Core Viewpoint - The A-share banking sector has experienced a significant decline of 5.8% year-to-date, contrasting with a 1.1% increase in H-share Chinese banks, indicating a divergence in market performance [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The banking sector's performance has been weak, ranking last among 35 industries in the Wind secondary industry classification [1] - Despite the overall downturn, certain banks like Qingdao Bank and Ningbo Bank have shown strong performance, with increases of 19.87% and 9.29% respectively in January [2] - The average dividend yield for A-share banks remains at approximately 4.5%, which is higher than the 0.5%-2.0% returns of various risk-free assets, making bank stocks attractive for long-term investors [3] Group 2: Fund Flow and Market Sentiment - Since October 2025, there has been a cautious approach from funds towards the banking sector, leading to a period of consolidation [5] - Significant outflows have been recorded, with estimates showing that around 10% of the trading volume has been affected by net outflows from bank-related ETFs, totaling approximately 9111 billion yuan [6] - Despite short-term pressures, there is a belief that the fundamentals of the banking sector are improving, as indicated by increased institutional interest in bank credit issuance [6][9] Group 3: Long-term Opportunities - The banking sector is expected to see internal differentiation, with regional banks like Qingdao Bank and Ningbo Bank performing well against the backdrop of overall sector weakness [7] - Analysts predict that Qingdao Bank will maintain double-digit profit growth in 2026, supported by strong loan issuance capabilities and stable asset quality [8] - The demand for high-dividend assets remains strong, with expectations that insurance funds will inject over 2 trillion yuan into the market in 2026, further supporting bank stocks [9][10] Group 4: Investment Strategies - The current market adjustment reflects short-term fund disturbances, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to improving fundamentals [9] - Institutions are focusing on banks with strong asset quality and those that are improving their cost of liabilities and non-interest income [10] - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from a stable dividend profile and recovery trading logic, especially as credit issuance continues to grow [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 163 regional banks in Zhejiang Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][20] - The asset growth rate for major city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 9.4%, which is lower than the 14.2% growth rate of listed city commercial banks, while major rural commercial banks show an asset growth rate of 8.0%, exceeding the 6.7% growth rate of listed rural commercial banks [6][25] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 55.5% in 2024, an increase of 95 basis points year-on-year, while rural commercial banks will see a decrease to 59.3%, down 19 basis points [31] - Profitability metrics show that the average Return on Assets (ROA) for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 0.78%, slightly above the average of listed city commercial banks, while rural commercial banks have an average ROA of 0.82%, which is below the average of listed rural commercial banks [6][31] - The asset quality of regional banks in Zhejiang is reported to be better than that of listed banks, with non-performing loan ratios lower by 16 basis points for city commercial banks and 9 basis points for rural commercial banks compared to their listed counterparts [6][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: Economic Structure of Zhejiang Province - Zhejiang Province is focused on high-quality development and aims to become a model for common prosperity [13] - The province's GDP is heavily concentrated in cities like Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Wenzhou, with Hangzhou accounting for 24.3% of the total GDP in 2025 [15] Section 2: Overview of 163 Regional Banks - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural banks, and others, with a total of 163 banks in the region [20] - The distribution of registered capital among these banks is relatively balanced, with 63 banks having over 500 million yuan in registered capital [22] Section 3: Asset and Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city and rural commercial banks has been declining since 2019, with city banks showing a growth rate of 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [25] - The liability structure indicates that customer deposits account for 77.5% of liabilities for city commercial banks, which is higher than the 66.2% for listed city banks [44] Section 4: Profitability and Asset Quality - The average ROE for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 11.98%, slightly lower than the average of listed city banks [6][31] - The report highlights that the non-performing loan ratio for city commercial banks is lower than that of listed banks, indicating better asset quality [6][31]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 1.13% on February 3, with the Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank leading the drop, while the overall Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.29% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw various individual stock performances, with notable declines in several banks, including Jiangyin Bank and Zhangjiagang Bank, both down by 0.88% [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The total trading volume for the agricultural commercial bank sector was significant, with the highest trading volume recorded for Qingnong Bank at 895,900 shares and a total transaction value of 274 million yuan [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 77.82 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 106 million yuan [1] Group 3: Individual Stock Analysis - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank had a net inflow of 32.1 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 18.46 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Changshu Bank also saw a net inflow of 23.19 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors withdrawing 10.73 million yuan [2] - Su Nong Bank had a net inflow of 15.3 million yuan from institutional investors, but a significant net outflow of 20.84 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Market Overview - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 1.94% on February 2, with the Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Key stocks in the agricultural commercial bank sector showed the following closing prices and changes: - Zijin Bank: 2.79, down 0.71% - Jiangyin Bank: 4.53, down 0.88% - Zhangjiagang Bank: 4.53, down 0.88% - Ruifeng Bank: 5.40, down 0.92% - Sunong Bank: 4.97, down 1.00% - Changshu Bank: 7.22, down 1.10% - Yuanxi Bank: 5.81, down 1.53% - Qingnong Bank: 3.08, down 1.91% - Yunnan Agricultural Bank: 6.33, down 2.31% - Shanghai Agricultural Bank: 8.36, down 2.68% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 115 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 52.86 million yuan [1] - The following table summarizes the capital flow for individual stocks: - Yunnan Agricultural Bank: 92.03 million yuan net inflow from main funds, -11.7 million yuan from retail funds - Shanghai Agricultural Bank: 32.16 million yuan net inflow from main funds, -22.14 million yuan from retail funds - Changshu Bank: 19.96 million yuan net inflow from main funds, -31.03 million yuan from retail funds - Sunong Bank: 5.13 million yuan net inflow from main funds, -14.29 million yuan from retail funds - Qingnong Bank: 3.28 million yuan net inflow from main funds, -18.58 million yuan from retail funds - Jiangyin Bank: -4.47 million yuan net outflow from main funds, -3.44 million yuan from retail funds - Wuxi Bank: -5.97 million yuan net outflow from main funds, 0.13 million yuan from retail funds - Ruifeng Bank: -7.41 million yuan net outflow from main funds, 1.42 million yuan from retail funds - Zhangjiagang Bank: -7.44 million yuan net outflow from main funds, 6.66 million yuan from retail funds - Zijin Bank: -12.72 million yuan net outflow from main funds, 3.51 million yuan from retail funds [2]

