Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Meta's performance in Q4 2025 and guidance for Q1 2023 exceeded expectations due to growth in AI and user engagement [1] - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates a positive outlook for Meta, highlighting its leading position in social media and AI, along with attractive valuation compared to other large tech companies [1] - Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 and the full year are projected to be $22.1 billion and $72.2 billion respectively, showing a continuous increase that raises concerns about insufficient AI progress in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Despite concerns over high capital expenditures, Meta's stock rebound and strong performance reflect its dominant position in the social media sector [1] - The combination of high Daily Active Users (DAP) with AI recommendations and content optimization is expected to support revenue growth, which will be sufficient to cover high capital expenditures and achieve recovery [1]

该行表示，公司今年门店扩张规划相对保守，焦点从门店扩张转向效率提升，限制了其在国内市场的实 体规模扩张空间。另外，北京SKP旗舰店年销售额已达30亿元，依赖销量驱动的同店增长上限正在不断 下降。公司当前的增长主要倚赖提价，而提价举措可能在执行后带来更长、更深的需求真空期。再者， 管理层策略性地将综合毛利率锚定在约40%以平衡需求，意味着毛利率扩张已没有超预期空间，盈利完 全取决于销量周转，使执行风险不断上升。 格隆汇1月30日｜招商证券国际发表研报，首予老铺黄金"减持"评级，目标价825.5港元。该行预期老铺 黄金2026年将出现转折，收入增长将由2025年的220%大幅回落至2026年预期的约30%。该行认为公司 营收目前主要依赖FOMO营销抢购，即消费者害怕错过机会、折扣或热门产品的心理，而非真正奢侈品 同行所具备的内生性销量增长。同时，公司盈利质量亦正在恶化。 ...

Core Insights - The brain-computer interface (BCI) technology is at a critical industrial turning point, transitioning from academic exploration to commercial application, driven by policy and demand [1][4] - The medical field is the primary battlefield for BCI applications, accounting for 56% of the market, while non-medical sectors such as consumer, industrial, and education represent a combined 44%, indicating strong expansion potential [2][3] Industry Overview - BCI technology enables direct communication between the brain and external devices, facilitating bidirectional interaction from neural signals to control commands. The technology is categorized into invasive, semi-invasive, and non-invasive methods, with no absolute superiority among them; suitability depends on specific applications [1][3] - The global BCI market is projected to grow from $1.98 billion in 2023 to $7.63 billion by 2029, with China's market expected to reach 1.73 billion yuan in 2023, increasing its global share to 12.5% [2] Development Challenges - The BCI industry faces several challenges, including balancing high-throughput, high signal-to-noise ratio signal acquisition with long-term biocompatibility, and the need for breakthroughs in decoding algorithms and adaptive control precision [3] - Clinical challenges include the need for large-scale trials to verify the long-term safety and efficacy of invasive products, as well as the maturity of indication definitions, surgical standardization, and postoperative management systems [3] Global and Domestic Progress - The global BCI industry ecosystem is rapidly developing, with leading companies like Neuralink and Synchron innovating in high-throughput flexible implants and vascular interventions to enhance brain signal acquisition and interaction systems [4] - In China, significant progress has been made in system integration and application implementation, with a diverse enterprise matrix represented by companies such as Strong Brain Technology (non-invasive), Borui Kang (semi-invasive), and Xinwei Medical (interventional) [4] Relevant Companies - Key players in the primary market include Strong Brain Technology, Borui Kang, Ladder Medical, and others; in the secondary market, upstream companies like Maipu Medical and Meihao Medical, midstream companies like Xinwei Medical-B and Xiangyu Medical, and downstream companies like Sanbo Neuroscience are notable [5]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of listed securities firms in 2025 is expected to show significant growth, with all 16 firms that have disclosed their earnings forecasts reporting positive results, driven by a recovery in the capital market and increased business activities in wealth management, asset management, and investment trading [1][5]. Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Zhongtai Securities expects a net profit of 1.312 billion to 1.5 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 40% to 60% year-on-year, attributed to a rebound in market activity and growth in various business segments [2]. - Huazhong Securities reported a total revenue of 5.064 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.94%, with a net profit of 2.104 billion yuan, up 41.64%, due to enhanced core business efforts and market opportunities [3]. - Guosheng Securities anticipates a net profit of 210 million to 280 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.44% to 67.25%, driven by increased revenues in brokerage, investment banking, and futures brokerage [4]. - Founder Securities forecasts a net profit of 3.86 billion to 4.08 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 75% to 85%, primarily due to growth in wealth management and subsidiary business revenues [4]. Group 2: Major Firms' Performance - CITIC Securities reported a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for the previous year, a year-on-year increase of 38.46%, maintaining steady growth despite a high base [6]. - Guotai Junan is expected to achieve a net profit of 27.533 billion to 28.006 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 111% to 115%, attributed to brand advantages and improved service systems post-merger [6]. - China Merchants Securities reported a net profit of 12.3 billion yuan, ranking third among the firms [7]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The securities industry is entering a golden period of dual recovery in valuation and performance, supported by a significant rebound in the capital market, with total trading volume exceeding 413.78 trillion yuan in 2025 [11]. - Analysts highlight three main pillars driving growth: resilience in traditional businesses, recovery in investment banking, and the transformation towards internationalization and wealth management [11]. - The current allocation of active funds in the non-bank sector remains significantly low, indicating potential for increased investment in the securities sector as market conditions improve [12].

