Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector experienced a significant pullback on February 10, with the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF (515710) declining by 1.17% by the end of the trading day, primarily driven by substantial losses in the liquor segment, particularly among major brands like Guizhou Moutai and others [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF opened weakly and showed low-level fluctuations throughout the day, closing down 1.17% [1]. - Major liquor stocks such as Jiu Gui Jiu fell by 3.35%, while Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shede Liquor dropped over 2%, with Guizhou Moutai and Yanghe Co. also declining more than 1% [1][2]. Group 2: Upcoming Product Launch - The official announcement from "i Moutai" indicated that the 53-degree 500ml Guizhou Moutai liquor (Bingwu Year) will be available for sale from February 10 to February 16, with limited quantities [2][3]. - The product launch is strategically timed to capture gift-giving and collection demands during the Spring Festival, which is expected to boost direct sales and gross margins for Moutai [3]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - Analysts noted that the food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low in terms of valuation, making it an attractive time for investment [3]. - As of February 9, the price-to-earnings ratio for the Huabao ETF's underlying index was 20.85, placing it in the 11.55% percentile of the last decade, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Dongfang Securities suggested that the liquor channel may be at a turning point, with expectations of performance improvement in the upcoming quarterly reports, marking a potential investment window for the sector [4]. - Galaxy Securities projected that supply-demand dynamics across various sub-sectors will improve by 2026, with traditional consumption benefiting from a recovery in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [4]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF is positioned to track the sub-sector index, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to leading high-end and mid-range liquor brands, while the remaining 40% includes leaders in beverages, dairy, and condiments [5]. - Investors can also consider the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF linked funds for exposure to core assets in the food and beverage sector [5].

Group 1 - The liquor index experienced a decline of 2.02% during the trading session on February 10 [2] - Huangtai Liquor Company saw a drop of over 6% in its stock price [2] - Other companies such as Jinhui Liquor, Jiugui Liquor, Shede Liquor, and Luzhou Laojiao all reported declines exceeding 2% [2]

[Table_Title] 食品饮料行业 如何看白酒板块上涨持续性？ [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-08 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [Table_Page] 投资策略周报|食品饮料 [分析师： Table_Author]符蓉 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 02/25 04/25 07/25 09/25 11/25 02/26 食品饮料 沪深300 | SAC 执证号：S0260523120002 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | SFC CE No. BWC944 | 021-38003552 | | | furong@gf.com.cn | 分析师： | 周源 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040003 | fzzhouyuan@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，周源并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | [相关研究： Table_DocReport] | 食品饮料行业:金星啤酒"中式 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the liquor industry [5] Core Insights - The liquor industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with the "opening red" sales expected to remain under pressure year-on-year, while brand differentiation is evident. Positive feedback from high-end liquor is significantly boosting market confidence, and a shift in style and improved expectations may catalyze liquor stock prices [2][6] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The liquor market is experiencing a deep adjustment, with sales and revenue expected to decline throughout the year. However, there are signs of marginal improvement starting from Q4 2025, with high-end brands like Moutai and Wuliangye leading the market [6] High-End Liquor Performance - High-end liquor brands are showing resilience, with Moutai and Wuliangye implementing strategies to stabilize prices and enhance channel profits. Moutai's sales performance has improved, with significant user engagement and order volume [6][7] Stock Recommendations - The report recommends stocks with price elasticity, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as other brands like Shanxi Fenjiu and Yingjia Gongjiu, which are expected to clear inventory [6][7] Future Outlook - The liquor industry is believed to be at the bottom of its current cycle, with potential catalysts for stock prices including improvements in sales, price increases, and inventory reduction. Positive signals from policy changes could further enhance market sentiment [6][7]