股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 战略投资者拟扩围，利好银行长期资本补充 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 本报告导读： 证监会拟扩大可参与定增的战略投资者类型，并明确最低持股比例要求，利好上市 银行长期资本补充、金融机构合作深化，以及银行理财多元资产投资转型。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《银行快报陆续披露，25A 业绩稳健增 长》2026.01.25 商业银行《全年增量 3.34 万亿元，公募基金配置 占比提升 2.1pct 至 5.1%》2026.01.25 商业银行《国有大行投放力度较大，不良压力或 企稳》2026.01.23 商业银行《主动基金环比持平，被动基金增持》 2026.01.23 商业银行《利息净收入增速转正，业绩延续改善 趋势》2026.01.19 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 行 银行周报（2026/1/26-2026/1/30） | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析 ...

Group 1 - The agricultural commercial bank sector increased by 2.37% on January 29, with Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Major stocks in the agricultural commercial bank sector showed varying performance, with Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank closing at 6.47, up 4.19% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the agricultural commercial bank sector was 67.54 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 44.49 million yuan [1] - The table of fund flows indicates that the main funds had a negative net flow in several banks, including Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Jiangyin Bank [2] - Retail investors showed a positive net flow in several banks, including Jiangyin Bank and Su Nong Bank, despite some negative flows in other banks [2]

个人大额存单是由常熟农商银行发行，面向个人客户的记账式大额存款凭证，是存款类金融产品，属一 般性存款。本次个人大额存单最小起存金额为20万元，额度有限。 2026年1月28日，常熟农商银行发布公告称，常熟农商银行将于2026年1月29日起发售常农2026年个人大 额存单。 具体内容请见附件。 ...

Core Insights - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a rise of 0.59% on January 28, with Changshu Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up by 0.09% [1] Agricultural Commercial Bank Sector Performance - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.34, with an increase of 2.23% and a trading volume of 733,900 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 537 million [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.52, up by 1.35%, with a trading volume of 333,700 shares and a transaction value of 150 million [1] - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.21, increasing by 0.98%, with a trading volume of 868,000 shares and a transaction value of 541 million [1] - Other banks such as Wuxi Bank (600908), Jiangyin Bank (002807), and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed modest gains [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 91.16 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 205 million [1] - Notable net inflows from individual stocks include Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) with 52.25 million from institutional investors and Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) with 13.01 million [2] - Conversely, Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) and Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) faced significant net outflows from retail investors, amounting to 88.16 million and 98.40 million respectively [2]

[Table_Page] 深度分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 一文纵览全国分省份财政社融特征 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （5）地方债务：2024 年所有省份狭义赤字率平均为 16.4%，广义赤 字率平均为 20.0%，处于 2010 年来偏低水平；债务率平均为 357.0%， 2016 年来持续上行。 [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-28 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 01/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | | 021-38003646 | | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 林虎 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | | 021-38003643 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.47% on January 27, with Ruifeng Bank leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing prices and changes for key rural commercial banks are as follows: - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.15, up 0.33% - Qingnong Bank (002958) closed at 3.13, unchanged - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.18, down 0.14% - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.51, down 0.44% - Sunong Bank (603323) closed at 4.98, down 0.60% - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.46, down 0.67% - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) closed at 8.32, down 0.95% - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 5.76, down 1.03% - Zijin Bank (601860) closed at 2.77, down 1.07% - Ruifeng Bank (601528) closed at 5.40, down 1.10% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 88.29 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 112 million yuan [1] - The capital flow for individual banks is as follows: - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) had a net inflow of 31.55 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 54.50 million yuan from retail investors - Changshu Bank (601128) had a net inflow of 21.64 million yuan from institutional investors and a net inflow of 1.10 million yuan from retail investors - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) had a net inflow of 18.99 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 2.01 million yuan from retail investors - Other banks like Jiangyin Bank (002807) and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed mixed capital flows [2]