本报记者 周尚伃 作为行业并购重组的标杆，国泰海通2025年预计实现归母净利润275.33亿元至280.06亿元，同比增长111%至115%；预计实 现归母扣非净利润210.53亿元至215.16亿元，同比增长69%至73%。业绩大幅增长的背后，2025年，国泰海通全面提升经营管理 水平，稳中求进、主动作为，平稳高效完成合并交易，有序推动整合融合，充分发挥合并后的品牌优势、规模效应和互补效 应，优化升级零售、机构、企业三大客户服务体系，以提升综合能力实现客户经营"增量扩面、提质增效"，资产规模及经营业 绩创历史新高，财富管理、机构与交易等业务收入同比显著增长，初步实现"1+1＞2"的效果。 从已披露的数据来看，2025年上市券商业绩整体向好，形成了头部券商稳中有进、重组标的爆发增长、中小券商突围发力 的多梯队协同发展格局，高质量发展成效逐步显现。 头部券商业绩稳中有进 2025年，头部券商的规模优势与综合竞争力进一步释放，业绩表现稳中有进。具体来看，中信证券全年实现营业收入748.3 亿元，同比增长28.75%；归母净利润300.51亿元，同比增长38.46%，刷新自身盈利纪录。招商证券与光大证券同样保持稳健 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in electronic prices is driven by a structural transformation due to explosive growth in the AI industry and rising upstream raw material costs, rather than simple cyclical fluctuations. The demand for AI is expected to continue growing rapidly, and under the backdrop of a weak dollar and resource nationalism, metal prices are likely to rise further, extending the electronic price surge into the end of this year and possibly early next year [1] Information Technology - By Q2 2025, memory prices are expected to reach a cyclical turning point due to production cuts by manufacturers and improved end-user demand. As major manufacturers shift capacity towards high-margin products like HBM, the supply of consumer-grade memory chips will continue to shrink, leading to an expanding supply-demand gap and rising prices. By the end of 2025, the rising costs of industrial metals and other raw materials will cause price increases to spread from memory chips to passive components, testing, packaging, and other segments of the entire industry chain, thereby increasing cost pressures on consumer electronics [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Index, and DXI Index have all risen this week, along with increases in DRAM and NAND memory prices. The three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of semiconductor manufacturing equipment shipments from Japan has narrowed, while the three-month rolling year-on-year decline in optical cable production has also narrowed. Panel prices have increased, and the three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of NB LCD shipments has expanded [2] Midstream Manufacturing - This week, prices for some positive electrode materials, lithium raw materials, and cobalt products have increased, while the prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate and DMC have decreased. The photovoltaic price index has risen, with prices for silicon materials increasing, while prices for silicon wafers and components have remained stable. The three-month rolling year-on-year decline in the production of packaging equipment has narrowed, and the three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate of metal forming machine tool production has also narrowed. The four-week rolling average of port cargo throughput and container throughput has increased year-on-year [3] Consumer Demand - Prices for fresh milk have risen, while the comprehensive price of sugar has decreased. Pork prices have increased, with the wholesale price of piglets remaining stable compared to last week, and the average price of live pigs has decreased. In terms of pig farming profits, both self-bred and purchased pig farming profits have increased. In the broiler farming sector, the price of broiler chicks has decreased. The vegetable price index has decreased, while the futures settlement price of corn has increased, and the futures settlement price of cotton has decreased. The ten-day average of box office revenue has increased, while the ten-day average of movie ticket prices has decreased [3] Resource Products - The ten-day average transaction volume of construction steel has decreased, while the prices of steel billets have remained stable and rebar prices have decreased. In terms of coal prices, the price of Qinhuangdao mixed power coal has decreased, while the price of Shanxi coking coal at Jingtang Port has increased. The futures settlement prices of coke and coking coal have both decreased. In terms of inventory, coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port has increased, while coking coal inventory at Jingtang Port has decreased, and coke inventory at Tianjin Port has increased. The national cement price index has decreased. Brent crude oil prices have increased, and the national chemical product price index has risen week-on-week, with chemical prices generally increasing, particularly for fuel oil and asphalt. This week, industrial metal prices have generally risen, with prices for copper, aluminum, zinc, tin, cobalt, and nickel increasing, while lead prices have decreased, and most inventories have risen. The prices of gold and silver in the spot and futures markets have increased [4] Financial Real Estate - The net injection in the money market has occurred. The turnover rate and daily transaction volume of A-shares have decreased. The land transaction premium rate has increased, while the transaction area of commercial housing has decreased. The number of second-hand houses listed for sale nationwide has decreased, while the listing price index has increased [4] Public Utilities - The ex-factory price of natural gas has increased. The year-on-year decline in the average daily power generation of key national power plants over a 12-week rolling period has narrowed [4]