Market Overview - On February 6, the market opened low but rebounded before closing lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.33%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.73% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.15 trillion yuan, a decrease of 30.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2,700 stocks rose while more than 2,500 stocks fell [1] Sector Performance - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Cangzhou Dahua, Jinniu Chemical, Baichuan Co., and Baihehua hitting the daily limit [1] - The solid-state battery concept experienced fluctuations, with Kosen Technology and Dingsheng New Materials also reaching the daily limit [1] - The humanoid robot concept was active, with stocks such as Wuzhou Xinchun, Liancheng Precision, and Tianqi Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - Oil and gas stocks rebounded, with Zhuan Oil Co. reaching the daily limit [1] Declining Sectors - The consumer sector collectively declined, with the liquor and tourism hotel sectors experiencing significant drops, including Huangtai Liquor hitting the daily limit down [3] - The AI application sector weakened, with Zhejiang Wenlian hitting the daily limit down [3] Historical Market Trends - Historical data suggests that the market typically experiences a period of speculation before the Spring Festival, with investors who correctly anticipate trends in sectors like humanoid robots often seeing substantial gains [5] - According to Huaxi Securities, the market has been in a state of declining volume since the end of January, indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment among investors [6] - The market typically enters an adjustment phase two weeks before the Spring Festival, followed by a recovery phase in the last week before the holiday, where sectors with growth potential like electronics and pharmaceuticals lead the rebound [6]

Group 1 - The stock of Huangtai Liquor Industry has hit the daily limit down, indicating significant market distress [1] - Shede Liquor, Jiugui Liquor, and Jinhui Liquor have all seen declines exceeding 3%, reflecting a broader downturn in the sector [1] - Other companies such as Gujing Gongjiu, Jinzizijiu, Jinshiyuan, and Shui Jing Fang have also experienced declines, suggesting a widespread negative sentiment in the liquor industry [1]

证券日报网讯2月5日，舍得酒业（600702）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司会在定期报告中披 露对应时点的股东人数，敬请关注公司定期报告。如您是公司股东，需要了解其它时点的股东人数，可 通过公司投资者热线电话(0825-6618269)联系查询。 ...

证券日报网讯2月5日，舍得酒业（600702）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司高度重视发展内驱 力，持续推进财务信息化和智能化建设，通过打造全链路营销运营体系，不断推进数智化升级，努力形 成"多品牌营销矩阵+产供销协同+业数财一体化"的数字化体系支撑。 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic marketing campaign by Shede Liquor for the Spring Festival, focusing on emotional connections and social interactions through the creative short film "Shede Expresses Heartfelt Intent" [1][2][3] Group 1: Marketing Strategy - Shede Liquor launched a creative short film featuring hosts Li Jing and Dai Jun to address the challenges of expressing gratitude and emotions during the Spring Festival, positioning the brand as the ideal choice for heartfelt gifts [2][3] - The marketing campaign emphasizes the theme of "expressing heartfelt intent" and includes interactive elements such as a live-streaming event with the hosts, enhancing consumer engagement and driving sales [4][6] Group 2: Emotional Engagement - The short film portrays Shede Liquor as a "voice of heartfelt intent," connecting with various social scenarios such as company gatherings and family reunions, thereby deepening the association of the brand with genuine emotions [3][9] - By leveraging the familiarity of the hosts and their long-standing friendship, the campaign effectively bridges the gap between the brand and consumers, making the concept of "heartfelt intent" more relatable and tangible [3][9] Group 3: Integrated Marketing Approach - The campaign utilizes a comprehensive marketing strategy that includes online challenges and offline promotions, creating a seamless connection between digital engagement and physical retail experiences [8][9] - Shede Liquor's initiatives include partnerships with restaurants for promotional events and targeted offerings for corporate clients, enhancing brand visibility and sales during the festive season [9]

Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector experienced a significant increase, with a 2.82% rise on February 4, led by *ST Rock, while the overall market indices also showed positive movement [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - The liquor sector's main stocks showed varied performance, with *ST Rock leading the gains at 4.57% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the liquor sector included: - *ST Rock: Closed at 2.06, up 4.57%, with a trading volume of 156,700 shares and a turnover of 31.19 million yuan [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu: Closed at 180.58, up 3.57%, with a trading volume of 149,200 shares and a turnover of 2.669 billion yuan [1] - Kweichow Moutai: Closed at 1525.00, up 3.40%, with a trading volume of 109,100 shares and a turnover of 16.444 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks included Jiu Gui Jiu, Hai Zhou Lao Jiao, and Ying Jia Gong Jiu, all showing positive gains [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The liquor sector saw a net inflow of 2.346 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 626 million yuan [2] - The main funds' net inflow for Kweichow Moutai was 1.489 billion yuan, while it faced a net outflow of 1.488 billion yuan from speculative funds [3] - Other stocks like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu also experienced significant net inflows from main funds, indicating strong institutional interest [3]