2月4日，银行低开高走，全天走强，个股集体拉升，截至收盘，A股42只银行股近九成涨逾1%，宁波 银行、厦门银行涨超3%，青岛银行、齐鲁银行涨超2%，常熟银行、杭州银行、招商银行等涨幅居前。 | | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 002142 | 宁波银行 | | 31.70 | | | | 2 | 601187 | 厦门银行 | | 7.21 | 0.22 | 3.15% | | 3 | 002948 | 青岛银行 | | 5.52 | 0.15 | 2.79% | | 4 | 601665 | 齐鲁银行 | m | 5.76 | 0.12 | 2.13% | | 5 | 601128 | 常熟銀行 | | 7.26 | 0.14 | 1.97% | | 6 | 600908 | 元锡银行 | | 5.88 | 0.11 | 1.91% | | | 600926 | 杭州银行 | Ma | 16.14 | 0.30 | 1.89% | | 8 | 601009 | 南京银行 | | ...

Group 1 - The city commercial bank sector increased by 1.9% on February 4, with Ningbo Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - Key individual stock performances included Ningbo Bank at 31.70 with a rise of 3.26%, Xiamen Bank at 7.21 with a rise of 3.15%, and Qingdao Bank at 5.52 with a rise of 2.79% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the city commercial bank sector was 128 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 67.65 million yuan [1] - The table of fund flows indicated that Ningbo Bank had a main fund net inflow of 1.15 billion yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 1.34 billion yuan [2] - Jiangsu Bank had a main fund net inflow of 38.95 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 73.94 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - As the Spring Festival approaches, the demand for cash increases, leading to heightened cash security risks. Jiangsu Bank's Beijing Andingmen Branch is actively promoting anti-counterfeiting knowledge to strengthen financial security for citizens during the holiday season [1]. Group 1: Anti-Counterfeiting Initiatives - The branch utilizes its lobby as a central area for anti-counterfeiting education, displaying warning slogans on LED screens and providing brochures and manuals in waiting areas and at counters [1]. - Special seminars are organized for vulnerable groups, such as the elderly, to explain the anti-counterfeiting features of the Renminbi and the rules for exchanging damaged currency, enhancing their ability to identify counterfeit money [1]. - A promotional team is formed to visit local communities and businesses, explaining key anti-counterfeiting points and analyzing typical cases to raise awareness [1]. Group 2: Community Engagement and Services - The branch has established a green channel for small change exchange for merchants, reinforcing anti-counterfeiting awareness while addressing practical needs [1]. - The outreach efforts cover a diverse range of groups, including in-store customers, community residents, and street merchants, ensuring that anti-counterfeiting knowledge is effectively communicated [1]. - Jiangsu Bank's Beijing Andingmen Branch aims to integrate anti-counterfeiting education into its regular operations, demonstrating the institution's commitment to financial safety and community service during the festive season [1].

Group 1 - A-shares of bank stocks collectively rose, with notable increases in stocks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, which rose over 2%, and several others including Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Qilu Bank, which rose over 1% [1] - Specific stock performance includes Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank increasing by 2.24% with a total market value of 72.7 billion, and Ningbo Bank rising by 1.76% with a market value of 206.3 billion [2] - The year-to-date performance shows significant variations, with Ningbo Bank up 11.21%, while Shanghai Bank down 7.03%, and Hu'nong Commercial Bank down 10.23% [2] Group 2 - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for these bank stocks [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive," indicating an expected overall return exceeding 5% above the CSI 300 index within the next six months [3][40]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the banking sector's performance is entering a recovery phase, with a focus on the stability of interest margins and the potential for improved asset quality as the economy recovers [7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strong capital positions and reliable dividend payouts for investment selection, recommending specific banks based on their financial health and market position [7]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index experienced changes of -0.44% and +0.08% respectively, while the banking sector index rose by 0.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points [10][11]. - Notable performances within the banking sector included increases in share prices for major state-owned banks such as Bank of China (+1.90%) and Agricultural Bank of China (+0.81%) [13][14]. Data Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 0.65, indicating a valuation at the 70.10 percentile over the past five years [6][19]. - The median dividend yield for individual stocks in the sector is 4.54%, which is 2.73 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year government bonds [6][19]. Industry Dynamics - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75%, reflecting a balanced approach to managing inflation and employment concerns [33][35]. - The China Banking Association has introduced guidelines for the collection of personal consumption loans, aiming to standardize practices and promote healthy industry development [37][39].

Group 1 - The insurance capital is increasingly active in equity market allocation due to a low interest rate environment and asset scarcity, participating in cornerstone investments in Hong Kong stocks and conducting research on A-share companies [1][5] - Since the beginning of 2026, insurance capital has participated in cornerstone placements for 7 Hong Kong stocks, with a total subscription amount nearing 1 billion yuan, covering sectors from technology to consumer [1][2] Group 2 - Insurance capital is becoming a core player in Hong Kong's IPO market, utilizing cornerstone investments as a strategy to achieve significant investment returns while establishing a clear long-term asset allocation path [2][9] - A notable example is the IPO of Hunan Mingming Henmang Commercial Chain Co., which raised 3.336 billion HKD, attracting major institutions like Tencent and Temasek, with a total subscription amount of 195 million USD [2][10] Group 3 - Taikang Life is leading the charge in this wave of insurance capital moving south, participating in multiple IPOs across various sectors, with individual subscription amounts ranging from 78 million HKD to 233 million HKD [3][11] - The synchronized investment strategy among insurance companies indicates a focus on optimizing asset allocation and value recovery, particularly as the Hong Kong market is at a historical valuation low [11][12] Group 4 - Since 2025, insurance capital has significantly increased its participation in Hong Kong IPO cornerstone investments, with 20 cases and a total subscription amount of 4.679 billion HKD, reflecting a favorable market return [12] - Future trends suggest that as global liquidity improves, insurance capital will continue to accelerate its investments in the Hong Kong market, capitalizing on the valuation discrepancies and enhancing overall portfolio returns [12] Group 5 - In addition to Hong Kong, insurance capital is actively investing in A-shares, with 713 A-share companies appearing in the top ten shareholders list, and a notable increase in research activity on 310 A-share companies [6][13] - The focus on consumer sectors, particularly in the pre-made food industry, is evident, with companies like Qianwei Yangchu achieving a revenue increase of 1% year-on-year [13][14]

