国泰海通证券研报指出，中国中铁铜、钴、钼保有储量国内领先，铜、钼产能国内前列。2025年新签订 单增长1%，其中海外订单增长 17%。维持"增持"评级及目标价9.07元。假设2025 下半年中铁资源利润 与上半年相同，以全年51.6亿元计，按照紫金矿业和江西铜业平均估值24.6倍，公司矿产资源业务可比 市值1269亿元，公司总市值1432亿元，相当于建筑业务市值163亿元，建筑业务PE约0.8倍。2025新签订 单规模同比增加1.3%。境外业务同比增加16.5%。全面推进"人工智能+"专项行动，承建海南商业航天 发射场项目。 ...

国泰海通证券研报指出，中国中铁铜、钴、钼保有储量国内领先，铜、钼产能国内前列。2025年新签订 单增长1%，其中海外订单增长 17%。维持"增持"评级及目标价9.07元。假设2025 下半年中铁资源利润 与上半年相同，以全年51.6亿元计，按照紫金矿业和江西铜业平均估值24.6倍，公司矿产资源业务可比 市值1269亿元，公司总市值1432亿元，相当于建筑业务市值163亿元，建筑业务PE约0.8倍。2025新签订 单规模同比增加1.3%。境外业务同比增加16.5%。全面推进"人工智能+"专项行动，承建海南商业航天 发射场项目。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged to new highs since 2025, driven by a combination of industrial and financial demand, with silver's commodity attributes being stronger than those of gold [1][2] Group 1: Price Dynamics - The price of silver is more volatile than gold due to its stronger commodity attributes and broader industrial demand [2][3] - The historical relationship between gold and silver prices shows that they tend to move in sync, but silver's price is more elastic due to its financial attributes [2][3] - In the short term, financial attributes will amplify silver price fluctuations, influenced by speculative trading and market sentiment [4] Group 2: Demand Factors - Industrial demand is a core driver of silver prices, closely linked to global industrial cycles; increased demand during economic expansions supports higher prices [3] - Emerging industries such as photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and AI servers have created a structural and sustained increase in silver demand [3] - The global supply-demand gap for silver has been evident since 2020 and is expected to persist until 2025, providing a solid fundamental support for price increases [3] Group 3: Market Behavior - Speculative trading can lead to significant price volatility, with increased futures positions and ETF mechanisms contributing to market tightness [4] - The accumulation of silver in regions like India has reduced the available supply in the international market, exacerbating structural tensions in the spot market [4] - The recent surge in silver prices may lead to short-term overvaluation, necessitating caution regarding potential price corrections [4]

