [3]. Current Market Performance - As of August 2025, China has added 4.53 million charging piles, with a total of 17.348 million charging facilities, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 53.5% [5]. - Public charging facilities have reached 4.316 million, showing a 37.8% increase, while private charging facilities have grown by 59.6% to 13.032 million [5]. Key Companies in the Industry - **Teruid**: Leading in both charging operation and equipment manufacturing, with over 790,000 public charging terminals and a market share of 24%. Projected net profit for 2024 is 917 million yuan, expected to reach 1.577 billion yuan by 2026 [6]. - **State Grid Corporation's NARI Technology**: A subsidiary of the State Grid, it has built over 2,000 standardized charging stations and is a key player in setting international charging standards. Projected net profit for 2024 is 7.6 billion yuan, increasing to 9.4 billion yuan by 2026 [7][8]. - **Green Energy Huichong**: A leader in high-power DC charging machines, holding a 22% market share in the electric heavy truck fast charging market [9]. - **Yonggui Electric**: The first in China to achieve mass production of liquid-cooled charging guns, leading in technology and entering the supply chain of major automotive manufacturers [11][12]. - **Shenghong Co., Ltd.**: Engaged in the production of liquid-cooled supercharging piles and expanding its integrated light-storage charging systems into overseas markets [14].

Industry Developments - The National Energy Administration has issued opinions to promote high-quality development of coal washing and selection, aiming for improved coal selection facilities and increased raw coal selection rates by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The world's largest clean energy corridor, consisting of six hydropower stations along the Yangtze River, has surpassed a cumulative power generation of 4 trillion kilowatt-hours, with a significant contribution to grid stability during peak electricity demand [2] - The Jiangsu Provincial Development and Reform Commission has released an implementation plan for market-oriented pricing reforms in renewable energy, effective from January 1, 2026, which will require all renewable energy projects to enter the electricity market [3] Company News - The Erzhou Huahu Airport has utilized over 81 million kilowatt-hours of green energy since its operation, significantly reducing coal consumption and carbon emissions, showcasing its leadership in green energy usage [4] - Shandong Weiqiao Group has connected to the national grid, ending its previous isolated operation and establishing a new model for integrating self-supplied power plants with public green electricity consumption [6] - The National Energy Group's Dadu River Shaping First Hydropower Station has officially commenced operations, marking a significant milestone in Sichuan Province's key construction projects during the 14th Five-Year Plan [8]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: China Utilities, Renewables & Power Grid [2][3] - **Key Trends**: Rapid deployment of renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar, with annual installations projected at 200 to 300 GW [2][4] Core Insights 1. **Renewable Energy Deployment**: - Wind and solar installations are expected to reach 200-300 GW annually, with cumulative installations surpassing 3,000 GW by 2030 [4][2] - Offshore wind is anticipated to have the best growth prospects due to higher utilization hours and government support [4][2] 2. **Energy Storage Systems (ESS)**: - Strong growth in energy storage systems and pumped storage, with a combined CAGR of 20% projected until 2030 [2][8] - The power regulation capacity gap for renewable energy is estimated to reach 700 million kW by 2030, necessitating increased ESS deployment [8][5] 3. **Grid Investments**: - Continued investment in grid infrastructure is essential for integrating renewable energy, with UHV (Ultra High Voltage) capex expected to rise from RMB 380 billion per annum during the 14th FYP to RMB 500-600 billion during the 15th FYP [9][2] - Distribution grid automation is projected to grow at a CAGR of 15% due to increased capacity from distributed renewable projects [9][2] 4. **Thermal Power Outlook**: - Capacity charges for thermal power plants are expected to increase from 30% to 70% of fixed costs by 2030, while their role in peak shaving will diminish [10][2] - Thermal plants will generate more revenue from ancillary services, potentially offsetting lower utilization rates [10][2] 5. **Green Power Trading**: - Anticipated policy reforms may lead to green certificates covering all renewable power by the end of 2025, with prices expected to rise from RMB 5-6 to RMB 50 per certificate [11][2] - Green power trading volume is projected to reach 1.5 trillion kWh by 2030, growing at a CAGR of over 30% [11][2] Investment Recommendations - **Top Picks**: - Daqo (DQ US), GCL Tech (3800 HK), Orient Cable (603606 CH), Nari (600406 CH), and Huaming (002270 CH) are rated Overweight (OW) [2][12] - A long/short pair strategy is recommended with Longyuan (916 HK, OW) and Huaneng (902 HK, Underweight) [12][2] Additional Insights - **Catalyst-Rich Environment**: The period leading up to mid-2026 is expected to be rich in catalysts for policy discussions, which could positively impact the renewable energy sector [3][2] - **Technological Advancements**: Innovations in offshore wind technology, such as larger turbines and flexible DC cable transmission, are expected to enhance project returns [4][2] Conclusion - The renewable energy sector in China is poised for significant growth driven by government support, technological advancements, and increasing demand for energy storage solutions. Investment opportunities are abundant, particularly in companies aligned with these trends.

