上证公告（基金）【2026】72号 为促进南方万国数据中心封闭式基础设施证券投资基金（以下简称万国REIT，基金代码:508060） 的市场流动性和平稳运行，根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上市基金做市 业务》等相关规定，本所同意兴业证券股份有限公司自2026年01月13日起为万国REIT提供一般做市服 务。 上海证券交易所 2026年01月12日 特此公告。 ...

Core Insights - The market has seen a significant surge, with 20 ETFs rising over 10% and 59 ETFs increasing over 8% on January 12, indicating strong investor confidence and market momentum [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09%, marking its 17th consecutive day of gains and reaching a new high not seen in over a decade [4] - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 3.6 trillion yuan, breaking the previous record set in October 2024, which reflects heightened trading activity and investor engagement [4] ETF Performance - The top-performing ETFs included the Morgan Science and Technology Innovation AI ETF, which rose by 16.59%, and the China Securities AI ETF, which increased by 13.19% [5] - Other notable ETFs that saw significant gains include the Growth Enterprise Market AI ETF by 10.12%, and the Software Leading ETF by 10.05% [5] - The performance of various sector-specific ETFs, such as those focused on aviation, media, and big data, indicates a broad-based rally across different industries [5] Market Trends - The breakthrough of key resistance levels in the Shanghai Composite Index and the substantial trading volume are seen as positive indicators for future market trends [5] - The current market conditions are expected to enhance participation from various market players, setting a solid foundation for the upcoming spring market rally [5]

格隆汇1月12日｜今天，沸腾了！全线爆发！A股17连阳，成交额刷新历史！ 上证指数收涨1.09%，17连阳，再度刷新逾10年新高。 沪深两市成交额3.6万亿元，连续第2个交易日突破3万亿元，较上一个交易日放量4787亿元，刷新此前在2024年10月8日创下的成交额历史纪录。 ETF大爆发！1月12日，20只ETF涨超10%，59只ETF涨超8%。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 1月12日涨幅% | 管理人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 588420 | 科创创业人工智能ETF摩根 | 16.59% | 摩根基金 | | 159243 | 创业板人工智能ETF招商 | 13.19% | 招商基金 | | 159107 | 创业板软件ETF富国 | 12.71% | 昌国音尖 | | 159256 | 创业板软件ETF华夏 | 11.29% | 走直直等 | | 159382 | 创业板人工智能ETF南方 | 10.12% | 南方基金 | | 159899 | 软件龙头ETF | 10.05% | 招商基金 | | 159852 | 软件E ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the macro narrative, particularly geopolitical narratives, is profoundly influencing financial market trends and logic [1][2] - The most significant narrative change is the transition from a unipolar system to a multipolar order [1][2] - The trend of multipolarity is not fully reflected in the prices of certain assets, presenting future investment opportunities [1][2] Group 2 - Emerging market stock markets have just begun to open up in terms of market capitalization and corporate profit potential [1][2] - In the long term, as the focus of production shifts and improves, the global revenue share of emerging market companies is expected to expand [1][2] - However, the current market capitalization does not adequately reflect this trend [1][2]

2026 年 01 月 11 日 《公募费率改革收官, 非银板块向上突破 动能充盈——非银金融行业周报 (2025/12/29-2025/12/31)》 2026/01/05 《高弹性标签助力板块"破圈"，看好资负 两端改善趋势 -- 2026 年保险行业策略 报告》 2025/11/18 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略：权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjg@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 万宏源研究微信服务 续看好全年非银板块价值重 非银金融行业周报（2026/1/5-2026/1/9） 本期投资提示: 时代人行业 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 苏研究招 0 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收跌 1.90%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.89pc ...

Group 1 - The core narrative indicates a shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world order, significantly impacting financial market trends and logic [1] - Emerging markets are expected to see an increase in market capitalization and corporate earnings, presenting new investment opportunities [1] - The current market valuation of emerging market companies does not fully reflect their potential growth in global revenue share, which is anticipated to expand as production focus and competitiveness improve [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent "opening red" in the A-share market reflects a favorable macroeconomic environment and abundant liquidity, which supports market risk appetite and attracts incremental capital inflow, creating a positive feedback loop between capital inflow and market rise [2][18]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The A-share market has experienced a strong start with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking key levels and achieving a "sixteen consecutive days" rise, exceeding many investors' expectations [1][19]. - Historical data indicates that after a single-day trading volume exceeds 3 trillion yuan, there is typically at least a monthly-level market rally [19]. - Various types of trading funds have shown signs of accelerated entry, including a net inflow of 78.9 billion yuan in margin financing since the beginning of the year and a return of retail investor net inflow to around 30 billion yuan daily [2][5]. Group 2: Structural Characteristics - The inflow structure of different funds shows a strong consensus on key themes, primarily focusing on TMT (storage, AI applications), military industry (commercial aerospace), non-ferrous metals, new energy (controlled nuclear fusion), machinery (robots), and pharmaceuticals (innovative drugs, brain-machine interfaces) [5][36]. - The global stock market has also seen a strong start in 2026, driven by macroeconomic and industrial narratives, with A-shares reflecting similar trends [13][18]. Group 3: Future Directions - As companies begin to disclose annual reports, earnings will become a key factor driving market dynamics, leading to a structural adjustment where previously hot sectors face performance validation, while some low-performing sectors may attract new capital inflows [36]. - Industries with significant upward revisions in profit forecasts since November include technology (consumer electronics, computing), advanced manufacturing (new energy, military), cyclical sectors (building materials, non-ferrous metals), and consumer sectors (food processing, retail) [37][38].