人间烟火气，最抚凡人心，而餐饮消费正是民生烟火最直接的体现。1月31日，由江苏银行独家冠名， 江苏省商务厅联合省广电总台主办的"我是厨神"江苏味道冬季美食推广活动在南京国展中心圆满收官。 这场从泰州启幕、席卷江苏十三城的美食盛宴，自2025年12月6日启动以来，以市集、争霸赛、线上互 动等多元形式点燃全省消费热情，而作为活动总冠名商的江苏银行，不仅以美食赛道为切口，将金融服 务深度融入民生消费场景，更是用一场"金融+美食"的跨界联动，激活江苏"舌尖上的经济"。 十三城烟火遍地 金融服务嵌入民生消费现场 美食是融入百姓生活的最佳载体，也是金融服务贴近民生的最佳窗口。此次"我是厨神"活动，将十三场 美食集市与厨神争霸赛直接落地全省各地街巷。泰州早茶、徐州地锅、苏州糕团等地道苏味齐聚，让市 民在家门口就能打卡全省美食。而江苏银行则将金融服务台搬到了活动现场，化身市集里的"贴心服务 站"，在现场派发近百万元消费券，并邀请20余家本地企业设立主题展位，实现"苏味+苏品苏货"的消费 联动，让市民在逛吃之余享受到实打实的优惠。 打破传统金融服务的生硬植入模式，江苏银行在现场设置的"金融驿站"主打"自然融入"：工作人员化身 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 163 regional banks in Zhejiang Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][20] - The asset growth rate for major city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 9.4%, which is lower than the 14.2% growth rate of listed city commercial banks, while major rural commercial banks show an asset growth rate of 8.0%, exceeding the 6.7% growth rate of listed rural commercial banks [6][25] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 55.5% in 2024, an increase of 95 basis points year-on-year, while rural commercial banks will see a decrease to 59.3%, down 19 basis points [31] - Profitability metrics show that the average Return on Assets (ROA) for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 0.78%, slightly above the average of listed city commercial banks, while rural commercial banks have an average ROA of 0.82%, which is below the average of listed rural commercial banks [6][31] - The asset quality of regional banks in Zhejiang is reported to be better than that of listed banks, with non-performing loan ratios lower by 16 basis points for city commercial banks and 9 basis points for rural commercial banks compared to their listed counterparts [6][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: Economic Structure of Zhejiang Province - Zhejiang Province is focused on high-quality development and aims to become a model for common prosperity [13] - The province's GDP is heavily concentrated in cities like Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Wenzhou, with Hangzhou accounting for 24.3% of the total GDP in 2025 [15] Section 2: Overview of 163 Regional Banks - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural banks, and others, with a total of 163 banks in the region [20] - The distribution of registered capital among these banks is relatively balanced, with 63 banks having over 500 million yuan in registered capital [22] Section 3: Asset and Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city and rural commercial banks has been declining since 2019, with city banks showing a growth rate of 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [25] - The liability structure indicates that customer deposits account for 77.5% of liabilities for city commercial banks, which is higher than the 66.2% for listed city banks [44] Section 4: Profitability and Asset Quality - The average ROE for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 11.98%, slightly lower than the average of listed city banks [6][31] - The report highlights that the non-performing loan ratio for city commercial banks is lower than that of listed banks, indicating better asset quality [6][31]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601963 | 重庆银行 | 10.18 | -1.83% | 12.29万 | 1.25亿 | | 601838 | 成都银行 | 15.82 | -1.62% | 44.70万 | 7.10亿 | | 601665 | 齐鲁银行 | 5.64 | -1.57% | 74.37万 | 4.21亿 | | 601169 | 北京银行 | 5.28 | -1.31% | 196.28万 | 10.39亿 | | 601229 | 上海银行 | 9.27 | -1.28% | 53.77万 | 4.98亿 | | 601577 | 长沙银行 | 9.56 | -0.93% | 19.60万 | 1.87亿 | | 600928 | 西安银行 | 3.69 | -0.81% | 24.44万 | 9033.50万 | | 601997 | 贵阳银行 | 5.69 | -0.70% | 42.61万 | 2.43亿 | | 616009 | 江苏银行 | ...

行 业 研 究 银行 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 银行 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2026 年初银行存贷形势更新与展望 —行业深度报告》-2026.1.26 《规模高增&收益承压，"存款+基金" 成配置主线—理财登 2025 年报解读》 《企业信贷超季节性增长，信贷投放 前置趋势或延续 —行业点评报告》 -2026.1.16 2026 年净息差展望：筑底企稳 ——行业深度报告 刘呈祥（分析师） 朱晓云（分析师） liuchengxiang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790523060002 zhuxiaoyun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070010 理论估算 1.4%净息差支撑 6%左右的 RWA 增速 据我们测算，银行若保持 RWA 6%-7%的增速，理论净息差大约在 1.44%-1.57% 是底线水平，2025Q3 商业银行净息差为 1.42%，意味着银行资产扩张面临内生 资本补充的现实硬约束，"稳息差"仍然是 2026 年银行核心经 ...