Core Viewpoint - The balcony photovoltaic market in China is expected to see significant growth starting in 2025, driven by major companies entering the space and changing market dynamics due to new policies and consumer demand for energy solutions [2][4][9]. Industry Overview - Several leading companies, including Skyworth Photovoltaics, Zhejiang Chint, and Trina Solar, have launched balcony photovoltaic products since July 2025, indicating a shift in focus from traditional rooftop solar to more accessible solutions for consumers [2][3]. - The introduction of the "136 Document" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration has prompted a need for new business models in the renewable energy sector, as traditional pricing mechanisms have changed [2][3]. Market Dynamics - The expected installation volume for balcony photovoltaic systems is projected to rise from approximately 1,000 units in 2024 to 10,000 units in 2025, and further to 100,000 units by 2026, indicating a transition from niche to mass market [4]. - The domestic market is primarily targeting small and medium-sized commercial users, such as street shops and restaurants, rather than residential consumers, which contrasts with the European market [11][12]. Consumer Insights - The typical consumer demographic for balcony photovoltaic systems in China is middle-class individuals aged 30-55, focusing on household electricity needs [7]. - The initial investment for a balcony photovoltaic system is around several thousand yuan, with a payback period of approximately three years based on current electricity prices [12][13]. Competitive Landscape - Companies are exploring flexible payment options, such as installment plans and leasing services, to make these systems more accessible to consumers [13][15]. - The integration of balcony photovoltaic products into existing home appliance distribution channels is being pursued, with companies like Midea and Haier entering the market with their own offerings [16][17]. Regulatory Environment - Despite the introduction of a mechanism price system, profitability for photovoltaic projects remains uncertain in some provinces, as evidenced by recent bidding results in Gansu Province [3][8]. - The Zhejiang Provincial Development and Reform Commission has proposed a new time-of-use pricing policy, which could further influence the demand for balcony photovoltaic systems [9][10].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][45] Core Viewpoints - As of October 16, 2025, the power equipment industry has seen a decline of 2.84% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.36 percentage points, ranking 26th among 31 industries [4][11] - The cumulative installed capacity of new energy storage in China is expected to reach over 180GW by 2027 and 300GW by 2030, with the industry chain and supply chain output value projected to reach 2-3 trillion yuan by 2030 [34][39] - The global energy storage market is anticipated to maintain strong growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of approximately 730GW/1950GWh by the end of 2030 [34][39] Summary by Sections Market Review - The power equipment sector has increased by 39.62% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 22.25 percentage points, ranking 4th among 31 industries [4][11] - The wind power equipment sector increased by 0.07%, the photovoltaic equipment sector by 1.14%, and the grid equipment sector by 5.76% in the last two weeks [16][17] Valuation and Industry Data - As of October 16, 2025, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the power equipment sector is 34.67 times, with sub-sectors showing varying PE ratios: electric motors at 62.87 times, photovoltaic equipment at 26.89 times, and battery sector at 35.51 times [22][23] Industry News - In the first nine months of 2025, China's new energy storage overseas orders totaled 214.7GWh, a year-on-year increase of 131.75%, with over 30GWh in September alone [34][39] - The National Energy Administration has emphasized the importance of user-side network security management to prevent power outages caused by user-side issues [34][35] Company Announcements - Several companies reported significant changes in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with notable increases for companies like Jinko Technology and Tongda Co., while others like Shida Shenghua reported substantial losses [36][37] Weekly Perspective on Power Equipment Sector - The report suggests focusing on leading storage companies benefiting from the booming storage industry, emphasizing technological and scale advantages [39][40]

Core Insights - Central enterprises in China are actively participating in the energy transition, contributing to the construction of a green energy network that spans the country, thereby promoting a shift towards a cleaner and low-carbon energy structure [1][4][10] Group 1: Green Energy Projects - The "Ningdian into Xiang" project has successfully transmitted over 900 million kilowatt-hours of green electricity to Hunan as of September 25, 2023, with an annual capacity of over 36 billion kilowatt-hours [2][4] - The Huaneng Longdong Energy Base is set to begin operations in October 2023, enhancing Shandong's power receiving capacity to 38 million kilowatts [3] - The China Three Gorges Corporation's clean energy corridor has generated 32.595 billion kilowatt-hours in July 2023 alone, sufficient to meet the electricity needs of the entire population of China for about seven days [3] Group 2: Technological Innovations - The successful installation of a 26-megawatt offshore wind turbine by Dongfang Electric Group marks a significant advancement in high-end equipment manufacturing, setting new records for wind turbine capacity and rotor diameter [5][6] - China Baowu's development of laser-etched silicon steel could save 90 billion kilowatt-hours annually if applied to existing transformers, equivalent to the output of a Three Gorges power station [7] - The digital control system upgrade at the Daya Bay Nuclear Power Base has achieved a "zero defect" operation, enhancing nuclear safety [7] Group 3: Impact on Society - The establishment of 15,700 charging stations by the Southern Power Grid has enabled comprehensive coverage in rural areas, facilitating the use of electric vehicles [10] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation is contributing over 54 million kilowatt-hours of clean energy annually to Weizhou Island through a multi-energy complementary approach [10] - The integration of photovoltaic power generation with livestock farming in the Hongyuan Yak Photovoltaic Power Station has generated 450 million kilowatt-hours, providing sustainable income opportunities for local herders [10]