专题：2026中国首席经济学家论坛年会 2026年中国首席经济学家论坛年会于1月10-11日在上海举行，主题为"棋至中局：承前启后 建设强国"。 兴业证券首席经济学家王涵出席并演讲。 王涵指出，观察全球股市市值，会发现大头仍在发达国家。美国GDP在全球占比26%，其股市市值在全 球占比48%。中国GDP在全球占比大概为17%，但A股就算加上港股，在全球占比也只有14%。也就是 说，股市市值并未完全反映中国经济在全球中的占比。 专题：2026中国首席经济学家论坛年会 2026年中国首席经济学家论坛年会于1月10-11日在上海举行，主题为"棋至中局：承前启后 建设强国"。 兴业证券首席经济学家王涵出席并演讲。 王涵指出，观察全球股市市值，会发现大头仍在发达国家。美国GDP在全球占比26%，其股市市值在全 球占比48%。中国GDP在全球占比大概为17%，但A股就算加上港股，在全球占比也只有14%。也就是 说，股市市值并未完全反映中国经济在全球中的占比。 "因此从这个角度讲，我们是否需要担心中国股市有泡沫？也许会有泡沫，但市值占比肯定还未到顶。" 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明：所有会议实录均为现场 ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the securities industry, highlighting a phase of profit growth, structural evolution, and valuation recovery for 2026 [1] Industry Performance Overview - The overall industry performance is expected to see significant growth in 2025, with a mismatch between valuation and performance [4] - From January to November 2025, the Securities II (Shenwan) index increased by 5.6%, underperforming the CSI 300, while the Hong Kong Chinese securities index rose by 42.7%, outperforming the Hang Seng index by 10.9 percentage points [6] - In the first three quarters of 2025, 42 listed securities firms reported a combined revenue and net profit increase of 43% and 62% year-on-year, respectively, with an annualized ROE increase of 2.5 percentage points to 7.3% [6] Business Review and Outlook - **Brokerage Business**: The brokerage business is expected to benefit from increased trading volumes, with significant revenue growth anticipated in 2025. However, a decline in commission rates may limit profitability in traditional channel businesses [8] - **Proprietary Trading**: The contribution of proprietary trading to industry performance has significantly increased, with differentiation among firms based on investment capabilities and equity positions. Leading firms are expected to see stable returns, while smaller firms may experience higher volatility [9] - **Asset Management**: The asset management sector is entering a recovery phase driven by public fund transformation, with expected revenue growth of 33% year-on-year in 2026 [10] - **Investment Banking**: The investment banking sector is anticipated to enter a recovery cycle in 2026, supported by improved market conditions and policy incentives [10] Investment Themes for 2026 - The securities sector is positioned as a cost-effective investment opportunity due to its low valuation and performance recovery phase. Key factors include a clear trend of asset allocation towards equities, a recovery in multiple business lines, and supportive policies [12] - Recommended focus on leading securities firms with stable ROE, such as CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and GF Securities, which are expected to achieve ROE of 10.1%, 9.4%, and 9.4% in 2026, respectively [12] - Attention should also be given to firms with distinctive asset management and investment banking capabilities, such as Industrial Securities and China International Capital Corporation, which are well-positioned to benefit from ongoing market trends [12] Policy Environment - The report outlines a clear policy direction for the securities industry, emphasizing a shift from scale expansion to functional positioning and high-quality development. This includes a focus on value competition and the optimization of risk control indicators for leading firms [30][32] - The regulatory framework is evolving to support differentiated capabilities and strategic positioning among firms, with an emphasis on enhancing professional services and internationalization [32][34]

Core Viewpoint - The semi-annual review of the Hang Seng Composite Index has concluded, and a new round of adjustments to the Hong Kong Stock Connect eligible stocks is imminent, with results expected to be announced on February 20 and effective from March 9, 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Adjustments and Market Impact - A total of 48 Hong Kong stocks are expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect eligible list based on simulated calculations [2][3]. - The market capitalization threshold for new eligible stocks has been raised to HKD 9 billion as of December 31, 2025 [3]. Group 2: Industry Distribution of New Eligible Stocks - The new eligible stocks are primarily concentrated in the following sectors: - Healthcare: 14 companies, including names like 英矽智能 and 健康160 [3]. - Information Technology: 8 companies, including 滴普科技 and 极智嘉-W [3]. - Consumer Discretionary: 8 companies, including 卧安机器人 and 轻松健康 [3]. - Industrial: 7 companies, including 京东工业 and 果下科技 [3]. - Financials: 5 companies, including HASHKEY HLDGS and 徽商银行 [3]. - Materials: 3 companies, including 创新实业 and 佳鑫国际资源 [3]. - Consumer Staples: 1 company, 乐舒适 [3]. - Telecommunications: 1 company, 经纬天地 [3]. - Conglomerates: 1 company, 周大福创建 [3]. Group 3: Detailed List of New Eligible Stocks - A detailed list of stocks expected to be included includes: - 乐舒适 (2025-11-10, average daily market cap: HKD 1.898 billion) [4]. - 经纬天地 (2024-01-12, average daily market cap: HKD 0.938 billion) [4]. - 卧安机器人 (2025-12-30, average daily market cap: HKD 1.717 billion) [4]. - 轻松健康 (2025-12-23, average daily market cap: HKD 1.335 billion) [4]. - 博泰车联 (2025-09-30, average daily market cap: HKD 1.297 billion) [4]. - 京东工业 (2025-12-11, average daily market cap: HKD 37.31 billion) [4]. - HASHKEY HLDGS (2025-12-17, average daily market cap: HKD 1.643 billion) [4].