Group 1 - The National Equities Exchange and Quotations (NEEQ) announced the results of the market maker evaluation for Q4 2025, with 12 market makers receiving transaction fee exemptions for their outstanding performance [1] - Notable small and medium-sized brokerages are gaining a leading position in the competitive NEEQ market, with Northeast Securities, Kaiyuan Securities, and Shanghai Securities ranking in the top 5% and receiving full transaction fee exemptions [1] - The competitive landscape remained stable compared to Q3 2025, with Northeast Securities, Kaiyuan Securities, and Shanghai Securities maintaining their top positions, while Guotai Junan's ranking improved significantly [1] Group 2 - As of January 28, 59 brokerages are serving as market makers in the NEEQ, with Northeast Securities leading in the number of market-making stocks at 67 [2] - In Q4 2025, both Kaiyuan Securities and Northeast Securities achieved cumulative market-making transaction amounts exceeding 10 billion yuan, indicating strong trading activity [2] - The NEEQ market continues to expand, with 5,966 listed companies and a total share capital of 467.8 billion shares, providing ample business opportunities for brokerages [2] Group 3 - The growth in business demands from NEEQ companies, such as listings, supervision, and mergers, offers significant opportunities for brokerages, particularly smaller firms [3] - Brokerages can leverage the connection between NEEQ and the Beijing Stock Exchange to provide multi-tiered capital market services for technology-driven growth enterprises [3] - This strategy aims to enhance the market share and project quality of the Beijing Stock Exchange-related businesses, laying a foundation for sustained growth in investment banking performance [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [5]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector is expected to achieve a 47% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, with projected revenues of 586.8 billion yuan and a main revenue of 570.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 37% increase [1][3]. - The report highlights a trend of asset rebalancing between light and heavy assets within the brokerage sector, which is crucial for future performance [1]. - The investment environment for Q4 2025 is anticipated to be less favorable compared to the first three quarters of 2025, with a projected decline in investment income [2]. Revenue and Profit Projections - For 2025, the brokerage sector is projected to generate total revenues of 586.8 billion yuan, with a main revenue of 570.4 billion yuan, marking a 37% increase year-on-year [1][3]. - The expected net profit for 2025 is 217.7 billion yuan, representing a 47% increase year-on-year [1][3]. - In Q4 2025, the sector is expected to achieve revenues of 167.2 billion yuan, with a main revenue of 158.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 21% year-on-year increase [3]. Brokerage Business Performance - The average daily trading volume in the stock market for Q4 2025 is projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18% [2][6]. - The average daily margin trading balance is expected to reach 2.49 trillion yuan, showing a 40% year-on-year increase [2][6]. - New account openings on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in Q4 2025 are projected to be 7.288 million, a decrease of 37% year-on-year [2]. Investment Banking and Asset Management - The report indicates a recovery in equity business under low base conditions, with Q4 2025 IPO issuance expected to reach 54.9 billion yuan, a 165% increase year-on-year [2][6]. - The asset management business is projected to see a revenue increase of 25% year-on-year, with expected revenues of 14.5 billion yuan in Q4 2025 [2][6]. - The public fund market is expected to grow, with the non-money market fund size reaching 21.9 trillion yuan by the end of Q4 2025, a 16% increase year-on-year [2][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three investment themes: 1. Strong comprehensive capabilities of leading institutions such as Guotai Junan and GF Securities 2. Brokerages with significant earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities 3. Companies with strong international business capabilities, such as China Galaxy [5].

21世纪经济报道记者 孙永乐 正值A股年报预告披露期，一批上市券商密集"交卷"报喜。 1月28日下午，长城证券（002939.SZ）发布业绩预告，公司预计2025年1-12月业绩大幅上升，归母净利润为22.91亿至24.49亿元，净利润同比增长45.00%至 55.00%，预计基本每股收益为0.57至0.61元。 就在前一晚，国泰海通（601211.SH）、申万宏源（000166.SZ）、东方证券（600958.SH）、招商证券（600999.SH）、华西证券（002926.SZ）、红塔证券 （601236.SH），6家券商同步发布了2025年业绩预告或快报，全年归母净利润分别同比增长111%—115%、74.64%—93.83%、67.80%、18.43%、74.46%— 126.66%、59.05%。 同花顺iFinD数据显示，截至1月28日18时，A股已有13家上市券商披露2025年度业绩预告或快报，业绩集体实现高增，3家净利润同比增长10%—50%，7家 净利润同比增长50%—100%，3家净利润同比增长超过100%。 | | | | A股券商2025年业绩预告/快报一览 | | | | | --- ...

同花顺iFinD数据显示，截至1月28日18时，A股已有13家上市券商披露2025年度业绩预告或快报，业绩 集体实现高增，3家净利润同比增长10%—50%，7家净利润同比增长50%—100%，3家净利润同比增长 超过100%。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 1月28日下午，长城证券（002939.SZ）发布全年业绩预告，公司预计2025年1-12月业绩大幅上升，归母 净利润为22.91亿至24.49亿，净利润同比增长45.00%至55.00%，预计基本每股收益为0.57至0.61元。 就在前一晚，国泰海通（601211.SH）、申万宏源（000166.SZ）、东方证券（600958.SH）、招商证券 （600999.SH）、华西证券（002926.SZ）、红塔证券（601236.SH），这6家券商同步发布了2025年业绩 预告或快报，全年归母净利润分别同比增长111%—115%、74.64%—93.83%、67.80%、18.43%、74.46% —126.66%、59.05%。 ...