Core Insights - The Chinese capital market is transitioning from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with the "financial power" goal and new "National Nine Articles" providing direction for high-quality development in the industry [1] - Investor wealth management needs have evolved from traditional short-term returns to a focus on deep industry analysis and long-term value, emphasizing risk-controlled certainty and comprehensive service [1] - China Merchants Securities is launching the "Investing in China - Entering Listed Companies" service brand in 2025 to address information barriers through in-depth industry research, embodying the "buy-side advisory" concept and serving the real economy [1] Group 1 - The service brand will conduct nine in-depth industry research events to help investors understand the real pulse of Chinese industries based on data logic [1] - The focus areas include semiconductor sensors, pharmaceutical CDMO services, green energy in photovoltaics, AI, healthcare, optical communication, rare earth permanent magnets, and new materials [1] - The initiative aims to provide investors with insights into "Chinese manufacturing" and deliver investment guidance that combines depth and foresight [1] Group 2 - The series of activities features "on-site visits + industry decoding" to create a direct communication bridge between investors and quality listed companies [3] - Activities include senior analysts leading tours, in-depth dialogues with company executives, and on-site exploration of production operations, meeting clients' needs for industry insights [3] - This approach enhances the professional depth of client services and conveys the warmth of wealth management [3] Group 3 - The nine industry visits serve as an upgrade in investment understanding and an expansion of industry perspectives for investors [5] - Investors reported that engaging with production lines and management teams transformed their understanding from financial data to a comprehensive grasp of industry logic and application scenarios [5] - This experience strengthens their recognition of the value and structure of the industry chain, turning abstract trends into concrete frameworks [5] Group 4 - Each visit allows investors to combine data support with on-site insights, deepening their understanding of corporate long-term value and responsibility [9] - The initiative exemplifies the mission of connecting capital with real value and aligns with the brand's commitment to customer value and serving the real economy [9] - The "Investing in China - Entering Listed Companies" initiative will continue to develop in the coming year, enhancing wealth and high-net-worth client services while supporting the high-quality development of the real economy [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Mingming Hen Mang (01768) is given a "strong buy" rating, with projected adjusted net profits of 2.52 billion, 3.39 billion, and 4.37 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [1] - Mingming Hen Mang is identified as a leading player in the domestic bulk snack market, with brands including "Snack Hen Mang" and "Zhao Yiming Snacks" [1] - As of November 30, 2025, the company is expected to have approximately 21,000 stores, with GMV, revenue, and adjusted net profit for the first three quarters of the previous year reaching 66.1 billion, 46.4 billion, and 1.81 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 73%, 75%, and 241% respectively [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the efficiency of the bulk snack channel is significantly ahead, and the company is expected to continue increasing its penetration rate while maintaining a rapid store opening pace [1] - The industry is witnessing a rapid concentration of market share towards leading companies, with the company having a high-quality team and leading capabilities in supply chain, warehousing, distribution, and branding [1] - Under the scale effect of the industry, it is anticipated that strong players will continue to thrive, leading to further market share gains and gradual profit release for the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities gives a "strong buy" rating for Mingming Busy (01768), projecting adjusted net profits of 2.52 billion, 3.39 billion, and 4.37 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Mingming Busy is a leading player in the domestic snack retail sector, operating two major brands: Snack Busy and Zhao Yiming Snacks [1] - As of November 30, 2025, the company is expected to have approximately 21,000 stores [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of the previous year, the company's GMV, revenue, and adjusted net profit reached 66.1 billion, 46.4 billion, and 1.81 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 73%, 75%, and 241% respectively [1] Group 3: Industry Position and Outlook - The efficiency of the snack retail channel is significantly ahead of competitors, with expectations for continued penetration and rapid store openings [1] - The industry is witnessing a concentration of market share towards leading companies, with Mingming Busy expected to enhance its market share and gradually release profits due to its superior team and supply chain capabilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Chinese brokerage stocks have generally risen, with several firms reporting positive earnings forecasts, indicating a strong performance outlook for the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of the report, China Galaxy (601881) increased by 4.49% to HKD 10.94, Everbright Securities (601788) rose by 3.4% to HKD 9.13, China Merchants Securities (600999) gained 3.41% to HKD 15.15, and CITIC Securities (600030) went up by 3.1% to HKD 29.9 [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Data shows that as of January 28, 21 brokerage firms that have disclosed earnings forecasts or preliminary reports expect a total net profit of CNY 107.58 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of nearly 60% [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan believes that the active trading environment and the recovery of investment banking and public asset management businesses confirm the high growth trend in brokerage earnings for 2025 [1] Group 3: Future Opportunities - By 2026, wealth management and international business are expected to provide opportunities for brokerages, while mergers and acquisitions will optimize competitive behavior and improve resource allocation efficiency [1] - Demand for derivative products is anticipated to unlock the leverage ceiling for brokerages [1]