Performance Highlights - State Grid Yingda (600517.SH) expects a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.75 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 46.10% to 74.69%[3] - Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH) anticipates a net profit of 4.8 billion to 5.4 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 41.76% to 59.48%[4] - Shenzhen South Circuit (002916.SZ) projects a net profit of 3.154 billion to 3.342 billion CNY, with an increase of 68% to 78%[5] - Electric Investment and Financing (000958.SZ) forecasts a net profit of 3 billion to 3.5 billion CNY, a significant rise of 187.37% to 235.26%[6] - Oriental Securities (600958.SH) expects a net profit of 5.62 billion CNY, up 67.8% year-on-year[9] Industry Trends - AI and high-end manufacturing are driving growth, with companies like Shenzhen South Circuit and Huadian Electric benefiting from AI computing upgrades[47] - Resource prices are showing differentiation, with gold, tungsten, and lithium companies like Zhongjin Gold and Xiamen Tungsten experiencing performance recovery due to strategic resource demand[48] - The financial sector is witnessing a dual trend of stability and transformation, as seen in Oriental Securities and Guotai Junan's performance amid market activity[49] - The recovery in consumer and service industries is highlighted by Wanda Film's return to profitability, indicating a rebound in content and experiential consumption[50] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing significant differentiation, with companies like Chengdu Xian Dao achieving high growth through innovation, while others like Bichang Pharmaceutical face competitive pressures[51]

当日晚间，国泰海通同步披露了关于计提资产减值准备的公告。2025年10月至12月，公司合计计提资产 减值准备16.3亿元，本次减值准备计提并非公司业务经营发生不利变动，主要是由于公司完成合并重组 后新增租赁业务的常规计提，以及按照非同一控制下的企业合并会计准则计提信用减值准备所致。 租赁业务的盈利模式为控制风险、保证资产质量的同时，实现利差收入扣减各项费用以及计提的信用减 值准备后仍能产生盈利。基于租赁业务这一特点，以及非同一控制企业合并的会计处理影响，国泰海通 对长期应收款和应收融资租赁款进行了减值计提，减值金额未发生异常波动。（邓侃） 编辑：李一帆 初步实现"1+1>2"效果 公告显示，报告期内，国泰海通积极践行金融使命，主动服务国家重大战略，坚持稳中求进、主动作 为，平稳高效完成合并交易，有序推动整合融合，扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，全面提升经营管理水 平，初步实现"1+1>2"的效果，为加快打造一流投资银行奠定坚实基础。 2025年，国内资本市场活跃度与景气度上行，公司积极把握市场机遇，充分发挥合并后的品牌优势、规 模效应和互补效应，优化升级零售、机构、企业三大客户服务体系，以提升综合能力实现客户经营 ...

Core Insights - The 3D printing market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by both industrial and consumer sectors, with a projected global market size of $21.9 billion in 2024 and an expected CAGR of 18% until 2034 [2] - In China, the 3D printing industry market size is expected to reach 41.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 19.42% from 2020 to 2024 [1][2] Group 1: Market Overview - The characteristics of 3D printing, such as "moldless, waste reduction, and inventory reduction," make it widely applicable in various downstream fields including aerospace, medical, automotive, and consumer electronics [2] - The global 3D printing materials market is projected to reach $4.4 billion in 2024, with plastic materials accounting for $1.2 billion [3] Group 2: Consumer Market Dynamics - PLA is the preferred material for consumer-grade 3D printing due to its low melting point, plasticity, and environmental friendliness, accounting for over 65% of global FDM material consumption in 2023 [3] - The global consumer-grade 3D printing consumables market is expected to grow from $1 billion in 2024 to $4.4 billion by 2029, driven by increasing demand for PLA [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - In the industrial-grade market, overseas companies dominate, holding a 74% market share in 2024, while domestic companies are rapidly innovating and catching up [4] - The consumer-grade segment is seeing significant growth, with entry-level devices experiencing a 26% year-on-year increase in shipment volume in 2024, while other segments face pressure [4] - The top five companies in the consumer-grade market hold a combined market share of 78.6%, predominantly consisting of domestic firms, with TuoZhu Technology leading at 29% market share [4]